$VIX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets$VIX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets
$VIX to 45? Higher Lows continued??
Vix is sitting right at the trendline it’s been holding to since the beginning of the year… if it breaks down we could see a little profit taking rally. If it bounces above the volatility will be higher.
Vix to 45? I’d love to hear your feedback here…
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Volatilityindex
$VIX Making higher lows$VIX Making higher lows
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I am not your financial advisor, but I will happily answer questions and analyze to the best of my ability but ultimately the risk is on you. Check out my ideas, but also do your own due diligence.
If you want me to analyze any stock or ETF just leave me a comment and I’ll do it if I can.
Have fun, y’all!!
(\_/)
( •_•)
/ >🚀
VIX - Monthly - BIG UPSIDE ON VIXOn the monthly and daily chart, I see VIX making a bullish comeback which suggest we are about to see crazy volatility in the stock market. Combine that with the recent insider selling from Jeff Bezos of around $2 billion worth of amazon shares and Kimbal Musk (Elon Musk's brother) selling around $100 million worth of tesla shares on Nov 5th and then Elon Musk himself proposing to sell his own shares, We are more than likely to see a market pull back or crash in the coming weeks.
VIX Perfect Symmetry through the decades points to turbulence.I've posted this, interesting to say the least, pattern on VIX a few years ago and thought it might be a good time to refresh your memory following the recent (minor so far) pull-back on stocks.
As you see VIX has had two major patterns where an initial rise forms a Double Top (made of two market shocks/ catalysts) and then drops back to its 10.00 Support level. The most recent of the two has been the pattern that had Double Tops made by the 2008 Subprime Mortgage Crisis and the 2020 COVID flash crash. Since then (with the necessary cash injections by the U.S. Government), VIX has dropped to 15.00, below the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line). Like I said, the Support is 10.00, which means there is time left to the markets to stay in relative peace but the 1W MA50 is already on the rise, which is an early signal that the next rise towards a Double Top formation may be starting.
It is not panic time yet, but certainly something to keep in mind that volatility in the markets lies ahead.
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Technical analysis update: VIX (11th August 2021)Upbeat economic data and further progress in economic recovery will lead to decrease in the market volatility over time. Because of that we would like to set our short term price target for VIX to 15 USD.
Disclaimer: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as basis for taking any trade action by individual investor. Your own due dilligence is highly advised before entering trade.
VIX vs S&P500 A simple correlation for buy/sell signalsVIX has been trading within a Channel Down since late April 2020 after the markets started to correct themselves following the COVID led March 2020 crash.
I have plotted the S&P500 on the chart and as you see from the comparison, the pattern is quite useful in determining when to sell stocks and when to buy. When VIX enters its Lower Lows zone, S&P500 starts to correct. If not immediately, then at least some days after it records a lower low from its previous price. Exception is August 6, 2020 when after the VIX hit the Lower Lows zone of the Channel Down, S&P500 continued to rise but still dropped lower than the VIX hit point even though it took it around 1 month to do so.
At the same time, when the VIX hits the Lower Highs zone of the Channel, it represents an optimal opportunity to buy stocks as it where S&P roughly makes its bottom.
Right now VIX is coming off a (near) Lower High and still has some way to go before hitting the Lower Lows Zone. This indicates that S&P should continue to rise, at least for the current month. Of course every pattern can be broken and this one will at some point but it is a fact that for over 1 year it has been giving the most consistent buy/ sell signals. Until it gets invalidate, the trend is your friend.
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VIX Breaks Key Uptrend!? [BULLISH]This will be a quick post as today we are witnessing something in the market that could prove to be bullish for the S&P500 in the near future. Most importantly, this could be a move that FINALLY leads to a definitive direction for the markets and that is in the fact that the S&P500 Volatility Index today has broken its trend that we have been in and now appears to be heading down toward lower, less volatile areas.
The ultimate goal we would like to see is a retest and eventual breaking of the 15 basis point level. A breaking of this level would mean a return to the ultra bullish buy-and-hold area that we are accustomed to seeing the market trade in.
If this occurs it could be fun times ahead for S&P500 stocks.
VIX Decision Time. 3 month rally or -6% correction on stocks?VIX has been trading within a Channel Down since March 2020, which is natural as the huge volatility spike following the COVID outbreak as a global pandemic has been normalized gradually.
Every bottom on this Channel Down was in the form of a Cup and a spike to the Lower Highs trend-line followed. Every time that was translated into a strong correction on the stock markets.
Right now it is the first time (on the 1D time-frame) that the price broke below this Cup. A break below the Green Line will indicate in my opinion a strong stock market rally for Q3. On the other hand a break above the Red Line may cause a medium-term correction on stocks within -3% and -6%.
What do you think will happen?
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Vix suggesting income Volatility?The signals on the 4 hr chart suggest that volatility on the S&P 500 should spike within the next day or so.
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Volatility S&P 500 index 1D-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS 💡Volatility S&P 500 index 1D-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS 💡
Hello ladies and gentlemen
This is my new idea for VIX
My idea is that VIX will go long to 55 Target
TRUMP TESTS POSITIVE COVID_19 MARKETS DROP
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BTCUSD May See A Slow Down Based On Bitcoin Volatility IndexHello traders!
Today we will talk about Bitcoin Volatility Index and we will show you how to understand and read it compared to the BTCUSD chart using Elliott Wave theory.
Well, BTCUSD is in an impulsive rise from March lows and currently we are observing the final wave 5, mainly because of a rise out of wave 4 triangle, which in EW theory suggests the final move before we may see a deeper A-B-C corrective decline.
If we take a look at the BTC Volatility Index chart, we can see it approaching the lows again. And always, when BTC Volatility comes to the lows, we can expect some big action and huge volatility, especially if this is a wave 5 of a bigger ending diagonal.
So, considering that BTCUSD can be finishing wave 5 and BTC Volatility Index coming to the lows, we should be aware of a bigger corrective decline soon, ideally somewhere here at the end of August and beginning of September.
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W Recovery? VIX certainly looks like it!Crazy if true, but this VIX chart looks ready to explode IMO. Lots of complacency building up with the stock market being at (or near) all time highs. Meanwhile, bond yields are plummeting, gold is rocketing, and VIX is staying stubbornly high.
Determining what information is signal and what is noise is probably the hardest & most important job of a successful trader/investor. I think the way these stars are aligning they are the true signals while the stock market highs are noise. Buyers of stocks at these historically stretched valuations need to beware.
US30 SUPPLY AND DEMAND ORDER BLOCKS (UPDATE!!) Another 2 zones hit, retest of order block expansion price followed by a smooth move up in price to the next key liquidity line outlined.
VIX DecliningThe S&P500 Volatility Index(VIX) shows price testing the 78.6% Fib level near $28 and the first reading back below $30 since February. With the VIX below the 61.8% Fib retracement price is technically back in a bear trend and indicates that forward-volatility in the SPX is expected to dissipate. The VIX represents the market’s expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility and is derived from price inputs of the S&P500 index options, and it provies a measure of market risk and investors’ sentiment. It is also known as the “Fear Guage” or “Fear Index”. The ideal level for the VIX to be trading during an uptrend in the SP500 is below $20 as a signal that no implied volatility is expected in stocks.
The Relative Strength Index(RSI) shows the green RSI line and purple signal line both declining below the 50 level which indicates bearish momentum in the VIX, or a continued decline in SP500 volatility.
The Price Percent Oscillator(PPO) shows the green PPO line and purple signal line both declining below the 0 level which indicates bearish momentum in the VIX.
The Average Directional Movement Index(ADX) shows the purple line rising above the green line which indicates a bearish trend in the VIX.
Overall, the VIX is showing that fear has subsided in the S&P500.
FEAR index - VIX vs. SPYHello traders,
we will try to implant a new point of view on the markets today. What if I told you that there is a tool that can find a bottom in the AMEX:SPY market?
This tool exists and is called CBOE:VIX .
If you compare these two graphs, you will easily see, that almost every extreme in the VIX market found the bottom in the SPY market.
Yes, it's that simple. Try to implant this tool in your trading. You will appreciate that. 100% guaranteed.
Good trading.
FINEIGHT team
VIX: Hit the Trade War highs. Cyclical decline starting.The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) which measures the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility, has almost hit last Friday the highs (50.30) of the U.S. - China trade war in
February 2018. Going further back on the time line, the 53.30 high of VIX during China's economic slowdown fears in late August 2015, isn't far off either.
Today's lower opening was a natural response but even then the index remains overbought (RSI = 80.163) and when it does it is historically unlikely to stay that high for low. We are expecting a strong decline back to the ease levels of 12.75 - 13.30 in around 2 months. As you see on the chart and the last two highs, this is a cyclical process of VIX and the occurence of the next shock event can even be timed. Regardless of timing, the current VIX levels present an optimal sell opportunity.
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