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India VIXHello & welcome to this analysis As nifty tests (and probably is to move further down) India VIX appears to have bottomed out. This suggests volatility spike is very likely to happen from here onwards. VIX spikes lead to gap openings and large candle formations intra day. There is a high probability that VIX could test 18 & 20 if it sustains above 16. While it gives fantastic yields when on the correct side of the trend (on a particular session) it can hurt much more if you are on the wrong side of the trade due to gap openings and faster breaks of support/resistance. Conclusion reduce your derivative exposure for overnight trades and as always keep a stop loss in the terminal and respect it Save Capital
NSE:INDIAVIX
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
Market now looking to go BearishWith the massive selloff in the market today and the great setup on the VIX it is looking like this little bull run could now be over. In my 2 chart pics I have the daily charts of the SPY and the VXX. This looks very obvious that the VXX is ready to spike which will send the market lower. It is always important when determining where the market is going, to look at the vix. If the vxx is bearish the market is likely bullish, if the vxx is bullish the market will likely be bearish. It will mostly be opposite. So right now the VXX is setting up very bullish for Friday. I will be mostly looking for bearish setups to trade on Friday for the top stocks and indicess Now it is also important to view the futures over night because they could easily turn around a rally setting up for a gap up in the SPY the next day.
CBOE:VXX
by Dancharles
VIX: VOLATILITY CYCLES / PREDICTION / EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGEDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided a SEMI-MACRO analysis of VIX. I have decided to reduce the number of BARS that it will take for the Volatility Index to see its next price action cycle with past cycles lasting up too 250, 300, or 375 BARS to complete. With current price action trajectory and support it appears 250 BARS would be the most suitable span of time for this current cycle to complete. POINTS: 1. Deviation of 7 Points Remains the same for SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET PLACEMENT. 2. 8 YEAR UPTREND Line has nearly made contact & is indicative of VIX seeing a rubber band reaction to the upside. 3. Current DOWNTREND pattern is being squeezed against 8 year trend. IMO: If price action sees a break to the upside past 21.50 it will be a sure enough bet that VIX will then be looking for 26 Points. EMA'S: PAY CLOSE ATTENTION TO TIGHT MOMENTUM OF ALL THREE EMA'S (45,100,200) WHICH USUALLY INDICATIVE OF UPCOMING SHIFT IN TREND. RSI: In regard to RSI crucial pivot point levels are mapped by using past positions held by RSI when VIX would eventually bottom out. MACD: The VIX and MACD share a parallel relationship in the way that as soon as MACD touches MEDIAN and switches directions price action on VIX will come to see a shift in momentum. Currently MACD is in negative territory but should be another solid indicator for when VIX is ready to rubber band to the upside. SCENARIO #1: In a BULLISH scenario price action continues to be supported by threshold at 19 & by March 8th it would be inevitable for PRICE ACTION to not be carried TO THE UPSIDE by the 45 EMA with current TRAJECTORY if SUPPORT OF 19 HOLDS. SCENARIO #2: In a BEARISH scenario this setup would become invalidated if price action is to BREAK TO THE DOWNSIDE past the 19 SUPPORT LEVEL. And would depend on a future hold of of at least 16.80 to be held in order to respect 8 YEAR UPTREND. FULL CHART LINK: www.tradingview.com TVC:VIX
TVC:VIXLong
by DGSTBROKERACC
1
VIX GAPS COULD NOT BE EASIER!Here we have another gap, and these really seem to play well on the VIX! Not guaranteed but something to watch. DXY is holding strong as well ;) Not financial advice, DYOR www.investopedia.com Gaps are spaces on a chart that emerge when the price of the financial instrument significantly changes with little or no trading in-between. Gaps occur unexpectedly as the perceived value of the investment changes, due to underlying fundamental or technical factors. Gaps are classified as breakaway, exhaustion, common, or continuation, based on when they occur in a price pattern and what they signal. How to Play the Gaps There are many ways to take advantage of these gaps, with a few strategies more popular than others. Some traders will buy when fundamental or technical factors favor a gap on the next trading day. For example, they'll buy a stock after hours when a positive earnings report is released, hoping for a gap up on the following trading day. Traders might also buy or sell into highly liquid or illiquid positions at the beginning of a price movement, hoping for a good fill and a continued trend. For example, they may buy a currency when it is gapping up very quickly on low liquidity and there is no significant resistance overhead. Some traders will fade gaps in the opposite direction once a high or low point has been determined (often through other forms of technical analysis). For example, if a stock gaps up on some speculative report, experienced traders may fade the gap by shorting the stock. Lastly, traders might buy when the price level reaches the prior support after the gap has been filled. An example of this strategy is outlined below. Here are the key things you will want to remember when trading gaps: Once a stock has started to fill the gap, it will rarely stop, because there is often no immediate support or resistance. Exhaustion gaps and continuation gaps predict the price moving in two different directions—be sure you correctly classify the gap you are going to play. Retail investors are the ones who usually exhibit irrational exuberance; however, institutional investors may play along to help their portfolios, so be careful when using this indicator and wait for the price to start to break before taking a position. Be sure to watch the volume. High volume should be present in breakaway gaps, while low volume should occur in exhaustion gaps.
TVC:VIX
by ChartProphet
4
S&P500 against VIX showing some bumpy road aheadThis is the S&P500 index (SPX) against the Volatility Index (VIX). We've charted VIX's Cycles since June 2020 where the bottoms are in essence alarms and signals to be on the look out to sell and take profits on stocks while the tops are buy signals to enter the market. Based on that model, VIX appears to be entering the rising curve, meaning that a sell alarm is starting to ring. Given the fact that the price is approaching a Resistance level where it was rejected two times already, we may see a decent drop. If the drop isn't delivered and it was just the two day quick pull-back of January 18/19, then the Cycle pattern may start to invalidate the strong drops of the Bear Cycle and instead mimic the blue-print of the 2020 - 2021 small pull-backs. That would indicate that the Bear Cycle is over and that S&P500 has officially entered the new Bull Cycle. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
1
Comparison of BTC and Historical Volatility (BVOL)TF: D Comparing symbol: BVOL Pretty interesting set-up on Bitcoin and the crypto market in general. Bitcoin volatility is a historic low right now and historically when volatility reaches a low in this general area price action really ticks up (both downwards and upwards). This is marked by the pink horizontal lines on the chart. I am expecting some big volatility and price movement over the next several months. Keep in mind that if volatility is low it doesn't mean an uptrend will occur and has no meaning in which way price will trend, it just signifies a potential increase in volatility. What is even more interesting is usually volatility spikes when lows are reached, but it looks like volatility is slowly trending down. With smart trading and a good understanding of price action, this might give great opportunities to capitalize on the market.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MC_Mike_Trading
1
VIX: VOLATILITY INCOMING??? / CHART UPDATE / SUPPLY & DEMANDDESCRIPTION: In the chart above I have provided an UPDATED MACRO chart for the VIX with more reliable SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKET PLACEMENT & UPDATED TRAJECTORY. POINTS: 1. DEVIATION of 7 POINTS in PRICE ACTION places SUPPLY & DEMAND POCKETS where most STABLE CONSOLIDATION OCCURS. 2. Current trend shows a DESCENDING CHANNEL with VIX NEARLY DOWN 50% 3. MACD'S LOWEST POINTS decides PERIODS where VOLATILITY comes to an END. 4. UPCOMING PREDICTION OF POSSIBLE NEW LOW IS FORMULATED FROM AN AVERAGE OF PERIODS MARKED BETWEEN LOWEST POINTS OF MACD THEREFORE: 91 Days + 135 Days + 109 Days = ROUGHLY 112 Days. 5. RSI signals increased VOLATILITY AFTER BREAK of 40 on RSI. *IMPORTANT: SUPPORT at 19 has OFFICIALLY BEEN BROKEN. LOSS of 19 CAN BE A STRONG INDICATOR FOR OVERALL MARKET RALLY IN THE POSITIVE. SCENARIO ONLY ONE: IF YOU ARE A BEAR YOU WANT TO SEE A REGAIN OF 19 SUPPORT AND FURTHER PUSH DOWNWARD FOR BULLS. TVC:VIX
TVC:VIX
by DGSTBROKERACC
What is a Spread in Forex?Hello hello! In this post, we'll take a look at the basic principles behind the spread in forex market and why it is important. In the foreign exchange market, the spread is the difference between the bid price and the ask price for a particular currency pair. The bid price is the highest price that a market maker is willing to pay for a currency, while the ask price is the lowest price at which a market maker is willing to sell the same currency. The spread, therefore, represents the cost of trading a particular currency pair. When trading in the forex market, traders usually buy a currency at the ask price and then sell it at a higher bid price, hoping to make a profit. The spread is the difference between the two prices and it represents the trader's cost of trading that currency pair. The spread is usually expressed in pips, which is the smallest unit of price change in the forex market. For example, if the bid price for EUR/USD is 1.0735 and the ask price is 1.0740, the spread would be 5 pips. The size of the spread can vary depending on the currency pair being traded and the market conditions. Some currency pairs, such as the major pairs like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, tend to have relatively tight spreads, while others, such as the exotic pairs, can have wider spreads. Also, the spread can vary depending on the trading conditions, for instance, during high volatility period, such as economic news release, the spread tend to widen. In forex trading, traders should always be aware of the spread as it represents a cost of trading and it affects the trader's potential profits and losses. Spreads are usually factored into a trader's profit and loss calculations and it is important to consider the spread before opening a trade. Some brokers also offer variable spreads and fixed spreads, it is important to be aware of the difference between the two. Many online forex brokers now offer variable spreads, which means that the spread will change depending on the market conditions, but some brokers also offer fixed spreads, which means that the spread will remain the same regardless of market conditions.
Education
by m_maia14