NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $148.75 - $165.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $138.00 - $148.75
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $118.25 - $138.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings today, these are the areas that I will look for significant price movement at. The market is anticipating around an 8.5% move, roughly an $11.50 move in either direction, based on ATM option prices, or an 11%-12% move, roughly $16.50 move in either direction, based on volatility calculations.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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Volatility
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/21/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20762.25
- PR Low: 20687.50
- NZ Spread: 167.50
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Rotation back inside Tuesday range following failed breakout above 20840
- Return to daily Keltner average cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 1:05 AM 11/21)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 307.87
- Volume: 42K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/20/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20787.75
- PR Low: 20750.25
- NZ Spread: 84.0
Key scheduled economic calendar event
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Rotation back into 20800 supply
- Break above daily Keltner average cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 11/20)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 300.47
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 270K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
11/18 Volatility Zones: Gamma Squeeze, Chop, and Support LevelsWeekly GEX Levels for SPX:
The SPX analysis from last week’s free newsletter seems to have played out well. If you recall, based on the weekly GEX levels, there were no significant gamma levels below 5950. As soon as the price dropped below that, we saw the anticipated red gap-down to 5850 by Friday.
With Friday's move, SPX shifted from a positive NETGEX range to a negative one:
Let’s not forget: a negative gamma range means that market makers move in the same direction as retail traders, increasing the likelihood of stronger price movements, regardless of the market’s direction. Until the 5900 HVL level is reclaimed, I don’t expect this to change. As we saw today, there was a nice bounce off this level with a rejection, making it a tough resistance to break.
If it does manage to break through, there’s currently a call gamma wall at 5925. Clearing this level could open the door to higher ranges again.
While the week is still long, if the market fails to regain stability by Friday, breaking below the major 5850 PUT gamma wall could lead to another rapid move down, similar to last Friday, targeting the 5810–5800 range.
Gamma Squeeze Zones for SP:SPX & AMEX:SPY this week:
Above 5925:
Gamma squeeze zone, where upward momentum can accelerate.
Chop Zone:
Between 5900 and 5930: Sideways movement expected, with the market consolidating in this range.
High Volatility Zone:
Below 5900: High volatility zone, indicating increased intensity in market movements.
Market Makers Hedging Behavior Shift Zone:
Around 5900: A critical zone where market makers may adjust their hedging strategies.
Call Resistance:
Below 5940: Reduced volatility expected as call resistance limits upward movement.
Put Support Levels:
Around 5850: Highest negative NETGEX/PUT support level.
Between 5810 and 5800: Additional put support levels acting as key supports; if 5850 broken, turbulence is expected.
IV and Skew Data:
IVR: 16.9 increasing
IV Average: 14.9 increasing
PUT pricing skew: 31.5%
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/19/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20640.25
- PR Low: 20603.50
- NZ Spread: 82.25
No key scheduled economic events
Retraced ~50% of Friday's selloff
- Auctioned contained inside of daily Keltner average cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 11/19)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 294.52
- Volume: 26K
- Open Int: 268K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
GBP/JPY 1H - Bearish Setup Awaiting Liquidity ClearanceIn this GBP/JPY 1-hour chart, we are preparing for a potential bearish trade setup based on liquidity principles from ICT (Inner Circle Trader) concepts. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Market Structure and Bias
The chart shows a clear bearish bias, as noted by the significant down move, but no short positions should be taken until the Buy-Side Liquidity (BS) above is cleared. This liquidity is within the premium zone of the recent range, and smart money may push prices higher to fill orders and grab liquidity before resuming the bearish trend.
Liquidity Targets
The Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) is highlighted above the current price, showing that there are likely stop-loss orders and pending orders above this level. Price is expected to gravitate towards this liquidity before any significant downward movement.
Additionally, during the Asian session, we see a liquidity grab, which could indicate that the market makers have engineered a move to take out weaker hands before continuing higher into the premium zone.
Optimal Trade Entry (OTE)
The Fibonacci retracement tool has been applied to the recent swing high to swing low. The 61.8% - 70.5% retracement levels coincide with a Bearish Order Block, offering a potential area for the market to reverse lower. This area of confluence adds to the potential for a high-probability short setup once the BSL is cleared.
Change of Character (CHOCH)
A Change of Character (CHOCH) is present, showing that the market has already given an early indication of a potential reversal to the upside. This CHOCH supports the idea that the price may need to grab buy-side liquidity above before continuing the bearish trend.
Bearish Continuation Setup
Once the buy-side liquidity is taken and price enters into the premium zone (61.8% - 70.5% Fibonacci retracement), we expect a bearish continuation. This aligns with the overall market structure and liquidity principles.
Execution Plan
Entry: Wait for price to clear the buy-side liquidity and enter the premium zone (61.8% - 70.5% Fibonacci retracement) before considering short positions.
Stop Loss: Place stops above the 78.6% Fibonacci level, protecting against a deeper liquidity grab.
Take Profit: Target the sell-side liquidity below, with the potential for extended targets lower if the bearish trend continues.
GEX levels of SPX for Weekly Option TradersAlthough the SPX is currently trading within a relatively neutral positive gamma range, it’s worth taking a closer look at what the week might hold.
This week, SPX is moving between critical resistance and support levels, which are showing significant options activity. The 5900 level is the key CALL resistance, acting as the gamma wall for the next 7 days (7DTE) . This suggests that as long as the price remains below this level, it will face strong resistance in moving higher. If the market breaks through this level, it could signal a bullish breakout, leading to increased turbulence.
🟨 DETAILED VIEW:
In case of a breakout, keep an eye on the second weaker CALL wall at 5925 and the third weaker CALL wall at 5940, which are the next potential resistance levels once the market moves past the 5900 gamma wall. These levels could play a pivotal role in the price’s upward movement and indicate further buying pressure.
🔶 HVL Level and Gamma Environment: 5830
The 5830 level represents the High Volatility Level (HVL), which determines whether we are in a positive or negative gamma environment. If SPX closes below this level, we enter the negative gamma zone, which could lead to increased market volatility. This could result in sharper price movements during the week if this level does not hold. In that case, the PUT supports come into focus.
The 5750 level marks the strongest PUT support, providing substantial downward support for the market. However, before reaching this level, it’s important to consider the emerging PUT wall at 5765, which may stop the price from falling lower. This could act as an intermediate support, slowing or even halting a decline before the 5750 level comes into play.
🔶 Implied Volatility and Time-Based Strategic Opportunities NOW
The decrease in implied volatility, as shown by the IV and IVx indicators, signals a calmer market environment. Based on IV rank and average IV levels, volatility is running lower, which presents good opportunities for various spread strategies, especially time spreads that can be optimized between the 11/01 and 11/04 time frame.
Key levels above could fuel further market movement throughout the week if a breakout occurs. CALL/PUT gamma levels on the options chain strongly outline the potential resistance and support levels, but these levels can change dynamically, especially if SPX breaks through the 5900 level.
🔶 SPX Key Levels This Week:
5900 CALL resistance – Main gamma wall, strong resistance.
5925 and 5940 – Second and third weaker CALL walls, offering additional resistance if broken.
5830 HVL – Key level determining the gamma environment.
5765 PUT wall – Emerging intermediate PUT support, which could slow a decline.
5750 PUT support – Strongest PUT gamma wall and support.
Keep these levels in mind throughout the week, as they will likely influence market movements and the volatility environment. By applying the right options strategies, this information can help you structure profitable positions.
10/28 GEX of SPX for this weekThis week is especially exciting because, on Thursday, we’ll be releasing our automatic GEX level indicator! (Halloween night, yes, very spooky...) Here's a little preview of what’s coming—just a few more days to go, and we can hardly wait!
Based on the key aggregated GEX levels valid as of today's market open, we can see that SPX started the week in a positive territory following last week's minor correction. Currently, the gamma profile suggests positive outlooks through Friday as the market opened above the HVL level, which is now at 5820.
The primary levels to watch are:
Call Wall (5900): This level, with the highest positive Net GEX value, may serve as a strong resistance point this week. As the price approaches this level, upward momentum may slow as market liquidity tends to stabilize movements here.
Put Support (5800): This is the key support level where negative gamma presence helps cushion price declines. Should the price dip below this level, moves might accelerate, so it’s worth monitoring movements around 5800.
With the gamma profile above the current HVL level (5820), GEX is positive , which can help stabilize the market and support further gains. Observing options market dynamics, this level suggests the direction of momentum, where market participants may anticipate further upside. As we saw last week, this level could mark a point of heightened volatility for SPX!
Additional important levels, like the 2nd Call Wall and 2nd Put Wall, can also be seen on the chart, providing potential barriers and support points for price movements throughout the week. Gamma levels are updated multiple times daily and may shift with market moves.
BTC 18.11.24#BTC - I’m expecting a pullback to test the EMA 20. BTC has had an incredible push, with a nearly 40% pump in under a month, so a pullback would be healthy after such a move. For now, I’m staying patient and waiting to see how the price reacts to the EMA 20.
Lower volume and a bearish MACD cross are also forming. I don’t think this will matter much for the overall trend, but it does suggest a higher chance of retesting the EMA 20
#BTC Price Action - Catch the last pullback As a follow up to my last #BTC analysis, price is printing the exact pattern I expected
Will it continue to sell-off right down to the extreme demand?
I believe so. And if that happens, make sure to prepare the longs because the next leg up will be very explosive to 95-100k
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/18/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20568.50
- PR Low: 20476.00
- NZ Spread: 206.5
No key schedule economic events
Auction return to daily Keltner average cloud
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 11/18)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 305.18
- Volume: 38K
- Open Int: 277K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Time for manufacturing companies to get paidmanufacturing companies for semi conductors showed a while ago that the direction of semi chip stocks was headed south.
Now, I see a great long term set up for the companies that actually make the parts. After these pop off with IWM soon, then mega cap stocks will see a push up.
Target 1 is $50
Target 2 is $55
May see a pull back right after this and then the rally
#ETH Bullish Trend Reversal IdeaETH bulls have just shown recent strength by shifting the market structure
Here is a potential long position that targets higher supply zone
A channel of liquidity is now forming after the most recent bears reaction, which liquidated some long positions, but now the bulls are creating a trap for bears
Be sure to watch out for aggressive long liquidations that might trick you into starting short positions
#SUI Short Setup IdeaTime to short BINANCE:SUIUSDT ?
After the huge rally we see price peaking and slowly losing momentum
It recently did a MSS - Market Structure Shift taking liquidity and moving up into the supply zone
Below the most recent swing low there is a 1H FVG inside a 4H FVG, which acts as a strong magnet, so price should see a rejection inside the supply zone (current price), and drop to that zone
First target should be the most recent swing low
Second target 1H FVG
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/15/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 20981.50
- PR Low: 20937.00
- NZ Spread: 99.5
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Retail Sales (Core|MoM)
Full rollover from ATH below Nov 7 low
- Rotating back near daily Keltner avg cloud below previous ATH ~20800
- Continuing value decline from previous session
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 11/15)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 284.32
- Volume: 42K
- Open Int: 290K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels - UPDATED (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 21525
- Mid: 20954
- Short: 19815
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
#TIA Potential Bullish Shift Missed the long on TIA? Now it might be the right time to focus on trend continuation
We see the price kissing the Daily 50% FVG level, then printing an impulsive 1H candle
Will it have enough fuel to signal the shift in the trend and then carry on breaking the Swing High or will it sweep some close by lows?
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/14/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21175.25
- PR Low: 21146.50
- NZ Spread: 64.25
Key scheduled economic events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- PPI
11:00 | Crude Oil Inventories
15:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
AMP margins increase once again ahead of jobs, PPI and Powell afternoon
- Maintaining Nov 7 highs near ATH
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 11/14)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 282.36
- Volume: 23K
- Open Int: 282K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
$BTC is VOLATILE SO DONT PANIC SELLSimple chart here showing the red trend line I placed on the chart 4 days ago or so i posted other idea of it.. left it there just updated and for different time period this time. Also lower projection. Thanks I am new to chart making so it may not be perfect,, but red line again was placed there as a "guess" market move and it kinda has :P anyway enjoy :)
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024
- PR High: 21183.75
- PR Low: 21142.50
- NZ Spread: 92.25
Key scheduled economic event
08:30 | CPI (Core|YoY|MoM)
Virtually unchanged from previous session
- AMP margins increase for expected CPI volatility
Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 11/13)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 289.56
- Volume: 25K
- Open Int: 275K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 20954
- Mid: 19814
- Short: 17533
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone