Get started

Volatility

BTCUSD on daily chart falling under resistance SHORTBTC in the recent past put in a head and shoulders pattern. The neckline drawn onto the chart is above current price and rejecting it. Volatility has flipped decidedly. News is that Bitcoin and crypto ETFs have had several consecutive days of outflows some perhaps when stop gold spiked. Dollar value has a role in this as well as it dipped and then recovered. I have followed the crowd and sold my position for now and will look for a near term bottom when it develops for re-entry. CLSK is down and other crypto-related stocks may now down trend. Looking at MSTR, RIOT and BTBT.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AwesomeAvani
UVXY crosses over mean anchored VWAP LONGUVXY which leverages the VIX as a measure of volatility / greed/ fear has finally crossed over the mean anchored VWAP. This is a sign of bullish momentum and perhaps a signal that traders should hedge or consider their positions in terms of hard risk management. Those who traded this move up today made 10% or better in the trade. Those who bought call options expiring tomorrow made 10X and those with call options for next Friday made 5X overnight. Tomorrow is another day. Likely the market will rise from the correction and UXVY will fade a bit. No matter, its value for insurance and hedging is reinforced on days like the past day. I am maintaining a full position aside the call options closed at the afternoon bell which expire on Friday and had time decay to contend with. My first target is 7.75 then comes 8.05 and 8.45. I will take off 20% at each target and keep the others for insurance for a true market crash or black swan event to buffer losses while stops get hit.
AMEX:UVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/15/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18243.00 - PR Low: 18147.50 - NZ Spread: 213.25 Key economic calendar event 08:30 | Retail Sales (2x) Maintaining prev week range Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 273.76 - Volume: 45K - Open Int: 253K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024
by mv3trader5
Divergence into a Reversal?? - AUHere I have AUD/USD on the 1Hr Chart! Our two current Lows @ ( .9498 ) on Wed. April 10th and ( .9456 ) on Fri. April 12th show an interesting underlying story when it comes to our indicators! 1) Looking to the RSI and comparing the Lows to Price on the chart, we can see that the RSI is showing a STRONG Divergence meaning Price could potentially be looking to move up now! 2) Our Momentum & Volatility indicators are showing Consolidation or Sideways movement meaning there is really no more trend left to be found. Now this Divergence leads me to believe that if Price works back up to the CONFIRMATION of PATTERN @ .6545, we could see the VALIDATION of this PATTERN and look for trading opportunities! CONFIRMATION of PATTERN @ .6545 INVALIDATION of PATTERN @ .6456
Long
by Novi_Fibonacci
PG slow and steady long term winner with earnings coming LONGPG on the weekly chart gained 15% in a year and had a dip in the past two weeks with earnings at the end of this week. PG persistently and consistently beats earnings estimates and pays a dividend. Moreover, it consistently has a bit of a surge after earnings. I see this as an opportunity to get a good stock on a 4% dip of a discount and hold it through earnings for perhaps a 10% profit in two weeks while also picking up the quarterly dividend. Some traders including those institutionally based believe that buying near to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands is a good entry for getting fair value. I am one of them.
NYSE:PGLong
by AwesomeAvani
TQQQ - Cup awaiting Handle ?TQQQ on a weekly chart in 2021 ascended into a falling wedge. As part of the falling wedge, it started the downside initial part of a cup and handle pattern. The reversal occurred 11 months ago with the upside completion of the cup back to 57.5 In the typical cup and handle, the handle then forms in a 50% retracement of the height of the cup. the cup height measures 44.5 over a period of about 9 months. Notably relative volumes peaked at the bottom of the pattern. Once the retracement is complete, bullish continuation should occur to the extent of the height of the cup above the lip. That is to say an uptrend from 57.5 adding 44.5 to get to 102 more or less. But first the retracement and reversal must occur. Accordingly, if this is an incomplete cup and handle, it forecasts a retracement of 44.5 divided by 2 or to about 38 as shown by the Fib retracement tool. After that price must reverse then overcome the resistance of the lip of the cup ( 57.5) and continue to 102. Overall, this forecasts that a bearish crash is in store for TQQQ ( as well as QQQ from which it is leveraged). Time will tell if this pattern has given an accurate forecast. In the meanwhile, I will watch for signs of QQQ topping out on the weekly time frame after the same signs on lower time frames. The alternative view is that TQQQ is building an even bigger cup right now with the lip at about 88 when the price had a high pivot down on November 22, 2021. So, do you see a bigger or smaller cup pattern or none at all?
NASDAQ:TQQQ
by AwesomeAvani
LYFT rises on news of the MSP dispute potential resolution LONGLYFT was a recent idea upload. The news regarding MSP and the dispute resolution has helped it rise off the ascending support trendline of the rising wedge pattern. The pattern may predict decreasing volatility towards price consolidation and then a break out from the wedge. In the meanwhile, I have added to my position since price is above the support trendline. The PVT indicator shows a flip out on the pullback and I see this as a good add long entry. On a low 1minute time frame. price gapped up with an engulfing candle with corresponding volume at the opening bell today. Importantly, a high volume spike also occurred in the after-market hours. My recent previous idea long on LYFT is linked here. The call option for $ 21.00 for April 19- 8DTE popped 140% today. I picked up a decent number of calls and will close them incrementally as they profit over the next week.
NASDAQ:LYFTLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
Waiting for the Bitcoin Bull Run: A Look at MDIAThe recent sideways movement in the Bitcoin market has many investors wondering when the next bull run will begin. Blockchain intelligence firm Santiment suggests a specific metric to watch: the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA). Understanding MDIA: The MDIA tracks the average age of investments in Bitcoin held within the same wallet addresses. When the MDIA rises, it signifies that coins are being held for longer periods, with less movement or trading activity. This could indicate: • Investor Stagnation: Existing holders are content with their positions and not actively buying or selling. • Whales Holding: Large investors, often nicknamed "whales," might be accumulating or holding onto their Bitcoin, reducing overall market circulation. MDIA and Bull Run Continuation: According to Santiment, a falling MDIA suggests renewed movement from long-held coins. This could signal: • Increased Investor Confidence: A drop in MDIA might indicate that major stakeholders (whales) are returning their Bitcoin to active circulation, potentially fueling a price increase. • Fresh Investment: New investors entering the market with fresh capital could also contribute to a decline in MDIA. Current Market Situation (as of April 13, 2024): • Bitcoin is experiencing a price decline, potentially reflecting investor uncertainty. • It's important to note that MDIA is just one indicator, and other factors can influence market movements. Additional Considerations: • Market Sentiment: Broader market sentiment and external factors can significantly impact Bitcoin's price. Analyzing news and economic data alongside MDIA can provide a more holistic view. • Technical Analysis: Technical indicators like price charts and trading volume can offer further insights into potential price movements. Beyond MDIA: Implied Volatility The recent rise in implied volatility for Bitcoin options suggests increased market uncertainty. Implied volatility reflects the market's expectation of price fluctuations within a specific timeframe. A rise indicates: • Investor Hesitation: Investors might be unsure about the future direction of Bitcoin's price. • Increased Risk Premium: Option traders are demanding a higher premium to account for the perceived volatility. Conclusion The MDIA is a valuable tool for gauging investor behavior and potential shifts in the Bitcoin market. While a falling MDIA can be a bullish sign, it's crucial to consider other factors like implied volatility and broader market sentiment for a comprehensive understanding. By combining MDIA analysis with other technical and fundamental indicators, investors can make more informed decisions in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency. Further Research: • Santiment: santiment.net • Implied Volatility: www.investopedia.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/12/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18501.75 - PR Low: 18477.00 - NZ Spread: 55.25 No significant calendar events Value back inside of range above 18400 - Prev session closed as engulfing bar - Weekly high lift following widest session range of the week - Holding value near prev session close, below the high Evening Stats (As of 1:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: +0.27% (filled) - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 260.80 - Volume: 16K - Open Int: 261K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024
by mv3trader5
SOUN a small cap AI stock ready for a VWAP reversal LONGSOUN on the 15 minute chart as fallen again to the anchored mean VWAP. Each previous time this has occurred in the past month, price has bounced into the second or third upper VWAP band line for a bullish momentum move. The mean VWAP is where big players like to pick up and drop off shares. Liquidity is at the highest. Teh Relative Trend Indicator will show best entries where the trend is negative but the returns to the chop zone to climb out of it and go positive. This indicator can function with alerts and notifications. SOUN uses AI and voice control of it to make apps more user friendly and potent. A similiar stock is DuoLingo ( DUOL) which also adds language translation into the functionality. Those on a budget in their trading love the price. Those not on a budget make love the volatility and the quick profits it can bring if traded properly.
NASDAQ:SOUNLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
NYCB could bounce back from the inflation report LONGNYCB on the 30 minute chart had an abrupt reaction to the inflation report. This is not a surprise. Many traders and investors know that banks make more money when the prime rate is lower because they do not need to pay much on savings accounts and deposit certificates. NYCB has been challenged and is more volatile than the average bank stock being a penny stock with hard fundamental issues. NYCB has reversed and the relative volume indicator shows the flip. Price has climbed back into the lower part of the high volume area of the profile which shows some bullish momentum. I see this as a risky long trade but still take it for the quick 6-7% upside back to the POC line of the volume profile. The stop loss will be the low pivot of the prior trading session.
NLong
by AwesomeAvani
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18190.75 - PR Low: 18160.00 - NZ Spread: 68.75 Key economic calendar events 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - PPI 13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction Another margin increase from AMP for expected vol spike - Potential daily inside print - Holding near prev session close - >100 points from prev session low Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: +0.27% (filled) - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 252.47 - Volume: 22K - Open Int: 256K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/10/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18384.25 - PR Low: 18370.75 - NZ Spread: 30.0 Key economic calendar events 08:30 | CPI (3x) 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction 14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes AMP margin increase for expected vol spike Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: +0.27% (filled) - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 238.30 - Volume: 11K - Open Int: 259K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024
by mv3trader5
Bank Nifty Index: Will 48600 Level Hold for Weekly expiry?Today, on the 9th of April 2024, the Bank Nifty Index displayed notable price movements, reaching an intraday high of 48960.75 and a low of 48621.85. This suggests that the 48600 level is serving as a robust support. However, the crucial question remains: will this level maintain its strength leading up to tomorrow's weekly expiry (10th of April 2024)? To delve into this inquiry, we must scrutinize the 48600 put option. As of the time of writing this post, the put option reached an intraday high of 206.40 and a low of 62.60. Notably, as long as this put option remains above 6.60, its probability of expiring in the money remains significantly high. Conversely, if it drops below 6.60, the likelihood of expiring in the money diminishes close to zero. In conclusion, the analysis of the 48600 put option sheds light on the potential stability of the 48600 level as a support going into the Bank Nifty Index options weekly expiry tomorrow.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by IndexAce
ACB Cannabais Peeny Stock with News LONGCannabis socks got a boost in the past day as the Biden administration seeks a reclassification of cannabis with the Drug Enforcement Agency ( DEA) This will likely give the entire sector some momentum. Here on a 60 minute chart, Aurora ACB is seen in a VWAP band breakout, crossing over the fair vlaue area of the mean VWAP accompanied on the indicators with confirmatory volume and volatility. On the zero lag MACD, the lines have crossed above the zero horizontal and above the histogram. I see this as an excellent long entry targeting 4.35 which was the pivot high after the last earnings. This represents a conservative 17-20% upside with potential upside beyond that price level given the potential impact of the federal news.
NASDAQ:ACBLong
by AwesomeAvani
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/9/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18324.75 - PR Low: 18311.25 - NZ Spread: 30.0 No significant economic calendar events Relatively tight range prev session - Holding Friday's highs, above the close - Relatively low volume Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: +0.27% (filled) - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 240.45 - Volume: 12K - Open Int: 261K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024Short
by mv3trader5
SMG- it's spring time for SMG to make some green LONGSMG has good reason to trend up- the spring brings out consumers looking to get their lawn off to a good start and the rise in marijuana stocks on the run-up to April 20th and the recent legislative catalysts in Germany and Florida bring Scott's into focus as cultivators often use it in their soil-based and hydroponic grow operations. The indicators show price momentum and adequate volume to support a move higher. The predictive algorithm forecasts that move. I will take a long position here targeting 86, the pivot high of 11 months ago.
NYSE:SMGLong
by AwesomeAvani
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 4/8/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2024 - PR High: 18373.50 - PR Low: 18305.00 - NZ Spread: 153.0 No key economic calendar events - low event week with bonds Retraced roughly 50% of prev week range - Holding Friday's highs - Below Friday close following quick weekend gap fill Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM) - Weekend Gap: +0.27% (filled) - Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 253.27 - Volume: 28K - Open Int: 261K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 18675 - Mid: 18106 - Short: 16963 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2024
by mv3trader5