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Volatility

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/30/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19462.50 - PR Low: 19407.50 - NZ Spread: 123.0 Key scheduled economic events 08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (2x) 09:45 | Chicago PMI Last trading day of the month ahead of long Labor Day weekend - Auctioning near 50% of previous session range - Inventory response long off daily Keltner average cloud Session Open Stats (As of 2:15 AM 8/30) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 392.61 - Volume: 23K - Open Int: 241K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -7.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/29/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19264.75 - PR Low: 19140.25 - NZ Spread: 278.5 Key scheduled economic events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - GDP Break and follow-through below 19600 - Finding inventory zone around 19200 Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 8/29) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 388.21 - Volume: 37K - Open Int: 238K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -8.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
QQQ sold off today and plummeted in after hoursQQQ started to finally show selling with momentum for first day in nearly a week of slowly selling. It looks as though distribution phase has passed and selling with momentum has begun. After hours etf continues to slide dramatically Bulls have lost with bears firmly in control at the moment The after hours sell we are experiencing now could possibly cause it to gap down on open then get filled in the morning before selling continues.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by ratchet-mint
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/28/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19645.00 - PR Low: 19575.50 - NZ Spread: 155.5 Key scheduled economic event 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories Quick inventory grab into liquidity below 19500 - Maintaining week range from 19500 to 20000 Session Open Stats (As of 10:45 PM 8/27) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 377.89 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 237K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
USD/NOK 1-Hour Long Signal Based on SMA/EMA Crossover and Bull BDescription In this idea, I want to highlight a potential long trading opportunity on the IBKR:USDNOK 1-hour chart, identified through a combination of technical indicators and thorough market analysis. 1-Hour Chart Analysis: A signal was generated as the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed under the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), triggering a long entry condition. This crossover, highlighted by the yellow background on the chart, marks a potential shift in market momentum, signaling a possible bullish move. The strategy also incorporated the Bull Bear Power indicator to confirm this signal. The indicator showed that the bear power has weakened, falling below a predefined threshold of 0.00140, which further supports the idea of a potential upward move. Additionally, the strategy includes an ATR-based stop-loss and take-profit calculation, providing clear risk management levels for the trade. The stop-loss is set using a 1.2 ATR multiplier, while the take-profit is calculated with an 8.0 ATR multiplier, both rounded to the nearest value ending in 0 or 5 for precision. Daily Chart Analysis: Looking at the daily chart, we can observe that the previous day's candle left a significant shadow, indicating possible rejection of lower prices and potential buying pressure. The MACD histogram on the daily chart shows early signs of upward momentum, suggesting that the market might be gearing up for a bullish move. Moreover, the price is currently hovering around a key Fibonacci retracement level, adding another layer of support to the bullish scenario. Trade Details: Entry Price: 10.5439 Stop Loss: 10.46065 Take Profit: 10.6218
Long
by Tezbot
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/27/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19574.00 - PR Low: 19521.50 - NZ Spread: 117.5 Key scheduled economic event 10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence Maintaining daily range - Auctioning in 8/22 lows Session Open Stats (As of 10:45 PM 8/26) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 387.53 - Volume: 13K - Open Int: 232K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/26/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19832.50 - PR Low: 19731.50 - NZ Spread: 226.5 Key scheduled economic event 08:30 | Durable Goods Orders Maintaining Friday's inside print range - QQQ gap below 468 Session Open Stats (As of 10:45 PM 8/25) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 395.80 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 236K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -5.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
USD/CHF: Signal Triggered - Expecting a Bullish MoveA buy signal has been generated for based on the following technical conditions: SMA50/EMA26 Crossover: The 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA50) has crossed above the 26-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA26), which is a strong bullish signal indicating a potential upward trend. Bullish Power Confirmation: Bull Bear Power indicator has confirmed the signal by reaching a specified level that historically correlates with positive price action. This level is carefully selected to filter out false signals and ensure high probability trades. Trade Setup: Entry Level: 0.85225 (Based on SMA50/EMA26 crossover) Stop-Loss: 08508 (Determined by the strategy) Take-Profit: 0.8622 (Calculated with a predefined multiplier on risk) This setup indicates that IBKR:USDCHF is likely to continue its upward movement, supported by strong technical indicators. Traders should consider entering a long position at the current market price.
Long
by Tezbot
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/23/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19637.25 - PR Low: 19612.50 - NZ Spread: 55.25 Key scheduled economic events 10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks - New Home Sales 20000 pivot short back towards daily Keltner cloud - Maintaining previous session lows ahead of what could be a high vol Friday morning Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM 8/23) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 401.27 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 234K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/22/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19944.00 - PR Low: 19912.25 - NZ Spread: 70.75 Key schedule economic events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI - S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | Existing Home Sales Nondirectional volatility spike follow FOMC release - Maintaining range of previous 2 sessions Session Open Stats (As of 10:35 PM 8/21) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 395.55 - Volume: 11K - Open Int: 234K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -5.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/21/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19819.00 - PR Low: 19787.50 - NZ Spread: 70.5 Key scheduled economic events 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes Swinging inside range ahead of FOMC day - Auction continues inside previous session range Session Open Stats (As of 11:15 PM 8/20) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 409.61 - Volume: 14K - Open Int: 237K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -5.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
How to use Implied Volatility Index to analyze Bitcoin▮ Introduction Bitcoin is known for its price volatility. Analyzing the price chart alone is often not enough to make buy and sell decisions. Implied volatility indexes such as DERIBIT:DVOL and VOLMEX:BVIV can complement traditional technical analysis by providing insights into market sentiment and expectations. ▮ Understanding DVOL/BVIV DVOL and BVIV measure the expected implied volatility of Bitcoin over the next 30 days, derived from real-time call and put options. DVOL is calculated by Deribit, the world's largest Bitcoin and Ether options exchange. BVIV is calculated by Volmex Finance; the data is extracted from exchanges (currently Deribit and OKX), and then combined into a single set. * In addition to Bitcoin, it is possible to analyze Ethereum-specific instruments through the ticks DERIBIT:ETHDVOL and VOLMEX:EVIV, whose line of reasoning is the same. ▮ Interpreting the chart 🔶 High DVOL/BVIV values ​​indicate that the market expects greater volatility in the next 30 days. This is usually associated with uncertainty, fear, or expected major events. 🔶 The index does not indicate the direction of the price, but rather whether volatility will increase or decrease. 🔶 Low values ​​indicate an expectation of lower volatility and are usually associated with calmer and more optimistic markets. 🔶 To get an idea of ​​the expected daily movement of Bitcoin, simply divide the DVOL value by 20. For example, a DVOL of 100 indicates an expected daily movement of 5%. 🔶 Divergences between the price of Bitcoin and DVOL/BVIV can signal inflection points. 🔶 Price rising with a drop in DVOL/BVIV may indicate exhaustion and a potential top. 🔶 Price falling with a drop in DVOL/BVIV may indicate exhaustion and a potential bottom. ▮ Example The price of BTC here is at the top in white. The DVOL and the RSI of DVOL are both in red. The reason I put the RSI here is that it is easier to analyze DVOL, since the values ​​are in a fixed range, therefore easier to interpret. On March 25, 2022, the RSI shows a contracted value of 30, that is, low implied volatility. This foreshadows a period of calm that precedes a period of agitation. In this case, the “agitation” soon materializes in a period of price decline. When the RSI then reaches the upper limit range, at 83 (on May 12, 2022), a peak in volatility is characterized. Then, after that, it begins to decrease. This decrease in volatility in DVOL corroborates the moment of Bitcoin’s lateralization within the orange box. ▮ Conclusion Although DVOL and BVIV should not be used in isolation, they can be valuable tools for confirming price chart signals and anticipating major movements. Incorporating implied volatility analysis into your strategy, can improve the timing of entries/exits and help manage risk. ⚠️ But remember: Just because a strategy worked in the past does not mean it will work forever. Past profitability is no guarantee of future profitability. Do your own analysis and risk management.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by andre_007
11
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/20/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19883.00 - PR Low: 19857.75 - NZ Spread: 56.25 No key scheduled economic events Auctioning inventory back towards 20000 pivot from 7/23. - Reasonable to expect front run. Session Open Stats (As of 11:35 PM 8/19) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 428.66 - Volume: 17K - Open Int: 237K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -5.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/19/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19673.75 - PR Low: 19614.50 - NZ Spread: 132.25 No key scheduled economic events Relatively low vol open to start the week Session Open Stats (As of 10:35 PM 8/18) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 436.52 - Volume: 15K - Open Int: 230K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024
by mv3trader5
Trend Strategy: Liquidity with DCF█ INTRODUCTION This trading strategy is designed to maximize your chances of success by focusing on the most favorable currency pairs and aligning your trades with strong market trends. Here’s a breakdown of how it works: 1. Identify the DCF (Daily Capital Flow) Index: Start by analyzing the overall flow of capital across various currencies. This involves identifying which currencies are gaining strength and which are weakening. By combining the strongest currencies against the weakest, you can select currency pairs that are more likely to move in your favor, taking advantage of minimal market resistance. 2. Wait for a trap play: A trap play is a market pattern where the price seems to move against the trend but then quickly reverses, trapping traders who took the bait. Look for this trap play to form in the direction of the identified capital flow. The key signal here is the price crossing the 10-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which acts as a trigger for entry into the trade. 3. Place your stop loss: To manage risk, place your stop loss just below the bar or candlestick that forms the trap play. This way, if the market moves against your position, your losses will be limited. 4. Stay in the trend: As long as the price remains above the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on a closing basis, you stay in the trade. This indicates that the trend is still strong, and there's no need to exit prematurely. 5. Take profit: Monitor the market for a trap play forming in the opposite direction of your trade. This suggests that liquidity is building up, and the market might reverse. This is your cue to take profit and close the trade. 6. Repeat: Once you've closed the trade, start the process again by identifying the DCF, finding new optimal pairs, and following the steps above. By consistently applying this strategy, you can leverage market trends and manage risk effectively, potentially leading to consistent profits.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDEducation
by CGE_Trading
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/16/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19612.25 - PR Low: 19560.75 - NZ Spread: 115.0 No scheduled significant economic events Auction into higher supply continues - Breaking above daily keltner average cloud Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 8/16) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 454.96 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 236K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -6.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 17533 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Long
by mv3trader5
How Experienced Traders Navigate VolatilityIn today’s turbulent markets, it is a timeless reminder to discuss volatility, how experienced traders can navigate volatility and manage their risk, and why it’s important to always be prepared. Recently, we saw dramatic price action with the USD/JPY pair influenced by the Bank of Japan’s policies or even gold’s march to all-time highs against the Dollar. In this post, we’ll be discussing the art and science of volatility in forex markets and aim to remind all traders about what it is and how to deal with it. Understanding Forex Volatility Volatility is quite simple, despite sounding complex. At its core, volatility measures how much a currency’s value deviates from its average. High volatility means more significant price swings from its average and low volatility means less significant price swings or a lack thereof. Now that you understand the basics, let’s move on to the next concept – trading around volatility and the associated risks. Trading in Volatile Markets Experienced traders know that volatility will spike at some point in a market cycle. Throughout market history there have been many examples of this, and volatility spikes can correspond with market crashes, unexpected economic figures, and major news events, such as elections or wars. These volatile moments may present opportunities to the prepared trader, but it is also equally important to manage your risks in these scenarios. Therefore, the first step to this is crucial: be fully equipped for it. Know The Risks Experienced traders can find potential opportunities in volatility, as mentioned above, but it also means more risk because of potentially higher spreads, faster and unexpected price movements, and larger percentage moves in either direction. That’s why it’s important to assess your risk tolerance before diving in, and once again, be prepared for volatility to strike at any moment. Technical Indicators for Volatility There are several technical indicators that you can employ on your charts to measure volatility in the currency pair that you’re analyzing. We’ve compiled a small list below to get you started, but please keep in mind that there are many more to share in an upcoming post here on TradingView, so please stay tuned for more updates from us: Bollinger Bands: Measures and displays a currency pair’s standard deviation. Average True Range (ATR): Shows the average range of symbols over specific periods of time. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Measures price change and size. We Know Volatility We’ve seen booms and busts, and presidents come and go over our 20+ years working in forex markets, but throughout that time we’ve remained steadfast, providing traders with the education, resources, and tools they need. That’s why we publish content like this to ourus official TradingView profile – be sure to follow along.
Education
by FOREXcom
Intel | INTC | Long at $20This is going to be purely about technical analysis since Intel NASDAQ:INTC has a 90x P/E and has not proven themselves to be a viable challenger in the semiconductor market (yet...). Bad news could continue to destroy this ticker, but without that news, there could be some recovery in the near term. The NASDAQ:INTC chart is in an overall downward trend. However, based on a few of my selected simply moving averages (SMAs), there is some predictability around support/resistance areas. Some of my favorite setups are a nice bounce on the lowest (green) selected SMA, occurring in October 2022 for a "rip then dip" to the second lowest (blue) - which it hit now. Often, but not always (I can't stress this enough), this green to blue SMA bounce represents a very strong support area during a downward trend. The other move is a further dip to retest the green SMA, but I suspect that would come with tremendously bad news for Intel... let's hope not, though. Currently, NASDAQ:INTC is in a personal buy zone at $20.00 based on technical analysis only. A stop has been set if it drops below the blue SMA (which is may further test). Target #1 = $28.00 Target #2 = $32.00 Target #3 = $60.00+ (very long-term, but high-risk unless fundamentals change)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by WorthlessViews