NFP Incoming - Will SPX Smash 6100?NFP Incoming – Will SPX Smash 6100? | SPX Market Analysis 7 Feb 2025
The bulls keep charging as SPX edges closer to 6100. But with the NFP report dropping pre-market, things could get lively.
Will we blast through resistance or bounce back down? Expect some whipsaw chaos before the market settles – but with a bullish trend already in play, we should at least get one more push toward target exits before the dust settles.
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SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
📈 Bullish Move On Track
SPX has ridden the momentum train all the way from the range lows to the range highs. Now, we’re staring at 6100, the key level where decisions will be made.
🚀 NFP Report – A Market Mover
Today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data drops just before the opening bell. This is one of the bigger monthly catalysts, meaning we could see:
A breakout past 6100 if the market likes the numbers.
A sharp rejection back into the range if traders get spooked.
A whipsaw shakeout, with wild swings before settling.
🔄 Short-Term Expectation? A Push Higher
Even if volatility kicks in, the existing bullish momentum should at least give us a final nudge up toward target exits. Whether we smash through 6100 or stall out, we’re in prime position to lock in profits.
⏳ The Good Kind of Waiting
Once again, we’re in a holding pattern, waiting for the market to tip its hand. But this is strategic patience – the kind where we’ve done the hard work and now simply let the market do its thing. The setups are in place – now, we sit back and watch the magic unfold.
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Fun Fact:
📢 Did you know? In 2010, a trader accidentally caused a $1 trillion stock market crash in just 36 minutes – all because of a fat-finger trade.
💡 The Lesson? One typo, one misclick, or one overleveraged position can cause chaos. Always double-check your trades, because even the pros have hit the wrong button before.
Volatility
WORM. Highest degen play or next big thing?Highest degen play or next big thing? The first eternal digital organism started their journey and formed several parallel descending channels in which, at first glance, finds new lows. However, there is an opportunity here if you look through the lens of tech.
" DeepWorm is an autonomous digital organism designed to operate perpetually on the blockchain. It replicates the neural architecture of the Caenorhabditis elegans worm, utilizing 302 neurons to make self-informed decisions. By integrating biological neural networks with blockchain technology, DeepWorm aims to create a living digital entity capable of continuous, autonomous function. "
WHAT'S FLOWING: TRUMP | METALS | INDEX | BTC
Key Observations from the Charts
1. USD/MXN (US Dollar to Mexican Peso) – Bullish
• The pair is trending upwards, with price breaking above recent resistance.
• Green Heikin Ashi candles confirm bullish momentum.
2. USD/CNH (US Dollar to Chinese Yuan) – Bullish
• Price is pushing higher, breaking past previous resistance.
• The red-to-green shift in Heikin Ashi candles signals continued strength in USD.
3. USD/CAD (US Dollar to Canadian Dollar) – Bullish
• Strong rally with momentum building.
• The price is well above the moving average zone (green/red shaded area).
4. AUD/JPY & AUD/USD (vs. USD/JPY) – Bearish
• Weakness in AUD is visible as it trends downward.
• The Heikin Ashi candles are mostly red, indicating a downtrend.
5. XAG/EUR (Silver to Euro) – Bullish
• Price is breaking higher, suggesting demand for silver.
• Potential move toward the next resistance.
6. XAU/USD vs. XAG/USD (Gold & Silver to USD) – Bullish
• Both gold and silver are pushing higher.
• Potential rotation into precious metals as a hedge against market uncertainty.
7. GER40 (DAX Index, Germany) – Bullish
• The index is maintaining an uptrend.
• Strong green Heikin Ashi candles show continuation.
8. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) – Bearish
• Continues to push higher with momentum.
• Uptrend remains intact.
9. SPX500 (S&P 500 Index) – Slightly Bearish
• Market remains near highs, with some consolidation.
• Green Heikin Ashi candles still dominate, but some resistance forming.
What’s Flowing Today?
• Strong USD Trends: USD is pushing higher against MXN, CNH, and CAD, reflecting dollar strength.
• Precious Metals Rising: Gold and Silver are both trending up, likely as a hedge against market risks.
• Equities Holding Strong: US & European indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones, and DAX) are maintaining bullish trends.
• AUD Weakness: AUD/JPY and AUD/USD are selling off, signaling risk aversion in currency markets.
Market Themes to Watch
• Risk-on vs. Risk-off Sentiment: Precious metals moving higher suggests some defensive positioning, but stocks remain strong.
• US Dollar Strength: USD showing dominance across multiple pairs.
• Commodities & Inflation Hedge: Metals rallying could indicate inflation expectations creeping back into the market.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21857.00
- PR Low: 21807.50
- NZ Spread: 110.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
Inching towards 22000 daily pivot
- AMP margins increase for pre-RTH job reports
Session Open Stats (As of 1:55 AM 2/7)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 391.64
- Volume: 22K
- Open Int: 258K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.6% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21775.50
- PR Low: 21749.75
- NZ Spread: 57.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
Holding 1400 point range since late December
- Rotating back towards ATH, advertising potential break above 21970
- Value climbing above previous session high
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 2/6)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 413.33
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -2.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21594.50
- PR Low: 21550.00
- NZ Spread: 99.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Value decline below previous session close, inside the wide overnight range
- Lowest volume of the week, resting above daily Keltner average cloud
- Distant sell liquidity below 21240
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 2/5)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 413.33
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 257K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
$HSY: A Potential Bargain for Dividend InvestorsThe chocolate giant NYSE:HSY might be approaching a price bottom ahead of Thursday's earnings
The stock of The Hershey Company ( NYSE:HSY ) has now triggered my favorite technical indicator, a Bollinger Bands and RSI oversold signal on a weekly chart (see Chart 1)
This suggests that we might see a price reversal soon if the company effectively addresses its current challenges
Earnings Expectations and Volatility:
The options market anticipates a price movement of approximately +/-3.8% following Thursday's earnings
Recent Price Pressures:
- Surging Cocoa Prices:
Cocoa prices have skyrocketed (see Chart 2), but I believe this might be a bubble ready to burst as such short-term sharp rises are usually not sustainable
- Declining Demand:
There's been a noticeable decrease in sweets consumption, influenced by the rising trend of weight loss medications. I can't imagine that humanity will be deprived of sweets forever 😅
Fundamental Insights:
Chart 3 highlights key financial metrics for NYSE:HSY :
- Market Capitalization: ~$30 billion
- Cash Reserves: Approximately $600 million
- Debt: $5.6 billion, indicating a manageable financial structure for a company of Hershey's stature to weather further market turbulence
- P/E Ratio: Now at 17, which starts to look appealing
- Dividend Yield: At 3.7%, it's particularly attractive for European investors seeking income
Investment Considerations:
Given that this potential reversal signal appears on a weekly chart, expect significant volatility around the earnings announcement
Also the bottoming process can take several months and a capitulation event after earnings could be possible
However, with these signals, an attempt at a price recovery around earnings seems quite probable
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21600.00
- PR Low: 21553.50
- NZ Spread: 104.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings
Weekend gap quickly filled through previous session
- Strong Asian hour value decline retracing >50%
- 21200 to 21000 inventory still showing strong "support"
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 2/4)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (filled)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 431.53
- Volume: 42K
- Open Int: 259K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21200.00
- PR Low: 20943.00
- NZ Spread: 574.5
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
ISM Manufacturing Prices
Another wide weekend gap, setting stage for expected excitement for the week
- Touch of 21000 long-term inventory
- Auctioning inside nearly 500 point wick from Jan 27
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 2/3)
- Weekend Gap: -1.72% (open < 21200)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 436.60
- Volume: 83K
- Open Int: 255K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -6.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
OMNOM. Bifurcation point. Time to buy for moonshot.If we take $OMNOM time periods - distribution cycle is currently going and probable peak in fall of '25. Price has fallen more than 90% from March '24. Several big wallets have $TRUMP fomo, so there's plenty LP to form a big position without any moving. Do it before it's too late
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/31/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21725.25
- PR Low: 21660.00
- NZ Spread: 145.5
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (YoY|MoM)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Inching close to 21800 weekend gap breakout, following previous session liquidity swings
- Holding action above previous session close, at highs
- Daily gap fill advertisement remains
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 1/31)
- Weekend Gap: -0.62% (open > 21904)
- Session Gap 1/31 +0.33% (open < 21633)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 403.79
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 258K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.1% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/30/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21586.25
- PR Low: 21505.75
- NZ Spread: 179.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- GDP
Previous session closed as practically an inside print
- Advertising possibility to close the weekend gap above 21800
- Momentum expected above previous session high, 21700 zone
- Creates psychological liquidity below 21360
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 1/30)
- Weekend Gap: -0.62% (open > 21904)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 410.01
- Volume: 32K
- Open Int: 258K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21530.50
- PR Low: 21579.00
- NZ Spread: 108.5
Key scheduled economic events:
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
14:00 | FOMC Statement
- Fed Interest Rate Decision
14:30 | FOMC Press Conference
Temporary AMP margins increase for expected FOMC afternoon volatility spike
- Nearing still open weekend gap above 21800
- Rare Asian hours vol spike into PR BuZ
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 1/29)
- Weekend Gap: -0.62% (open > 21904)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 410.16
- Volume: 19K
- Open Int: 266K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -3.8% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21357.50
- PR Low: 21244.75
- NZ Spread: 252.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Durable Goods Orders
10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence
Weekend gap above previous session high remains open
- Holding steady above previous session close
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 1/28)
- Weekend Gap: -0.62% (open > 21904)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 412.26
- Volume: 40K
- Open Int: 269K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -5.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/27/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21771.00
- PR Low: 21633.00
- NZ Spread: 308.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | New Home Sales
Full economic calendar for the last week of the month
- Wide weekend gap down, yet to retrace
- Continued rotation off 22090s long-term pivot
- Value decline back below daily Keltner average cloud
- Nearing Jan 21 low (wick intraday rotation)
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 1/27)
- Weekend Gap: -0.62% (open > 21904)
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 384.07
- Volume: 93K
- Open Int: 253K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -4.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
LITM a lithium penny stock gets momentum LONGLITM is a lithium mining company with operations is Western USA and Canada now getting a
lift as lithium prices are rising. It popped 16% today and hit a screener on volume yesterday.
This is a junior miner compared with LAC and SGML. As such it is more reactive to price. All
indicators confirm the move including the extent of the trend, relative volume spiking and the
RS lines. This is a low float low volume stock.
Accumulation of a low float could precipitate more price action upward quite easily.
As a volatile penny stock LITM is risky. Right now, I see a long trade in a
small position ( < 0.001 of account balance) for the potential gain despite the obvious risk
SL at 10% Targets at 10% 20% (red line pivots to the left-1.2o December to Feb) then 70% (
pivot low March 23) and finally 250% for the runners ( January and July 23 high pivots). Time
will tell. I expect great profit in this swing trade with stratified partial profits and less time
effort in the trend using alerts and notifications. A trailing loss will be employed at 10%
once the trade is over 20% profit.
EURGBP Short for the coming week.Price has been bullish the previous week, and we've taken PDH . We expect price to target IRL before it continues bullish.
We expect price to rally up to our BB for our entry before it pushes down towards the IRL .
Our IRL is at OTE of the range, with a clean Daily FVG that we expect will hold as our LL before pushing price to HHs.
Chevron Heading Underground. CVXA bearish outlook on this situation from a purely technical standpoint. The amalgamation of factors make for a convincing picture. There is a break of MIDAS line, price action cross of US and vWAP line, cross of US/vWAP lines, negative volatility zone oscillations, negative stochastics, trigger cross of downgoing vzo ribbon. And to top it off, exit out of the OBOS territory by the momentum indicator. Good luck out there!
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 1/24/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 22018.50
- PR Low: 21995.75
- NZ Spread: 50.75
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | Existing Home Sales
Holding highs of previous 2 sessions
- Previous session closed as inside print, still advertising 22100 pivot
- Partial QQQ gap fil
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 1/24)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 367.58
- Volume: 57K
- Open Int: 251K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -1.9% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone