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Volatilityindicator

Bouhmidi-Bands and Overnight Session - Name of the Game The overnight range was the name of the game today. As mentioned earlier, we were looking for a potential break in either direction. After establishing the initial balance, we saw a test of the overnight session low (5019), which was successfully defended. Subsequently, buyers entered the market, leading to a push higher in $ES. This move broke the high of the overnight session (5036), confirming bullish momentum and surpassing the previous day high (5058) & upper #BouhmidiBand, reaching a peak at 1.3s BB (5074). In the last 1.5 hours, NYSE:ES retraced back within the Bouhmidi-Bands.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by SalahBouhmidi
2
VTYX- Buy the Pullback after a massive Bullish Surge LONGVTYX is an illustrative case in the trend is your friend. VTTX warmed up on Frbruary 20th and went parabolic on the next day and then faded while the moving averages and VWAP lines caught up. This is a buyable dip. It has now printed a couple of engulfing bullish candles. VTYX did less than a full 0.5 retracement as a sign of strength. I will take a long trade here targeting 16% upside to the top pivot of the recent price action. If the price can reach the target I will take half screening for higher-than-normal volatility. At present the volatility has mildly popped over the running mean telling me the continuation is on the ready. The plus here is earnings will report on March 24th so there is one month for traders to run the price up on this stock in that anticipation. Options are avaiable for call contracts expiring March 15th.
NASDAQ:VTYXLong
by AwesomeAvani
TSLA moves yield volatility and trader profit LONGTSLA is shown here on a 15 minute chart with a set of anchored VWAP bands. A relative volume indicator shows spiking volumes each and every morning and fades as the trading session wears on. Overall, TSLA trends between the upper and higher VWAP bands and their counterparts below the mean VWAP. Like most other stocks, TSLA has periods of ranging and other periods where it trends. Day traders can capture intraday volatility while swing traders can sometimes get a 10% move over 2-3 days. In the past month TSLA moved 5% up overall. However, in that move price fluctuated widely which has been exploited by traders. The high trading volumes keep spreads very low while the volatility makes options trading very challenging. Que sera, sera.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AwesomeAvani
3
Beating the S&P500 (SPX) Buy&Hold strategy by 16 timesS&P500 (SPX) strategy using Stochastic RSI Min-Max, normalized Volatility and Trailing Stop signals, beats the Buy&Hold strategy by 16 times Embarking on the quest to time the market accurately, the 'Holy Grail' of strategies, led me to create a script to approach this goal. Unlike other strategies that I tested, this one not only surpasses the long-term S&P500 Buy&Hold approach but does so by a remarkable 16.38 times! Initially, I employed an A.I. program based on an LSTM Neural Network using TensorFlow. Despite achieving a 55% next-day prediction accuracy for short/long positions, I sought improvement using a heuristic pine-scripting approach, incorporating stochastic RSI oscillators, moving averages, and volatility signals. With default parameters, this strategy, freely available as "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" delivered a staggering 2,663,001% profit since February 1871. In the same period, the Buy&Hold strategy "only" generated 162,599% profit. Picture this: a $1,000 investment in 1871 would now be worth $26,630,014 by February 2024. Check it out for yourself loading this strategy. The script operates as a Stochastic RSI Min-Max script, automatically generating buy and sell alerts on the S&P500 SPX. What sets it apart? The strategy detects "corrections," minimizes losses using Trailing Stop and Moving Average parameters, and strategically re-enters the market after detecting bottoms using tuned Stochastic RSI signals and normalized Volatility thresholds. Tailor its parameters to your preference, use it for strategic exits and entries, or stick to the Buy&Hold strategy and start new buy trades at regular intervals using buy signals only. In the pursuit of minimizing losses, the script has learned the effectiveness of a 9% trailing stop on trades. As you can clearly see on the upper graph (revolving around 100), the average overall green surfaces (profits) of all trades are much bigger than the average red surfaces (losses). This follows Warren Buffets first rule of trading to "Never lose money" and thus minimizing losses. Update: Advanced S&P500 Stochastic RSI Min-Max Buy/Sell Alert Generator I have also created an Alerter script based on the same engine as this script, which auto-generates buy and sell alert signals (via e-mail, in-app push-notifications, pop-ups etc.). The script is currently fine-tuned for the S&P500 SPX tracker, but parameters can be fine-tuned upon request for other trackers or stocks. If you are interested in this alerter-version script or fine-tuning other trackers, please drop me a message or mail xplorr at live dot com. How to use this Strategy? Select the SPX (S&P500) graph and set the value to "Day" values (top) and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right). Select in the Indicators the "XPloRR S&P500 Stock Market Crash Detection Strategy v2" script and set "Auto Fit Data To Screen" (bottom-right) Look in the strategy tester overview to optimize the values "Percent Profitable" and "Net Profit" (using the strategy settings icon, you can increase/decrease the parameters). How to interpret the graphical information? In the SPX graph, you will see the Buy(Blue) and Sell(Purple) labels created by the strategy. The green/red graph below shows the accumulated profit/loss in % of to the initial buy value of the trade (it revolves around 100%, 110 means 10% profit, 95 means 5% loss) The small purple blocks indicate out-of-trade periods The green graph below the zero line is the stochastic RSI buy signal. You can set a threshold (green horizontal line). The vertical green lines show minima below that threshold and indicate possible buy signals. The blue graph above the zero line is the normalized volatility signal. You can set a threshold (blue horizontal line) affecting buy signals. The red graph above the zero line is the slower stochastic RSI sell signal. You can set a threshold (red horizontal line). The red areas indicate values above that threshold. However real exits are triggered if close values are crossing below the trailing stop value or optionally when the fast moving average crosses under the slow one. The red areas above the threshold are rather indicative to show that the SPX is expensive and not ideal to enter. Please note that in bullish periods the red line and areas can stay at a permanent high value, so it is not ideal to use as a strict sell signal. However, when it drops below zero and the green vertical lines appear, these are strong buy signals together with a high volatility. These Parameters can be changed Buy Stochastic Lookback Buy Stochastic Smoother Buy Threshold Buy Only After Fall Minimum % Fall Sell Stochastic Lookback Sell Stochastic Smoother Sell Threshold Sell Only With Profit Minimum % Profit Use Sell MA Fast MA Sell Slow MA Sell MA Sell Threshold Use Buy Volatility Volatility Smoother Volatility Threshold Use Trailing Stop Use ATR (iso of a fixed percentage for the trailing stop) ATR Lookback Trailing Stop Factor(or fixed percentage if "use ATR" is false) Trailing Stop Smoother Important : optimizing and using these parameters is no guarantee for future winning trades!
SP:SPXEducation
by XPl0RR
SPX - A day in a life of a short trader Even if we had the FED meeting today - It was a clear and visible that selling pressure will lead the way. SPX started with a gap down and showed no attempt to close the gap at open or within first hour (initial balance). Right after intial balance we broke wit lower Bouhmidi-Band indicating more selling pressure to come. After two attempts to regain the first lower BB we saw in the last 30 minutes of trading more sell orders coming in and confirmation for trend continuation. At the end we close below of 2 sigma Bouhmidi-Band. SPX lost 1,6% at the end.
SP:SPXShort
by SalahBouhmidi
Mastering Stop-Loss with ATR IndicatorMastering Stop-Loss and Take-Profit with ATR Indicator What is the ATR Indicator? The Average True Range (ATR) indicator is a nifty tool that helps traders gauge the market's volatility. Simply, it tells you how much an asset typically moves in a given timeframe. Placing Stop Loss to Avoid Getting Stopped Out Step 1: Identify ATR Value Look at the ATR indicator on your chart; it's usually at the bottom or top of your screen. Note the ATR value; the higher it is, the more volatile the market. Step 2: Setting Stop Loss Set your stop loss beyond the ATR value to avoid getting prematurely stopped due to regular market fluctuations. For instance, if the ATR is 50, consider placing your stop loss at least 60 points away to give your trade room to breathe. Understand ATR's Role ATR not only helps with stopping losses but also guides in setting realistic take-profit levels. It gives you an idea of how much the asset can move in a given time, assisting you in capturing profits before a potential reversal. Final Tips for Beginners Adapt to Market Changes: ATR values change as market conditions shift. Stay adaptable and reassess your stop-loss and take-profit levels accordingly. Practice on Demo Accounts: Before diving into live trading, practice using the ATR indicator on demo accounts. Gain confidence and refine your strategy without risking real money. In essence, the ATR indicator is your ally in navigating market volatility. By using it wisely, you can enhance your risk management, safeguarding your trades from unnecessary stop-outs while optimizing your profit potential. Happy trading! 📈✨
VANTAGE:SP500Education
by Elite_Forex
AI's EUR/USD Pattern & Scalping Range, Local European SentimentAI's EUR/USD Falling Channel & Breakout Odds with Scalping Range D ear Valued Investors, Introduction I would like to provide you with an update on the trading bots' activity. They have been diligently following a short position initiated at 1.101, see the idea above the chart, and I am pleased to inform you that the trade has been successful, as indicated by the success of the forecast on the left side of the chart. News Trading - Natural Language Processing Results - The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise interest rates in July, which could strengthen the euro. The ECB has been signaling for months that it will need to raise rates to combat inflation, and the latest data suggests that inflation is still running high in the eurozone. A rate hike would make the euro more attractive to investors compared to the dollar, which is currently yielding very little. - The eurozone economy is showing signs of resilience. The eurozone economy grew by 0.3% in the first quarter of 2023, and the latest data suggests that growth is continuing in the second quarter. This suggests that the eurozone economy is more robust than many economists had expected, which could support the euro in the near term. - The risk of a recession in the United States is increasing. The US economy is facing a number of headwinds, including high inflation, rising interest rates, and the war in Ukraine. These factors could lead to a recession in the US, which would likely weaken the dollar and strengthen the euro. Personal Comment I live in the EU, and as a consumer, I don't see any sign of recession here. To me, it seems that the US economy bears the bigger weight in the news of the war are about. Objectively, the US economy might be stronger, but the prices don't necessarily reflect the current power. Investors try to speculate which economy will suffer harder and pool value into those that seem resilience. I believe in the resilience of the EU economy, and I experience the local sentiment. While prices are rising, people don't FUD yet. Many seek opportunities to make a profit that can cover the inflation costs. EUR has seemed more resilient so far to the difficulties than the other European currencies. If you live in the EU, you know that many countries still have their national currencies (not EUR), but you can pay with EUR everywhere here. So, it makes sense that many sell their national currencies to EUR. EUR is more resilient, and they can pay with it as smoothly as with their national currencies. Pattern Recognition AI's Results Through my pattern recognition algorithms, I have identified a falling channel pattern on the chart. This pattern is characterized by purple trendlines. Despite its bearish implications, the price broke above this pattern on December 11th, suggesting potential bullish momentum. Scalping Possibilities Currently, the EUR/USD is in a consolidation phase, trading between the support level at 1.072 and the resistance level at 1.082. These levels align with the EMA 100, and the support line is denoted by the color green, while the resistance line is represented by red. Shorting opportunities may arise from resistance to support. Neural Network's Prediction Based on the current technical indicators, I anticipate a scenario in which the EUR/USD gains momentum from the support level and breaks out above the channel. This potential trajectory is depicted by the white lines. In the event of a successful breakout, my neural networks suggest target prices of 1.095 or even 1.100. Technical Indicators The fluctuating volume below the channel indicates increasing volatility. Noteworthy bullish indications include the price consolidating above EMA 20, the RSI crossover below on the RSI indicator, and the strong uptrend of MACD since December 7th. Disclaimer: I would like to emphasize that this communication does not constitute investment advice. I strongly urge you to conduct thorough research before making any trading decisions. It is essential to recognize that your funds are your responsibility, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Sincerely, Ely
Long
by Elysian_Mind
2
Low Volatility Clue to Upcoming Growth 📉🚀🔍 The Quiet Before the Surge: Imagine the market as a serene pond, not a ripple in sight. That's low volatility, my friend! But here's the juicy part: it's like the market is catching its breath before leaping into action. 🚀 Springboard to Momentum: Low volatility? Think of it as the trampoline for a potential price leap. The calm is like the calm before a concert – the band's tuning up, and the audience is in for a treat. In the crypto world, that treat might just be a price rally. 💡The Precursor to Uptrend: When the market's rocking low volatility, it's like a hush before the storm – a storm of bullish action, that is. Keep your eyes peeled because this serene moment often precedes an upward price movement. 🚴‍♂️Traders' Playground: Traders love these tranquil spells. They're like pit stops during a race, a chance to strategize and gear up for what's next. A little breather, a lot of potential. So, what's the low-volatility takeaway? 🌌 It's not just a downtime; it's a heads-up for traders and investors. The calm might just be the quiet you need to brace yourself for a burst of excitement. Stay curious, watch the charts, and get ready for the market's next groove! 📊🎉 ❗See related ideas below❗ Follow + Like this post and leave a nice comment, it will allow me to move faster and make more useful content! 💚💚💚
Long
by Yaroslav_Krasko
4