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Volatile

VIX - Will the FED spark another rally in the volatility index?On 18th October 2022, we warned investors that our short-term price target of 35 USD would be pushed further into the future if the market rallied until the FED meeting. Now, we are growing increasingly bullish on the index and expect it to return above 30 USD and then continue toward our short-term and medium-term price targets. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
18
BIRLA CORP ANALYSIS!!i have determined the trend and great levels for buying and selling the stock. its a bit volatile market for this stock, but one can earn if he/she has a proper determined plan to trade such type of stocks. ANALYSIS: 1. BLACK LINES are the different chart pattern trends. 2. BLUE LINES are the good levels to buy/sell the stock 3. PURPLE LINE is for the shorter swing trade, saying stock trading rs.909 is good to buy till 1160. if breaches, then all the way too 630. 4. ARROW MARKS & THE CIRCLES: everytime the stock broke the 970 level, it gave a very good upside movement, a level to watch out for.
NSE:BIRLACORPNLong
by raghavchoudhary2016
VIX - A strong warning to inexperienced investors! In September 2022, we warned investors about the volatility creeping back into the market and set price targets of 30 USD and 35 USD. Subsequently, in the following days after our warning, VIX skyrocketed, hit our price target of 30 USD, and halted its rise at 34.88 USD. Despite the index halting its climb merely 0.12 USD below our price target, we remain very bullish. Indeed, we still expect our short-term price target of 35 USD to be reached within days or weeks. However, we believe that VIX will not stop there but will continue higher, increasing the odds of a market crash. In our opinion, once VIX breaks above the range shown in the title picture, the market volatility conditions will start to resemble the market crash in 2020. That would align with what we outlined about the general stock market progressing into the second stage of the bear market, which will be confirmed by declining corporate earnings over time. As a result, we expect trading conditions to become substantially more challenging; therefore, we voice a word of caution to inexperienced and lay traders. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of VIX and two trendlines highlighting the uptrend. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the daily chart of the Nasdaq continuous futures, which have declined more than 30%. Additionally, the graph shows other major U.S. indices, all in the bear market territory. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
24
BTC High Volatile what does that mean?BTC Market is open 24H a week and seven days a week. What does that mean for traders? I need to be on point while trading! More Hours are put into analysis and following Trends. More work and hours following Movements of the market. It is all over the place. Hard to believe one idea, but you can learn and Backtest an idea until you get it correctly. BTC Volatility will show us a movement if it will likely move to the Bearish or the Bullish side very Soon. It's great to keep track of these data for future trading Strategies and more illuminated entry and exit points. Todays #CryptoWhale100Billion Analysis: If BTC goes bearish. The next bear will be around $17500 I am more bullish due to the resistance at $18200 and a large buyback to the $19300, and we may see it run around up to $21500 Shoot me a message with your Technical Analysis would like to see what your thoughts are and trading strategies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptoWhale100Billion
2
We’re In the Endgame Now.Bulls Weak, Bears Exhausted Liquidity is Showing Signs of Weakness Twitter feed last night I saw this chart, which is a decrease in Top of Book depth liquidity that is a measure of highest bid and ask prices. What assumptions can be made? FED is tightening and asset managers are fleeing to risk off taking all the liquidity with it. I wouldn’t start to worry about large multi-100 point moves just yet. VIX would need to be spiking over 40 to show signs of stress. So far, so good with VIX holding under 30. Negative Gamma on S&P If you follow GEX (Gamma Exposure) of S&P 500 stocks you will know that market makers have shifted to Negative Gamma Exposure For those not familiar with negative gamma environment, it’s when dealers (market makers) need to sell when the market sells. The easiest way to think of it as low liquidity environment. Hedges Shifting to Negative Gamma JHEQX is just 150 points from turning negative gamma. The last time JHEQX went negative gamma was Jan 4th (started the year long slide) all the way to the end of June (start of bear rally) JHQTX that recently rolled over went negative gamma (red zone) right away. Flows are not strong, but add to the selling effect. Event VOLATILITY, VANNA and CHARM I talk about these flows as if everyone understands them. If anything is responsible for the phrase “they are suppressing the vix” it would be the result of event volatility feeding VANNA and CHARM flows. I’m working on a new type of chart monitor to gauge these flows better as they are key in why my predictions are as accurate as they are some times. With it I will outline more about identifying and charting these flows to give readers a play book on what to expect and when. Bitcoin Crypto went through another liquidation event yesterday. You can tell they are getting tighter and smaller zones of consideration before taking the next leg down. Never published this idea, but recently dug up this chart from when I was studying harmonic patterns. The butterfly pattern predicted 28800 for bitcoin at its second peak in Oct 21. Here is a pattern of flags I noticed and shared privately that followed through right as markets opened on Tuesday. S&P 500 Pinned at 3905 S&P 500 is pinned to 3905 as I predicted yesterday. Bulls need to hold 3900 all week. Dropping below means a retest of 3637 but this time JHEQX will be adding volatility to an already liquidity strained system. As for today, my trading plan is to watch. If 3900 fails I’ll be looking to go short. If it holds, I may take a long position into CPI and FOMC. CPI is looking like it might print lower giving a short term reprieve from Septembers Selling Pressure. As Always, Trade Safe. Not Financial Advice.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SPYvsGME
6
BTC on a Weekly Timeframe - Support of SignificanceNot a financial advise. I clearly see the support of significance at about 28700 weekly close, and sincerely do not expect Bitcoin to breach below this price level in a WEEKLY close. May come crazy swing into play during Memorial Day long weekend (starting tonight until the 30th) though. June is likely to bring some hope and exciting news as a bullish catalyst for Bitcoin. Regardless of the situation, I'll keep sticking with the Indicator I'm refining every day.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by coreSATS
Daily bitcoin GannBox and potential time & price targetsThis is a Gann box set from the low to the recent high, and its invalidation is a break of the box south or north. Trading these boxes are effective on lower time frame, and using the daily a geometrical guide. The circles you see in the charts are potential targets set using the Gann dynamic square of nine from the high and the low. Theoretically they hold a decent probability of being hit within the exact time and price when considering all these among all other possibilities. Lets watch how this plays out!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by NasserHumood
3
ES - Real action might be ahead As a big fan of 3 Day charts, I projected that bulls have ceiling at 4760, but that now seems like a distant view. last few days I was skeptical because of price was acting in the growth names. for transparency, I was long in AFRM, UPST from the lows, sold FRM at 41 and 47 and holding UPST at 106.5...will close for loss depending on how price acts tomorrow. As for technical set up, only chance at upshot is hold of 4440, reclaim 4500 and build above. Tall order. Bias should be below 4440, 4360, 4200, and 4000 (yes, that is more likely now) Takeaway: the third or forth phase of the sell-off in the growth land is likely to be more volatile and more brutal. Don't be surprised if the darlings of the 2021 are chopped in half. I'll take it day to day, but hold my capital tight until strength returns. (it could be below or above)
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CheelooTrader
2
Support Being Tested: Bought VolWe have approached a critical level for the overall cryptocurrency market. What I would like to see here is previous support hold with a couple days of chop. Either way I expect a larger volatile move to play out as we traverse into the end of the month. Therefore, I have positioned myself out of any leveraged perpetual plays and have only scooped up a couple long term long vol products to take advantage of the potential market decision by end of month. For those highly leveraged in either direction, I would advise you to keep a close eye on the overall market cap and track money flow from majors to alts. Always remember stick to your plan, don't over trade, and get some shut eye. Stay safe!
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by AditFinance
2
SPPP-SPROTT PHYSICAL PALLADIUM AND PLATINUM PROFITSI made good profits with this in a short time swing trading this etf. I loved it. Why mess with bitcoin crypto or even gold when I can make money with this.. Anyway. Now its in a bear trend and looking to get back into this etf if it shows some promise. As you know the prices for Palladium and Platinum have skyrockted and have done even better than gold . Catalytic convertors are being stolen from cars at record numbers everywhere thorugh out the nation. Watch this video for details. Give me a thumbs up and feel free to subscribe to show support for my TA videos. Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
AMEX:SPPPShort
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
BTC-USD BITCOIN DROWNING-CONTINUES CONSOLIDATINGAlthough many other benchmark markets like the DOW, S&P 500 and VIX show promises and good solid corrections. Bitcoin is not doing any of that. It clearly shows me that that Bitcoin is not doing much of anything other than consolidating and struggling to determine direction. The MACD is showing a possible bear reversal which could be short lived. We need more time to see how Bitcoin will perform now that the regular stock market benchmark have corrected. Too soon to tell with Bitcoin.. Give me a thumbs up and subscribe if you like this TA and my TA videos. Show me your support and I will pumping out more videos for educational purposes. Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
5
USD / CHF What is Going On!?!?Any of the content presented on my page showing my analysis of the market is just that, an analysis which means this is my personal opinion of where the price is going to go. Do not by any means take this simple analysis for a reason to enter a trade, I am not presenting these analyses as a form of signals, simply a way to get feedback and opinions from others on how my trades look. Take this trade at your own risk, but know forex is a risky market that you can make a lot of money but can lose that money or even more just as fast, enter these markets with your own risk and good luck with your trading :). With the Swiss Franc inflation rate is getting higher and higher over the past few months, people are freaking out and it is showing itself in the market. On Friday, Most CHF pairs made a massive move and has everyone shocked when the market closed Friday afternoon. I think this is going to be a very volatile on market open and the rest of the week, the inflation rate has been getting higher and higher. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Swiss government has already stated that the inflation rate is within there goal of 1-2% in the coming years. They are keeping a close eye on not only the rate but also how it is effecting the foreign exchange market. There is a lot of other news going on in the world with the infamous omicron variant of the Covid-19 virus, the world is really in a weird place and with these horrible events that may come in the near future with the virus and how the world will adapt will bring a lot of volatility to the market, so be ready. Anyways, sorry for the rant but let's get right into the actual analysis. Daily: On the bottom line you can see price has fallen down to this area before and had a hard time breaking through what at the time was resistance. Once price had broken that "Resistance" zone price pushed up to make a new high and also leaving behind a pretty big sized wick. After that price had bounced between these two zones and had approached that high last week but showed resistance as well! Following some news last week of the omicron virus making it's way to Europe, caused a lot of governments to close their borders to certain parts of the world and the markets made a massive move. On Friday evening price had dropped more than 100+ pips so now I am watching what the market will do at the open this Sunday at 2:00, I might be looking for a long term Short Position here but will wait to see if there are any major pullback are any other major moves before getting in. Hourly: As you can see, price had broken down below that support/resistance zone that I had already mentioned but you can see on the hourly price had already pulled back within the closing hours of the market but did not break through to the upside here. When the market opens I am going to let it play out for a little just to see where it is going and then see if there is a potential trade here. This is going to be a risky trade no matter what, everyone will most likely have there eyes on these pairs this week to maybe capture a big potential gain. Thanks again, KeySlot
Short
by KeySlot
1
Apple looking short term bearishSeems like apple had a false breakout earlier this week and has falling back in the trending channel. Yesterday was confirmation that the upper trend line is acting as resistance and should push the stock back down the bottom trend support. This will way on the Nasdaq heavily with Square, AMD, Microsoft all looking extremely short term bearish falling in their patterns as well. Bond yields also rising and PPI coming out today could making it very volatile to the downside.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by jackwheeler
Major Reversal for Lordstown?Big things could be in store for RIDE after a brutal yet easily foreseen correction in price for the larger part of the year so far. This asset has been a bucking bronco and now looks to be whipsawing inside of an ascending channel on the weekly and daily timeframes. There appears to be support just below $10 at the moment and should this level hold on the weekly, a spike to the .236 fib level could be in store at $12.64 - a whopping 37% move to the upside. That will be the first level to take profit. The top of the ascending channel would be the ultimate target which currently stands at roughly 70% to the upside from the current price as of writing this. The opening of this short week on Tuesday will be telling as this is an asset that moves very quickly. Take note of the RSI on the weekly as it is at a low risk area with plenty of room to run to the upside if it so chooses to. The same can be said of the daily RSI as well. Lastly, a breaking of the green support line with a confirmed close on the weekly would suggest a return to the $6.72 low - 27% drop from where we currently stand. This trade will require one's active and preferably professional attention due to the volatile nature of this asset's price action.
RLong
by TradeVibez