Velodyne Lidar (NASDAQ: $VLDR) Up For Buy-Out From Amazon 🤑Velodyne Lidar, Inc. provides real-time three-dimensional vision for autonomous systems worldwide. Its sensor and software solutions provide flexibility, quality, and performance to meet the needs of a range of industries, including autonomous vehicles, advanced driver assistance systems, robotics, unmanned aerial vehicles, and smart cities and security. The company also provides Vella software, a data curation software platform designed to deliver a set of safety and autonomy applications to any vehicle that utilizes a Velarray lidar. Velodyne Lidar, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.
VLDR
VLDR Bullish??Took a long here today after scouting random stocks. Weekly and daily showing lots of divergence with price action. R/r is pretty good here bought @ $6.45. For those who have seen some of my other ideas chart patterns like these are pretty easy to trade as your stop loss is easy to place see demand line below.
A Non-Random Pattern..!Jim Simons: we should try to trade patterns that happen on a non-random basis..!
Now with higher confidence, we can say Wall Street bets are predictable..!
NYSE:AMC with a 22 billion market cap gained more than 20% in a single day!
Today's price*volume: 9.9billion second to BABA and 10% above Tesla..!
Why this is important? because the last time this phenomenon happened it was the start of a Gamma squeeze..!
I will not surprise to see it ranked first tomorrow!
To learn more about it please read my previous post:
August 23-24, 2021:
Max Pain or Short squeeze?
Is there hidden rationality beyond irrationality?
Short Squeeze or Gamma Squeeze that is the question?
August 20, 2021:
This is called WSB effect..!
In the past few days, I published posts about Wall Street Bets and how they conquered the market!
They are not just a group of "Apes" unlike what many think, there is a master puppeteer and a core behind this phenomenon who know market mechanics top to down, the power of social media, data analysis.
The master puppeteer has learned to survive in life and career with a false identity many years ago from his grandmaster..!
To wrap it up, do not take an opposite position this could last for a while..! Today was the largest gain and trading volume since last "Quadruple Witching" June 18, 2021..!
Is there hidden rationality beyond irrationality?Gama Squeeze Happens between Quadruple Witching Dates
When stock prices experience rapid shifts, the conditions may be ripe for a squeeze. In this scenario, investors may find themselves buying or selling shares of stock outside their normal trading pattern in order to minimize losses. A gamma squeeze is an extreme example of this, in which investor buying activity forces a stock’s price up. Gamma squeezes are often associated with options trading and they can be problematic for investors who don’t fully understand how they work.
A short squeeze is a specific type of stock squeeze. With a short squeeze, an increase in stock prices can force people who shorted the stock to buy back their shares.
How a Gamma Squeeze Works
Certain conditions have to be met for a gamma squeeze to manifest in the market. It starts with investors making assumptions about a particular stock’s price. Specifically, they assume that the stock will rise in price.
This leads to buying short-dated call options in the stock on a large scale. A call option’s value increases when the underlying stock it’s associated with increases in value. Meanwhile, this puts the institutional investors selling the options in a short position.
If this pattern continues with investors sinking more money into call potions, that can force institutional investors to buy more shares of the stock. This is a necessary step for hedging against the short position they now find themselves in.
The gamma squeeze happens when the underlying stock’s price begins to go up very quickly within a short period of time. As more money flows into call options from investors, that forces more buying activity which can lead to higher stock prices. Investors who purchased call options and sell when stock prices are high can reap sizable profits but the institutional investors who had to cover their short positions might see significant losses. (1)
Now lets review 10 famous example in 2021:
1- NYSE:GME
2- NYSE:AMC
3- NYSE:BB
4- NASDAQ:BBBY
5- NYSE:NOK
6- NASDAQ:CLOV
7- NASDAQ:SOFI
8- NASDAQ:WKHS
9- NYSE:FSLY
10- NASDAQ:NAKD
As you see all these spike patterns happened between Quadruple Witching Dates!
What Is Quadruple Witching?
Quadruple witching refers to a date on which stock index futures, stock index options, stock options, and single stock futures expire simultaneously. While stock options contracts and index options expire on the third Friday of every month, all four asset classes expire simultaneously on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
Quadruple Witching Dates 2021
March 19, 2021
June 18, 2021
September 17, 2021
December 17, 2021
I believe a new round of Squeezing has just started and VLDR and GOEV, two of the most shorted stocks are just the tip of the iceberg.
GOEV: Short Percent of Float 32.48 %, 32.3M, 10 days to cover..!
VLDR: Short Percent of Float 16.06 %', days to cover 4.5
Do you know Which stocks have the potential to be the next Short or Gamma squeeze???
Reference Article:
www.yahoo.com
www.investopedia.com
Velodyne Lidar Analysis 19.08.2021Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next days/weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I would also appreciate, if you would smash that like button and help me to create more free analysis like that.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
VLDRI made a key code of the price action then found an exact match to this move in the past.... one that matched at lease 95% or better. That way if the move is that close to the same shape we have now it must mean the sentiment of the market was the same at that time. Therefore, the outcome should be the same coming out of the move. I then used PTP which is Past Trend Prediction by tracing the trend it made after this move in the past and projecting it forward on to the current move.
Then I took the same move on the Daily which is a different Time frame then the first..and found the same move with out a key and traced its path and projected it forward as well.
Sometimes I use about 5 other Price Action tricks I have have developed over the last 10 months or chart out the Curve and what Stage it is in. The Curve is my own brain child and I compare that to Wycoff method. Taking all of these into account You have several different approaches to confirming direction and intent of the institutional buyers and where Retail resides during this move.
If you would like to have more information or videos on Any of the ways I chart pls comment below. Like, follow, Subscribe...share.
Thank you,
iCantw84it
06.11.2021
Probability theory: Independence, Psychology: Regret theorySocial media provides access to quality content analyses, but you see rookie traders who make good money, losing it all in one trade!
In the past few days, I predicted 4 potential stocks to be candidates for the next pump and one call option with decent gains.
WISH, VLDR, QS, and OCGN, made double-digit returns, and the AAPL call option made a +100% gain. A minority of my followers invested in these ideas and won big. Those who are chasing a higher level of adrenalin bought options on some of these ideas! Now I see this phenomenon creating a bigger problem for the majority of my followers. The famous sense of FOMO(Feeling Of Missing Out). This Feeling Of Missing Out could become a dangerous situation!
How?
let me explain it from a mathematical point of view:
Probability theory: Independence
Independence is a fundamental notion in probability theory, as in statistics and the theory of stochastic processes.
Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of occurrence of the other (equivalently, does not affect the odds). Similarly, two random variables are independent if the realization of one does not affect the probability distribution of the other.
When dealing with collections of more than two events, a weak and a strong notion of independence needs to be distinguished. The events are called pairwise independent if any two events in the collection are independent of each other while saying that the events are mutually independent (or collectively independent) intuitively means that each event is independent of any combination of other events in the collection. A similar notion exists for collections of random variables.
The name "mutual independence" (same as "collective independence") seems the outcome of a pedagogical choice, merely to distinguish the stronger notion from "pairwise independence" which is a weaker notion. In the advanced literature of probability theory, statistics, and stochastic processes, the stronger notion is simply named independence with no modifier. It is stronger since independence implies pairwise independence, but not the other way around.
A simple Example:
Rolling dice:
The event of getting a 6 the first time a die is rolled and the event of getting a 6 the second time is independent. By contrast, the event of getting a 6 the first time a die is rolled and the event that the sum of the numbers seen on the first and second trial is 8 are not independent.
Psychology:
What Is Regret Theory?
Regret theory states that people anticipate regret if they make the wrong choice, and they consider this anticipation when making decisions. Fear of regret can play a significant role in dissuading someone from taking action or motivating a person to take action. Regret theory can impact an investor's rational behavior, impairing their ability to make investment decisions that would benefit them as opposed to harming them.
Regret theory refers to human behavior regarding the fear of regret, which stems from people anticipating regret if they make the wrong choice.
This fear can affect a person's rational behavior, impairing their ability to make decisions that would benefit them as opposed to those that would harm them.
Regret theory impacts investors because it can either cause them to be unnecessarily risk-averse or it can motivate them to take risks they shouldn't take.
During extended bull markets, regret theory causes some investors to continue to invest heavily, ignoring signs of an impending crash.
By automating the investment process, investors can reduce their fear of regret from making incorrect investment decisions.
Conclusion:
No matter how you trade or who you follow, the odds of success in any trade are independent..! It means even though we had 5 successful trades in a row, the next one has a 50% chance of being a failure!
What saves us is Risk Management, and having a stop loss which works as emergency exits in the building!
Do not let FOMO overrule your trading strategies
Kenny Rogers:
You got to know when to hold 'em, know when to fold 'em. Know when to walk away and know when to run.
Moshkelgosha
Reference:
1- en.wikipedia.org(probability_theory)
2- www.investopedia.com
Trading Skills matters..!While Apes write trash comments about me because of my NYSE:AMC , I and my followers make profits ..!
and it is evidence-based highly efficient trading strategies!
Evidence:
1- WISH: , published yesterday!
2- VLDR :
You should not be an ape to make money..! I'm wondering what are you going to do in the next 2 weeks! be ready for a blood bath Apes..!
Velodyne Lidar Inc 🧙Velodyne Lidar Inc provides sensor technologies for autonomous vehicles. It provides lidar solutions for autonomous vehicles, driver assistance, delivery solutions, robotics, navigation, and mapping. The product portfolio includes surround sensors, directional sensors, close-range sensors, and other related software.
If you want not to miss ideas like this one,🎯 subscribe and press a thumb up! 👍 Have a question? Don't be shy to ask! 🤓 Interested to study how to analyze charts, follow me!
Velodyne Lidar Inc 🧙Velodyne Lidar Inc provides sensor technologies for autonomous vehicles. It provides lidar solutions for autonomous vehicles, driver assistance, delivery solutions, robotics, navigation, and mapping. The product portfolio includes surround sensors, directional sensors, close-range sensors, and other related software.
If you want not to miss ideas like this one ,🎯 subscribe and press a thumb up! 👍 Have a question? Don't be shy to ask! 🤓 Interested to study how to analyze charts, follow me!
VLDR 180% Upside! Great Risk/reward setup here as VLDR is at its bottom support in the "Loading Zone".
Stop loss/ close trade if closes below support
$VLDR waiting for confirmation$VLDR failed to generate momentum and lost its support at 21.30 then retraced to the 200SMA on an overall flash crash in the market especially EV-related SPACs and scandal on top of that. The board contained the problem and the stock is now at a fair value however we need to see some bullish days to be confident to re-enter.
+100% opportunity in less than 100 daysPotential gain:110%
Reward/Risk:+8
Timeframe: <100 days
I always try to present the charts in a simple comprehensive format to prevent any confusion.
This is just my technical view, neither a fundamental comment,nor a recommendation to trade..!
Please review my track record and calculate the odds for yourself..!
Don't forget to like, comment, and Follow to encourage me to continue this.
You can send TradingView coins to support me publishing high quality ideas..!
Stay tuned great live stream and quality content videos coming soon..!
I would appreciate if you share my analysis on your own social media with your friends and beloved ones.
Velodyn Lidar- Lets break the Triangle!VLDR is a lidar technology company. The oversaturation within the EV market can potentially drive the attention to the Battery suppliers and lidar technology companies that are associated with the car industry. Here we would like to present our chart analysis on VLDR which seems to continue forming a symmetrical triangle. In order for VLDR to have a nice and strong jump, it needs first to pass some resistance points that we have pointed out.
Our opinion is positive on this one.
Entry point: 21.69
Innoviz/CGRO Merger Play --> Will History Repeat Itself?!CGRO is expected to complete its merger with Innoviz (INVZ) technologies in the first quarter of 2021. If that timetable is to be believed then we are only looking at 1-4 month timeframe for the merger to occur. Innoviz is a lidar sensor play - think VLDR and LAZR . After analyzing VLDR/LAZR who are the well known tickers in this sector it looks like Innoviz could have a similar rally as the merger gets closer. Semi-recent news is that INVZ has partnered with Macnica (japan's largest distribution company) to sell its InnovizOne for the first time in Japan. InnovizOne has also been selected by BMW for its use in its fully autonomous electric car. Innoviz has some solid investors that interest me. They are backed by Softbank Ventures Asia and auto supplier Magna international. Magna international is one of the world's largest suppliers in the automotive industry and is the largest auto parts manufacturer in North America. So, seeing them invest millions into Innoviz is something to keep an eye on in the North American sector.
Chart :
What has drawn me to CGRO's chart is the 32% sell off over the past 44 days which may be finding a bottom at the $13 range. It held the Daily 50 SMA beautifully for 6 days straight which piqued my interest as well.
- HVN: there is a HVN between $13-14 and we saw a fail of this lvl on 1/25-1/29 but then we regained the $13 lvl which was key. The POC is at $13.78 which will serve as a strong resistance. If we can close over the POC then I am really bullish on the trade.
-Volume: there isn’t much special about the volume CGRO has seen the past 43 days as it has been mostly bearish with its sell off.
- Important to note the bullish price action this past week vs the declining volume, might be signaling another leg down unless $ steps in this week.
- 1/25 & 1/26 we saw 1.1 and 1.5 million volume with bearish candles both days. It looks to me like a failed bounce and subsequent gap down. Since these two days there has only been one larger volume day on 2/2 of 1.1 million.
We had some bulls come into CGRO that day and try to reclaim the daily 20 SMA but were unable to close above.
- MACD: CGRO’s MACD on Daily chart looks primed for a reversal, VLDR Daily chart also saw very similar MACD & RSI patterns before its merger rally
Merger :
- VLDR ran 148% the month leading up to its merger while LAZR hit 80% gains a few days before its merger and 150% gains the 4 days prior to its merger
- I am by no means saying this is going to happen to Innoviz. If anything this shows that the lidar market is becoming saturated with companies going public. LAZR by comparison has a market cap of 10.8 billion and VLDR of 3.92 billion.
The merger results in Innoviz with an estimated $1.4 billion equity value.
- I am looking at these comparisons and think there may be a possibility here for a INVZ run up into its merger. The tricky thing about this play is timing.
Plan:
I am currently in a small starter position of CGRO at $13.37 and this week I will be looking to continue to add shares. Once we get some momentum I am also looking to add some March or April calls.
1. If CGRO continues to see no bullish volume I think we retest the triangle bottom trend line and might even see the $11.60-12 range where the other HVN is located (lower blue square on chart). If this is the case I will watch for a bounce at this HVN and/or the 100 SMA.
2. I want to see CGRO hold its $13-$14 HVN range and close over the 20 SMA on the daily chart. With such a long consolidation and merger news imminent I am adding a starter position and then waiting on volume accumulation to add a larger position.
SL: If we fail the triangle pattern and look to be heading to the 11.60-12 range then that is a good opportunity to take the loss and re-enter lower. I have a smaller position so I am comfortable holding my shares through this breakdown if it occurs. I will more than likely avg down if these levels are seen.
***Downside: - Other Lidar plays that have SPAC’s supposedly merging in the first quarter are Ouster ( CLA ) and Aeva ( IPV ). The Lidar market will quickly have multiple companies joining via SPAC’s in the first half of 2021. This saturation can make it tricky for just one company to run. This writeup focuses on INVZ but a diversification of 2 or more of these Lidar plays may be more risk averse.
Thanks for reading my write-up if you made it this far! would love to hear your thoughts on this play/sector. Give me a like and follow on TV for future trade ideas.
$VLDR BUY confirmed$VLDR broke out and close on volume outside the triangle, it confirms our BUY signal. $VLDR Short Float 53.65%, today it stopped at $25 resistance; if it is broken the price should not have any problem to quickly get to 30s. This could be a catalyst for a short squeeze too, trade on your own risk, DYODD, not financial advice
VLDR back to ATH? C&H breakout VLDR in a nice cup and handle pattern, Looking for a breakout of the handle to retest ATH. We could see a nice run up all the way to earnings coming up, with news coming out on developing next generation autonomous trucks and plans to accelerate commercialization of self driving trucks in China. Trading plan annotated in the chart. Minor resistance around 26 over that I'm looking at 30. Under 20 I'm looking for a retrace to 17.50 as the next solid support.
Option Alert
25C 2/19 (Low risk: Medium reward)
Tip: Set an alert on the trend line of the top of the handle, that will confirmation along with an increase in volume
VLDR - Descending Triangle - Breakout Imminent! Very strong descending triangle formed! Breakout predicted in the next 48 hours !
Juicy setup on $VLDR$VLDR is looking nice offering an incredible r/r ratio. I'm entering some swings on open.
SL IS IF $VLDR CLOSES BELOW THE PENNANT ON THE DAILY
Don't be shy leave a follow :)
$VLDR $HYLN in Sync Trend Reversal$VLDR (green line) is pretty much the same chart structure as $HYLN. Every dip post trend reversal will be a great buying opportunity (green zone).
