Technical Analysis and Trading Plan for Velas (VLX)
Technical Analysis
Velas (VLX) is currently in a descending channel. This pattern suggests a bearish trend in the short term, but there is potential for a bullish reversal if certain conditions are met.
Descending Channel: The price is moving within a downward sloping channel, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. This pattern indicates ongoing selling pressure.
Bullish Divergence: The VMC Cipher B indicator shows a series of bullish divergences, where the price is making lower lows, but the indicator is making higher lows. This often precedes a trend reversal.
RSI and Stochastic Oscillator: Both the RSI and the Stochastic Oscillator are in oversold territory, suggesting that the selling pressure may be exhausted and a rebound could be imminent.
Moreover, the Solana-Velas bridge is part of a broader initiative to improve cross-chain interoperability. This will allow assets to move freely between the two ecosystems, enhancing liquidity and usability across platforms.
Trading Plan for Spot Trading
Given the technical indicators and recent news, here is a potential trading plan for Velas (VLX):
Entry Point: Look for a breakout above the upper boundary of the descending channel with a confirmed bullish divergence. An ideal entry would be around $0.0098 - $0.0100, once the price shows signs of stabilization and reversal.
Take Profit: Target the next significant resistance levels. A reasonable first target would be around $0.0120, with a secondary target at $0.0150 if the bullish momentum continues.
Monitoring News
Keep an eye on updates regarding the Solana-Velas bridge deployment. Positive developments or official announcements about the bridge going live could serve as strong catalysts for upward price movement. Regularly check news outlets and the official Velas and Solana channels for the latest information.
By following this technical analysis and trading plan, you can strategically position yourself to capitalize on potential bullish movements in Velas while managing your risks effectively.
Vlxusdtsignals
VLXUSDT Possible rebound to the 1D MA50Velas (VLXUSDT) has been trading within a Channel Down since the January 13 High. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) have formed a Resistance Zone where the last 4 attempts to turn the chart bullish failed and the price got rejected to Lower Lows.
Right now the price sits near the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line and seems to be replicating the price action of January 2022. What followed was a rebound just above the 1D MA50 in early February. With the 1D MACD also on a Bullish Cross as on February 03, we expect a same reaction, with the 1D MA50 currently at 0.1554 but declining strongly.
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VLXUSDT Almost +100% up since the crashVelas (VLXUSDT) broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on Monday for the first time since May 05 and has establish the 4H price action above it since. This short-term pattern is a Channel Up and is already above +90% up from the May 12 low.
The longer-term pattern is a Bearish Megaphone and every time the price broke above the 4H MA50, a rally started to the top of the pattern and at least the 1D MA100 (red trend-line). This time however that's above the Megaphone so a short-term target on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) sounds more realistic. But if the 4H MA50 fails to support, expect the resume of the long-term bearish trend towards the 0.0520 Low and quite possibly 0.0400.
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VLXUSDT Bearish trend but look for potential reversal on the VI.The bearish trend prevailed on Velas (VLXUSDT) and on the short-term it is extending the selling pressure towards the April 27 Low. I have used the Fibonacci retracement and extension levels to give us a better perspective on how the targets may be more efficiently narrowed down.
Our eyes this time are on the Vortex Indicator (VI) on the 1D time-frame, which after a failed Bullish Cross signal, it now turned sideways indicating potential high volatility and trend indecisiveness. As you see, this indicator has been higly efficient as since late October it provided ten signals which at least on the following 1D candle extended the trend.
In order to limit the risk on this highly volatile short-term environment, it is best to wait for the next clear Cross (either bullish or bearish) on the 1D Vortex Indicator and trade to that direction, using the Fibonacci levels as targets. If you are a buyer and have a more macro-perspective, keep an eye on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for a confirmed long-term bullish trend.
Overall we think Velas will offer great returns on the long-term.
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VLXUSDT on +125%, strongest 3day rally of 2022. What's next?The Velas coin (VLXUSDT) completed yesterday a +125% 3-day streak, which is the strongest 3-day rally since the +258% of November 03 2021. By doing so, the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but failed to close above it. This should be enough to put an end to this rally for at least 1-3 days but the true technical Resistance remains the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), with Velas failing to close above since February 23.
The long-term pattern remains a Channel Down since late 2021. Actually as long as the price trades below the 0.29000 Resistance formed of the April 06 High, the trend remains bearish. That is the Resistance of a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, that happens to be almost where the 1D MA200 is. This is a pattern technically seen during downtrends such as the current one, and typically forms bottoms and kick-starts bullish reversals.
The last similar pattern failed to break above its Resistance on January 04, even though its was not during a downtrend. So you realize how critical the 0.29000 Resistance level is. Note that the RSI on the 1W time-frame has been trading and closing below its MA line (yellow) since November 30. A 1W closing above it, should be enough to restore the long-term bullish trend, especially if it coincides with a break above the 0.29000 Resistance.
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VLXUSDT 1D and 1W outlooks. 1D MA100 is the key.Velas (VLXUSDT) has been trading within a Channel Down since late January, as I mentioned on the most recent analysis. Right now the price is at the bottom of the Channel, potentially forming a Lower Low. The Lower Lows legs share similar 4H MACD structures and once the 4H MA100 (red trend-line) breaks, the short-term target should be within the 0.618 (0.2430) and 0.786 (0.2627) Fibonacci retracement levels.
The chart on the right is on the 1W time-frame where we clear see the importance of the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). It was the long-term Support when Velas started rising on the August 30 2021 1W candle. The correction started when it broke downwards and it has been the Resistance since January 21 2022. When it breaks to the upside (which may coincide with the 1W RSI breaking above its MA (yellow line)), there are high chances to see it turn into the Support again for a new long-term rise. The last High of November 2021 stopped just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. Technically that should be the medium-term target when the next rally starts, with the long-term being the 0.786 Fib around $1.71.
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VLXUSDT Excellent short-term buy signalVelas (VLXUSDT) has been trading within a Channel Down on the 4H time-frame since the January 22 low. So far the pattern has made two Lower Highs and two Lower Lows, with the last contact with the bottom of the Channel two days ago, potentially being the third Lower Low.
If the pattern continues to replicate the Lower Highs with near perfect symmetry, we can expect the next rise to top a little below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which is now at 0.2739. During the last bullish leg to a Lower High, the trigger was the break above the 4H MA100 (green trend-line). At the moment the 4H MA100 is a little below the 0.382, you may wait for tis confirmation but if you seek higher returns, buying now is also justified as the bottom of the Channel Down has been hit.
Excellent short-term trade on Velas, a coin with equally excellent long-term potential.
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VLXUSDT A weekly perspective. Long-term potential for $1.50.This is my first analysis of Velas (VLXUSDT) on the weekly (1W) time-frame. And the reason I do so, is to bring you a fresh perspective on how strong the long-term upside potential is on this token.
** The 1D MA50/200 and Fibinacci Channel **
First of all, even though the time-frame is 1W, I've plotted the 1D MA50 (yellow trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (red trend-line) in order to identify price shifts. Every time the 1D MA50 crosses above the 1D MA200, it forms the technically bullish Golden Cross pattern. In the previous two Cycles, the Golden Cross was formed when the price had already broken above the Lower Highs trend-line of the Cycle peak. On the current cycle, the price is still trading below the Lower Highs trend-line and with the 1D MA50 supporting, we are closer to a Golden Cross than ever and this time may take place below the Lower Highs for the first time.
As you see, Velas' price action since it first started trading can be charted within a Channel Up. I've used a Fibonacci Channel to illustrate how high it can get on the next Cycle peak. This Cycle has made a Higher bottom relative to the others as it didn't reach as low as the 0.0 Fib level. As a result, there is a Diverging Higher Lows trend-line, which may in turn cause a Diverging Higher High. That aligns perfectly with a modest rise from bottom to peak of +1100% as in the first cycle. That would cause the price to get very close to the 1.5 Fibonacci extension and that is exactly why the Fibonacci Channel is used on this long-term analysis.
** The RSI and LMACD indicators **
The 1W RSI and LMACD indicators, offer an even greater insight in combination with the Fibonacci Channel and the Golden Cross. The RSI is currently above the RSI-based MA (black trend-line), having made a Cross in late March. In past cycles, every time this cross took place, the price candles broke above the 1D MA50 and never closed below it again before the parabolic rally started.
Also, the LMACD is close to a Bullish Cross. The last Bullish Cross took place in late August 2021, and practically signaled the start of the Parabolic Rally and break above the Lower Highs trend-lin.
** Conclusion **
This unique 1W analysis definitely shows that VLXUSDT is close to a Parabolic Rally. Right now the price is a great opportunity on a long-term perspective and if the +1100% projection plays out again, then we can expect for VLX to reach a value around $1.50.
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Bullish Touches on the Channel VLXUSDThis channel beautifully exemplifies how price reacts bullishly when it is tested
Look at those bullish results!
Where do you think it is headed next?
VLXUSDT Bull Flag approaching the 1D MA50.Velas (VLXUSDT) has formed a Bull Flag following the rally since the March 18 Low. This analysis is basically an extension of the one published last week, showcasing the importance of the Lower Highs trend-line of November 19 2021, and that as long as it doesn't break, the pull-back will seek the lower Support levels:
So far this trend-line hasn't been broken, was on today's post it is important to look into more detail the Support levels involved and comparing them to the symmetrical bottom phase of July - August 2021.
** The 1D MA50 and the RSI **
The first natural Support level is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that is currently at 0.22040. With the Ichimoku having turned green already, the price may bounce any time, but most likely, the market would want to see this level tested as a Support to gain confidence again and attract new buyers.
The 1D RSI has been printing the very same sequence as in July - August and if symmetry holds, it should bounce off its 43.000 level.
** The Fibonacci levels **
As far as Fibonacci retracement levels are concerned, the July - August fractal made a first bounce on the 0.618 Fib and a second by breaking a 1D candle wick below it, but closing right back above before the day was over.
The 0.618 Fib level on the current phase is roughly 0.1880.
** The Inverse Head and Shoulders **
As mentioned above, it is not necessary for the price to go as low as that level. And a big reason why, is the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern (IH&S), which is a technical structure formed on market bottoms and leads to an instant trend reversal from bearish to bullish.
This is what took place on the July - August fractal. With very symmetrical points, Velas rebounded very aggressively after completing the Right Shoulder of the pattern. On the current formation, the Right Shoulder's Support is around 0.2150.
** Conclusion **
It is not hard to realize that VLXUSDT is a solid buy opportunity on the current levels, despite the potential for slightly lower prices. The minor correction since the April 01 High, should be treated as the buy opportunity for those who missed the bottom last month and invest especially if you are a long-term crypto investor. The potential of this token once the Lower Highs trend-line of November breaks, is x10 return.
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VLXUSDT Bullish long-term but has to weather some 1H volatilityThis idea is an update to last week's 4H analysis on Velas (VLXUSDT):
What's new is that the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level and Resistance 1 (0.2900) haven been hit. That opens the way for the next Resistance level of 0.3350 and the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Another positive development is that the rebound for the break-out sequence took place on the former Lower Highs trend-line of the January 13 High. That is a strong indication that this rally is based on continuous buying accumulation.
This time I want to bring light on the 1H time-frame as well (right side of the screen), as Velas has to overcome the short-term volatility created by a symmetrical Higher Highs/ Higher Lows pattern. As you see the price pumps and then corrects. Right now the 1H Ichimoku has turned red but the 1H MA50 (blue trend-line) is supporting. If it fails, expect a pull-back towards the Higher Lows trend-line around 0.2300 - 0.2250. On the other hand, the invalidation line is on the previous high at 0.2550. A break means that the trends turns bullish again towards 0.3000 and the 0.3350 in succession.
Overall we consider Velas a great long-term investment with one of the highest potentials in the market.
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VLXUSDT One last barrier to break before making +1000% returns!Velas (VLXUSDT) is currently ahead of a critical moment for its long-term trend. Supported by the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having just ten days ago broken above both the 1D MA200 and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it eyes the last barrier of the Lower Highs trend-line. News-wise, as Velas introduces its new Fund & Accelerator program, this may be the right fundamentals to push the price past the Lower Highs trend-line. But let's break down both the Technical and Fundamental outlook into more detail.
** Technical Analysis **
As mentioned, the barrier to break is the Lower Highs trend-line that started after Velas' All Time High on November 19 2021. Since then, the price has been correcting, which is not something we see for the first time. In fact, VLXUSDT had already had two such correction phases, April - August 2021 and June - December 2020, both marked by a Lower Highs trend-line. It was when those Lower Highs broke that the price started a Parabolic Rally, which in both cases measured more than +1000% from the bottom.
A proportionate +1100% move (as in early 2021, which was the 'weakest' of the two rallies) from the recent March 18 2022 bottom, would take the price around $1.50. Those would be quite extraordinary returns from the $0.27 it's sitting at currently.
Notice that the Ichimoku Cloud has already turned green, which in the past two bullish break-outs was an indicator ahead of the price action, pointing to a break above the Lower Highs. Notice also that we are still far from a 1D Golden Cross (when the 1D MA50 crosses above the 1D MA200) but with the 1D MA50 already shifting upwards for the first time in 2 months, meaning that there is still time for the rise to develop, as in the past two rallies, the Golden Cross was formed during the consolidation phase, half-way through the Parabolic Rally.
Last but not least, the 1D RSI also gives a meaningful indication of where we currently are in terms of the previous rallies. As you see, the sequence is very symmetrical with the past two rallies, having already made Higher Highs, which against the price's Lower Highs, indicates a hidden Bullish Divergence. This analogy indicates that based on the past two sequences, we are less than a month away from breaking above the Lower Highs.
** Fundamental Analysis **
So like I mentioned in the prologue, the big development of the week, from a fundamentals perspective, is the introduction of a new fund and accelerator program. The Swiss headquartered company will use its expertise in the crypto and blockchain industry to support talented developers and entrepreneurs.
Early in 2022 Velas became a premium partner of the Ferrari Scuderia team. The Velas team continues its path to maximize its presence in the blockchain and cryptocurrency industries by launching a new initiative.
The fund will be represented by Velas' new subsidiary company, and it will be managed by a team of professional developers, marketing experts, designers, crypto experts, and more. This team will work together to analyze and estimate the value of crypto projects, startups, and original ideas.
Anyone interested in participating will be able to submit an application, which will be reviewed by the fund's panel of judges. Once the projects with the highest potential are approved, participants will get a chance to join the Velas acceleration program. The Velas acceleration program will offer the following services.
Development support: If you have an exciting idea but are missing a development team, Velas will assist you in building your project.
Mentorship: You will be able to ask our mentors for professional assistance. These experts will help you lead your project and overcome development, networking, and marketing challenges.
Acceleration: The fund can help you with any issues related to fundraising, organization of private sales, the project's initial coin offering launch, etc.
Marketing support: Velas will ensure the promotion of your project gets maximum exposure. The Velas team will help with creating top-quality content, marketing, and design. The fund also offers a chance to establish partnerships with the most popular crypto influencers and traders (KOL marketing services).
This initiative will also help to popularize the VLXUSDT token by being utilized by the accelerator program's projects as a payment method. The Velas blockchain can also be integrated into the projects and startups to provide stability, and the fastest transaction speed with the most reasonable transaction costs on the market.
This latest program aligns with Velas reputation as a proponent of new talent in the blockchain and crypto communities. “Velas has always been supporting talented and innovative crypto enthusiasts ready to start working on forward-looking projects,” said Velas CEO, Farkhad Shagulyamov. Speaking on how he believes the program will benefit new developers and the crypto industry as a whole, Shagulyamov added, “I believe that our fund will open new possibilities for them as well as significantly contribute to the development of the whole Velas ecosystem and crypto industry.”
The accelerator program will last up to three months. The minimum investment you may be given will be $25000. To receive investment will depend on criteria such as project stage, team expertise, and the development of the project. The program will provide all participants with professional remote assistance.
The Velas team has already started collecting the first applications through their existing grants program form.
The fund does not yet have specific requirements or policies. All participants with a great idea or a ready-to-launch crypto project can apply for support from Velas.
Many talented developers are already sharing their exciting ideas with the Velas fund. The organization will start operating this year, so it's just the right time to start thinking about your crypto project!
** Conclusion **
As you realize from the above Technical and Fundamental Analysis, Velas isn't just ahead of a major bullish technical break-out but at the same time sustained by strong fundamentals that help grow its customer/ holders base. There is no better time to invest on Velas than now, that the rally is still on its early stage and if you are a long-term investor, the $1.50 target mentioned, may be a modest one. Don't miss this chance!!
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VLXUSDT Buy the dips on this steady growth. $0.400 before summerThis week Velas (VLXUSDT) made an impressive surge and almost recovered all the loss since the February Highs as it came too close to the 0.2900 Resistance (1) before getting rejected yesterday. On this analysis I will explain, both from a Technical and Fundamental outlook, why buying the dips is the best strategy on this steady rally long-term.
** Technical Analysis **
(Break above the long-term Lower Highs)
Initially, we can confirm that the bearish trend on Velas since the early January Highs has been reversed to bullish, as last week (March 25), the price broke above its long-term Lower Highs trend-line that has previously rejected any bullish break-out attempt.
(Resistance 1 and Higher Lows)
Naturally, investors took advantage of this buy signal and pushed the price to the next barrier, the 0.2900 Resistance (1). This is a methodical buying approach by the market and it should be no surprise that profits got taken right before this major Resistance, as it will be no surprise if dips such as yesterday's will start to get bought above the Higher Lows trend-line of the February 25 Low.
(The Golden Cross that delivered)
The 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is supporting currently and we also have to mention at this point that the last 4H Golden Cross (when the MA50 crosses above the MA200) succeeded at delivering a rise (as it should because it is a technical bullish formation), in contrast to the Golden Cross of February 12 that was false and delivered a drop. This is another indication that VLXUSDT has finished its long-term correction and is starting a new Bull Phase.
(The RSI and the Fibonacci extension levels)
The 4H RSI is near its Support Zone, which further favors systematic buying on the medium-term. Additionally, pay attention to the Fibonacci extension levels. The March 31 (yesterday's) High wasn't just near Resistance (1) but also the 1.5 Fibonacci extension levels. That further supports the argument that the market is on systematic buy mode. Coincidentally, the next Fib extension (2.0) leads to Resistance (2) at 0.3350 and Fib ext 3.0 leads to Resistance (3) at 0.4200. We believe at Tradingshot that within the next 30 - 45 days those levels will be filled one by one. $0.4000 is a very realistic target.
** Fundamental Analysis **
First a little introduction about the project. Velas, as Swiss-based tech firm, has the fastest EVM Chain to compete with Ethereum 2.0. As a powerhouse of innovation and creativity, Velas has revolutionized the world of blockchain by creating a pioneering, energy-efficient platform that operates at unparalleled speed. The network provides a scalable solution for dApps with up to 75k TPS.
That being said, the market already values highly Velas' powering into Formula 1 with a multi-year Scuderia Ferrari partnership. A market with huge exposure, Velas branding on Ferrari’s iconic racing cars is certainly a huge leap into the future, as Formula 1 enters this new technological era. This is the first partnership of this kind for Ferrari.
In Ferrari's announcement, the F1 team emphasized how both companies share values such as innovation and performance of technologically advanced products and services, also making a special mention to the NFT sector, which can take the motorsport world by storm.
In more recent news, Velas announced that they will be present at the Block World Tour held in Andorra on April 1-2! Great chance to meet with the firm and learn all about the little details you may not know about the project! See more on their twitter page.
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