JSE:SATRIX FINI Don't Get Swept Up in the ExcitementLast week the JSE Financials were on the move but before jumping on the train a word of caution. If one looks back to 2015 we see a long distribution range that formed with investors getting out of South African financial stocks. The recent rise on the back of the covid drop is likely to only be a backup to this distribution range and not longer-term interest in the financials. Using SATRIX Fini as a proxy we see the volume has been declining since the upthrust (UT) that took place at the end of 2017 / beginning of 2018 highlighting the lack of interest. The relative strength to the Top40 is also declining. We are now spiking into the an area of previous high volume so it is rather time to watch and see what the reaction will be than just jumping in.
Volume Indicator
JSE:TSG Tsogo Sun Gaming Breaking OutTsogo Sun showed a major sign of strength (MSoS) in June 2020. We are now breaking the highs of that push with a significant bar on some volume. This opens some upside potential with the next major resistance level at around R20. Using the significant bar and yearly pivot point as stop loss (SL) gives a great risk-reward trade.
EURUSD | LONG | Areas of InterestTrend: Bullish
Retail Sentiment: 81% Short
LP Sentiment: 30% Long
Moving into Wednesday my sentiment still has not changed. Bullish on EUR until I am bearish 😒
For all my followers I wanted to provide content that can enable you to become a better trader. My Areas of interest are defined by looking for volume imbalances in the market 👨🏾💻
I will be focused on the buy-side (green) areas of interest. As an intraday trader, I will be looking for a good setup to trade back into the trend. Sell-side areas are great for exits 🕵🏾♂️
Happy Trading
Regards
LBM
ETH: Goat entry at 1300Check out my previous idea, where I called out an excellent short opportunity. I entered at around 2000, and have since closed the trade at 2650
It is hard to predict where we will go from here, but my gut tells me we will test major support at around 1300, so that is where my buy order sits. From there, I think we will bounce to test 1850 again, and that is roughly where I will close that trade. Beyond that, who knows!
Good luck!
JSE:COH Curro Significant BarToday there was a significant bar in Curro Holdings with volume. A spring-like action from the yearly pivot point also forms a backup to the breakout of the accumulation trading range. Now we are expecting a quick markup to around R16. This confirms the previous evaluation provided in the post below.
JSE:GFI Gold Fields Time to Look at Gold Stocks AgainAfter a significant pullback in gold stocks, there are some good signs of strength with Gold Fields one of the strongest and above its yearly pivot point. On the pullback, buyers stepped in below R150 of GFI. Price has pushed out of the trading range formed after the pullback with some significant bars. Other gold stocks are showing similar signs. With these signs, it is now a good time to look for good entry levels on a pullback to the accumulation trading range on a number of stocks. For Gold Fields, this is also the yearly pivot point.
JSE:SDO Stadio Holdings Rather Late than NeverStadio Holdings has been on a downward trend but with the Covid drop, something changed. The trading range indicated lots of buying with no spring and only higher highs at the last points of supply (LPS). The backup (BU) to the trading range was also very shallow. Now the price is already in the markup phase. However, there is still strength in the chart with an upsloping accumulation trading range in the markup. The next level of resistance is at R4 so there is still some potential from the current levels and given the current strength could indicate that even that resistance could be broken for a longer timeframe trade.
JSE:DGH Time for a RestAfter starting to follow Distell early in December 2020 the stock has made good progress from R100 - see posts below following the progress. However, last week there was a high volume spike above R140 pushing it back below this level. This could indicate a time for the stock to form a trading range with some profit-taking holding price back. We will have to watch how this plays out to see if it is an accumulation trading range.
JSE:CFR Richemont Markup Set to ContinueThis month, I looked at Richemont as an investment stock to follow during the mark-up on a weekly chart - see post below. At the time I felt a pullback to R120 was possible but looking at price action last week it looks like the stock could already be ready to mark up further. In the smaller trading range on the daily timeframe, we have seen a spike in buying with volume below R146. A clean break of R148 could quickly push us higher.
JSE:BLU Blue Label Telecoms Still Grinding Its Way HigherIt has taken some patience but Blue Label seems to be ready for the next push higher. Seeing the buying in November 2020 - see posts showing progression below - we expected a substantial increase. After reaching an area of historic resistance and pullback to R4 we are now again ready to push higher.
JSE:COH Curro Making Higher HighsAfter the covid low, Curro Holdings has had a good recovery. The in the trading range formed after the selling climax (SC) and automatic rally (AR) price has been making last points of supply (LPS). After the breakout of the trading range we can expect a markup to around R16.
VETUSD Vechain Almost Finished Consolidating. Volume Picking UpThis has a bit more to go to take out resistance at the top. It should break the top in the next few days if BTC can hold above 55800. The volume is picking up and institutional money is coming in (see the red at the bottom mcdx indicator). Get your alarms ready or set a buy order for the next 5% retracement, it may be the last one before the run up.
JSE:ADH ADVTECH on the MoveADVTECH has been on the move since the beginning of 2021. After a long decline, it hit bottom at R6 in March 2020. After that, it has made higher highs with some volume when it broke R10. It is now pushing to test R15. We could see a backup of the breakout level at R10 before moving higher but holds opportunities on the way up.
JSE:CFR Richemont Breaking Up from Long Accumulation RangeRichemont has been in an accumulation range since 2014. After some preliminary supply (PSY) and a buying climax (BC) price moved sideways with someone accumulating stock between R100 and R105. After a spring down to R80 in March 2020 price met with high volume buying and has pushed higher on slightly lower volume indicating that the buyers are holding the stock and not selling reducing supply. We are now testing R150. It is possible that we may see a pullback to the breakout range at R120 but the Wyckoff markup phase has started. Looking at the length of the accumulation range (2014 to 2021) there is significant upside potential. Definitely a stock to campaign on its way up.
JSE:RDF Redefine Properties the Move is Now OnI have been waiting for this significant bar since March - see post below -. A significant bar with some increased volume yesterday could get things going to higher prices. It is pushing away from the yearly pivot point and we could see some momentum now.
EURCAD LONG: Back to the 1.51800 area and beyondEURCAD could potentially move back to the 1.51800 area (and beyond) if the Demand zone, which was tested once before, holds for the second time around the 1.50700/800 area.
A potential confirmation that the Demand zone would hold would be a combination of bullish price action (candlestick) and a relative increase in Volume (bullish pressure).
Today is also a day full of CAD economic news, the CPI will be released around 2:30pm (CEST) and the BOC Monetary Report will be released at 4pm. High volatility is expected.