LCID falling down on weak revenue LONGLCID is in a falling wedge pattern again on the 30 minute chart. Eventually it will break out over
the pattern. It has been in a simlar pattern in the recent past. This is now basically a tall bear
flag in its consolidation portion. While price could go even lower, reversion to the mean says
that it will retrace. The Fib tool suggests 3.35 over an intermediate term. LCID has a rich
uncle in Saudi Arabia and its wealth fund. Most certainly, they will accumulate heavily at this
price level. Shorts will buy to cover once there is a saturation of buying and price action
follows in keeping with Wychoff's theory. The mass index has signaled a reversal. I will dip buy
this like the SA traders and add to the position once some bullish momentum is seen.
Volatility
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/16/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18715.75
- PR Low: 18687.50
- NZ Spread: 63.25
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index
Inching into new ATHs
- Prev session momentum with returning participation
- Holding above prev session high
- Mechanical 18740 supply, inventory off PR high
- No major correction since CPI numbers
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 251.45
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 250K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/15/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18427.00
- PR Low: 18402.00
- NZ Spread: 56.0
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | CPI (3x)
- Retail Sales (2x)
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
AMP temp margin req increase for expected vol spike, pre-RTH
- Prev session ad for rollover short turned into liquidity for new week highs
- Holding prev session highs below the close
- Daily print showing momentum on return to March, early April range
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 247.17
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 245K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/14/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18290.50
- PR Low: 18274.00
- NZ Spread: 37.0
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | PPI
10:00 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
Prev session closed as inside print
- Hanging around 50% of prev session range
- Daily print advertising potential reversal short below 18227
- AMP margin increase expecting vol spike for economic news
Evening Stats (As of 12:25 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 246.07
- Volume: 13K
- Open Int: 240K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18249.50
- PR Low: 18229.00
- NZ Spread: 46.0
No significant economic events
Low vols continue to start the week
- Holding inside prev session range above the close
- QQQ gap below ~437
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 259.08
- Volume: 16K
- Open Int: 238K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
$BTC: FREMA Trend CaptureDefault settings would look like:
To increase responsiveness to risks and close positions with slightest trend change incentive, it's best to check the following:
Invert BSP
Dynamic Factor
It is adjusted to the market incentive because the SuperTrend governing bands have carry ratios of bulls and bears. It causes bands to fuse with ongoing candle emerging proportions.
Observing different trend phases deeper in history:
For bullish strategy (Open Long / Close Long):
It's better to have multiplier of uptrend band less than downtrend band:
Having uptrend multiplier less than multiplier of second raw will enhance responsiveness of closing bullish positions and lower reaction to creating new bullish positions.
When it's set vice versa - having1st raw factor bigger than the argument of 2nd raw factor, will lower the responsiveness of Opening Short but higher the responsiveness of Closing Shorts.
The bottom like is I'd use this combination of inputs to secure the average trade as Position Entry and Position Close are timed by the proportions between Buying and Selling Pressure.
NQ - trading session no.11h trading session / 4.30pm - 5.30pm
gotta learn some stuff:
-dont move SL / TP
-dont trade if it doesnt look good
-no consolidating trades
-watch the volume and momentum!
-be flexible with trading times (4.30pm - 8pm)
-dont cut the risk
PnL: +0.5 RR (I cut the risk)
possible: +3 RR
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/10/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18237.25
- PR Low: 18215.75
- NZ Spread: 48.0
No significant economic calendar events
Closing with week with another low vol session open
- QQQ holding same daily gaps
- Prev session inside print
- Holding near prev session and week highs
Evening Stats (As of 1:45 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 265.69
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 238K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/9/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18176.00
- PR Low: 18153.25
- NZ Spread: 50.75
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
2 unfilled QQQ gaps below 5/6 & 5/3 ranges
- Another virtually flat close for prev session range
- +80 points above prev session low, below the close
- Low vols remain
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 275.65
- Volume: 11K
- Open Int: 236K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/8/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18204.25
- PR Low: 18180.75
- NZ Spread: 52.5
Key economic calendar events
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Prev session closed virtually flat
- Holding inside prev session range
- Near Monday's high
- Potential daily pivot off 18300 zone
- Another low vol session open
Evening Stats (As of 12:25 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 285.39
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 232K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/7/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18193.25
- PR Low: 18175.25
- NZ Spread: 40.0
No significant economic calendar events
Continuing daily value climb
- Opening in relative tight range inside NZ
- Holding prev session highs below the close
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 326.30
- Volume: 14K
- Open Int: 235K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/6/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 18063.25
- PR Low: 18025.75
- NZ Spread: 84.0
No significant economic events
Low vol start to the week
- Holding inside Friday's highs
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 309.44
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 237K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
BTC. Weekly trading levels 4 - 5.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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Nifty50 Options Trading Plan: 3rd May to 9th MayGreetings traders,
I'm excited to share my trading plan for the Nifty50 options from 3rd May to 9th May. Let's dive into the analysis and potential scenarios.
Bullish Outlook:
Firstly, I hold a bullish sentiment for the Nifty50 9th May expiration option contract. Based on my analysis, I foresee two possible scenarios unfolding during this period.
Scenario 1: Dip Buying Opportunity
In the first scenario, I anticipate that Nifty may experience a temporary dip, possibly down to the levels of 22500/22400. This presents an excellent opportunity to buy call options at a discounted price, setting the stage for potential gains.
Scenario 2: Rally Commences
Alternatively, Nifty could kickstart a rally from tomorrow onwards, with targets set around 23000/23100. This scenario would signify a strong upward momentum, offering profitable opportunities for traders.
Trading Strategy:
Now, let's delve into the specifics of my trading strategy based on these scenarios.
Scenario 1 Unfolds:
If Nifty dips as anticipated, I have set a target range of 22800/22900. In this scenario, I plan to buy the 22650 call option at or below 60.80, considering its current price at 182.00. My target exit range for this trade is set at 200/210, adopting a "hero zero" mode strategy to maximize potential gains.
Scenario 2 Execution:
Should Nifty initiate a rally towards 23000/23100, I will adjust my strategy accordingly to capitalize on the upward momentum and potential price movements.
Conclusion:
With a bullish outlook and a well-defined trading plan for both scenarios, I am prepared to navigate the Nifty50 options market from 3rd May to 9th May. Remember, trading involves risk, so always implement risk management strategies and stay updated with market developments.
Happy trading and may the markets be in your favor!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/3/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024
- PR High: 17808.00
- PR Low: 17722.00
- NZ Spread: 192.50
Key economic calendar events (loaded Friday)
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
Unemployment Rate
- 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
AMP margins increase for expected vol spike
- Pushed value back into week highs
- Quick supply response above prev 2 session highs
- Ranging around prev session high
Evening Stats (As of 1:45 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.16 (filled)
- Gap 5/2 +0.07% (filled)
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 309.57
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 236K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -5.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18675
- Mid: 18106
- Short: 16963
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone