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Volatility

NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/4/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21336.50 - PR Low: 21305.75 - NZ Spread: 68.75 Key scheduled economic events: (busy day) 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:45 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks Auctioning into new ATHs Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/4) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 282.51 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 289K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/3/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21224.50 - PR Low: 21203.75 - NZ Spread: 46.25 Key scheduled economic event: 10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings Teasing ATH breach Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/3) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 288.13 - Volume: 15K - Open Int: 285K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
The BANK NIFTY futures chart is signalling critical levels🚀 Attention NSE and StockMarketIndia traders! The BANK NIFTY futures chart is signalling critical levels you don't want to miss. We've got a strong resistance around 53,160, marked by a Fibonacci retracement level at 0.618 level. This level has been tested multiple times, showing the market's hesitation to break through. If we see a close above this level with volume, it could indicate a bullish breakout, targeting the next Fibonacci level at 0.786. On the downside, watch the 52000 supports, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. A break below this could lead to a deeper correction, potentially testing the psychological 50,000 mark before finding a base. As the Fibonacci retracement shows the compelling price swings between the levels of 0.382 & 0.5 at the horizon. The Fibonacci time-based extension predict the price movement at the vertical time frame. Volume spikes are crucial here; increased volume on upward moves could validate a bullish scenario, while high volume on declines would suggest a bearish continuation. Stay vigilant, set your stop-losses wisely, and be ready for volatility. The market is at a pivotal point. Follow @stocktechbot for continuous updates and insights.
NSE:BANKNIFTYZ2024
by stocktechbot
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/2/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21004.00 - PR Low: 20952.50 - NZ Spread: 115.0 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Maintaining previous week's range near the highs Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 12/2) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 289.09 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 273K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
Measured Moves: A Guide to Finding TargetsMeasured Moves: A Guide to Finding Targets Visualizing the boundaries of price movement helps anticipate potential swing points. The concept of measured moves offers a structured framework to estimate future price behavior, based on the observation that each swing move often mirrors the size of the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach provides a practical method to approximate the extension of a swing move. Background Determining profit targets across various methods and timeframes can be challenging. To address this, I reviewed the tactics of experienced traders and market research, noting key similarities and differences. Some traders relied more on discretion, while others used technical targets or predetermined risk-to-reward ratios. Levels of support and resistance (S/R) and the Fibonacci tool frequently appeared, though their application varied by trader. Based on current evidence, levels appear most relevant when tied to the highest and lowest swing points within the current price structure, for example in a range-bound market. In contrast, sporadic or subtle levels from historical movements seem no more significant than random points. The Fibonacci tool can provide value since measurements are based on actual price range; however, the related values have limited evidence to support them. To explore these ideas, I conducted measurements on over a thousand continuation setups to identify inherent or consistent patterns in swing moves. It’s important to emphasize that tools and indicators should never be used blindly. Trading requires self-leadership and critical thinking. The application of ideas without understanding their context or validity undermines the decision-making process and leads to inconsistent results. This concept formed the foundation for my analysis, ensuring that methods were tested rather than taken at face value. Definitions Trending price movement advances in steps, either upward or downward. This includes a stronger move followed by a weaker corrective move, also known as a retracement. When the corrective move is done and prices seem to resume the prevailing trend, we can use the prior move to estimate targets; this is known as a projection. For example, if a stock moves up by 10%, pauses, and subsequently makes another move, we can utilize that value to estimate the potential outcome. Well thats the idea.. Data Through manual measurements across various timeframes, price structures, and stock categories, I have gathered data on retracements and projections. However, this information should not be considered precise due to market randomness and inherent volatility. In fact, deviations—such as a notable failure to reach a target or overextensions—can indicate a potential structural change. As this study was conducted with a manual approach, there is a high risk of selection bias, which raises concerns about the methodology's reliability. However, it allows for a more discretionary perspective, enabling observations and discretion that might be overlooked in a purely automated analysis. To simplify the findings, the presented values below represent a combination of all the data. Retracement Tool In the context of price movements within a trend, specifically continuation setups, retracements typically fall between 20% and 50% of the prior move. While retracements beyond 50% are less common, this does not necessarily invalidate the setup. From my observations, two distinct patterns emerge. First, a shallow retracement where the stock consolidates within a narrow range, typically pulling back no more than 10% to 20% before continuing its trend. Second, a deeper retracement, often around 50%, followed by a nested move higher before a continuation. For those referencing commonly mentioned values (though not validated), levels such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 44.7%, and 50% align with this range. Additionally, 18% frequently appears as a notable breakout point. However, I strongly advise against relying on precise numbers with conviction due to the natural volatility and randomness inherent in the market. Instead, a more reliable approach is to maintain a broad perspective—for example, recognizing that retracements in the 20% to 50% range are common before a continuation. This approach allows flexibility and helps account for the variability in price action. Projection Tool When there is a swing move either upward or downward, we can utilize the preceding one of the same type for estimation. This approach can be used exclusively since it is applicable for retracements, projections, and range-bound markets as long as there has been a similar price event in recent time. In terms of projection, the most common range is between 60% and 120% of the prior move, with 70% to 100% being more prevalent. It is uncommon for a stock to exceed 130% of the preceding move. Frequently mentioned values in this context include 61.8% and 78.6% as one area, although these values are frequently surpassed. The next two commonly mentioned values are 88.6% and 100%, which are the most frequent and can be used effectively on their own. These values represent a complete measured move, as they closely mimic the magnitude of the prior move with some buffer. The last value, 127%, is also notable, but exceeding this level is less common. Application The simplest application of this information is to input the range of 80% to 100% into the projection tool. Then, measure a similar prior move to estimate the subsequent one. This is known as the measured move. There are no strict rules to follow—it’s more of an art. The key is to measure the most similar move in recent times. If the levels appear unclear or overly complicated, they likely are. The process should remain simple and combined with a discretionary perspective. Interestingly, using parallel channels follows the same principle, as they measure the range per swing and project average volatility. This can provide an alternative yet similar way to estimate price movement based on historical swings. The advantage of this method is its universal and adaptable nature for setting estimates. However, it requires a prior swing move and is most effective in continuation setups. Challenges arise when applying it to the start of a new move, exhaustion points, or structural changes, as these can distort short-term price action. For instance, referencing a prior uptrend to project a downtrend is unlikely to be effective due to the opposing asymmetry in swing moves. In some cases, measured moves from earlier periods can be referenced if the current range is similar. Additionally, higher timeframes take precedence over lower ones when determining projections. This is nothing more than a tool and should be used with a discretionary perspective, as with all indicators and drawing tools. The true edge lies elsewhere. Example Use 1. Structure: Identify an established trend or range and measure a clear swing move. 2. Measured Move: Apply the measurement to the subsequent move by duplicating the line to the next point or using a trend-based Fibonacci extension tool set to 100% of the prior swing. The first two points define the swing move. The third point is placed at the deepest part of the subsequent pullback or at the start of the new move. 3. Interpretation: While this is a simple tool, its effective use and contextual application require experience and practice. Remember, this process relies on approximation and discretionary judgment.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by StockLeave
12
With big ups come big downs. Hi all thanks for looking this is a simple ML script that is showing a large dip following the current high price action. This is not advice nor correct it’s not “what’s going to happen” it’s simple a machine learning system that takes some info and then uses it for the future reference line. Which is going red in the 4H. This isn’t gospel it’s just another idea that is from a script so enjoy and share whatever you think is if value here l! Let’s learn together and make crypto or bitcoin gains together!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk
ETH within the Fibonacci time and retracement LevelsIn this Ethereum (ETH/USD) daily chart, we observe a fascinating interplay of Fibonacci time-based trend lines and Fibonacci retracement levels, providing a comprehensive outlook on potential price behavior. The chart highlights key Fibonacci retracement levels at 0.236 (2,571.1), 0.382 (2,835.3), 0.5 (3,048.8), 0.618 (3,462.4), and 0.786 (3,666.4), which serve as critical support and resistance zones. The Fibonacci time-based trend lines, marked by vertical green and red lines, indicate significant time intervals where price action is likely to experience notable changes. Within the highlighted box, three potential scenarios are mapped out: a bullish trend, consolidation, and a bearish trend. The bullish scenario suggests a price surge towards the 4,000 level and beyond, while consolidation indicates a sideways movement around the 3,800 mark. Conversely, the bearish scenario points to a potential decline towards the 3,200 level. This analysis provides traders with a strategic framework to anticipate Ethereum's price movements and make informed decisions.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by stocktechbot
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/27/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 20998.75 - PR Low: 20967.75 - NZ Spread: 69.5 Key scheduled economic events 08:30 | Durable Goods Orders - GDP - Initial Jobless Claims 09:45 | Chicago PMI 10:00 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY) 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes Holding inside previous 2 session range near the highs - Busy schedule ahead of holiday market close Session Open Stats (As of 2:25 AM 11/27) - Weekend Gap: +0.24 (filled) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 294.01 - Volume: 25K - Open Int: 270K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.6% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $148.75 - $165.00 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $138.00 - $148.75 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $118.25 - $138.00 Weekly: Bullish Daily: Bullish 4H: Bullish NASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings today, these are the areas that I will look for significant price movement at. The market is anticipating around an 8.5% move, roughly an $11.50 move in either direction, based on ATM option prices, or an 11%-12% move, roughly $16.50 move in either direction, based on volatility calculations. This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas. ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE! trendanalysis, trendtrading, priceaction, priceactiontrading, technicalindicators, supportandresistance, rangebreakout, rangebreakdown, rangetrading, chartpatterntrading, chartpatterns, spy, sp500, s&p, fed, federalreserve, fedrate, fedratecut, interestrate, jeromepowell, fedchair, 50bps, volatile, volatility, nvidia, nvidiapricetarget, nvdatrend, nvidiatrend, nvdasetup, nvidialongs, nvidiashorts,
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TonyAiello
Breakout Signals via Asymmetrical AveragingSpecial Application of Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change Indicator INDICATOR AVERAGES BULLISH AND BEARISH VOLATILITY SEPARATELY THROUGH THEIR NATIVE PAST CANDLE COUNT. NOT PERIODICALLY! Asymmetrical averaging is a versatile technique that involves assigning different lengths for independent averaging of opposite market forces. This adaptability uncovers high-probability breakout signals by establishing a threshold that filters out irrelevant fluctuations. Below, I illustrated 2 practical examples of the method applied to bullish and bearish breakout scenarios: Bullish Breakout Example: Set the bullish averaging to 30 and the bearish averaging to 1000. If the bullish average consistently surpasses the bearish threshold, it indicates robust buying momentum and a potential breakout to the upside. The extreme bearish average establishes a consistent baseline, filtering out short-term fluctuations and focusing on significant upward momentum to deliver reliable bullish breakout signals. Bearish Breakout Example: Set the bearish averaging to 30 and the bullish averaging to 1000. If the bearish average rises above the bullish threshold, it signals growing selling pressure and a potential breakout to the downside. The extreme bullish average provides a steady reference point, eliminating minor fluctuations and isolating significant downward momentum for dependable bearish breakout signals. LINK TO THE INDICATOR:
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by fract
1
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/26/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 20933.50 - PR Low: 20800.50 - NZ Spread: 297.75 Key scheduled economic events 10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence - New Home Sales 14:00 | FOMC Meeting Minutes Daily printed for pivot high off 21088 - Auctioning inside previous session range - Almost 300 point spread for open session range (PR) Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 11/26) - Weekend Gap: +0.24 (filled) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 304.97 - Volume: 48K - Open Int: 269K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -2.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
NSIT longNASDAQ:NSIT bullish Insight Enterprises is a Fortune 500 global provider of IT solutions that helps businesses and organizations digitally transform their operations. The company specializes in delivering technology solutions to optimize IT environments, improve business outcomes, and enhance productivity. Key Details Founded: 1988 Headquarters: Chandler, Arizona, USA Ticker: NSIT (NASDAQ) Industry: IT services, consulting, and hardware/software solutions Revenue (2023): Over $10 billion Employees: Approximately 12,000 Operations: Active in more than 19 countries across North America, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific region. Business Segments Hardware and Software Procurement: Offers a wide range of IT hardware (e.g., laptops, servers, networking equipment) and software from leading brands like Microsoft, Cisco, Dell, and HP. Cloud and Data Center Solutions: Helps businesses adopt cloud technologies, manage data centers, and streamline operations using modern infrastructure. Digital Innovation: Focuses on emerging technologies like artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of Things (IoT), and advanced analytics to drive business transformation. Managed IT Services: Provides IT support and management services, including cybersecurity, disaster recovery, and help desk services. Consulting and Strategy: Advises businesses on IT strategy, enterprise architecture, and technology implementation to align with organizational goals.
NASDAQ:NSITLong
by fade_the_vol
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/25/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 20954.25 - PR Low: 20928.50 - NZ Spread: 57.50 No key scheduled economic events US Thanksgiving week Unfilled weekend gap up >50 points - QQQ filling gap below ~508 - Above previous week's high, inside Nov 15 highs, teasing breakout - Auction has been held inside Nov 15 range since its close Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 11/25) - Weekend Gap: +0.24 (open > 20877) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 299.77 - Volume: 23K - Open Int: 273K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024Long
by mv3trader5
Raw VS Percentage Volatility FormatA Quantitative Comparison of "Buying & Selling Pressure" and "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" In market analysis, the choice of averaging method can profoundly influence the insights derived. The "Buying & Selling Pressure " and "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" indicators demonstrate the unique strengths of fixed-period and candle-count-based averaging approaches. Key Differences Between Fixed-Period and Candle-Count Averaging Fixed-Period Averaging in BSP: ➡︎ In "Buying & Selling Pressure", candle metrics are averaged over a defined period (e.g., 14 bars). ➡︎ This provides rapid insights into market sentiment changes, making it ideal for tracking incentive shifts and volatility in real time. ➡︎ However, because this method includes all candles in the averaging window, it may reflect short-term fluctuations, offering less stability compared to candle-count-based methods. Candle-Count Averaging in ABBPC: ➡︎ "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change"uses a predefined count of bullish or bearish candles for averaging percentage changes. ➡︎ This produces stable and reliable values, which are less sensitive to noise and better suited for risk and reward assessment. ➡︎ The focus on specific candle states ensures that only relevant market behaviors contribute to the averages. Using Percentage Change for Risk Definition One of the greatest strengths of the "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" indicator is its ability to assist in risk and reward calculations with much more market related figures instead of raw values of volatility: Defining Risk The average percentage change of bearish candles can serve as a dynamic stop-loss level. For example, if the average bearish percentage change over the last 10 candles is 2%, a trader can set a stop-loss at 2% below their entry to account for typical market behavior. Quantifying Reward: The average bullish percentage change helps identify realistic profit targets. If the average bullish percentage change over the last 10 candles is 3%, a trader can set a target at 3% above their entry to maintain a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Dynamic Adjustments: As the market evolves, these average percentage changes update, allowing traders to adjust their risk and reward levels in real time for better precision. Quantitative Advantages of Percentage Change Averaging Normalization Across Price Levels: Percentage changes enable consistent comparison across assets with vastly different price ranges. Enhanced Stability for Risk Assessment: Candle-count averaging smooths out noise, offering a reliable basis for setting risk parameters like stop-losses and profit targets. Improved Predictability: By isolating specific candle behaviors, percentage-based metrics provide clearer signals for trend-following or mean-reversion strategies. Advantages of BSP’s Fixed-Period Averaging Despite being less stable, "Buying & Selling Pressure " excels in areas requiring speed and adaptability: Fast Incentive Tracking: Period-based averaging adapts quickly to changing market conditions, providing timely insights into shifts in buying or selling pressure. Broad Volatility Capture: BSP includes all candles in the defined period, capturing overall market dynamics, including sudden spikes or reversals. Real-Time Decision Making: Its responsiveness makes it highly suitable for momentum or breakout trading strategies. Bottomline: Use "Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change" for stable, consistent data ideal for risk assessment, particularly when defining dynamic stop-loss levels or profit targets based on average percentage changes. Use "Buying & Selling Pressure " for its speed and adaptability in tracking real-time shifts in market incentives and capturing volatility.
PEducation
by fract
1
Sui cool off then 5$SUI has been on a tear lately and I have started to add to the position simply due to its general momentum and strength related to BTC. I would love to see a cool off here as the BBWP has fired red multiple times and the weekly stochastic has been very high for a while. A week or two consolidation above 3.2 would be very bullish before a rip to 5$. This would allow the 5 EMA to catch up to current price and reset volatility/momentum indicators. I firmly expect to see 11-12$ next year.
Long
by Apollo_21mil
FTM to 1.4$FTM I expect to run to 1.2-1.5$ in December, this token has been consolidating and waiting for a while, a real dark horse. When FTM becomes S, we really need a coinbase listing for a long-term success of this token, the fact it is not listed is actually obnoxious to me. I have been in the FTM ecosystem for a very long time and wait for the day we finally see the listing. We could really see this one run next year 5-15$ tbh, I do not have any sell targets for myself here since I want to see how this plays out.
FLong
by Apollo_21mil