let's talk about the bull case.g'morning.
we've talked about the bear case for awhile,
let's talk about the bull case.
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over the last few months, there has been absolute armageddon in the markets
bulls have been slaughtered, bears have been slaughtered -
while the wolves consistently continue to feast on the finest of all the delights.
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what i'm suggesting here, is not bullish in the slightest bit,
in fact, this is as bearish as it gets when you zoom out and look at the larger picture,
but just for the next few months, i predict a major move up which will get 95% of the market 100% bullish.
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i will continue to hold my bearish stance on the larger picture, and i'll happily update you guys if something changes.
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nq1! wave b target = 14~15k.
VOLQ
NASDAQ Volatility Looking to Come Down to a 1.13 ExtensionWe have an Ascending Broadening Wedge with a Confirmed Partial-Decline and Hidden Bearish Divergence and a Potential Bearish BAMM Shark that is targeting $10.2657 on the NASDAQ Volatility Index.
nasdaq, end of year (bullish) projection{this is not my primary count}
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good evening,
this is an argument against the plethora of bearish cases that are out there.
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shorts outweigh the longs heavily going into the end of this year.
more shorts = short squeeze.
i'm talking an unreasonable rally right into the very last day of this year-
and on the first of january, when santa goes back home to the north pole,
the markets plummet face first off the top of a mountain.
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new years target = $14,500
nq 7-5 update~good evening,
whole market looks to be creating somewhat of a sandwich.
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looking for a little pop to 11935 ~ 12061
followed by a drop to back-test the range lows.
if the range lows successfully hold as support, a slightly larger move up can take place after july 13th.
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overall though, i don't see the market going anywhere for awhile;
just going to be chopping around for many more months to come.
nasdaq 2-24 update ~nasdaq ended up playing out my original bias and hitting the downside target from my last post,
after further observing the wave count, i do have to lean with 2 more legs down in the days \ week ahead.
it might look scary as it's happening, but keep an eye out on the levels on my chart 💸
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once this move is completed, we should see a pretty fat move to the upside (to make a lower high), followed by a true capitulatory event to the downside - that's when real panic will set in, and things will hit the fan.
nasdaq 2-22 update ~morning,
as per a special request - here's my nasdaq projections.
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there is three potential trajectories from the current levels.
#1. implies that we've bottomed, and we will begin a mean retracement to the upside to correct the 5 wave impulse.
#2. implies that we have not completed wave 5 yet, and will continue trending down until the wave 5 algo target is hit (after which we will begin a mean retracement).
#3. implies an expanded wave 5th (after hitting the expanded wave 5 target, a mean retracement to the upside will take place).
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12 year nasdaq count:
there's a good chance that wave 3 is completed on the monthly timeframe, which would suggest that we're going to be seeing a larger wave 4 corrective phase take place.
this could potentially last for a few years, and it is heavily reliant on dxy.
since wave 2 was a sharp correction, the law of alternation suggests that wave 4 will be a complex corrective phase.
it could take the form of a triangle, or something more simple like a wxy, wxyxz, etc.
which ever form it does end up taking, i would be expecting a move down to the bottom of our larger pitchfork before it is completed.
trade safe!
💸
nasdaq 11-26 updategood afternoon,
nasdaq looks really nice from my perspective.
lot of fear in the market right now, but that is when the biggest opportunities are.
this is 100% a risky swing, but i have a feeling we have one more leg to go to end this year with a total bang.
don't go big if you take this trade, and make sure to have a stop loss if you do.
a stop loss is the most important function when it comes to trading, there's nothing more important than risk management in this world.
doesn't matter how good of chartist you are, if you don't have proper risk management, you will get rekt. speaking from experience, as i have gotten rekt before and have learned a very hard lesson long ago.
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nasdaq wave 5 target = $17,100~17,300.
How to use VOLQ to profit from NASDAQThis is how I have used the Nasdaq 100 Volatility Index in addition to my arsenal of confluences to determine where the NASDAQ is going. Here you will find that the VOLQ moves in the opposite direction near 80% of the time. The section I have marked using the red vertical lines, show the 20% of-the-time playing out. Within that period, the VOLQ and NASDAQ moved in conjunction with each other. Based on the experience of Luke Rahbari, the CEO of Investment Advisor Representative, with Volatility and Index markets, is that this indicates potential downward movement for the index.
This may be the case as soon as the NASDAQ reaches Septembers high of 12466.6 - this being the highest price ever recorded on NASDAQ - so I'll be looking out for bearish movement during that time. Only temporarily however, and not for signals to sell as we are still in a bullish market overall.
Notice if you add up the percentage weights of the top stocks in the NDX: MSFT, AMZN, AAPL, FB, GOOG (class A & C), they make up 44% of the index. Technology companies make up 55% of the total weight of the NDX and Consumer Services is another 25%.