Ger30 Short Term and Long Term PositionGer30 creating short term trading opportunity if price breaks lower to 15750.00 key level then price should create a 250 point = 2500 pips trade building momentum from the daily timeframe.
Volatility
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/11/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15237.50
- PR Low: 15216.00
- NZ Spread: 48.0
High volatility expected for CPI
- 08:30 – PPI
Maintaining Wed's range
- Prev session failed to break highs and lows
- Collecting inventory around PR-1 into London hrs
Evening Stats (As of 2:05 AM)
Session Open Balance: 15220.50-15236.00
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 234.49
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 259K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -9.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15247
- Short: 14961
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/10/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15221.50
- PR Low: 15198.00
- NZ Spread: 52.5
08:30 – Initial Jobless Claims
- CPI
Expected pre-RTH volatility from premarket news
- NZ spread resting on strong inventory from prev session
- Broke and held below daily range
Evening Stats (As of 1:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 228.71
- Volume: 24K
- Open Int: 261K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -9.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/9/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15360.00
- PR Low: 15345.50
- NZ Spread: 32.5
10:30 – Crude Oil Inventories
Not much change so far for the month
- Maintaining the daily range of prev 4 sessions
- Broken above PR+1
- Collecting supply above PR+2
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 225.82
- Volume: 23K
- Open Int: 261K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -8.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Does the RiteAid short squeeze have another leg?RAD has been flying after a long period of consolidation and wek fundamentals.
The Reddit army is marching with the RAD flag. At one point RAD sqeezed 100%
but it has falled back a bit in the profit taking. Still the retracement is shallow
so far. In the close of the trading week, in the last hours price dropped to 2.5 with
support from the anchored mean VWAP and then rose to 2.68. I believe this should be on a
watchlist if you like to trade meme stocks. TUP is now competing with RAD for meme
attention. I will get back into both of them when I find the clear and compelling opening.
I will pay attention to rising volume and rising volatility on a low time frame chart
to make that finding. Shorts may better realize their pain this upcoming week and add a
a bit to the buying pressure allowing for some synergy with new buyers.
SPX weak move poised for a return to the VPVR Point of ControlIntroduction
The recent uptrend in equities has been called a “hated rally” by several financial news organizations (www.afr.com) and lots of people are “sitting on their hands” for this uptrend. That type of behavior seems ripe for people to try and sell the local high and buy lower down.
The monthly ADX has remained very low. When the ADX goes from below 20 to the middle zone it is a sign that the volatility and move may proceed in a more sustained manner and when the ADX is above 40 that is a technical sign that there will be a sustained uptrend. A move from above 40 to below 40 is a sign the move is running out of steam.
Likewise, the Average True range has been falling during this uptrend. The ATR measures price volatility and this falling volatility combined with a increase in price is broadly bearish. The black arrow on the chart shows that just prior to SPX’s all time high the ATR was falling. The ATR falling again suggest a similar reversal and a new local low.
The green arrow also shows some divergence on the ATR. The ATR is good for both regular and hidden divergences so the fact that SPX shows both is a stronger suggestion that this uptrend will reverse.
One simple targeting stratify is to assume that price will pull back to the Point of Control at the VPVR. When using the Volume Profile Visible Range it is important to have a defendable starting point and I have set the screen to see the price action since the bottom of the 2008-2009 financial crisis. I find that to be a very defendable place to see the volume by price action. Recall, most volume charts show volume by session wile the VPVR shows volume by price over a specific date range. I have my VPVR defauls set to 68 so I get a close as possible to seeing 1 standard deviation of volume area and I set the number of rows to 147 simply because that gives me 100 rows in the value area.
We can see from the main chart that there was a lot of resistance the Point of Control (price where most trading happened) there between 2014 and 2016 and the C19 dump retested that level. In uptrends price has a tendency to be above the value area and correct to it as support and in downtrends price is below the value area/point of control and tends to rally to it and then reverse.
In the long run price returning to the Point of Control might set up a head and shoulders but that is a problem for a later time. The quarterly chart below shows that the price target of 2099 puts the price between the 2.0 and 2.618 Fib extension ratios. That is about the max target we could expect from a ABC correction based off a strong understanding of Elliot Wave theory.
Elliot Wave Resource
forex-indicators.net pg 45
Figure 4-8 Figure 4-9
In a regular flat correction, waves A, B and C are, of course, approximately equal, as shown in Figure 4-10.
In an expanded flat correction, wave C is often 1.618 times the length of wave A. Sometimes wave C will terminate beyond the end of wave A by .618 times the length of wave A. Both of these tendencies are illustrated in Figure 4-11. In rare cases, wave C is 2.618 times the length of wave A. Wave B in an expanded flat is sometimes 1.236 or 1.382 times the length of wave A
Conclusion
I am going to remain on the sidelines of the equities market until I see some bullish divergence on indicators on the weekly or monthly time frames. I have a nagging assumption that as the equities markets top that the broader crypto market will have a last hurrah for 2-3 years and that will begin its drawdown.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/8/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15498.00
- PR Low: 15480.25
- NZ Spread: 39.75
12:00 – EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook
Maintaining Friday's range
- Strong inventory run falling into bear zone
Evening Stats (As of 1:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 224.77
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -8.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
ISMTLTD VCP Breakout
Excellent Quarterly Results
VCP Breakout
Strong Uptrend
SL: 81.35
Target 1: 108.80
Target 2: 135.30
R:R - 1:8.5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/7/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15398.75
- PR Low: 15365.00
- NZ Spread: 75.25
No significant economic events
Broken into PR bull zone after dip at session open
- Holding Friday's range
- Room for med high volatility with wide NZ spread
Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 230.81
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 255K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -8.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
FNGU- the leaders of the pack will come back first LONGFNGU is triple leveraged ETF of the titans of the NASDAQ; I expect it to come back front
of volatility in the market quickly as its constituents are the leaders here. I hope to exploit this
for 10% before COB for the trading week in the next two days.. A volume profile and mean
anchored VWAP using metrics employed by institutions and those executing with blocks
of voume. Analysis and target levels are on the chart for pureposeful brevity. Trade on !
AAPL Weekly Continues to March LONGAAPL on the weekly chart over the entirety of the years 2022-23 with a triple
Bollinger Band overlaid shows consistent marching along the second upper Bollinger
band ( 1.618 std) since mid January 2023 with a minor correction while crossing over
the basis midline band a month later. This is megacap consistence at its finest.
AAPL has had some inside bar weeks on a regular basis but follows with some ranging bars
as well. The dual time frame RS indicator shows the lower TF green line and higer TF
black line well align in the area of the 70 level slowly ascending overall.
AAPL is a titan of the NASDAQ with a healthy ecology of well liked products. I see it
as a lucrative investment or trader of dips and pops on a lower time frame. My choice
at this time is a call option striking a higher price of $205 expiring in mid-November.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/4/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15484.50
- PR Low: 15429.00
- NZ Spread: 124.0
Evening Stats (As of 2:05 AM)
08:30 – Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
High vol expected for pre-RTH news
- AMP increased margin requirement
- Prev session closed virtually flat
- Above prev session high into London hrs
- NZ spread back to extremes
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 231.71
- Volume: 43K
- Open Int: 256K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -7.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Differenz between VIX FuturesThis charts shows the difference between the VIX Future Front contract and the following contract.
If the difference is negative the front Contract is more expensive than the next following --> We have a Backwardation
Dieser Chart zeigt die Differenz zwischen dem VIX Future Front-Kontrakt und dem nachfolgenden Kontrakt.
Wenn die Differenz negativ ist, ist der Front-Kontrakt teurer als der nachfolgende --> Wir haben eine Backwardation
VIX Future and VIX ComparisonI compare the VIX Futre front contract with the following month and with the CBOE VIX Index.
Ich vergleiche den VIX-Future-Frontkontrakt mit dem Folgemonat und mit dem CBOE VIX Index.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/3/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15490.00
- PR Low: 15452.25
- NZ Spread: 84.25
08:30 – Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 – S&P Global US Services PMI
10:00 – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
Selling continued through prev session
- Closed below daily 20KA
- Session gaps still open above 15807
- NZ spread decreased but still wide
- Volume returned to normal
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 228.30
- Volume: 28K
- Open Int: 260K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -7.7% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/2/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15770.00
- PR Low: 15684.00
- NZ Spread: 192.5
08:15 – ADP Nonfarm Employment
10:30 – Crude Oil Inventories
Huge session gap down
- Relatively super wide NZ spread
- Continuing to drop weekly inventory
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.33% (open > 15807)
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 222.22
- Volume: 41K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -6.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1M, Jule, 2023.Analysis of the volatility index in Jule. Time interval - 1 month.
Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD .
The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins.
Top 15 Coins (Jule):
1. BINANCE:WLDUSDT WLD/usdt - 1444% (High&Low: 3426.67%)
2. BINANCE:ARKMUSDT ARKM/usdt - 917.80% (High&Low: 1680%)
3. BINANCE:XVGUSDT XVG/usdt - 98.85% (High&Low: 294.56%)
4. BINANCE:STMXUSDT STMX/usdt - 58.71% (High&Low: 295.75%)
5. BINANCE:MKRUSDT MKR/usdt - 47.53% (High&Low: 67.63%)
6. BINANCE:XRPUSDT XRP/usdt - 47.48% (High&Low: 101.59%)
7. BINANCE:XLMUSDT XLM/usdt - 35.50% (High&Low: 92.86%)
8. BINANCE:TOMOUSDT TOMO/usdt - 34.08% (High&Low: 77.35%)
9. BINANCE:KNCUSDT KNC/usdt - 29.03% (High&Low: 53.98%)
10. BINANCE:OGNUSDT OGN/usdt - 28.34% (High&Low: 89.23%)
11. BINANCE:COMBOUSDT COMBO/usdt - 26.50% (High&Low: 38.16%)
12. BINANCE:SOLUSDT SOL/usdt - 25.89% (High&Low: 75.49%)
13. BINANCE:CRVUSDT CRV/usdt - 25.49% (High&Low: 45.60%)
14. BINANCE:MAVUSDT MAV/usdt - 24.91% (High&Low: 68.04%)
15. BINANCE:UNIUSDT UNI/usdt - 23.87% (High&Low: 29.60%)
The coin showed the worst result: BINANCE:ENJUSDT ENJ/usdt - 0.1% (High&Low: 22.01%).
Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com
Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com
Thanks for your attention!
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1M, June, 2023.Analysis of the volatility index in June. Time interval - 1 month.
Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD .
The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins.
Top 15 Coins (June):
1. BINANCE:MAVUSDT MAV/usdt - 718.40% (High&Low: 3860%)
2. BINANCE:BCHUSDT BCH/usdt - 168.49% (High&Low: 210.68%)
3. BINANCE:XECUSDT XEC/usdt - 64.61% (High&Low: 93.72%)
4. BINANCE:COMPUSDT COMP/usdt - 55.80% (High&Low: 101.03%)
5. BINANCE:COMBOUSDT COMBO/usdt - 50.98% (High&Low: 73.35%)
6. BINANCE:BNXUSDT BNX/usdt - 46.54% (High&Low: 64.23%)
7. BINANCE:EDUUSDT EDU/usdt - 46.16% (High&Low: 53.69%)
8. BINANCE:LINAUSDT LINA/usdt - 40.68% (High&Low: 86%)
9. BINANCE:IDUSDT ID/usdt - 40.04% (High&Low: 49.63%)
10. BINANCE:HIGHUSDT HIGH/usdt - 37.64% (High&Low: 64.64%)
11. BINANCE:XVGUSDT XVG/usdt - 36.24% (High&Low: 124.60%)
12. BINANCE:AGLDUSDT AGLD/usdt - 32.28% (High&Low: 53.27%)
13. BINANCE:MKRUSDT MKR/usdt - 30.66% (High&Low: 54.87%)
14. BINANCE:ACHUSDT ACH/usdt - 30.55% (High&Low: 53.81%)
15. BINANCE:CFXUSDT CFX/usdt - 29.75% (High&Low: 43.97%)
The coin showed the worst result: BINANCE:ARBUSDT ARB/usdt - 0.28% (High&Low: 30.25%).
Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com
Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com
Thanks for your attention!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/1/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15877.75
- PR Low: 15858.00
- NZ Spread: 44.25
10:00 – ISM Manufacturing PMI
- JOLTs Job Openings
Prev session closed virtually flat
- Maintaining Friday's supply zone
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 220.90
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -5.3% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1h, November, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in November. Time interval - 1 hour.
Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD .
The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins.
Top 15 Coins (1 hour):
1. PHB /busd - 1413.67% (High&Low: 3119.4%)
2. MASK /usdt - 1386.55% (High&Low: 2940.2%)
3. BAND /usdt - 1266.71% (High&Low: 2605.56%)
4. AMB /busd - 1068.75% (High&Low: 2363.97%)
5. LEVER /busd - 1061.4% (High&Low: 2339.31%)
6. PEOPLE /usdt - 1034.08% (High&Low: 2146.72%)
7. DYDX /usdt - 1008.12% (High&Low: 2113.56%)
8. GTC /usdt - 1006.37% (High&Low: 2069.63%)
9. SFP /usdt - 959.68% (High&Low: 2125.98%)
10. CHZ /usdt - 946.32% (High&Low: 1971.69%)
11. SOL /usdt - 915.31% (High&Low: 1899.99%)
12. LIT /usdt - 874% (High&Low: 1793.31%)
13. DODO /busd - 869.22% (High&Low: 1759.8%)
14. AR /usdt - 857.38% (High&Low: 1782.73%)
15. SUSHI /usdt - 855.32% (High&Low: 1774.11%)
The coin showed the worst result: BTC /usdt - 287.52% (High&Low: 644.26%)
Thanks for your attention!
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1D, November, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in November. Time interval - 1 day.
Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD .
The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins.
Top 15 Coins (1 day):
1. MASK /usdt - 361.63% (High&Low: 696.13%)
2. BAND /usdt - 337.16% (High&Low: 715.42%)
3. LEVER /busd - 279.01% (High&Low: 624.26%)
4. PHB /busd - 265.87% (High&Low: 816.13%)
5. SFP /usdt - 260% (High&Low: 543.59%)
6. DYDX /usdt - 228.3% (High&Low: 473.58%)
7. SOL /usdt - 224.96% (High&Low: 403.6%)
8. GTC /usdt - 221.38% (High&Low: 481.87%)
9. CHZ /usdt - 213.19% (High&Low: 415.79%)
10. CELO /usdt - 205.89% (High&Low: 380.34%)
11. C98 /usdt - 203.71% (High&Low: 405.97%)
12. REN /usdt - 203.28% (High&Low: 452.57%)
13. AMB /busd - 202.06% (High&Low: 553.96%)
14. APE /usdt - 201.33% (High&Low: 380.98%)
15. CRV /usdt - 201.2% (High&Low: 396.61%)
The coin showed the worst result: CTK /usdt - 69.79% (High&Low: 170.42%).
Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com
Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com
Thanks for your attention!
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1M, November, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in November. Time interval - 1 month.
Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD .
The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins.
Top 15 Coins (November):
1. MASK /usdt - 73,79% (High&Low: 168,02%)
2. BAND /usdt - 65,23% (High&Low: 218,19%)
3. SOL /usdt - 56,52% (High&Low: 85,51%)
4. NEAR /usdt - 44,51% (High&Low: 64,77%)
5. LTC /usdt - 43,87% (High&Low: 65,54%)
6. REEF /usdt - 41,64% (High&Low: 85,66%)
7. APT /usdt - 39,85% (High&Low: 61,5%)
8. HNT /busd - 39,5% (High&Low: 61,75%)
9. KAVA /usdt - 39,08% (High&Low: 50%)
10. MANA /usdt - 38,64% (High&Low: 57,78%)
11. GALA /usdt - 38,23% (High&Low: 48,02%)
12. ANC /busd - 35% (High&Low: 57,89%)
13. LUNA /usdt - 33,8% (High&Low: 59,45%)
14. FLOW /usdt - 32,42% (High&Low: 59,34%)
15. SAND /usdt - 32,17% (High&Low: 53,61%)
The coin showed the worst result: BCH /usdt - 1.3% (High&Low: 33.91%).
Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com
Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com
Thanks for your attention!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/31/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15916.50
- PR Low: 15840.50
- NZ Spread: 170.5
NO SIGNIFICANT EVENTS
Wide NZ Spread
- Holding Friday's supply zone
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Gap: -0.11% (open > 15939)
- Session Open ATR: 235.03
- Volume: 45K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -5.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 16105
- Mid: 15533
- Short: 15247
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
