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New VIX Cycle - 4/11/2022VIX at the daily view. VIX finally broke its downtrend and RSI downtrend. It seem to have bounced off of the white pivot line (for now). April seems to be set as a rollercoaster of a month. There is earnings season which provides some liquidity. At the same time, the US tax deadline is coming up (April 18th). The wealthy usually wait until the last minute to cash out to pay their tax liability. The bond market has been sinking like no tomorrow since QE ended. At the same time, money mainly shifted to defensive sectors (e.g. utilities, healthcare, and consumer staples). Push-pull. On Twitter, I saw posts a month ago calling for VIX to be above 50. As stated before, it would be pretty hard for the VIX to break 50 unless the Federal Reserve does something highly expected like hiking rates to 5% by end of 2022... which is unlikely as it would require several conditions to reach that level of desperation. There is another reason why the VIX would have a hard time reaching 50 in the next few months. The VIX is the measurement of implied volatility within the options market of the ES/SPX. Options is not the entire market. Bigger investors have not been using options as much to hedge their portfolios. In a clever way, bigger investors have been using futures to hedge their portfolios. Why is it clever? Futures qualify under section 1256 which is not 100% short-term capital gains. It's a tax advantage. VIX would have a hard time to measure the implied volatility if the bigger hedges are heading into the futures market and not the options market. This is why most have a hard time understanding the VIX. It's a piece of the puzzle. You have to look at the bond market, credit market, FOREX market, options market, and individual sectors to see the full picture. Furthermore, one needs to master timing and risk management as well. Most traders think they know everything and stop learning after a few wins. Most become trapped in their dream of an epic crash or rally. The VIX doesn't care about your dreams or opinions. It's algorithms and formulas. VIX might have an uptrend leading to May FOMC. The Fed minutes indicate that quantitative tightening might start as soon as May instead of June/July. Furthermore, OPEX and taxes are coming up. That might cause some whiplash. VIX might be back to elevated levels again (above 24). I won't be surprised to hover above 24 for a little while. As for timing it, that's the issue. With hedges being split between options and futures, timing VIX spikes became even harder.
TVC:VIX
by Itsallsotiresome
VIX-S&P 500 FEAR INDEX-LESS FEAR, MARKETS CORRECTINGThe VIX measures the fear in the S&P 500. Even if you only trade or invest in crypto or stocks watching the VIX is critical in learning how to measure the sentiment of the general market regardless of what you are trading or investing. I use the VIX for even crypto trading and suits me well. It does the complete opposite of the what other stocks or cryptos do. Master understanding this chart and you will be better prepared at making successful trading entries and exits in the market. So despite the Russian Ukranian invasion the markets are correcting slowly and beginning to show promise once again. For details watch this video and give me a thumbs up and please subscribe to show support for my channel. Thank You Astreaus otherwise know as Cryptobuzzanalyst Disclaimer I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this TA,(Technical Analysis) are for informational and educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using or reading this technical analysis or site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this analysis, or post.
CBOE:VIX
by CryptoBuzzAnalyst
4
Bond Market Volatility & EconomyBond yields serve as a leading indicator of economic performance, with major headwinds in the form of inflation and labor shortages, short-term yields have begun to invert demanding higher premiums than longer-term bonds. As the bond market moves in anticipation, volatility increases and serves as a signal to the broader economy. $MOVE provides a benchmark with bond market volatility, with an uptrend and spikes nearing Feb/Mar 2020. The chart presents measurements going back to lat 2002, reflecting a dramatic uptick in volatility as the housing market collapsed in 2008. The uptrend reflected now is serving as another warning to the markets that turbulent times lay ahead.
TVC:MOVEShort
by UnknownUnicorn20630062
1
VOLX bullish momentum! | 14th March 2022Prices are on bullish momentum and consolidating in a parallel channel . We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 28.89 in line with 78.6% Fibonacci Projection towards our Take Profit at 35.98 in line with 100% Fibonacci Projection . RSI is at levels where bounces previously occurred. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website
FX:VOLXLong
by FXCM
$VIX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets$VIX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets $VIX to 45? Higher Lows continued?? Vix is sitting right at the trendline it’s been holding to since the beginning of the year… if it breaks down we could see a little profit taking rally. If it bounces above the volatility will be higher. Vix to 45? I’d love to hear your feedback here… —————— I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence. I have a huge tolerance for volatility so please know that. If you’re new to my trade setups please try them on a small scale first. Then go in with a risk you’re comfortable with. I am not a bull. I am not a bear. I just see what I see in the charts and I don’t pay too much attention to the noise in the news. If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can. (If I have time) And most importantly… Have fun, y’all!! (\_/) ( •_•) / >🚀
TVC:VIXLong
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
17
VIX - Monthly - BIG UPSIDE ON VIXOn the monthly and daily chart, I see VIX making a bullish comeback which suggest we are about to see crazy volatility in the stock market. Combine that with the recent insider selling from Jeff Bezos of around $2 billion worth of amazon shares and Kimbal Musk (Elon Musk's brother) selling around $100 million worth of tesla shares on Nov 5th and then Elon Musk himself proposing to sell his own shares, We are more than likely to see a market pull back or crash in the coming weeks.
TVC:VIXLong
by abm-trading
VIX Perfect Symmetry through the decades points to turbulence.I've posted this, interesting to say the least, pattern on VIX a few years ago and thought it might be a good time to refresh your memory following the recent (minor so far) pull-back on stocks. As you see VIX has had two major patterns where an initial rise forms a Double Top (made of two market shocks/ catalysts) and then drops back to its 10.00 Support level. The most recent of the two has been the pattern that had Double Tops made by the 2008 Subprime Mortgage Crisis and the 2020 COVID flash crash. Since then (with the necessary cash injections by the U.S. Government), VIX has dropped to 15.00, below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). Like I said, the Support is 10.00, which means there is time left to the markets to stay in relative peace but the 1W MA50 is already on the rise, which is an early signal that the next rise towards a Double Top formation may be starting. It is not panic time yet, but certainly something to keep in mind that volatility in the markets lies ahead. ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> Vergnes --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBOE:VIX
by TradingShot
4
Technical analysis update: VIX (11th August 2021)Upbeat economic data and further progress in economic recovery will lead to decrease in the market volatility over time. Because of that we would like to set our short term price target for VIX to 15 USD. Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
TVC:VIXShort
by Tradersweekly
4
VIX vs S&P500 A simple correlation for buy/sell signalsVIX has been trading within a Channel Down since late April 2020 after the markets started to correct themselves following the COVID led March 2020 crash. I have plotted the S&P500 on the chart and as you see from the comparison, the pattern is quite useful in determining when to sell stocks and when to buy. When VIX enters its Lower Lows zone, S&P500 starts to correct. If not immediately, then at least some days after it records a lower low from its previous price. Exception is August 6, 2020 when after the VIX hit the Lower Lows zone of the Channel Down, S&P500 continued to rise but still dropped lower than the VIX hit point even though it took it around 1 month to do so. At the same time, when the VIX hits the Lower Highs zone of the Channel, it represents an optimal opportunity to buy stocks as it where S&P roughly makes its bottom. Right now VIX is coming off a (near) Lower High and still has some way to go before hitting the Lower Lows Zone. This indicates that S&P should continue to rise, at least for the current month. Of course every pattern can be broken and this one will at some point but it is a fact that for over 1 year it has been giving the most consistent buy/ sell signals. Until it gets invalidate, the trend is your friend. ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> sikret --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBOE:VIX
by TradingShot
8
VIX Breaks Key Uptrend!? [BULLISH]This will be a quick post as today we are witnessing something in the market that could prove to be bullish for the S&P500 in the near future. Most importantly, this could be a move that FINALLY leads to a definitive direction for the markets and that is in the fact that the S&P500 Volatility Index today has broken its trend that we have been in and now appears to be heading down toward lower, less volatile areas. The ultimate goal we would like to see is a retest and eventual breaking of the 15 basis point level. A breaking of this level would mean a return to the ultra bullish buy-and-hold area that we are accustomed to seeing the market trade in. If this occurs it could be fun times ahead for S&P500 stocks.
TVC:VIX
by TradeVibez
1
VIX Decision Time. 3 month rally or -6% correction on stocks?VIX has been trading within a Channel Down since March 2020, which is natural as the huge volatility spike following the COVID outbreak as a global pandemic has been normalized gradually. Every bottom on this Channel Down was in the form of a Cup and a spike to the Lower Highs trend-line followed. Every time that was translated into a strong correction on the stock markets. Right now it is the first time (on the 1D time-frame) that the price broke below this Cup. A break below the Green Line will indicate in my opinion a strong stock market rally for Q3. On the other hand a break above the Red Line may cause a medium-term correction on stocks within -3% and -6%. What do you think will happen? ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> xBTala --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CBOE:VIX
by TradingShot
4
Vix suggesting income Volatility?The signals on the 4 hr chart suggest that volatility on the S&P 500 should spike within the next day or so. Please like and follow for daily posts on various asset classes. Please also share your views on the trading ideas and whether or not you find them to be of any value to you as a trader. Please note, this idea is shared for educational and discussion purposes only and should not result in speculative investment decisions in any asset class.
CBOE:VIXShort
by JesseMorgans
3