✅VIX LONG FROM SUPPORT🚀
✅VIX fell again to retest the support of 12.37$
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
We will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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Volatilityindex
VIX Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
VIX is going down now
But the index will soon
Hit a horizontal support
Of 12.5$ from where
A local bullish rebound
Is to be expected
Buy!
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Vix Gaps up 18% with Israel/Iran Conflict The Markets are moving money into buying Puts and this signals Fear. This is what war does I suppose and is the logical scenario that we would anticipate. Put Options are being bought as market participants anticpate lower prices on the Indices overall in the Short term at least here. We gapped up to a Daily level on the Vix where we consequently observed a decrease. The Size of the gap coupled with the Daily level and the not-too-far off Weekly level provided a strong place to reverse to fill the gap. The market is up 3% on the day after being up much more. Since the beginning of the Israel/Iran Conflict (Monday April 15th) the Vix is up 9% . As we move further into Q2, I'm anticpating a continued pullback in the broader stock market or even range. Vix may go sideways or range
VIX Volatility approaching a peak. Bottom sign for stocks?Last time we looked at the Volatility Index (VIX) on February 06 (see chart below), we caught its exact price action up until the current high:
It didn't affect the stock market though up until last week but the price is already approaching peak values. The long-term pattern has been a Channel Down since the September 28 2022 High and every Lower High since has been around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, completing at least a +80.56% rise from the Lower Low.
This zone currently falls between 20.05 (Fib 0.786) and 21.30 (+80.56%). That is the level we expect for VIX to peak, form a Lower High on the long-term Channel Down and a Higher High on the short-term Bullish Megaphone and then start a 2-3 month decline (Bearish Leg).
The previous two Bearish Legs have been fairly symmetrical (-61.52% to -63.56%) so technically we are looking at a 9.00 minimum Lower Low (-61.52%). Our Target is however slightly higher at 10.10, in case each Lower Low is formed on a decreasing rate.
Once VIX peaks and gets rejected downwards again, we will have a legitimate sign that the stock market volatility will start to ease and a bottom will be formed.
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VIX, no potential to break out?the closer Weekly BB to resistance, the better odds for VIX break out. Whilst everything is possible, I don't think it has the power or potential to break out.
TLT feels like bottoming somewhere this summer? depends on the inflation metrics. But FED itself believes inflation is coming down.
Often these one-time events are bought by the smart money. Depends if the conflict (mid east) escalates to something more? Maybe there's a broad market risk, outside the quality.
Volatility Indices Analysis (VIX10/VIX50/VIX75)Knowledge Required to nail these synthetic index pairs:
1, Good understanding of price Trend/directions
2, Absolute respect for Supports and Resistances
3, Knowledge of candle stick patterns
4, Discipline to use partial TP, SL
5, Discipline to wait for confirmations and only act when required
See the video for deeper understandinbg of VIX pairs.
Do you require support to make money using VIX pairs? check my profile for more.
S&P 500 - Recovery at Bouhmidi-BandsS&P 500 fell below the important level of 5200 and below the lower BB as well as the previous day's low after higher inflation data then expected. Now right after initial balance, we see a reversal towards the bandwidth. If the level is not reclaimed, the downward trend could continue today. The next targets would then be at BB (5148/5128).
VIX Rising Support Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
VIX is falling down to
Retest the long-term
Rising support line below
From where we will be
Expecting a local rebound
Buy!
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A VIX play for tomorrow with high probability and R:RIn this area the VIX is in a discount zone, with these stock market valuations on the side has more upside potential than downside.
Have a great day! :)
SPX: Bouhmidi-ReversalSPX starts with a gap-up and initially fails at the upper #BouhmidiBands. After the initial balance we have seen a breakout above upper Bouhmidi-Bands and now reverting back to bandwidth.
VIX Risky Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
VIX fell down sharply
And is down by almost 20%
From the recent major high
So the index is clearly oversold
Therefore, we will be expecting
A local bullish correction
From the rising support below
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DAX testing Bouhmidi-Bands -TrenddayXETR:DAX update - New all-time high due to an expected test of the upper #BouhmidiBand. Attention trend day. A breakout should bring new impulses with the US opening.
XAUUSD⚡️FOMC Minutes eyed⚡️❤️MY FOREX TEAM❤️
INFORMATION
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds above $2,000 during the early Asian session on Monday. US economic data suggests inflation is stickier than expected and prompted financial markets to dial back expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would start cutting interest rates in June. At press time, the gold price is trading at $2,014, gaining 0.12% on the day.
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SL @ 1977
TP 1 @ 1990
TP 2 @ 1998
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TP 2 @ 2010
TP 3 @ 2000
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❤️MY FOREX TEAM - Technical Analysis
Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS
❤️NOTE
XAU/USD holds above $2,000, PBOC rate decision, FOMC Minutes eyed
❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital
⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On
⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage
⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat
⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed
⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital
⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
XAUUSD Trendline Downside❤️MY FOREX TEAM❤️
INFORMATION
Gold price is set to finish the week with losses, even though has recovered some ground. According to the daily moving averages (DMAs), XAU’s is upward biased, but since reaching $2088 on December 28, it has printed successive series of lower highs/lows, opening the door for further downside. If XAU/USD prints a daily close below $2000, that could sponsor a leg-down to the 100-DMA at $1996.10, followed by the December 13 low of $1973.13. A breach of the latter will expose the 200-DMA at $1965.46.
🔥BUY AND SELL SIGANALS UPDATE ON MONDAY
❤️MY FOREX TEAM - Technical Analysis
Technical indicators SMA | EMA | MACD | SAR | VWAP | RSI | MARKET TREND | NEWS
❤️NOTE
Geopolitical Tension week gold in downtrend
❤️MONEY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
⚡️ Only Trade With Risk Capital
⚡️ Cut Losses Short, Let Profits Run On
⚡️ Avoid Using Too Much Leverage
⚡️ Avoid Taking Too Much Heat
⚡️ Do Not Give in to Greed
⚡️ Take profit equal to 4-6% of your capital
⚡️ Stop lose equal to 2-3% of your capital
VIX Futures Facing Resistance at 200-SMA with Bearish DivergenceVIX Futures are currently sitting at the 200 SMA on the 1-Hour Timeframe at Resistance with Bearish Divergence a looks to be preparing to go down to fill the gap it created on the spot market, likely after the CPI release.
VIX is getting ready to roll The VIX failed to close the opening gap it formed yesterday, which is slightly concerning news (especially if also considering an ongoing bloodbath in the Asian market and the potential spillover effect into Western equity markets). As a result, we are closely monitoring the resistance at $14.49; a breakout above it will bolster the bullish case for the VIX, while the gap's closing will suggest otherwise.
Technical analysis gauge
Daily time frame = Slightly bullish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
*The gauge does not necessarily indicate where the market will head. Instead, it reflects the constellation of RSI, MACD, Stochastic, DM+-, ADX, and moving averages.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Sector Rotation Before CPI (SPY, QQQ)Clear sector rotation has been observed a day before CPI data release on Tuesday morning. It seems traders are getting out of Technology ( AMEX:XLK ) stocks and defensive sectors like Utilities ( AMEX:XLU ), Basic Materials ( AMEX:XLB ) as well as Industrials ( AMEX:XLI ) have been climbing up.
HIGHLIGHT:
The chart depicts S&P 500 ETF ( AMEX:SPY ) along with a ranking of all the major sectors at the bottom of the chart in an hourly setup. During the final hours of the last trading day (Monday) there has been a sharp sell-off of tech stocks as the industrials and basic materials have climbed up in strength.
A slow decline in Health Care ( AMEX:XLV ) and gradual rise in Financials ( AMEX:XLF ) over last few days have also been observed.
Please note that the first CPI of the year (January) usually creates volatility in the market. Which has also been observed in above 3% rise in the Volatility Index ( CBOE:VIX / AMEX:UVXY ) looking into the CPI release.
s3.tradingview.com
✅VIX GROWTH AHEAD|LONG🚀
✅VIX has almost reached
A horizontal support level
Of 12.40$ and as VIX grows
Faster than it falls
Due to the peculiar nature of
The options on which
It's price is based we will
Be expecting a rapid
Rebound from the support
LONG🚀
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VIX showing that tension is expected soon in the stock markets.When we looked at the Volatility Index (VIX) on our November 07 2023 analysis (see chart below) we compared it with the S&P500 index (SPX) :
The S&P500 has reached the top of its Channel Up, while the VIX bottomed and is consolidating on a price action that is very similar to the July 27 2023 Low, which was the former Higher High of the S&P500 Channel Up.
Today we plot both VIX and the S&P500 on the same chart and not side by side. As you can see VIX's 1D RSI has bottomed and is rising within a Bullish Megaphone, indicating that the price has already bottomed, which is a Lower Low on the Channel Down pattern it has been trading within since the September 28 2022 High (which has also been the start of the 2023 recovery year for the stock markets). The SPX is illustrated by the thin black trend-line and being negatively correlated in nature, when VIX declined within this Channel, the stocks rose and vice versa.
Since October 23 2023, VIX started to decline again and that sparked the stock rise which is holding up to this day. VIX's bottom and rise though above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) within the Bullish Megaphone we just mentioned above, is an indication that the SPX has topped, similar to the February 02 2023 and July 27 2023 Highs, which where Lows for VIX's Channel Down.
The chart clearly shows that VIX has just started its own (dashed) Bullish Megaphone (has always done so a little after the RSI Bullish Megaphone) and that was been the start of the S&P500 decline during the Higher Highs we mentioned. As a result, we expect VIX's volatility to apply high pressure on the stock market in the next 4-6 weeks, which should technically bottom and turn into a buy opportunity again only after VIX closes a 1D candle below both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as it did on November 02 and March 28 2023.
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DAX - Gap close intraday XETR:DAX - The gap-up at the beginning was immediately closed again. Yesterday's previous day's range was almost completely filled. A fall below the previous day's low at 16859 could accelerate the downtrend intraday and target the lower #BouhmidiBand at 16784 next.
SPX starts sideways below Bouhmidi-Band One hour after opening we trade sideways above previous day high 4906 which acts as intraday support and below upper #BouhmidiBands at 4941 which acts resistance for now
SPX - Test of previous days high Adding the previous day's high and low (blue line) to the intraday #BouhmidiBands can provide further clues. At the beginning of the session we tested the previous day's high and did not overcome it. We wait for the initial balance until 16.30H.
