Get started

Volatilityindex

The VIX: A Measure of Market FearThe VIX, or Volatility Index, is a measure of the expected volatility of the S&P 500 index over the next 30 days. It is calculated using the prices of options on the S&P 500 index. A higher VIX indicates that market participants are expecting more volatility in the future, while a lower VIX indicates that they are expecting less volatility. The VIX is an important tool for investors because it can help them understand how risky the stock market is. A high VIX indicates that the market is expected to be volatile, which means that there is a greater chance of large price swings. This can make investing more risky, but it can also create opportunities for profit. The VIX is also correlated with the S&P 500 index. This means that the VIX tends to move in the opposite direction of the S&P 500. When the S&P 500 falls, the VIX tends to rise, and when the S&P 500 rises, the VIX tends to fall. This correlation is not perfect, but it is strong enough to be useful for investors. The VIX can be used in a variety of ways by investors. Some investors use the VIX to assess the risk of their portfolios. Others use the VIX to trade volatility, either by buying or selling VIX futures contracts. Still others use the VIX to hedge against risk in other assets. The VIX is a complex and volatile asset, but it can be a valuable tool for investors who understand how to use it. Here are some additional things to keep in mind about the VIX: The VIX is not a direct measure of the volatility of the stock market. It is a measure of the expected volatility, which means that it is based on the opinions of market participants. The VIX can be affected by a variety of factors, including economic news, political events, and natural disasters. The VIX is not always accurate. It can sometimes overshoot or undershoot the actual volatility of the stock market. Despite its limitations, the VIX is a valuable tool for investors. It can help investors understand the risk of the stock market and make informed investment decisions. I hope this post is helpful. This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted. This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
CAPITALCOM:VIXEducation
by YExplore
2
Opening gap not retraced yetOne thing we would like to point out is yesterday's opening gap in the Volatility S&P 500 Index. A failure of the price to fill the gap risks rekindling the volatility in the short-term future. As such, it is something we are paying attention to. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
10
🔥 The Calm Before the Storm: Bitcoin's Volatility AnalyzedIn our latest analysis, we explore Bitcoin's unfolding volatility patterns. Notably, the bottom indicator highlights a distinct drop in Bitcoin's 7-day volatility, as depicted by the green metric. Historical data consistently suggests that such low volatility precedes significant market movement. While periods of low volatility can span weeks, they invariably culminate in a pronounced shift. Previously, I discussed Bitcoin's volatility and predicted a potential downturn risk. My perspective remains unchanged. Given that September traditionally presents challenges for crypto performance, and considering the precedent set by pre-halving years exhibiting roughly 50% bullishness (a trend we observed at the year's start), there's a strong inclination toward upcoming bearish trends. Although positive ETF news might temporarily boost the market, a surge in selling is anticipated in the near future. If you wish to use this indicator yourself, check out this link below: Which direction do you think that the market will go? Share in the comments 🙏
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FieryTrading
32
Volatility heads up given - watch this one!This is the VXX (VIX ETN) and can be used as an indicative heads up to the equity market volatility. We are now at a rather unique point where the rubber band has been stretched so far, and at a point where you can just feel the tremor of it about to snap… The daily chart of the VXX has been falling over the months, and in recent weeks, there is a long term MACD divergence that has not been sorted. This happened as the equity markets pushed much further up. This week saw a quick retracement and the VXX acted accordingly. The thing here is that this time, the VolDiv indicator got aligned. With these two aligned and about to break up into bullish territory (above zero), it give good heads up that a volatility spike is about to happen. Concomitant to the equity indexes falling off the cliff. It does not look like it will happen in the immediate term, but within weeks to come IMHO.
CBOE:VXXLong
by Auguraltrader
Low Volatility Clue to Upcoming Growth 📉🚀🔍 The Quiet Before the Surge: Imagine the market as a serene pond, not a ripple in sight. That's low volatility, my friend! But here's the juicy part: it's like the market is catching its breath before leaping into action. 🚀 Springboard to Momentum: Low volatility? Think of it as the trampoline for a potential price leap. The calm is like the calm before a concert – the band's tuning up, and the audience is in for a treat. In the crypto world, that treat might just be a price rally. 💡The Precursor to Uptrend: When the market's rocking low volatility, it's like a hush before the storm – a storm of bullish action, that is. Keep your eyes peeled because this serene moment often precedes an upward price movement. 🚴‍♂️Traders' Playground: Traders love these tranquil spells. They're like pit stops during a race, a chance to strategize and gear up for what's next. A little breather, a lot of potential. So, what's the low-volatility takeaway? 🌌 It's not just a downtime; it's a heads-up for traders and investors. The calm might just be the quiet you need to brace yourself for a burst of excitement. Stay curious, watch the charts, and get ready for the market's next groove! 📊🎉 ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and leave a nice comment, it will allow me to move faster and make more useful content! 💚💚💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
4
🔥 Bitcoin Yearly Volatility New All-Time Lows: BIG Move Coming!If you enjoy this analysis, please give it a like and a follow. Over the last few weeks I've made multiple analyses on Bitcoin incredibly low volatility and intra-day price movements. In this analysis I want to expand on those and look at BTC's yearly volatility (as opposed to the weekly). The bottom, orange, indicator "BVOL" tells us that the YEARLY volatility of BTC has made a new all-time low. This means that, relatively, Bitcoin's intra-year price movement has never been lower than it has been now. First of all, this is to be expected with Bitcoin becoming a larger, and more traded asset. You won't see the SP500 making +10% weeks very often, while it's till relatively common for Bitcoin. Second, volume has dried up as traders have left the space. To add on top of this, Bitcoin's price action has been simply terrible since April this year. Low volatility periods are very often followed by high volatility periods. We can have this low price action for a long time, but it will always end with a bang: a big move in either direction.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by FieryTrading
37
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1M, Jule, 2023.Analysis of the volatility index in Jule. Time interval - 1 month. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (Jule): 1. BINANCE:WLDUSDT WLD/usdt - 1444% (High&Low: 3426.67%) 2. BINANCE:ARKMUSDT ARKM/usdt - 917.80% (High&Low: 1680%) 3. BINANCE:XVGUSDT XVG/usdt - 98.85% (High&Low: 294.56%) 4. BINANCE:STMXUSDT STMX/usdt - 58.71% (High&Low: 295.75%) 5. BINANCE:MKRUSDT MKR/usdt - 47.53% (High&Low: 67.63%) 6. BINANCE:XRPUSDT XRP/usdt - 47.48% (High&Low: 101.59%) 7. BINANCE:XLMUSDT XLM/usdt - 35.50% (High&Low: 92.86%) 8. BINANCE:TOMOUSDT TOMO/usdt - 34.08% (High&Low: 77.35%) 9. BINANCE:KNCUSDT KNC/usdt - 29.03% (High&Low: 53.98%) 10. BINANCE:OGNUSDT OGN/usdt - 28.34% (High&Low: 89.23%) 11. BINANCE:COMBOUSDT COMBO/usdt - 26.50% (High&Low: 38.16%) 12. BINANCE:SOLUSDT SOL/usdt - 25.89% (High&Low: 75.49%) 13. BINANCE:CRVUSDT CRV/usdt - 25.49% (High&Low: 45.60%) 14. BINANCE:MAVUSDT MAV/usdt - 24.91% (High&Low: 68.04%) 15. BINANCE:UNIUSDT UNI/usdt - 23.87% (High&Low: 29.60%) The coin showed the worst result: BINANCE:ENJUSDT ENJ/usdt - 0.1% (High&Low: 22.01%). Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com Thanks for your attention!
by StCogitans
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1M, June, 2023.Analysis of the volatility index in June. Time interval - 1 month. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (June): 1. BINANCE:MAVUSDT MAV/usdt - 718.40% (High&Low: 3860%) 2. BINANCE:BCHUSDT BCH/usdt - 168.49% (High&Low: 210.68%) 3. BINANCE:XECUSDT XEC/usdt - 64.61% (High&Low: 93.72%) 4. BINANCE:COMPUSDT COMP/usdt - 55.80% (High&Low: 101.03%) 5. BINANCE:COMBOUSDT COMBO/usdt - 50.98% (High&Low: 73.35%) 6. BINANCE:BNXUSDT BNX/usdt - 46.54% (High&Low: 64.23%) 7. BINANCE:EDUUSDT EDU/usdt - 46.16% (High&Low: 53.69%) 8. BINANCE:LINAUSDT LINA/usdt - 40.68% (High&Low: 86%) 9. BINANCE:IDUSDT ID/usdt - 40.04% (High&Low: 49.63%) 10. BINANCE:HIGHUSDT HIGH/usdt - 37.64% (High&Low: 64.64%) 11. BINANCE:XVGUSDT XVG/usdt - 36.24% (High&Low: 124.60%) 12. BINANCE:AGLDUSDT AGLD/usdt - 32.28% (High&Low: 53.27%) 13. BINANCE:MKRUSDT MKR/usdt - 30.66% (High&Low: 54.87%) 14. BINANCE:ACHUSDT ACH/usdt - 30.55% (High&Low: 53.81%) 15. BINANCE:CFXUSDT CFX/usdt - 29.75% (High&Low: 43.97%) The coin showed the worst result: BINANCE:ARBUSDT ARB/usdt - 0.28% (High&Low: 30.25%). Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com Thanks for your attention!
by StCogitans
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1h, November, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in November. Time interval - 1 hour. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (1 hour): 1. PHB /busd - 1413.67% (High&Low: 3119.4%) 2. MASK /usdt - 1386.55% (High&Low: 2940.2%) 3. BAND /usdt - 1266.71% (High&Low: 2605.56%) 4. AMB /busd - 1068.75% (High&Low: 2363.97%) 5. LEVER /busd - 1061.4% (High&Low: 2339.31%) 6. PEOPLE /usdt - 1034.08% (High&Low: 2146.72%) 7. DYDX /usdt - 1008.12% (High&Low: 2113.56%) 8. GTC /usdt - 1006.37% (High&Low: 2069.63%) 9. SFP /usdt - 959.68% (High&Low: 2125.98%) 10. CHZ /usdt - 946.32% (High&Low: 1971.69%) 11. SOL /usdt - 915.31% (High&Low: 1899.99%) 12. LIT /usdt - 874% (High&Low: 1793.31%) 13. DODO /busd - 869.22% (High&Low: 1759.8%) 14. AR /usdt - 857.38% (High&Low: 1782.73%) 15. SUSHI /usdt - 855.32% (High&Low: 1774.11%) The coin showed the worst result: BTC /usdt - 287.52% (High&Low: 644.26%) Thanks for your attention!
P
by StCogitans
2
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1D, November, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in November. Time interval - 1 day. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (1 day): 1. MASK /usdt - 361.63% (High&Low: 696.13%) 2. BAND /usdt - 337.16% (High&Low: 715.42%) 3. LEVER /busd - 279.01% (High&Low: 624.26%) 4. PHB /busd - 265.87% (High&Low: 816.13%) 5. SFP /usdt - 260% (High&Low: 543.59%) 6. DYDX /usdt - 228.3% (High&Low: 473.58%) 7. SOL /usdt - 224.96% (High&Low: 403.6%) 8. GTC /usdt - 221.38% (High&Low: 481.87%) 9. CHZ /usdt - 213.19% (High&Low: 415.79%) 10. CELO /usdt - 205.89% (High&Low: 380.34%) 11. C98 /usdt - 203.71% (High&Low: 405.97%) 12. REN /usdt - 203.28% (High&Low: 452.57%) 13. AMB /busd - 202.06% (High&Low: 553.96%) 14. APE /usdt - 201.33% (High&Low: 380.98%) 15. CRV /usdt - 201.2% (High&Low: 396.61%) The coin showed the worst result: CTK /usdt - 69.79% (High&Low: 170.42%). Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com Thanks for your attention!
by StCogitans
Overview of Cryptocurrency Volatility - 1M, November, 2022.Analysis of the volatility index in November. Time interval - 1 month. Currency - USDT or equivalent to BUSD . The selection is carried out according to the lists of cryptocurrencies that are represented on the spot and futures markets, with a total of more than a hundred coins. Top 15 Coins (November): 1. MASK /usdt - 73,79% (High&Low: 168,02%) 2. BAND /usdt - 65,23% (High&Low: 218,19%) 3. SOL /usdt - 56,52% (High&Low: 85,51%) 4. NEAR /usdt - 44,51% (High&Low: 64,77%) 5. LTC /usdt - 43,87% (High&Low: 65,54%) 6. REEF /usdt - 41,64% (High&Low: 85,66%) 7. APT /usdt - 39,85% (High&Low: 61,5%) 8. HNT /busd - 39,5% (High&Low: 61,75%) 9. KAVA /usdt - 39,08% (High&Low: 50%) 10. MANA /usdt - 38,64% (High&Low: 57,78%) 11. GALA /usdt - 38,23% (High&Low: 48,02%) 12. ANC /busd - 35% (High&Low: 57,89%) 13. LUNA /usdt - 33,8% (High&Low: 59,45%) 14. FLOW /usdt - 32,42% (High&Low: 59,34%) 15. SAND /usdt - 32,17% (High&Low: 53,61%) The coin showed the worst result: BCH /usdt - 1.3% (High&Low: 33.91%). Full list of analyzed coins: www.tradingview.com Analysis information for all coins: docs.google.com Thanks for your attention!
by StCogitans
SVXY a volatility ETF play LONGSVXY is the ETF shorting the VIXX ( and UVXY) which pumped hard this past trading session. It goes up when volatility goes down and vice-vera. VIXX is expected to drop after the trama in the market starting at 1PM when the Treasuries auctions were duds with little transactions occurring and the financial data reported in the late morning. SVXY dropped to its near term lows as the VIXX too off. SVXY bounced above the long term anchored mean black VWAP line which provides a logical stop loss at 85.65. The relative trend indicator shows the dip and early recovery while the RS indicator shows low and high time frame lines bottoming and reversing with the low blue line above the higher black time frame line. I see this as a long trade setup targeting the pivot highs in the near left of the price trend or about 90.5, A similar trade would be to short UVXY in a trend down.
CBOE:SVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
Is it finally time for a vol event?I know everyone thinks volatility is dead because it largely hasn't moved for the past year, however, I think that could be changing in the near future. The market has largely felt similar to how it did before the covid drop. People ignoring the risks right in front of them and blindly thinking the market will continue up. The chart is telling me it might be time for volatility to pick up. Maybe Thursday or Friday this week? If we do get a vol event, I think it'll be a sharp one, with ~100% rise likely up into the $40 resistances. Let's see if it plays out. I bought a lot of calls just incase it happens.
CBOE:VXXLong
by benjihyam
VIX - THE RECESSION INEVITABLE?The "VIX = Volatility Index S&P500" has predicted us in the last 3 decades, quite reliable possible "extreme movements". = Why in the next 2-years such an event could occur, we will take a closer look in the following article. WHAT IS THE VOLATILITY INDEX S&P500 = Expresses the expected range of fluctuation of the U.S. stock index S&P 500. = To determine volatility, it measures the distribution of options that run on these stocks. TABLE OF CONTENTS - 1st part = VIX - 2nd part = VIX PROPERTIES + USE - 3rd part = CURRENT SITUATION - 4th part = CONCLUSION PART ONE "PAST." If you compare the past of the "VIX" with the S&P500, you will notice that the - 36.47 - mark played / continues to play a very important role. Every time the "VIX" exceeded the - 36.47 -, there was extreme volatility in the S&P500 and other asset classes. PAST EXTREME MOVEMENTS . > 01.10.1998 > 01.10.2008 > 03/02/2020 (near crash) Why the VIX has such a big impact on the S&P500 and how we can actively factor this into our trading follows in part two. PART TWO "VIX CHARACTERISTICS" The "VIX" provides information on how serious fluctuations could be based on the option volume. = "VIX" goes up -> Statistically more likely that the S&P500 will fall. = "VIX" goes down -> Probably that the S&P500 gains slightly. Additionally, it can be noted that as soon as the "VIX" gets close to - 36.47 - many market participants take profits. WHY IS THIS SO? The market has already reached a "VERY VOLATILE point". > Price - FALLS - fast = SHORT positions will take profits > BUY > Price - RISES - fast = LONG positions will take profits > SELL CONSIDERATION OF "VIX" IN TRADING? "VIX" = Negative correlation to the S&P500 = "VIX" goes up = S&P500 goes down. = This negative correlation occurs because institutional investors use options to hedge against high volatility (hedge against stocks). RISING "VIX" = less liquidity in the stock markets + position reduction = stocks fall FALLING "VIX" = More liquidity in the equity markets + position building = equities rise PART THREE "CURRENT SITUATION" > The "CORONA crash" could not make a new HH in the "VIX", which is why this could still be pending at the current view. = 2020 the market "fell" "35.41%" in the SPX = 2008 the market "fell" "57.69%" in the SPX With the technical analysis, I come with the current constellation, to a higher "VIX" value than the 2008 reached. = which would mean a bigger sell-off. > Since 2018, we have been testing a "falling resistance line." = Similar resistance lines resulted in the past when broken, with significant volatility + movement in the S&P500 (= traditional markets). = The current resistance line has been respected several times, resulting in reactions. > The "rising resistance line" since 1990 + "the arc" + "the macroeconomic environment", suggest another "VIX" breakout . > The rising resistance line was tested at the two "extremes" - 01.10.1998 + 01.10.2008 - on. = this meant, both times, the temporary end of the extreme volatility = in 2020 we could not reach it, which additionally suggests another "breakout". > If the price trend continues to consider the direction of the arc, then this leads us to a much higher target than 2008 / ever before. PART FOUR CONCLUSION "If the VIX is high, then it's time to buy, if the VIX is slow, it's time to go" > Regardless of the outcome of the analysis, anyone who hasn't used the VIX before should now have gained a little insight. The future looks anything but bright for now, however we can use this time to learn and grow . The VIX could delay the final decision for another 2-years, which is certainly to the advantage of each of us. = Despite this still "long" period of time, a decision will be made in the future. > Let's discuss it in the comments and exchange our perspectives, your view on the whole thing would interest me "burning". If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would greatly appreciate a review of it. Thank you and happy trading!
TVC:VIXLong
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
12
VIX 2008 Repeat VolatilitySee the illustration traced from the 2008 volatility spike leading into the GFC. As it can be seen visually, the similarities are present. The news cycle appears to be dominated by a similar set of events, including the collapse of the 2020's version of Bernie Madoff, SBF. I doubt the volatility will play out in a continuous fashion, as the Fed as new tools to their disposal. I expect some difference in the delay or outcome, but not a significant one.
TVC:VIXLong
by rwoods187
1
VIX is back to the pre-2020 market crash levelsIn early June 2023, we noted that VIX reached levels that preceded the 2022 market meltdown. After that, the index continued lower and advanced toward levels unseen since January 2020 (levels that preceded the 2020 market crash). The current low value of VIX reflects extremely high complacency in the market and the growing dismissal of any economic downturn on the horizon. With many people already thinking that recession is averted and the market is poised to continue only up, we wonder whether the time for contrarian play is slowly approaching us. As a result, we will monitor the market very closely and look for signs that will prompt us to action. We will update our thoughts on the subject with the emergence of new significant developments. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
4
VIX/VVIX Divergence before large drawdownsJust happened to be playing with a few things on tradingview today, thinking of new ways to identify trade opportunities. I often have to keep reminding myself to zoom out to see the bigger picture. This is one of those instances where I might have stumbled upon something useful for very long term trade trends. As many know, VIX is an extremely useful indicator of market sentiment, it also signifies part of what makes up extrinsic value of options contracts. On the longer term time frame, you can see in a bull market volatility slowly compressing lower and lower. Lower highs, lower lows. Eventually, that trend starts to reverse as more and more large players maybe begin to take profits and go short, and more options hedging happen towards the downside. VVIX is a further still derivative of that. It's the measure of volatility of volatility. What I did today was take VIX and divide it by VVIX and see what pattern emerged. At a glance, it's not far off VIX by itself, but, I did notice that weeks or even a couple months before a large market downmove, it gives a little more advance warning that a big sell off was imminent. A solid warning is the lowest low followed by two higher lows, as seen here: If I instead plot VIX by itself, you see a double, maybe triple bottom at near enough the same low before you get a higher low. In the case of the second half of 2018, there actually wasn't an advanced warning at all: But, what VIX by itself does show, that VIX/VVIX did not, is a lower high when the market found bottom in October/November 2022. VIX showed a lower high, VIX/VVIX shows the highest high at that point. So, always worth glancing at both on a long term chart if you're looking for very long term bets on the market and trying what normally is considered a fool's errand to call the tops and bottoms of every bear and bull cycle. It might still be a fool's errand, but maybe this helps some of us get a little closer to being able to pull that off. With that being said, we have just set a new low in both VIX and VIX/VVIX for the year, even though we just had a down week (6/20-23/2023), I'm not convinced we stay down for long until maybe I see such a pattern appear again with higher lows appearing in VIX/VVIX.
TVC:VIX
by dieseldub
UVXY Potential Early Bear Flag Channel Entry at Moving AveragesThe UVXY is currently trading at the 89 Day EMA among other Moving Averages that it's often reversed from; if it reverses from here again and hits the bottom of the Potential Parallel Channel that will confirm the Validity of the Parallel Channel. If it breaks down from this Parallel Channel that will be a Bearflag breakdown that could take it down anywhere betwen the 1.618 to even the 2.618 which should signal a rally in the SPX. For the time being this is a speculative early entry.
CBOE:UVXYShort
by RizeSenpai
VIX is back to the 2021 level that preceeded market meltdownVIX fell below $16 after trying to take hold of $20 last week. The current value of VIX coincides with that, which it contained in November 2021, just before the market meltdown began. Taking into consideration that interest rates are nothing like they were in 2021 and the rally in stocks has been thus far driven mainly by a handful of companies, we are growing increasingly worried about the complacency present in the market. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
8