The Chinese TESLA? Bull Trend| Correction Imminent| Resistance!Hello Traders!,
Today’s chart update will be on a stock called NIO (referred to as the Chinese TESLA), which has come out of a bear trend approaching key resistance.
Points to consider,
- Strong uptrend in fruition
- Structural resistance yet to break (.50 Fibonacci in confluence)
- MA’s crossed bullish
- Stochastics in upper regions
- RSI in overbought
- Healthy bull volume
NIO’s bull trend has negated the bearish structure putting in higher highs with convincing volume. Structural resistance is yet to break, a very key level to close above for a bullish bias, however, NIO is probable to retrace.
Moving averages have crossed, which is a very bullish sign as this confirms that momentum is changing for a lower low trajectory.
Stochastics in upper regions can stay trading here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the downside. RSI is trading in overbought, correction is imminent, most probable a retrace back to support is upon fruition.
Healthy bull volume which must sustain above average for follow through, otherwise fake outs from key levels are likely.
Overall, in my opinion, NIO is upon testing a key technical resistance in confluence with .50 Fibonacci, a rejection back to support or MA’s is likely before another leg up.
Bullish Long Term!
What are your thoughts on this stock?
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And remember,
“You become fearful the moment you identify with fear. But once you begin seeing it as an impersonal changing phenomenon, you become free.”
― Yvan Byeajee
Volume Indicator
JSE:OMU Old Mutual Making Me WaitI have been waiting for the markdown to start in Old Mutual (See posts below) for a while. However, price has been testing the 2000 level but has been unable to break it. With a significant bar with some volume the last two days the new year might finally bring the markdown.
BTCUSD Golden Pocket| 200 MA| Regression Trend Hello Traders!
Today’s update will be on BTC’s daily chart where it has been rejected from the golden pocket, a correct may be imminent due to heavy resistance confluences.
Points to consider,
- Trend testing strong technical resistances – Golden Pocket & Regression Trend
- Local resistance - 200 MA
- Local support at .786 Fibonacci
- Stochastics topping out
- RSI coming into apex
- Volume below average
Trend is testing strong resistance, golden pocket, a key Fibonacci level where BTC has been rejected from that is also in confluence with local resistance. The 200 MA and upper resistance from the regression trend line proves heavy technical confluence.
Local support is found at the .786 Fibonacci level, BTC is probable to return to this area before an impulse move back up.
Stochastics is currently in the upper regions, can stay trading here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the downside. The RSI coming into its apex, signalling that a break is imminent in either direction.
Volume is well below average, an influx in imminent with a decisive move; this will help dictate the direction of BTC.
Overall, in my opinion, BTC is likely to correct to support due very strong resistance. A correction will cool of indicators such as the RSI and the Stochastics before another leg up.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“Fear, inherently, is not meant to limit you. Fear is the brain’s way of saying that there is something important for you to overcome.”
― Yvan Byeajee,
JSE:BHP Accumulation CompleteBHP has consolidated for the best part of 2019. Now we have seen a spring and markup in phase D starting. Looking for the markup to take price above the highs in 2020.
Structural Resistance| Volume| Trend Change?Hello Traders!
Today’s chart update will be on LTCUSDT where a key structural level is being tested, a break will confirm a trend change.
Points to consider,
- Higher high probable
- Structural resistance in confluence with .236 Fibonacci
- EMA’s cross bullish
- RSI trading in overbought
- Stochastics in upper regions
- Volume increasing
LTCUSDT has a higher high projection which will negate the bearish structure of lower lows. Resistance which is in confluence with the .236 Fibonacci is a strong level for bulls to break to confirm the structural change.
EMA’s have crossed bullish, needs to hold LTC support when key levels are broken to maintain a bullish bias.
RSI is currently overbought; hitting its resistance, a return to neutral territory is quite probable. The stochastics is currently trading in the upper regions, can stay here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the downside.
Volume has increase, healthy for LTC’s trend change, this needs to sustain for follow through otherwise a fake out will be imminent.
Overall, in my opinion, LTCUSDT trend change will come to fruition when key structural resistance is broken with a close above. We need to see convincing bull volume which will help with follow though.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“Win, loss whatever emerges in the short-term, place and manage your next trades untouched, unattached... always keeping your eyes on the long-term picture.”
― Yvan Byeajee
Weekly Down Trend| Low Volume| EMA Cross| Key Levels!Hello Traders!
Today’s chart will be on BTCUSD which is testing a critical level where a break bullish can negate this long weekly bear structure, as the lower high trajectory will be broken.
Points to consider,
- Weekly trend bearish
- .50 Fibonacci as resistance
- EMA’s as support
- Stochastics in lower regions
- RSI hitting resistance
- Volume declining
The weekly trend is bearish with consecutive lower highs in place, market structure needs to change for a bullish bias. The .50 Fibonacci is a crucial level to break, BTC needs to close above this to negate the structure.
EMA’s currently crossing as support, last cross confirmed a bull run, and probabilities are similar in current price action
Stochastics are in lower regions can stay here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the upside. The RSI is hitting its resistance, key indicator in the trend as a break will greatly increase the probabilities of a bull run.
The volume is declining, which signifies that an influx in volume is imminent, especially at these current technical levels.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember
“Money matters, but not as much as you probably think.”
― Yvan Byeajee
Bullish Divergence| Equilibrium|Resistance| ALT Season? Hello Traders,
Today’s chart update will be on XRPBTC with a probable bullish divergence coming to fruition if local resistance is broken.
Points to consider
- Trend testing key levels
- Local resistance to break
- EMA’s currently support
- Stochastics neutral
- RSI respecting trend
- Increase in volume
Trend is testing technical levels and holding, an evident bullish divergence is diverting XRP to change the current down trend. Local resistance is yet to break, a close above will confirm the bullish divergence.
EMA’s currently support, must hold true when local resistance is broken, worthy to note that it has been weak as of late.
Stochastics is currently neutral; a fall in any direction is probable. The RSI is respecting its trend, diverging from price by putting in higher lows whilst XRP puts in lower lows.
An Increase in volume needs to sustain when a break comes to fruition, this will increase the probabilities of a continuation.
Overall, in my opinion, XRPBTC is trading between two levels where equilibrium may come to fruition from this bullish divergence. Local resistance is a very key level to break as of now.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“You have power over how you'll respond to uncertainty.”
― Yvan Byeajee,
Inverse Head and Shoulders| Key Resistance| Trend Change Hello Traders!
Today’s chart update will be on APHA which is forming an inverse head and shoulders, close to breaking its neckline.
Points to consider,
- Trend change attempt
- Structural Resistance/ Neckline being tested
- EMA’s acting as support
- Stochastics in upper regions
- RSI at resistance
- Volume increase
APHA is attempting to change its trend by testing a critical technical level that has rejected it multiple times; a break will establish a higher high.
Structural resistance, in confluence with neckline is being tested; a break of this level will confirm the inverse head and shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal pattern.
EMA’s acting as support, bull cross has come to fruition, must hold true when key neckline, resistance breaks for APHA.
Stochastics in upper regions can stay trading here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the downside. RSI is at its resistance, key level being tested, must break for bullish bias.
Volume clearly increased, healthy volume that must sustain when trend change comes to fruition for follow through.
Overall, in my opinion, a break of the inverse head and shoulders neckline will confirm a trend change, a higher high will be establish, initiating a new trend.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
“Confidence is not "I will profit on this trade." Confidence is "I will be fine if I don't profit from this trade.”
― Yvan Byeajee,
Structural Resistance|Market Structure Change|Volume Increase Hello Traders!
Welcome to another update,
Today’s chart will be on LTCBTC which has broken key levels negating the market structure. LTC is probable to reach higher levels before a bullish confirmation of the POC.
Points to consider,
- Trend change in fruition
- Major resistance broken
- EMA’s holding price
- Stochastics in upper regions
- RSI hitting resistance
- Volume increase
- POC bullish retest
LTCBTC trend change is coming to fruition as a new higher high is being established from local lows. Major resistance has been broken, a much staunched level that was confirmed with a bullish re-test.
EMA’s holding price as support must hold true for a continued bullish bias upon retests of key levels. RSI is trading at resistance; a return to neutral territory is probable in the near future.
Volume has increased visibly, confirming breaks of key structural levels; LTCBTC needs to sustain such volume for continuation in trend.
Overall, in my opinion, LTCBTC has clear levels to watch and break. A retest of the POC will be healthy as it will cool of indicators such as the RSI and Stochastics before another leg up.
What are your thoughts?
Please leave a like and comment,
And remember,
“You become fearful the moment you identify with fear. But once you begin seeing it as an impersonal changing phenomenon, you become free.” ― Yvan Byeajee,
JSE:SOL Sasol Pullback in DowntrendSasol has been week and recently broke out of a long term trading range (TR). However, more recently an accumulation TR has formed that could take us back to test the long term TR. We have backed up (BU) to the accumulation TR and I am now looking for a break higher back to the longer term TR.
JSE:STRES Resources Index Continuing Upward TrendThe JSE Resources Index has been steadily trending higher since 2016. After a pause at the end of 2019 it is again breaking higher. The break has come on low volume over the holiday season but could push higher quickly as volume returns to the market.
JSE:STXIND: JSE Industrial Stocks DistributionUpdating the previous post at the start of 2020 (see below) has not changed my evaluation that the JSE Industrial Stocks are being distributed. The relative strength to the Top 40 index is declining an we have seen some signs of weakness (SOW) and inability to rally. Will be watching the start of 2020 for the start of the markdown.
JSE:STXFIN JSE Financial Index (J212) Effort without ResponseUsing the Satrix Fini as a proxy for the financial index we notice that we are at an important decision point. There has been a declining interest in buying the index. Buying volume in 2016, 2017 and 2018 has failed to push the index to new highs and in 2019 volume has been low. Price has reached the long term oversold trend line and a break lower could open significant downside. Early in 2020 we will watch for signs of a change of character to indicate the markets bias but this looks bearish to me.
Equilibrium| Double Top| Trend Change ?Hello Traders!
Today’s chart update will be on EOSBTC with a potential daily trend change coming to fruition.
There are key levels that must break for further confirmation on a bullish bias.
Points to consider,
- Trend putting in higher lows
- EMA’s turned support
- Local resistance being tested
- Volume declining
- RSI approaching resistance
- Stochastics in upper regions
- VPVR decreasing in volume of transactions
EOS has established a trend line with a third touch confirming a higher low on the daily. Bulls need to defend this line for a continued bullish bias.
EMAs have turned support and is currently holding price near local resistance, signalling that buyers are picking up momentum.
Local resistance is a key level to break in the trend as this will put in a new higher high, confirming the structural change of the trend. Volume is declining; an influx of volume at key levels will indicate an actual break.
The RSI is approaching its resistance; a rejection will send it back to neutral levels, as it has multiple times now. The Stochastics is currently in the upper regions, can stay here for an extended period of time, however lots of stored momentum to the downside.
The VPVR, decreases in volume of transactions upwards from local resistance, this shows low resistance for the bulls in the metric of volume of transactions.
Overall, in my opinion, EOS is in a potential equilibrium with a clear double top to break for a full trend change confirmation. EOS is already showing early signs by putting in higher lows; it just needs to break key resistance levels.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent. - John Maynard Keynes
Daily Higher Low? | Possible Equilibrium Hello Traders!
Today’s chart update will be on XRPBTC that is putting in a probable higher low on the daily chart. This will increase the probabilities of a trend change, a confirmation will come to fruition when structural resistance is broken.
Points to consider,
- Trend change – Higher low
- 200 MA to break
- Stochastics neutral
- RSI coming of oversold
- Volume declining
XRPBTC is highly probable of putting in a trend change if this higher low holds; equilibrium is possible before an influx break.
The 200 MA is a key resistance level that XRPBTC needs to break, it has suppressed price successfully once broken. The stochastics is currently neutral; momentum is stored in both directions.
RSI has bounced of oversold conditions, must break its resistance which has rejected the RSI multiple times. Volume is clearly declining, signalling an influx of volume coming to fruition as the possible equilibrium forms out.
Overall, in my opinion, XRP is forming a potential equilibrium if it holds this higher low. An influx of volume will dictate the directions of the equilibrium break.
What are your thoughts?
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And remember,
Timing, perseverance, and ten years of trying will eventually make you look like an overnight success. – Biz Stone