SNOW a software megacap approaches earnings in one week LONGSNOW has been running since about the 1st of February. It beat earnings in November by 50%.
Right now it is situated at the mean-anchored VWAP where institutions pick up and drop off
shares the most. Price is at the lower boundary of an ascending parallel channel and is now
about 8% less than the double top of last week at the top of the channel. Price at the mean
VWAP brings out volume and volatility. So does an earnings run. I see SNOW as a great
earnings play as ARM and PLTR were only weeks ago. This could be a huge trade like those
were. Good Luck to traders who take this trade!
Volatility
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/29/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18019.75
- PR Low: 18003.75
- NZ Spread: 33.5
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- Core PCE Price Index (YoY/MoM)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Prev session faded back into week's lows
- Strong inventory response to start session
- Lifting back above prev session close
- Potential resistance from Fri to Tue lows
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 228.46
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 289K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18106
- Mid: 16963
- Short: 16391
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/28/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 18019.75
- PR Low: 18003.75
- NZ Spread: 36.0
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | GDP
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Little change from prev 2 sessions
- Inside week range
- Just under prev session high/close
- Fading into BeZ
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 230.19
- Volume: 15K
- Open Int: 286K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18106
- Mid: 16963
- Short: 16391
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
CVX drops and then starts to recover LONGCVX today dropped suddenly for unclear reasons. The possibility of a Israeli - Hamas War
cease-fire may have led to expectations that oil prices would fall as the shipping
quagmire in the Red Sea might stabilize. Later in the day OPEC+ announced a raised target of
$ 1.00 per barrel higher which on balance seems to be an offset maneuver. CVS in the drop
lost 2% printed a bear flag in about 90 minutes. i will use this opportunity to buy some all
options for September after the height of the summer driving seasons to add to my positions
in the futures ETF USO and OXY.
UEC an uranium miner rerverses and warms up LONGUEC in the past several days has put in a double and bottom appears to be gaining bullish
momentum based on the trend angle from today. The volatility indicator triggered buying
price pressure five days ago as shown on the indicator and encirled. the volatility of yesterday
and today may be shorts covering to close synergized with new buyers. The uranium sector
is heating up at this time. Many of the stocks in this sector are over the counter. The ETFs
are URA and URNM. I will add to my long position in UEC now.
IOVA a volatile medical stock approaches earnings LONGIOVA has doubled in February and broke out above its volume profile high volume area about
one week ago as it runs to earnings. Since it settled down two days ago into a relative side-
ways consolidation. I will take a long trade here for a pre-earnings play to presume that the
buying and bullish momentum will resume nearly immediately.
MRNA- a vaccine biotechnology stock LONGMRNA focuses on vaccine research and development and we are in the flu season an COVID is
lurking in the shadows and trying to make a comback. It had an excellent earnings report and
forward guidance. On the 60 minute chart, price has bounced up from a test of the anchored
VWAP and is at the level of the first upper VWAP while in side the high volume area of the
volume profile. The RSI is in the 60s. Bullish momentum is obvious. I will add to my ongoing
position here and again the next time I see a dip on the 15-30-minute chart. I look forward
to take a piece out of the position after the next earnings report in about 75 days. I have an
alert for relative volume when the running mean is exceeded on the 30 minute chart which
notify me to take a look at the chart. This is illustrated on this longer time frame chart about
the days around earnings but occurs from time to time from other events. As an aside, if NVAX
gets weak and develops fundamental challenges. MRNA is a potential rich uncle and could be
the leading candidate to do a takeover, friendly or otherwise.
LABU a 3X leveraged ETF of biotechnology stocks LONGLABU on a 240-minute chart has been in a trend up gaining 100% in 3 months. Both the fast and
slow ( green and red) are above the 50 level. Biotechnology is expected to be a hot subsector
this year as healthcare recovered further from the COVID pandemic anything from startups to
big pharma- from vaccines to new drugs for diabetes, liver disease and obesity. Leveraged
funds have time decay from the leveraging and management fees and are meant to be for
short-term trading. Nonetheless, 100% in 3 months is an excellent return. I add to my position
when I see a pullback on the 15-30 minute chart. If price rises more than 2% in a day I may
take 1-2 shares off the position to realize some profit and recycle ( compound) into the next
buy. According to those that follow sectors, LABU should outperform this year.
Nutrix Therapeutics ( NRIX) has momentum for earnings LONGNRIX , on the 15 minute chart is experiencing increase volatility and volume now two
days out from its earnings report. It printed a "big ass" green engulfing candle to finish the
week. The MACD with zero lag shows a bullish inflection in the lines
On the daily chart, price fell about 25% in 2023. earnings have been both line beats but
the negative cash flow remains as a challenge. The volume and volatility show both are
heightened in the pre-earnings run- up. . This is a risky earnings
play, NRIX does not yet make money like many other young biotechnology companies trying to
grow However, because it lost less than forecasted, buyer interest has increased. There is
an absence of any options volume and so illiquidity prevents consideration of options
trading. I suspect a long trade in shares may gain to $14 targeting the pivot highs of
April 23 and November 22 for projected gain upside of about 65% ( stop loss of 2.5%)
If earnings disappoint trader expectations and price fades I will stop out with a loss of about
2.5% This makes this long swing trade a projected 2.5 /65 a R:r of 25 which validates it as
a conservative trade if taking only 5% or less of buyer power applied to the risk. Biotechnology
is expected to be one of the hottest subsectors of 2024. This could be one of them.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/27/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 17970.00
- PR Low: 17942.50
- NZ Spread: 61.5
Key economic calendar events
08:30 | Core Durable Goods
10:30 | CB Consumer Confidence
Prev session closed virtually unchanged
- Daily printed for reversal short
- Holding below prev session close
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 238.71
- Volume: 18K
- Open Int: 284K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18106
- Mid: 16963
- Short: 16391
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
HCP runs to earnings on March 4th LONGHCP is a computer infrastructure company. The December earnings were a 160% beat. Given the
quicky evolving AI supertrend, the earnings might be expected to be another big beat. However,
that could be baked into the price. However, the explosive volatility of the last trading session
say otherwise. I will take a long trade here and chase this stock. I see it as pulling out of a
pullback and continuing on higher time frames.
WDAY, this software company reports today LONGWDAY provides software for large enterprises; it reports Monday the 26th after market hours.
On the 15-minute chart, it is surging. A recent news catalyst was an upgrade to a target of
$ 350. My call options went double digits from a buy on Friday the 23rd at the opening
bell. This looks like a good one for earnings scalping whether it is with shares or a call option.
(The $320 call option for 3/1 is up 42% so far since the morning open). WDAY is part of the
AI trend; the real question is how much AI integration is built out at this time and what is
waiting for design and testing before deployment.
ADBE- Adobe is an AI stock but gets no credit Buy the Reversal ADBE and its Creative Cloud is most definitely part of the AI supertrend, It will help creative
content work faster and with more creativity. The company has a healthy balance sheet and
not a Johnnie Com-elately. As a megacap it does not move fast but it is as steady as it gets.
Not to be in the headlines with ARM, PLTR, GOOG, MSFT and a whole bunch of others, it
makes its money the old fashioned way it earns it keeping its legions of subscribers productive
with its products and the support of them.
On the 240 minute chart, I have shown price action cycling through a slow trend up and
then a breakdown through the VWAP bands. Price is now reversing with a signal firing on
the mass index indicator. The first target is 590 at the mean VWAP bandline while others
are 615 and 640. In many ways software companies like PLTR and MSFT are hotter than
Super Micro-Computers ASML and the semi-conductors. I need more software companies
in my deployed plays. ABDE is setup for a trade up and I will take a long trade of stocks
and some call options.
Lemonade heads to earnings LONGLMND has upcoming earnings. On the 15 minute chart, price has gained 12% in the past two
weeks. Typically, LMND beats estimates and experiences a surge from the earnings report.
The chart shows a good trend up albeit with corrections along the way where the bears
attempt to take a stand. This is an ascending channel with price currently in the middle of
the channel's invisible histograms. The more shorts give up their positions and buy to cover, the
further they contribute to the large trend. I will take a long position here for about a month
through earnings. The potential profit that seems likely is well worth the risk on balance.
KOLD Natural Gas Pivots Again LONGKOLD on the 15 minute chart has reversed and swung upside. The the anchored VWAP price
dropped through the mean VWAP and is now in the deep undervalued territory of the second
lower VWAP band line. This is an oversold zone for buying. On the chart, a green arrow is a buy
while a red arrow is a sell. New share buys are funded with profits from BOIL positions
now closed. Relative volatility and volume indicators support the analysis.
I will add further to the position whenever there is an entry provided by a correction found
on a lower time frame of 3-10 minutes.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/26/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2024
- PR High: 17988.50
- PR Low: 17941.25
- NZ Spread: 105.75
Key economic calendar events
10:00 | New Home Sales
Holding just below Friday's close
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30 +0.47% (open < 14272)
- Session Open ATR: 249.54
- Volume: 27K
- Open Int: 286K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 18106
- Mid: 16963
- Short: 16391
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
UCAR a penny China stock now at bottom 300X upside LONGUCAR, a NASDAQ penny stock and a Chinese auto dealership enterprise is experiencing a huge
relative volume spike. UCAR had a great week in very active trading.
Now priced at about 0.07 per share, my near term target is 1.58
representing a consolidation pivot on the chart.
The all time high is the is 300X upside more or less. This is a risky play. It could get delisted
although NASDAQ will give it some more quarterly reports to make a case for regulatory
compliance and stock price stability I will take a small position here given the
risk. Warren Buffet got in on the cheap with BYD over the counter, he has been massively
rewarded for his very large position. Retail traders can make good profits with undervalued
penny stocks. I think that this right now is one of them. I will use a zig zag strategy
to take profits at high pivots and add into the position at low pivots along the way.
TSLA moves yield volatility and trader profit LONGTSLA is shown here on a 15 minute chart with a set of anchored VWAP bands. A relative volume
indicator shows spiking volumes each and every morning and fades as the trading session wears
on. Overall, TSLA trends between the upper and higher VWAP bands and their counterparts
below the mean VWAP. Like most other stocks, TSLA has periods of ranging and other periods
where it trends. Day traders can capture intraday volatility while swing traders can sometimes
get a 10% move over 2-3 days. In the past month TSLA moved 5% up overall. However, in that
move price fluctuated widely which has been exploited by traders. The high trading volumes
keep spreads very low while the volatility makes options trading very challenging. Que sera,
sera.
SOGP looks for trader capitulation SOGP is a company in the AI subsector focused on voice to text and vice-versa with the twist of
between different languages marketing itself internationally as a penny stock with great
potential upside. If a trader on a low budget wants AI exposure for high potential profit if
patient this one may be better than PLTR because it is a value at a lower price
per share and has not surged already like PLTR. This is similar from SOUN.
On the 120 minute chart, SOGP had a big pop and then a slow fade. The volume has
disappeared as quickly as it came. A descending and falling wedge pattern is seen.
SOGP did 100% in a day and could do it again in the unpredictable near term future.
I will take a long trade in SOGP and hold it for inevitable pop again.