NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/12/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15274.25
- PR Low: 15253.25
- NZ Spread: 46.75
AMP raised margin req ahead of CPI
08:30 – CPI
10:30 – Crude Oil Inventories
Mechanical inventory response off daily 20 Keltner Avg
- Prev session maintained non-directional volatile PA
- Slight break over PR+1 leading into London hours
Evening Stats (As of 12:15 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Open ATR: 205.90
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -8.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 15533
- Mid: 15247
- Short: 14675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Volatility
GEOV a penny stock in the rising EV SectorAs shown on the 1H chart, GOEV printed a head and shoulder pattern June 16 to 19 and then
trended down consistent with that pattern. The trend was supported by the 2nd VWAP line
under the mean in a VWAP anchored at the beginning of the descent. H & S. The volume
volume profile shows that trading volume is distributed widely across a big range of prices
showing high volatility. Price has trended through a round bottom reversal.
I see the likely scenario as price crossing the mean VWAP and ascending toward the
horizontal resistance of the neckline of the H & S. I will take this long trade with a potential
upside of nearly 50 % (0.47 to target of 0.69). As an aside, the EV sector is general is
on the heat map. I have uploaded ideas on FSR NKLA WKHS and PLUG (LCID NIO and TSLA
are of interest.)
LI , a Chinese EV manufacturer LONGLI has seen a 60% price rise since significantly beating the earnings estimates of the analysts.
LI competes with TSLA and NIO primarily in Chinese and perhaps a little in Scandinavia. It
does not import to North America. The 2H chart shows price rising consistently in a channel
between the first and second standard deviation lines above the mean anchored VWAP
demonstrating trend persistence and momentum. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross
at the zero horizontal line and rising as confirmation of bullish momentum. I see $40
as a reasonable target at the level of the 3rd upper standard deviation lines. With the
next earnings report due August 21st, I will take a long trade of ten call options striking
$38.00 expiring 8/18/23. On the last trading day, this option had a low of $1.75 and
a high of $1.90 for an intraday rise of about 8%. The contracts will cost about $1900.
I am expecting about a 3% average rise compounded over 30 trading days or 250%
return on the trade.
Is DKNG a bettable buy?As shown on the daily chart DKNG has been on a clean rise this entire year now up 100% over
the first six months. An earnings report is due in about three weeks. Sports betting
may have some seasonability and most of all collegiate and professional sports are in the
off season at this time. No matter, the chart shows a steady rise since the last earnings
( small) beat in an ascending channel between two and three standard deviations above
the mean VWAP anchored one year ago. The MTF RSI indicator of Chris Moody shows both
RSIs at about 70 and so not overbought. Trading volumes are steady and consistent. The
relative volatility indicator shows some increases in the past 9-10 trading days. Overall,
I believe that DKNG is suitable for a long swing trade which I will close just before
earnings.
COIN rises with cryptocurrency resurgence. Can it continue?COIN popped today with vigor as traders seem to recognize the resurgence of crypto.
On the chart, the pop has adequate volatility and high relative volume. The RSI indicator
shows RSI crossed over 50 the prior day and is now nearly at 100. The question arises, can
COIN continue or will it consolidate or reverse? Please comment with your opinion.
How to work with liquidity grab?Hello everyone👋 Today we will discuss how to effectively work with areas of increased liquidity. Actually, it would be appropriate to make this post after we have examined how order flow is formed in the market in order to understand the technical aspect of working with liquidity. Therefore, first, we will provide some introductory information using a long position as an example.
When a trader buys an asset, they usually set a stop loss at a certain level or, if they don't use protective orders, their position will have a liquidation price depending on the chosen leverage. Based on this, when a specific price level is reached (stop loss or liquidation), their asset will be sold with a market order that will match the nearest limit order. Hence the conclusion: any exit from a losing position, as described above, is someone else's entry into a position with a limit order, often at a favorable price. This is how the positions of all major market participants are accumulated.
So, we simply need to estimate where the maximum number of active stop losses is located and make a trading decision based on that.
Most often, stop orders are located in the following zones:
1️⃣Obvious levels with equal highs/lows.
2️⃣Above/below any high/low in an obvious trend.
After identifying such zones using our indicator or independently, you can take trades in the direction of liquidity grab (counter-trend trades with high potential but also high risk) or wait for actual liquidity grab and confirmation to enter a trend trade.
In the next post, we will explore the technical aspect of liquidity grab for a deeper understanding of the topic.
We look forward to your questions. Happy trading!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/11/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15198.00
- PR Low: 15179.50
- NZ Spread: 41.5
12:00 – EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook
Evening Stats (As of 12:35 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Open ATR: 209.77
- Volume: 17K
- Open Int: 252K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -9.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 15533
- Mid: 15247
- Short: 14675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/10/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15207.00
- PR Low: 15151.75
- NZ Spread: 123.75
Huge NZ spread - volatile session open
Finding inventory above PR-1 before bear zone break
- mechanical dip to PR-2
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Session Open ATR: 217.79
- Volume: 38K
- Open Int: 247K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -9.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 15533
- Mid: 15247
- Short: 14675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
LUV is loving the summer vacation travel LONGLUV has been in a persistent trend up for a couple of months after lackluster earnings were
reported in early May with another due on July 27th. The airports have been quite busy
with vacation travel and Southwest has been part of that action. On the 1H chart, price has
been supported by the line two standard deviations above the mean anchored VWAP which
shows persistent relative strength in a rise of over 25% over two months. Price above the
POC line of the volume profile is another sign of buyer dominance. The MACD indicator show
the lines in parallel and above a positive histogram. The relative volatility indicator shows
sufficient volatility to support momentum trading.
I will take a long trade going into earnings. I will do this with ten call options contracts
with a strike at $40 expiring on July 28th. On the last trading day, this contract had
a low of $ 0.36 and a high of $0.48 for a range of 33% in a single day. I expect similar
price action as the earnings date approaches. I expect to pay about $480 for ten contracts
and the profit expectation is 100% over the next 15 trading days.
UAL United Airlines Pre Earnings LONGUAL has been in a persistent trend up for a couple of months after great earnings were reported
in early May with another due on July 19th. The airports have been quite busy with vacation
travel and UAL has been part of that action. On the 1H chart, price has been supported by
the mean VWAP and has oscillated to the one standard deviation line above that. I see a target
as 56.80 where the the second deviation lines above the mean aVWAP while placing a stop loss
just under the blue line of one STD above VWAP. The price is below the POC line of the volume
profile which should act as a magnet pulling the price higher. The MACD indicator shows 4
the lines in parallel and above the zero horizontal line with a positive histogram. The relative
volatility indicator shows sufficient volatility to support momentum trading.
I will take a long trade going into earnings. I will do this with ten call options contracts
with a strike at $57 expiring on July 21st. On the last trading day, this contract had
a low of $ 0.95 and a high of $1.32 for a range of 35% in a single day. I expect similar
price action as the earnings date approaches. I expect to pay about $1320 for ten contracts
and the profit expectation is 100% over the next 10 trading days.
GBP/NZD Technical Indicators Say BUY!
I see a perfect bullish convergence of 3 technical indicators.
The technical outlooks is supported by a current fundamental sentiment
and the fact that the pair is trading in a long-term bullish trend.
I assume that the pair will keep growing.
Target level - 2.0866
Please, support my work with like!
ES TO FILL POOR VALUE OF B-PROFILE AND POSSIBLE SHORTso far everything went well for buyers but slowly coming to a point, where we may see possible short trade.
Sell has tested the double distribution poor value are and got slammed by buyers. Buy tried to push to upper VAH of double distribution area but there was capitulation during Friday.
So following scenarios:
1. no SELL 4438 is going up to 4487. because this poor value area can be a painful two way trading upwards.
2. SELL enters and rides below 4438 but BID enters again near 4415 => BUY painful grind up to 4487 to fill poor value area in double distribution
3. SELL passes 4415 keep on holding to 4372 (VAL SELL)
4. Level 4372 if BID enters go up to 4412
5. OFFER keeps 4372 short down to 4349 / 4324 (beware there may be another buyer attack here)
6. below 4324 down to 4286-4277
NKLA Long from bottom of channelNKLA has had an interesting week as it sought to have shareholders vote for a dilution to
raise the cash necessary to grow its business. The former CEO now convicted and awaiting
sentencing as a major shareholder led the opposition and the vote for a dilution failed.
Seemingly, NKLA will now seek capital through some other means. Earlier, it was awarded
a grant of $24M by California to build out hydrogen station infrastructure along the interstate
highways. On the 15-minute chart, the price is currently at the bottom of a slowly rising
channel coinciding with the bottom of the Donchian channel indicator and two standard
deviations below the mean anchored VWAP. I see this as a good entry point for targeting
first the middle of the channel and secondarily the top of the channel. I will find an exact
entry on a short time frame likely 1 or 3 minutes and expect to realize a profit of 12-13%
potentially intraday. Without regard to the fundamentals of NKLA's financial health, given
the extreme volatility, I believe that NKLA can be successfully traded long if the trade is
entered when it is oversold and undervalued.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/7/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15211.50
- PR Low: 15211.50
- NZ Spread: 38.75
Big open interest jump
Discount brokers adjust margin req.:
08:30 – Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
50% intraday retracement off RTH inventory
- Holding daily range, half-back
Evening Stats (As of 1:35 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.09% (closed)
- Session Open ATR: 217.38
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 253K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -9.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 15533
- Mid: 15247
- Short: 14675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
MULN trading the volatility LongOn the 30 minute chart, MULN has pulled back from a brief uptrend. I see things suitable for
an entry. I have added to the chart, the anchored VWAP lines serving as dynamic support and
resistance. The mean VWAP will be my designated stop loss while lines one and two
standard deviations above that are the first and second targets.
Overall, the long trade is projecting a ROI of 27% compared with the stop loss
of 11%. This trade could play out in only one day given MULN's volatility. The zero-lag
MACD shows a line cross impending and confluent with the zero horizontal line. The
relative volatility oscillator shows the magnitude of the shifts in that regard. From my
perspective, no matter the fundamentals of the financial health of MULN, the volatility
of the price action and technicals can be played long with high potential profit.
ETHUSD Update: Will there be a big move to the downside?Yesterday there was a move down to the lower range around 1890. But will the push lower continue today? If it does and my downside probability becomes smaller than my upside probability than I will add incrementally. The change in the TERR from yesterday to today was bigger than the LERR which gives me more confidence to buy at the lower end of my volatility range.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/6/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15360.75
- PR Low: 15350.00
- NZ Spread: 24.25
Economic Events:
08:15 – ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
08:30 – Initial Jobless Claims
09:45 – Services PMI
10:00 – ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
JOLTs Job Openings
11:00 – Crude Oil Inventories
Strong inventory run during Asian hours
- Tapped bear zone moon
- Maintaining daily range
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.09% (closed)
- Session Open ATR: 218.96
- Volume: 23K
- Open Int: 246K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -8.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 15533
- Mid: 15247
- Short: 14675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Salesforce Has Been SnoozingSalesforce rallied along with other software and growth names between March and May. Is it poised for more upside after a June pause?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the recent highs. A break of that resistance could make traders expect the uptrend to continue.
Next, CRM has been stuck near the 50 percent retracement of its drop between November 2021 and December 2022. That’s a natural place for a breather. However other stocks like Tesla and Meta Platforms have continued higher after resting at similar spots.
Third, Bollinger Band Width has narrowed to its tightest range in almost two years. That price compression could be followed by a period of expansion.
Finally, moving averages are still consistent with upward movement in price. CRM has stayed above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA). The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has also remained above the 21-day EMA.
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ETHUSD update: looking for a move to the downsideRight now it looks like ETH is making a move to the lower part of the range. if volume is heavy and it breaks out it could cause a big move down to 1800. Around this area or lower I would buy incrementally in 0.25 to 0.50 bps and add to my exposure. im looking for a drop close to the LERR, big ivol premium and large volume.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/5/2023 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2023
- PR High: 15351.00
- PR Low: 15341.25
- NZ Spread: 21.75
Expected heavy volume at session open
- Traders anxious to get back after long weekend
- Ranging into London session, inside NZ
- Front running pivot high from June 16
Fed kicking off the short week
14:00 – FOMC Meeting Minutes
Evening Stats (As of 12:05 AM)
- Weekend Gap: +0.09% (closed)
- Session Open ATR: 219.98
- Volume: 57K
- Open Int: 243K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From ATH: -8.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 15533
- Mid: 15247
- Short: 14675
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.