VIX 1D-TIMEFRAME ANALYSISVIX 1D-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
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This is my new idea for the Volatility S&P 500 index
My idea the index go to test 46 resistance
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Volatilityindex
BTCUSD May See A Slow Down Based On Bitcoin Volatility IndexHello traders!
Today we will talk about Bitcoin Volatility Index and we will show you how to understand and read it compared to the BTCUSD chart using Elliott Wave theory.
Well, BTCUSD is in an impulsive rise from March lows and currently we are observing the final wave 5, mainly because of a rise out of wave 4 triangle, which in EW theory suggests the final move before we may see a deeper A-B-C corrective decline.
If we take a look at the BTC Volatility Index chart, we can see it approaching the lows again. And always, when BTC Volatility comes to the lows, we can expect some big action and huge volatility, especially if this is a wave 5 of a bigger ending diagonal.
So, considering that BTCUSD can be finishing wave 5 and BTC Volatility Index coming to the lows, we should be aware of a bigger corrective decline soon, ideally somewhere here at the end of August and beginning of September.
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W Recovery? VIX certainly looks like it!Crazy if true, but this VIX chart looks ready to explode IMO. Lots of complacency building up with the stock market being at (or near) all time highs. Meanwhile, bond yields are plummeting, gold is rocketing, and VIX is staying stubbornly high.
Determining what information is signal and what is noise is probably the hardest & most important job of a successful trader/investor. I think the way these stars are aligning they are the true signals while the stock market highs are noise. Buyers of stocks at these historically stretched valuations need to beware.
US30 SUPPLY AND DEMAND ORDER BLOCKS (UPDATE!!) Another 2 zones hit, retest of order block expansion price followed by a smooth move up in price to the next key liquidity line outlined.
VIX DecliningThe S&P500 Volatility Index(VIX) shows price testing the 78.6% Fib level near $28 and the first reading back below $30 since February. With the VIX below the 61.8% Fib retracement price is technically back in a bear trend and indicates that forward-volatility in the SPX is expected to dissipate. The VIX represents the market’s expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility and is derived from price inputs of the S&P500 index options, and it provies a measure of market risk and investors’ sentiment. It is also known as the “Fear Guage” or “Fear Index”. The ideal level for the VIX to be trading during an uptrend in the SP500 is below $20 as a signal that no implied volatility is expected in stocks.
The Relative Strength Index(RSI) shows the green RSI line and purple signal line both declining below the 50 level which indicates bearish momentum in the VIX, or a continued decline in SP500 volatility.
The Price Percent Oscillator(PPO) shows the green PPO line and purple signal line both declining below the 0 level which indicates bearish momentum in the VIX.
The Average Directional Movement Index(ADX) shows the purple line rising above the green line which indicates a bearish trend in the VIX.
Overall, the VIX is showing that fear has subsided in the S&P500.
FEAR index - VIX vs. SPYHello traders,
we will try to implant a new point of view on the markets today. What if I told you that there is a tool that can find a bottom in the AMEX:SPY market?
This tool exists and is called CBOE:VIX .
If you compare these two graphs, you will easily see, that almost every extreme in the VIX market found the bottom in the SPY market.
Yes, it's that simple. Try to implant this tool in your trading. You will appreciate that. 100% guaranteed.
Good trading.
FINEIGHT team
VIX: Hit the Trade War highs. Cyclical decline starting.The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) which measures the market's expectation of 30-day forward-looking volatility, has almost hit last Friday the highs (50.30) of the U.S. - China trade war in
February 2018. Going further back on the time line, the 53.30 high of VIX during China's economic slowdown fears in late August 2015, isn't far off either.
Today's lower opening was a natural response but even then the index remains overbought (RSI = 80.163) and when it does it is historically unlikely to stay that high for low. We are expecting a strong decline back to the ease levels of 12.75 - 13.30 in around 2 months. As you see on the chart and the last two highs, this is a cyclical process of VIX and the occurence of the next shock event can even be timed. Regardless of timing, the current VIX levels present an optimal sell opportunity.
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ridethepig | VIX Market Commentary 2019.12.20A quick update to the Vix chart as we enter into the final important NY session of the year with quadruple witching. For those tracking the previous flows we remain in the same levels with the same targets and the same flows to track:
After we cleared TP1 we ran out of steam and decided to trade the retrace back towards Capitulation territory. This was enough to sweep the stops and absorb the floor:
We then got the spike in VVIX as it dislocated the from the flows while Vix remained comatose. This is an important highlight to make as we enter into year end with markets happy to trade the reflationary theme something that smells very very off;
With 2s5s screaming recession and protectionism hijacking the world what could possibly go wrong?
Tracking closely Vix today for the year end flows and 2020 positioning...We will update in depth the fundamentals and technicals 2020 maps for Vix over the holiday period.
Thanks for keeping all the support coming with likes, comments, charts, questions and etc! Best of luck those tracking VIX for signs of end of the cycle/reflationary 1H20 !!
VIX: at 12 in Pivot ZoneSimple idea. In May & Aug VIX tapped 12 briefly before volatility returned. Here we are again.
There is a bullish trend ongoing with successively weaker spats of volatility. Next jump might tap 18-20.
The interval of rotation appears to be three months; May +3mo > Aug +3mo > November. Prices at ATH; rotation soon seems likely.
This is rank speculation and in no way constitutes investment advice; trade at your own risk; GLTA!
VIX HXHistorical view. What's in store? ATL: 8.5. Typical reversal zone: ~10-11. Price now: ~13.
This year we've had volatility spikes when VIX <12-13. Are we in for another frantic bull run that crushes VIX sub-10?
Historically after three rate cuts markets rise 5-10%. Will we see SPX 3300?! If so, shorts will be just destroyed. Something to ponder...
I've been expecting pullback to lower TL in the rising SPY wedgie to 295, but it has been stubbornly resilient... will new money flow in?
Let's be careful! Not investing advice; trade at your own risk; GLTA!
Looks like a bullflag re-testThe green, vertical bar is the bullflag pole length as the top yellow line, while the bottom yellow line is the 1.386 fib retracement from the correction down within the bullflag, which combined gives us a projected upside zone between the two yellow lines.
The fact that none of the trade war meetings have resulted in anything tangible and traders nervousness about it, I think this flag could hold.
BUT, if we start breaking back down into the flag and make a lower low, it could lead back down to the bottom of the flag. I find this unlikely, but it is always a possibility.
Waiting for the market to catch up with reality..Nice running flat formation here. The .786 doesn't seem to be holding so the best target is the 1:1 (which is typically a standard target).
Could happen tomorrow or Wednesday, when the fed's July meeting minutes are reported. I'd recommend getting into position by tomorrow though because we could have a big jump in the opening price on Wednesday.
Target = $15.25
VIX: Aiming below the DMA50.The Volatility Index is currently pulling back on 1D turning neutral again (RSI = 51.020, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) with MACD still bullish (0.780) but decelerating as it approaching the 1D MA50. Based on a similar pattern in 2018, the index should break below and consolidate for the next 2 months restoring stability back on the markets.
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