False security is dangerous. Wall Street's fear gauge is muted. Is the VIX cruising for a bruising? As mentioned in our previous papers, current times are unprecedented, from geo-politics tensions, restrictive monetary policies, fractured corporate earnings, to sticky inflation. the VIX should be anything but sanguine. Any mild escalation could send equities...
VIX trading in a bullish pennant pattern. We have seen two really nice bullish bounces off the support trend line in this pennant pattern. I expect this next support line touch to be nothing different (assuming VIX touches support). VIX targets: 25.41 resistance first, then follow-through to 28.93, eventually reaching the top of the upper bound of the pennant...
With a 15% volatility move on XAUUSD and a strong demand for the dollar. This is my projected move for XAUUSD. The idea is based on fundamentals on the dollar and how it could possibly affect Gold price movement then volatility and Fibonacci retracements on the weekly timeframe to forecast price targets.
Copper has rejected an important level also violated EMA's to show a clear correction. Natural gas following the same path lagging but to follow the similar path I think, Option Volatility in commodity currencies such as AUD,NZD have been of interest the past two weeks. Selling commodities and Commodity currencies, Buying the Dollar and waiting for and an entry...
6/27/2022 Balance : 10000 baht buy 9.40 100 position cost 940 Baht CF: 0 Equity : 9060 Baht Order holding Zone : 9.40 Note : Now we confront on low volatile bear market ( Sideway down ),I have to decrease grid gap to generate cashflow easier. ( From 0.40 to 0.20 ) *In this Thesis I use for paper trading not a real account pls use for education only.
A lot of volatility! Awesome for trading! We are still at the lower range, I think we will stay in this blue zone. As always, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN and I will be wrong in that case.
#DAX40 - 3rd BouhmidiBands reversal short today. Upper Band is holding.....
As you probably know, Implied Volatility in assets like Gold or Silver has the tendency to rise when the price of the commodity rises sharply, unlike equities where IV rises when equity's price declines. This means in case of Gold (GLD), when V.R.P. rises, and we have a PREMIUM in Implied Volatility, participants Iin the market think price will either continue ...
The VIX measures the fear in the S&P 500. Even if you only trade or invest in crypto or stocks watching the VIX is critical in learning how to measure the sentiment of the general market regardless of what you are trading or investing. I use the VIX for even crypto trading and suits me well. It does the complete opposite of the what other stocks or cryptos do....
Energy was the stand out sector today up 3.74% on good volume.. as we mentioned a few days ago it looks to have confirmed a double bottom and being the cheapest sector on a fwd p/e and price/book basis it’s a contrarian and catch up play some major players are getting into.. more to come here.. some upside OTM calls IVs are cheaper than ATM and HV..
Today I am going to show you implementation of my boxes trading strategy on NYSE:BA stock price movement. Boeing stock price has been extremely volatile since the COVID crash. Let's take a look at it's last 6 month price movement. 1. Price bounced from long-term support and found a new demand at 205. 2. Price reached 278 and got rejected from a strong...
We are currently under high volatility. I'll write quickly. Target : 8161 .4 Stop-Loss : 8737.8 Risk/Reward Ratio : 1/1.99 Risk : Very High Position Size : Very Small : Under %1 In such cases, positions such as small as pennies are exposed to excessively high leverages. Leverages can adjustable with Stop-Loss levels equals to Liqudation Point. "That's just...
Short term long on $SVXY from yesterday afternoon. Will flip back to $UVXY once gap is filled.
Stop below support. Easy r/r trade.
After reaching a low of 11.10 today, the VIX closed at 11.57. Having been in a low Vol Environment for a while, I believe that this bounce off of the S2 Pivot Point intraday today, can be a potential low for the index. I have chosen a synthetic long position to play this out, over the next 60 days. More specifically, I sold the Nov 2018 14/12 put credit spread...
Have to respect the trend. Think we see another 10-12% upside here in conjunction with a $SPY & $QQQ meltup.
Will size into this if we break current $14 resistance level. Time to fight the trend.