ridethepig | VIX Market Commentary 2019.12.20A quick update to the Vix chart as we enter into the final important NY session of the year with quadruple witching. For those tracking the previous flows we remain in the same levels with the same targets and the same flows to track:
After we cleared TP1 we ran out of steam and decided to trade the retrace back towards Capitulation territory. This was enough to sweep the stops and absorb the floor:
We then got the spike in VVIX as it dislocated the from the flows while Vix remained comatose. This is an important highlight to make as we enter into year end with markets happy to trade the reflationary theme something that smells very very off;
With 2s5s screaming recession and protectionism hijacking the world what could possibly go wrong?
Tracking closely Vix today for the year end flows and 2020 positioning...We will update in depth the fundamentals and technicals 2020 maps for Vix over the holiday period.
Thanks for keeping all the support coming with likes, comments, charts, questions and etc! Best of luck those tracking VIX for signs of end of the cycle/reflationary 1H20 !!
Volatilityindex
VIX: at 12 in Pivot ZoneSimple idea. In May & Aug VIX tapped 12 briefly before volatility returned. Here we are again.
There is a bullish trend ongoing with successively weaker spats of volatility. Next jump might tap 18-20.
The interval of rotation appears to be three months; May +3mo > Aug +3mo > November. Prices at ATH; rotation soon seems likely.
This is rank speculation and in no way constitutes investment advice; trade at your own risk; GLTA!
VIX HXHistorical view. What's in store? ATL: 8.5. Typical reversal zone: ~10-11. Price now: ~13.
This year we've had volatility spikes when VIX <12-13. Are we in for another frantic bull run that crushes VIX sub-10?
Historically after three rate cuts markets rise 5-10%. Will we see SPX 3300?! If so, shorts will be just destroyed. Something to ponder...
I've been expecting pullback to lower TL in the rising SPY wedgie to 295, but it has been stubbornly resilient... will new money flow in?
Let's be careful! Not investing advice; trade at your own risk; GLTA!
Looks like a bullflag re-testThe green, vertical bar is the bullflag pole length as the top yellow line, while the bottom yellow line is the 1.386 fib retracement from the correction down within the bullflag, which combined gives us a projected upside zone between the two yellow lines.
The fact that none of the trade war meetings have resulted in anything tangible and traders nervousness about it, I think this flag could hold.
BUT, if we start breaking back down into the flag and make a lower low, it could lead back down to the bottom of the flag. I find this unlikely, but it is always a possibility.
Waiting for the market to catch up with reality..Nice running flat formation here. The .786 doesn't seem to be holding so the best target is the 1:1 (which is typically a standard target).
Could happen tomorrow or Wednesday, when the fed's July meeting minutes are reported. I'd recommend getting into position by tomorrow though because we could have a big jump in the opening price on Wednesday.
Target = $15.25
VIX: Aiming below the DMA50.The Volatility Index is currently pulling back on 1D turning neutral again (RSI = 51.020, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) with MACD still bullish (0.780) but decelerating as it approaching the 1D MA50. Based on a similar pattern in 2018, the index should break below and consolidate for the next 2 months restoring stability back on the markets.
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