Vixlong
Increase in VOLATILITY on the horizon? It's 1120am MST on 2/28, and I am expecting a further market decline. I already have a VXX call option in play right now and am expecting this position will end up in the money.
It seems Russia/Ukraine war is starting to heat up despite the meeting between the two countries today.
From a technical analysis perspective, there is another inverse head and shoulders forming and the 50 SMA is crossing over both the 100MA and 200MA, which seems to be a bullish indicator for VXX and a bearish indicator for the stock market as a whole.
I hope I am wrong on this one...because that would indicate a de-escalation of the war...which we're all praying for.
VIX - load up your longsHello my friends,
I still expect the VIX to move down a bit until end of February.
Then it's a perfect time to go long on it, as we've seen higher highs ans higher lows in the recent time.
18.00 - 18.15 should be the perfect entry.
If you take a look at the larger corrections than it would be around end of April when we can expect the next one. Last Target around 140 - 145.
So be patient until end of February and decide afterwards.
Also it's almost impossible for the VIX to drop below 14.5 in the next few months or even the whole year, so a SL of 14 is really safe right now.
Cheers, Dominik
$VIX — GAP FILL GUARANTEE?!
Hello everybody, thanks for reading my posts.
I have another idea for you...
The VIX will go back to $28.33 — I am so sure of it.
Spy puts will work too, because VIX is an inverse.
WHEN THE VIX GOES UP, THE MARKET GOES DOWN....
I posted an idea for going BULLISH & LONG the VIX on February 9th, 2022
but I accidentally broke community guidelines so they took it down.
I have proof, on my profile, for anyone who doesn't believe me.
Message me if you'd like to talk more about the market or how to interpret the charts.
I warrant that the information created and published by ME on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
I am trying to teach everyone about a fact in the market that nobody wants to talk about.
This is not financial advice, nor am I soliciting anyone to act on this.
VIX SHORTS ✅✅✅I expect bearish price action from this point on VIX as price takes out buy side liquidity above old high printing a new high, we have a GAP that should be filled and a lot of inefficient price action AKA imbalances that should be filled as well, i think we go down from there right into 24-25 that means indexes should RISE that means RISK ON market environment.
What do you think ? Comment below..
"You cannot T.A. the VIX"Hi folks!
There is a saying that you cannot T.A. the VIX - as it is not directly tradeable and is derived from a complex computation based on short term options premiums of the S&P500.
However, the VIX also is an estimate of the expected short term volatility in the market (i.e. in the next 30 days), and by definition should be significantly correlated with realised volatility.
Thus, there are some measures you can take to try predicting market moves:
The Bollinger bands explicitly aims to model the short term realised volatility and the fact that periods of VERY low volatility often preceded periods of high volatility.
In my opinion, it makes perfect sense to analyse the VIX in terms of Bollinger Bands - on the 4h, which I usually use to trade both the VIX and the SPY in general.
I want to test a hypothesis that a very tight BB gap often leads to relatively large VIX spikes.
I also tried to combine it with the MACD indicator to see if we could find an even stronger buy signal, and here are my result based on my extremely brief study:
- A very tight BB gap "always" leads to a relatively large VIX spike.
- If you find a divergence in the MACD at the same time, the signal is even stronger (although the tight BB in itself seems to be the most important signal).
I did only include a chart since the covid-correction until now, as the findings are hard to vizualise over longer time frames.
In my humble opinion, it is absolutely time to buy the VIX now (although it may continue further down, it does not make a huge difference unless you have a tight SL/very short duration of your contracts).
DYOR.
NFA.
I wish you all well :)
VIX LONGS ✅✅✅I see bullish price action on VIX as we are approaching an important area of support if you will, price closed all the bullish gaps made on the last week's panic and right now its going in my opinion to close bearish gap near 28$.
This means RISK OFF in the markets this means SHORT INDEXES.
What do you think ? Comment below..
VIX - Don't Be Afraid of FearVIX is the ticker symbol and the popular name for the Chicago Board Options Exchange's CBOE Volatility Index,
a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility based on S&P 500 index options.
Is a high VIX good or bad?
When the VIX reaches the resistance level, it is considered high and is a signal to purchase stocks—particularly those that reflect the S&P 500.
Support bounces indicate market tops and warn of a potential downturn in the S&P 500.
VIX - Monthly - BIG UPSIDE ON VIXOn the monthly and daily chart, I see VIX making a bullish comeback which suggest we are about to see crazy volatility in the stock market. Combine that with the recent insider selling from Jeff Bezos of around $2 billion worth of amazon shares and Kimbal Musk (Elon Musk's brother) selling around $100 million worth of tesla shares on Nov 5th and then Elon Musk himself proposing to sell his own shares, We are more than likely to see a market pull back or crash in the coming weeks.
Time to sell SPY/Buy VIX imo.Hi folks!
If you believe that technical analysis has any prediction power at all (I highly doubt that it has in any other environment than highly speculative ones due to self-fulfilling prophecy)
and you are net long the S&P500, then you might want to rethink.
- Very soon (possibly) testing broken trendline from march 2020
- Massive divergence on volume since trend broke (Volume follows VIX - not a good sign!)
- Massive divergence on RSI
- VIX at very low levels
In addition to this, the money flow indicator - usually a sound fundamental indicator - shows a serious divergence.
Add that to the macroeconomic picture and the pricing (much more important than the other factors I just stated),
and it would be a rather compelling case for selling the broad U.S. stock market.
I got rid of my last long exposure to U.S. stocks now and loaded up on VIX futures (VIXY) throughout this week - currently holding 85% (!)
of my portfolio in such contracts-
DYOR.
NFA.
I wish you all well! :)
Never take the word of others as a given - and never take advise from someone without skin in the game.
VIX LONG CALLS OCT $16/17: POP SOON?!I bought 120 of these. Not cheap not for faint hearted. I do NOT recommend this strategy for investors. Pure Speculation, be warned!
You need cast-iron cajones to hold this position, been buying these all last week as it gets crushed, the $17 were ~4.90, $16s averaged at 5.30.
These got a lotta time in them, patient watch & wait for the pop. Target ~$24-26 will get there fast if ES1 sells off.
Triple witching on Friday 20th. GLTA