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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 6/16/2022 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2022 *Session break gap of +0.14% that has yet to fill* - PR High: 11708.75 - PR Low: 11649.00 - NZ Spread: 133.75 Evening Stats (As of 12:00 AM) - Weekend Gap: = -0.74% - Session Open ATR: 410.97 - Volume: 37k - Open Int: 215k - Trend Grade: Bear - From ATH: -30.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 12390 - Mid: 11820 - Short: 10680 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
CME_MINI:NQM2022
by mv3trader5
VIX - An opening gap forecasts more pain for the stock marketIn the past week, the market saw a decrease in volatility , which accompanied the relief rally in the stock market. However, just recently, we stated that we expect the rally to be shortlived and to reverse its direction to the downside. We continue to hold this notion also nowadays; indeed, we expect an eventual breakdown in the stock market and new lows to be formed on QQQ , SPX , and the majority of the U.S. indices . Accordingly, we expect this process to be accompanied by another increase in volatility . Therefore, we would like to set a short-term price target for VIX at 30 USD, and a medium-term price target at 35 USD. Our views are supported by tightening economic conditions as well as bearish technical indicators pointing to the more downside in the stock market. Illustration 1.01 The picture shows QQQ on the daily chart . Two parallel white dashed lines constitute a downward moving channel, which is a bearish structure. The recent breakout below the structure indicates a very strong bearish trend of a higher degree. The sloped white dashed line acts as a resistance; on Nasdaq 100 continuous futures , the price is much closer to resistance. Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 shows the Nasdaq 100 continuous futures on the hourly chart. The yellow arrow pinpoints a perfect bull trap we outlined in our idea on QQQ . Illustration 1.03 The SPX shows a bearish resemblance with the Nasdaq 100 index . Illustration 1.04 The picture above shows a negative correlation between VIX and SPX, and Nasdaq. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:VIXLong
by Tradersweekly
4
Volatility in Gold and how to play the Vol Premium / DiscountAs you probably know, Implied Volatility in assets like Gold or Silver has the tendency to rise when the price of the commodity rises sharply, unlike equities where IV rises when equity's price declines. This means in case of Gold (GLD), when V.R.P. rises, and we have a PREMIUM in Implied Volatility, participants Iin the market think price will either continue or decline significantly. We usually have complacency when V.R.P. is negative and participant in the market feel "nothing will happen" in the near future. In this case, IF WE HAVE A TRENDING MARKET, as we saw at the beginning of April, chances are Gold will rise. As the market looks now, I expect GLD will continue its bullish trend, and when we'll have again a big PREMIUM in Implied Volatility, to see a sharp (technical) correction, but with no threat to the trend. p.s. for more details about the Prmium/ Discount in Implied Volatility pease check my indicator o this topic:
AMEX:GLD
by IQ-trading
2
Combining Price, Volume and VolatilityHow to avoid BAD trades, and using the TT Price/Trend Indicator, paired with the TT Volume Indicator to make a decision on whether to take the trade or avoid. As per the description on my indicators, you must only: - LONG/BUY if the slow moving line on the Volume Oscillator is ABOVE the Blue trendline. - SELL/SHORT if the slow moving line on the Volume Oscillator is ABOVE the Blue trendline. Even better if there is a retest. There is more information on the description of each indicator's script (please see below "Link to Related Ideas"). Quite often, Volume can pre-determine what will happen with price, so using this indicator will help increase your win rate significantly. But it's important to stick to this strategy and not FOMO in because of emotions. I am also currently testing a new indicator, the "Volatility Direction Bands". This is in the works and will be released soon. Essentially, it's similar to Bollinger bands but adds stoch-based moving averages and a mac-d based Histogram to use as a 3rd dimension for your trades. This measures Volatility, and displays a Histogram of Volatility, which works well alongside Price + Volume. The idea is to only BUY when the moving averages are in the Red volatility bands and SELL when the moving averages are in the Green volatility bands. About the YELLOW CIRCLE on the chart: You can see that when this happened, the slow moving average on the Volume Oscillator dropped underneath the Blue trendline, retested upwards and dropped more. This all happened BEFORE price dropped - price was currently above the Blue trendline in the BUY zone. We saw this and did not set an order at the Blue trendline. Price then dropped underneath the Blue trendline on price and we waited for the next "SELL" signal to SHORT at the Blue trendline.
Education
by reiiss7
1
Vix suggesting income Volatility?The signals on the 4 hr chart suggest that volatility on the S&P 500 should spike within the next day or so. Please like and follow for daily posts on various asset classes. Please also share your views on the trading ideas and whether or not you find them to be of any value to you as a trader. Please note, this idea is shared for educational and discussion purposes only and should not result in speculative investment decisions in any asset class.
CBOE:VIXShort
by JesseMorgans
3