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Volatility

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 22174.50 - PR Low: 22123.25 - NZ Spread: 114.75 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | Existing Home Sales Quick peak below previous daily lows - Now advertising rotation above 22200 Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 2/21) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 331.32 - Volume: 19K - Open Int: 294K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/20/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 22235.50 - PR Low: 22208.50 - NZ Spread: 60.50 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index 12:00 | Crude Oil Inventories Daily inside bar, stalling en route to ATH - Holding auction above 22100s interest - Advertising rotation below previous session low Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 2/20) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 337.21 - Volume: 24K - Open Int: 295K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Short
by mv3trader5
Research on Timing & VolatilityThe convergence of the linear extension of volatility bands toward a specific point is a phenomenon rooted in market equilibrium dynamics and statistical projection. When volatility contracts, it often signals a transition from a high-activity phase to a period of consolidation, where price fluctuations narrow, leading to a temporary state of balance between buying and selling pressures. This focal point may represent a fair market value, an equilibrium price level, or a statistically significant mean, derived from moving averages, regression models, or other analytical techniques. Additionally, the convergence could indicate an area where price is expected to stabilize before a potential breakout, as volatility tends to move in cycles of expansion and contraction. In many cases, such a point acts as a precursor to future market movement, suggesting that once compression reaches a critical level, price action may soon undergo a directional shift, either resuming a trend or initiating a new one. RESEARCH I used linear generated extensions FREMA (Volatility bands based on Buying & Selling Pressure) on BTCUSD (because 24h) to carry out a quick experiment on 15mTF in order to observe graphically specific properties of volatility. As the lines diverge from their intersection, a key question emerges: how will price react to this expansion, where angles defined by selling and selling pressure are inverted? Will the market take this as a signal for a breakout, surging in one direction with renewed momentum, or will it hesitate, moving sideways as traders search for confirmation? The contraction leading to this moment suggests a buildup of pressure — now released into a phase where volatility returns. If buyers take control, price could rally sharply, breaking through resistance levels. Conversely, if sellers dominate, a sharp decline might unfold. The widening of the bands signals the beginning of a new phase where direction and strength will soon become clear. Most importantly I'll establish how price behaves when it encounters those lines.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by fract
NVDA: FREMA Linear Extensions - Horizontal VS DirectionalFREMA bands offer a dynamic edge over traditional ATR-based volatility bands by adapting to real buying and selling pressure (bullish and bearish part of candles) rather than just price movement. Unlike ATR bands, which expand symmetrically based on historical volatility, FREMA bands widen asymmetrically — expanding more on the upside during strong buying pressure and on the downside when selling dominates. This makes them highly effective for identifying momentum early, spotting true breakouts, and distinguishing strong trends from choppy markets. By responding directly to market psychology, they provide superior trade entries and exits, minimizing noise in ranging conditions while highlighting areas of genuine demand and supply shifts. For traders seeking a more responsive, trend-sensitive tool, FREMA bands deliver a clearer picture of market dynamics compared to conventional volatility indicators. RESEARCH Testing how price behaves within 2 types of linear extensions: Horizontal While giving an impression of being static, they're actually based on FREMA which is dynamic. Use Horizontal Levels when expecting price to respect historical support/resistance, especially in sideways or mean-reverting markets. Directional Gives an immediate clue of being adaptable to the general angle of trend. Use Linear Extensions when trading with momentum or trend continuation, as they adapt to market directionality. Will price respect the static balance of past support and resistance, or will momentum dictate its own path along the trajectory of directional expansion? By tracking price interactions with both projections, we’ll uncover which model best maps the market’s intentions, offering valuable insights for future setups. Stay tuned as we register these behaviors in real-time because once the market chooses its guide, the next move could be crystal clear.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by fract
4
How do Bollinger Bands work?Bollinger Bands are a technical indicator used to measure market volatility and identify overbought or oversold conditions. They consist of three bands: - Middle Band – A 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). - Upper Band – SMA + 2 standard deviations (indicates overbought). - Lower Band – SMA - 2 standard deviations (indicates oversold). Key Strategies: - Overbought/Oversold: Price near the upper band may indicate a reversal down, while price near the lower band suggests a potential bounce. - Bollinger Squeeze: When bands tighten, low volatility signals a possible breakout. - Trend Confirmation: In strong uptrends, price tends to "walk the band" near the upper side. Trade Example: - Buy when price bounces off the lower band with confirmation - Sell when price touches the upper band with bearish signals. - Stop loss: Just below the lower band in a long trade. Always combine Bollinger Bands with volume, RSI, or MACD for better accuracy!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by SmartSignalss
Everyone wants $20, Here are my thoughts...Making this without looking at earnings numbers or there so called growth. From what I am seeing in relative strength, $15 is the fair value price at the moment. I am expecting to see a gap down to the $15 area and have it slowly or quickly climb to $20-$25. If the inverse plays out, we will gap up to $20-$25 and then flash sell to $15 long term. Right now, options market is wanting. $20 for calls expiring 1-31. $18 for calls expiring 2-07. $17 for calls expiring 2-14. BUT... a very large position of puts, expiring 02-28, is at the $12.5 strike. I look at this as retail buying short term options expecting price to move there, while institutions have positioned themselves in longer term expiring contracts.
NASDAQ:SOFIShort
by LeapTrades
5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 22103.25 - PR Low: 22070.00 - NZ Spread: 74.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM) Previous session print advertising momentum above 22000 daily pivot - Holding auction just above previous session high - Next key level in sight is ATH 22450 Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 2/14) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 375.09 - Volume: 27K - Open Int: 277K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21898.50 - PR Low: 21845.75 - NZ Spread: 117.75 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - PPI 13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction Strong inventory below 21779 to week low - Auction returning to 22000 daily pivot (2x) - Another AMP margin increase for pre-RTH news Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 2/13) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 377.15 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 266K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025Long
by mv3trader5
Prepere yourself for buying opportunities ... So there we are ... CPI little bit higher than exceptating , powel clearly talks about monetary policy and Trump goin wild with tarrifs ... what to except in this macro&political economic driven environment ? I don't think it will grow to extreme values ​​now. Rather, there will be some more carving and from a short-term perspective an opportunity to buy at a good price ... Well, it is very important, at least for me in this environment of a trade war combined with a period when historically the Fed has raised rates and not lowered them as many expect. It is important to take profits and hold losses short and uncompromisingly exit losing positions. The year 2025 will be full of opportunities, which goes hand in hand with pain. What is heaven for one guy is hell for another guy. I am a fan of everyone who tries to make money in this environment and I hope to rob you of your money. Because that is what the market is about. Good luck and enjoy your game
TVC:VIX
by STLMfx
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21818.50 - PR Low: 21779.50 - NZ Spread: 87.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY) 10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies (again) 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction AMP margins increase for expected news-based volatility tomorrow - Maintaining Previous week highs - Previous session closed inside print above 50% of Monday's range Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 2/12) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 379.44 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 260K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025
by mv3trader5
Beginning of the altseason or the last shakeout?Hello Traders 🐺, In my last idea about BTC.D, I mentioned that this huge wick to the upside indicates that the BTC season is nearing its end , and we are now on the verge of entering the Altcoin season . But what makes me so confident about this? As you can see in the chart above , we’re currently facing a strong weekly resistance at the 64% level, which has been a key point in the past. After the market’s most recent capitulation, we saw a massive dump in Altcoins , while BTC only corrected by 10% —a normal and expected move. But here’s the critical takeaway: 🔑 This means that Altcoins are now being traded at extremely undervalued levels. So, why am I saying this with such confidence? Keep reading to find out why these levels present a major opportunity for the upcoming Altcoin season! The Final Phase of BTC Season? The Big Altcoin Opportunity! Currently, the chart is shaping something very similar to an ascending triangle—a pattern that’s typically bullish, especially when the overall trend for BTC.D is strong. But here’s the catch: a trend is our friend… until it ends! 🔥 And the key part? " Until it ends !" Yes, we are very close to that moment! Why? The answer lies within the ALTCOIN/BTC charts . Right now, almost every single altcoin you can think of is down by a massive 90% from its all-time high against BTC ! This is not just a number—it’s a huge signal that there’s barely any room left for altcoins to go lower compared to BTC. All the pieces of the puzzle are falling into place, and they’re spelling out one clear message: 💡 BTC dominance is nearing its peak, and we are extremely close to the bottom for altcoins—if we’re not already there! The real question is: Are you ready for what’s coming next? Stay sharp, stay informed, and make sure you don’t miss what could be the biggest opportunity of the cycle!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Kiu_Coin
7
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025 - PR High: 21773.75 - PR Low: 21832.25 - NZ Spread: 131.0 Key scheduled economic events: 10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Testifies Remains relatively quiet anticipating Powell speech - Holding auction in previous session highs below the close Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 2/11) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% - Session Open ATR: 395.38 - Volume: 25K - Open Int: 262K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -3.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22667 - Mid: 21525 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQH2025
by mv3trader5
[02/10] SPX – GEX Until the First Weekly ExpirationThe SPX opened with a huge gap-down in both the futures and CFD markets. After the previous two Fridays, there was a massive gap-down in the premarket each time. Everyone was expecting the same scenario again, but it seems the market quickly recovered from the put support at the 6000 level, and we are now steadily moving toward the positive GEX range. Although we are still in the transition zone (where it’s easy to switch between positive and negative GEX territory), we may soon reach the HVL level at 6060, which, if I had to guess, might be adjusted during today’s premarket update. The GEX levels align with the technical foundations: 🟢 6090–6100 to the upside is a bullish take-profit zone, and our purely positive GEX range is fairly narrow. If buying pressure is strong, above 6100 we could see a very strong positive gamma squeeze upward. 🔴 To the downside, “armageddon” could begin if the put support around 6010–6000, which held the sell-off this morning, fails to hold. The next target in a negative gamma squeeze could be 5950, followed by 5900. The transition range is quite wide, and the market is expecting a volatile week (though I believe that from now on it’ll expect volatility every day for the next four years...). The transition zone is sure to narrow by Friday. It’s worth paying attention to the premarket update around 6:45 AM, about three hours before the market opens! If the red zone extends very deep afterward (for example, if it’s red below the HVL level all the way to the put support at around 5950), it indicates a significant downside risk compared to any potential rally—which I don’t think will change unless we get a breakout above 6100. 🔶 So, be cautious with those bullish horns—below 6100, we can’t talk about a confirmed breakout to the upside.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2