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Vixlong

The Vix TrendThe Trend in the VIX It appears the VIX is bouncing off its lower diagonal support. Historically the VIX does move in diagonals trends, even prior to this one. This chart is self explanatory from a trading perspective. - Double bounces off diagonal support have been good long entries. - Within 1 - 4 weeks of the double bounces there has been large increases in volatility (150%+ moves). This one has capacity for a 60 - 80% move and your risk is 5% to the downside. - The risk reward is reasonable if you are not using leverage or using low leverage (2x or 3x). In general just don't ever use leverage, trust me. - If you are going to use leverage, which i don't recommend be careful and recognize and ensure that the the product on your chart is the same as on the platform you are using. (There are multiple VIX products and they all move a little different). Also please ensure you weight your margin put down 2 :1 or 3:1 to give you ample room to avoid liquidation (stops don't always work on fast moves so we protect against that too). - Honor the dashed orange line. Strength and Honor!! - The orange dashed line means you are leaving with a small loss or your exiting the trade with at least 80% of your original position after making some nice profit. Any move higher than this will mean epic recession and whilst a recession is highly likely within the next 12-18 months, that's a long timeframe in a volatility trade....lets not put our emotions through that. - I would hope that we would have some direction on this trade short term....within 4 to 8 weeks. Major Caveat - I do not trade the VIX however I will trade this set up and I have been haunted this chart for some time. I consider this a highly risky trade and I will only be putting down a small percentage of a percentage of my portfolio. If you are unsure about this trade, please only place a small fraction of what your had already considered. I could not pass up sharing this as it really does look like a reasonable risk to reward and there is a defined pattern from a TA perspective. Good luck to you all PUKA
TVC:VIXLong
by PukaCharts
20
VIX: VOLATILITY CYCLES / COMPRESSION / DIVERGENCE / PUTOVERCALLDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have included an update on a MACRO analysis of VIX VOLATILITY CYCLES. The creation of a set of new cycles is marked when VIX finds a new floor of support. POINTS: 1. Deviations have been adequately adjusted for VIX with a 7 Point difference between CHANNELS. 2. Price Action is currently resting at NEW FLOOR of 19 & Price Action is consolidating. 3. 5 YEAR TREND LINE IS APPROACHING MONTHLY PRICE ACTION FLOOR. 3. NO RECESSION AFTER 1998 HAS EVER COME TO AN END WITHOUT VIX FIRST SPIKING TO 40 OR 45 AT LEAST. RSI: There is in fact a lot to be said for RSI as it rests roughly below the 50 Point average which would signal that RSI is set to flip into Oversold territory. RSI must reach the 30 Point average in the coming weeks or anything above the 30 Point average & rising could signal a divergence occurring between ascending RSI LEVELS & CONSOLIDATING PRICE ACTION WHICH CAN MAKE FOR SOME VIOLENT VOLATILITY IN THE NEAR FUTURE. MACD: As of now MACD is resting at an average oversold level of -2.0 but is signaling a move to the upside in coming weeks. MAIN POINTS OF CONTROL: 1. RSI DIVERENCE OCCURS AS RSI RISES & PRICE ACTION CONSOLIDATES. 2. MACD FLIPS INTO POSITIVE TERRITORY. 3. A BREAK OF 21 POINTS FOR PRICE ACTION CAN BE INDICATIVE OF FURTHER UPSIDE FOR VIX IN THIS SCENARIO. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com TVC:VIX CBOE:VIX
TVC:VIXLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
VIX: MICRO VOLATILITY CYCLES / POINTS OF CONTROL / MACD & RSI DESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a MICRO ANALYSIS of the VIX INDEX which represents volatility in the overall US MARKET. This is a short term play for this week based on micro volatility cycles. POINTS: 1. Deviation in critical thresholds is 4 points a small adjustment from previous VIX charts published as volatility adheres to this more often. 2. 23 Point serves as critical support for VIX. 3. Current Trend = Symmetrical Triangle Formation 2nd Phase 4. Overlapping Green Dotted Lines = Market Open 5. Overlapping Red Dotted Lines = Market Close IMO: In my opinion whether or not current setup becomes invalidated I do not see current price action falling below 23 POINTS is the POINT OF CONTROL TO THE DOWNSIDE while 31 POINTS is the POINT OF CONTROL TO THE UPSIDE. MACD: Current MACD levels continue to fall and are bound to flip into negative territory further confirming current setup that needs some pullback for VIX. RSI: Current RSI levels are dropping and no current signs of DIVERGENCE that would indicate a sudden flip to positive territory. SCENARIO #1: VIX price action agrees with current setup & respects symmetrical triangle setup and bounces off 25 in coming session & precedes to the upside to break 29. SCENARIO #2: VIX price action disagrees with current symmetrical triangle setup and breaks below 25 & faces possible bounce at 23 instead. FULL CHART LINK:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/UUCv2fGk/ TVC:VIX AMEX:UVXY
TVC:VIXLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
VIX: VOLATILITY CYCLES / PREDICTION / EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGEDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO analysis of VIX. I have decided to reduce the number of BARS that it will take for the Volatility Index to see its next price action cycle with past cycles lasting up too 250, 300, or 375 BARS to complete. With current price action trajectory and support it appears 250 BARS would be the most suitable span of time for this current cycle to complete. POINTS: 1. Deviation of 7 Points Remains the same for SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET PLACEMENT. 2. 8 YEAR UPTREND Line has nearly made contact & is indicative of VIX seeing a rubber band reaction to the upside. 3. Current DOWNTREND pattern is being squeezed against 8 year trend. IMO: If price action sees a break to the upside past 21.50 it will be a sure enough bet that VIX will then be looking for 26 Points. EMA'S: PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO TIGHT MOMENTUM OF ALL THREE EMA'S (45,100,200) WHICH USUALLY INDICATIVE OF UPCOMING SHIFT IN TREND. RSI: In regard to RSI crucial pivot point levels are mapped by using past positions held by RSI when VIX would eventually bottom out. MACD: The VIX and MACD share a parallel relationship in the way that as soon as MACD touches MEDIAN and switches directions price action on VIX will come to see a shift in momentum. Currently MACD is in negative territory but should be another solid indicator for when VIX is ready to rubber band to the upside. SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario price action continues to be supported by threshold at 19 & by March 8th it would be inevitable for PRICE ACTION to not be carried TO THE UPSIDE by the 45 EMA with current TRAJECTORY if SUPPORT OF 19 HOLDS. SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario this setup would become invalidated if price action is to BREAK TO THE DOWNSIDE past the 19 SUPPORT LEVEL. And would depend on a future hold of of at least 16.80 to be held in order to respect 8 YEAR UPTREND. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com TVC:VIX
TVC:VIXLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
1
VIX: Another Warning Sign!Hello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1M linear scale chart for the Volatility S&P 500 Index (VIX). In this chart, you can see the VIX moving along a support trendline. When the VIX spikes upwards that means the markets (specifically S&P 500; generally all markets) start to move downwards. Every few years the VIX starts to slowly move upwards on a new support and resistance trend line before coming back down to the bottom support line. The current structure of the VIX looks very similar to the formation of the Great Recession so I show that on the chart as a possibility. I also note two support and resistance lines which the VIX could move on as it moves higher. Lastly noted is the RSI which is moving up a support line. This is a monthly chart so have some patience. I may be completely wrong with the prediction of the VIX moving higher, but with the inflation issue, global economic condition, stock markets crashing, companies preparing for a downturn, interest rates moving higher, the US Dollar Index (DXY) moving higher and crypto market crashing, I would assume my prediction may be on point. Click on the chart below on why I exited the crypto and stock market in December 2021: If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below. Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis. Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
CBOE:VIXLong
by MillionaireEconomics
10
Will history repeat again?Look at the VIX chart here; we are again in the VIX 18th zone. In 2022 it was an excellent indicator to spot the bottom; it works during the bear markets only! So if we are still in a bear market, it should bounce from the 18 level hard and Indexes to fall. If we are entering a bull market, this setup can fail right here. I doubt it will fail until we see Q1 lows in markets. I might be wrong, and this setup can fail in a grand style. The VIX bottoms have an excellent correlation with SPX highs (at the bottom orange colour); look for the yellow marked pointers for the 2022 patterns from VIX 18 level. I think we will repeat the same pattern again.
CBOE:VIX
by RealTima
10
Likely Bearish Confluence - S&P500, VIX, DXY & EURUSD Powells recent remarks gave the S&P the boost it needed to test the weekly bearish trend line and now price action is also at a strong horizontal area of resistance. Other indices such as the FTSE have retraced most of the drawdown from when markets started falling at the start of the year. The S&P also is currently testing its Weekly 50ema. The VIX, which is the volatility index of the S&P is also heavily oversold and is sitting right back in a large area of support, as would be expected from the S&P moving higher in recent weeks. DXY, which has seen a pretty strong pullback after the recent bear market equity rally is now back at Weekly support, which coincides with getting very close to its Weekly 50ema. The confluence seen is also reflected in EURUSD, which is retesting its Weekly 50ema and a weekly horizontal resistance level. At current the confluence in the markets is pretty clean. Powell seemed to suggest that next months rate increase would be 50 basis points and the markets seemed to really bounce from that news. However, Powell was hardly dovish. If anything it seems to me that the recent rally after Powells comments enabled the markets to move up to a good area for bearish positioning. Short S&P, Long VIX, Short EURUSD and Long DXY.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Tall_Short