Distribution Patter for the last few months in Nvidia!Selling started at the top and the price has stayed in range, making multiple attempts for break out.
GREEN TRAPZONE - clear uptrend confirmed with Angle 6 in place now.
RED UMVD - Distribution, i.e. Profit selling.
Most likely a spike above the range as this would be the 3rd attempt, before falling back towards the GREEN TrapZone. Hopefully GREEN UMVD will show up for the strength.
Volumeanalysis
BNB/USDT Trading Scenario UpdateAt the beginning of 2024, after a short-term accumulation phase, BNB showed a significant increase, reaching a local maximum of $723.5. This growth amounted to more than 140% from previous levels. Currently, the asset is in a prolonged accumulation phase, which has been ongoing since March until the present day.
From a volume profile perspective, the current price zone represents significant interest for market participants. It is also important to note the shift of significant volumes and the Point of Control from the $315 level to $584.
The shift of the POC to a higher level ($584) indicates that market participants are showing interest in buying at higher prices, which in turn could serve as a prerequisite for sustainable price growth in the future.
A breakout of the local maximum level at $723.5, followed by consolidation above, could open up the potential for further growth of BNB. If this resistance level is successfully overcome, the asset may enter a bullish trend phase with new price targets.
im still bullishlast daily deviated from my trendline. to me that could be a swing fail and a shakeout to shake weak hands.
reasons to consider: there is CPI data today and on 10/10 theres the tesla robot event a big fail could prove to be a priced in scenerio and the start of the nuke today with the following nuke tomorrow.
for me i am a big believer of tesla so im bullish for me i may have another buy oprotunity on the vola vola today.
as for the pattern in question we have a 48% on the cup depth 32% on the handle depth 44% on the parallel channel that is still part of the handle.. make of it what you will.
i dont believe tesla will break out before the 10/10 but will swingfail the down level even (especially) on bullish cpi data (if anyone knows how hedge funds like to operate).
there are bad lows at our current level and at 226 (which is also previous resistance)
a sweep would be an amazing bullish retest that may or may not fail but the oprotunity is there and it all depends on how aggressive you'd like to trade or invest.
Trendlines are current value ranges
The upper teal drawings are potential double top that has formed and if we reject a potential double bottom (rsi will print an rsi div on 30 mins and may potentially swing up to the upper part of the channel causing an overbought on 4hours and daily)
Vwap will confluence with the 100 daily ema that could potentially be a good entry but there's also the potential of the 150 and 200 bullish retest even though in my opinion that would ruin the cup and handle entirely although the liquidity idea would stay the same i'd be sad to see the pattern go.
if we dont swing fail the bullish retest i will look to swing fail the lower trendline for another liquidity pool grab which is also the yearly value area poc.
if all fails and we go bearish on tesla i will trade the consolation prize from valow to vahigh (a lower high and on the higher timeframe and a full rotation play)
the bullish idea is if tesla preforms and the vah turns into the new poc/val and said new value range would be between current to 400-500
i hope i made enough sense and that my ideas are interesting for you. good luck to everyone.
Gold Wyckoff AnalysisGold's been on a stellar run with a strong campaign initiated at the start of September which broke out of a beautiful Wyckoff accumulation on the much higher time frame BUEC. Overall still very bullish for gold over the next 18-24months.
In the current price action we've had a strong push up from $2,590 where we have found a new trading range. We had a potential spring event that failed to breakout which shows some weakness in the market right now suggesting more of a distribution/selling/profit taking event.
Since this spring the range has tightened and tested both extremes of the range at the purple circles indicating no real support either way to rally further or sell of. The volatility is suggesting selling activity however we will not know until the range is completed. This smaller range can also be a test of the potential spring event
Expecting the market to show us an answer over the coming days as price continues to contract in a bearish fashion however this can still always mean 2 things, that
1. sellers are exhausted or nearing the end of taking profits and demand is strong
or
2. demand is weakening
Now looking for another potential spring event that dips below the prior one, if this shows any weakness and fails its going to be a sharp quick drop to the next high volume node at $2,580.
Trading opportunities to go long will be in the green circle in which will be a faster reversal given the location as this would also represent another higher time frame test of the consolidation breakout that happened at the start of September
or
At a successful spring event test back in the range.
or
The failure of a spring event not able to reclaim the range and going short to the next high volume node in the green circle.
Technical Analysis of Nike (NKE)Looking at Nike ’s stock on a monthly timeframe, we can clearly observe that it has been in a downtrend since November 2021, following the formation of a Double Top pattern, confirmed by the development of a Shooting Star candlestick.
The downward movement has currently paused at a support level (SUP) in the $70 area, where the stock has shown a reaction.
At the moment, the stock is trading near a crucial volume level, the Point of Control (POC). Above this level, up to $110, there are significant volumes that could make upward movement more challenging.
Bullish Scenario
For a bullish scenario, the stock needs to break above the current POC level and the descending trendline. The first target could be the resistance (RES 1) around $110.
If it successfully breaks through this resistance with strength, the second target could be the $130 area (RES 2), which has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
Bearish Scenario
However, if the stock lacks the momentum to break through the POC and the entire high-volume area up to RES 1, the downtrend could continue, with the next support (SUP1) located around the $50 area.
This analysis outlines both bullish and bearish scenarios for Nike's stock, offering a clear view of the key price levels to watch.
Very Important Update!Price action is currently trapped between two key value areas. Until we reclaim the VAL above, i'm expecting lower prices to come, and the point of control below (yellow line) is the next target. CRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC
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SHIB/USDT Trading Scenario UpdateAfter a significant increase in February and reaching a local maximum of $0.00004575, the price declined to the $0.00001080 mark, which represented a drop of over 76%. As a result of this decline, the quote nearly reached the POC volume level at $0.00001032.
Near this level, a rebound was observed, followed by an attempt at recovery. From the perspective of Fibonacci levels, the current asset price is within a favorable range for purchases (between 1 and 0.75).
In this range, medium-term purchases can be considered with a target price of $0.00002746, which corresponds to the 0.5 Fibonacci level.
LDO/USDT Trading ScenarioAfter reaching a new high of $4.027, the price of LDO significantly declined, dropping to $0.863, which corresponds to a fall of over 78%.
According to the volume profile, the asset broke through the POC volume level at $2.4.
Special attention should be given to the increase in volume in the range of $1.026 to $1.135. This range shows active growth and is approaching the POC level, which could signal a potential reversal and the start of an upward trend.
Let The Price Develop Daily: Last week, the price extended higher until Thursday staying in the daily higher high range
Friday's price closed lower potentially starting a corrective phase this week
4hr: The 4hr trading range is still bullish but has now started the corrective phase back into the 4hr volume profile POC, There is a bullish imbalance sitting around the 20,138.00 area that could act as potential support, but we would need confirmations for longs
m15: Since the 4hr is in correction, the m15 is bearish, and we can see potential short-term selling. I will be watching 20,255.00 to 20,221.00 levels for shorts.
Of Course, let the price develop overnight before the NY session when I will update to see if anything has changed.
Since NQ and ES move in the same direction I will be monitoring for divergence or convergence between the two
SWING IDEA - CEAT LTDCEAT Ltd , a major player in the tire industry, is currently showing technical signals that suggest a potential swing trade opportunity.
Reasons are listed below:
Break of Symmetrical Triangle Pattern : The stock has broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a potential shift in momentum and the beginning of a new bullish trend.
Bullish Engulfing Pattern on Daily Timeframe : A bullish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily chart, signaling strong buying pressure and a possible continuation of the upward movement.
Support of 50 EMA on Daily Timeframe : The stock is finding support at the 50-day exponential moving average, reinforcing the overall bullish sentiment and providing a strong support level for the current trend.
Spike in Volumes : A noticeable increase in trading volumes confirms the strength of the breakout, indicating strong investor interest and participation in the move.
Constant Higher Highs : The stock has been consistently making higher highs, a classic sign of a strong uptrend, suggesting continued momentum in the upward direction.
Target - 3000 // 3170
Stoploss - Daily close below 2575
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Technical Analysis on JD.comJD.com has experienced a strong bearish trend since February 2021, reaching its lowest point in 2024, near the support area of $20, with an overall loss of about 80% of its value.
By conducting a volume analysis using the Volume Profile of the entire history, we can see that JD.com was recently rejected from a significant support level, POC 1, around the $25 price zone, also breaking the descending trendline. This provides a strong signal for a potential reversal.
In a short time, the stock has reached another important volumetric area, POC 2, which could act as the first resistance level. At this point, we might observe the first reaction of price rejection.
Considering the broader momentum, particularly the economic situation in China, the stock may quickly overcome this resistance. If JD.com moves above POC 2, it would likely face few obstacles in reaching the next resistance level (R1) just below $70, given the low trading volume in this price range.
Symmetrical Triangle Formation in CAMS – Awaiting BreakoutOverview:
CAMS is currently forming a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart, a classic continuation pattern. This pattern typically indicates a period of consolidation before the next significant move, and given the stock’s strong previous uptrend, there is a potential for an upward breakout. However, the symmetrical triangle is neutral until confirmed, so both bullish and bearish breakouts are possible.
Pattern Breakdown:
The triangle is defined by point A (around 4900 INR), where the stock reached a high, and point B (around 3850 INR), marking the recent low. The price has been forming lower highs C (around 4600 INR) and higher lows D (around 4200 INR) as it tightens into the apex.
This contraction in price is a sign that the market is undecided, but once it breaks out of the triangle, a directional move is expected.
Key Observations:
RSI Oscillator:
The RSI, set to a period of 14, is hovering around the neutral zone (~50). This shows that the stock isn’t currently overbought or oversold. A move above 70 or below 30 could signal a strong trend in the direction of the breakout.
Volume Decline:
As the triangle develops, volume has been tapering off, a typical characteristic of consolidation. A significant volume spike will be key in confirming the breakout direction.
Breakout Levels:
Upside Breakout: A break above point C (around 4,600 INR) could trigger a bullish continuation, given the previous uptrend. Traders should wait for confirmation via price action and volume.
Downside Breakout: A breakdown below point D (around 4,200 INR) could signal a bearish reversal, especially if accompanied by increased volume.
Final Thoughts:
Symmetrical triangles can break in either direction, so it's crucial to wait for confirmation. Given the prior bullish trend in CAMS, there's a greater probability for an upward breakout, but the possibility of a downside move can’t be ruled out. Patience is key—monitor the volume and price action carefully for a strong breakout signal.
Disclaimer :
This is for educational purpose only. I am not SEBI registered advisor. Take advice from financial advisor before investing.
Bullish into Weekly SIBIWednesday's candle closed above the prior day's high, reaching the weekly high as well as the previous month's high, we could potentially see the price continue to rally into weekly sibi
4hr market structure is still bullish but after the rally, the price has now closed above 4hr swing-high
4hr Fixed Volume profile shows the POC is at the high of a price and now price action is moving away from that area in a bullish fashion
m15 has two potential areas from long at 20,221.00 or at
if the Asian session continues to expand we will have to see how London's action is traded especially if the price reaches the w-sibi first in the overnight session which could result in a NY session reversal
Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
Intraday Cable (GBPUSD) will hit the 1.3200 Cable is set in my opinion is going to hit the 32 handle at the very least.
1. The supply at the 34's was a dead giveaway coming out of the NASDAQ and Chicago.
2. As predicted Futures traders exited longs yesterday in Chicago. The brief upthrust tricked the market into longs. My last idea captured this yesterday (Tview hid this because I linked my blog)
3. I am looking for dip bids to buy when we start to support.
Feel free to DM me with questions.
Technical Analysis on FedEx (FDX)Despite the long- and short-term uptrend, FedEx stock displays some peculiar behavior, with frequent gap ups and gap downs, mostly occurring around earnings reports. Some gap downs have reached up to 20%, but were quickly filled shortly thereafter.
Recently, the stock reached its all-time high, only to be rejected. Therefore, the $320 area serves as a strong resistance (RES) that needs to be broken for the stock to resume its bullish trend.
Bullish Scenario
Following the release of the latest earnings report and declining revenue, the stock dropped 15% in a single day, creating a new gap down. With this decline, the price is now approaching a key volume area, the POC zone around $250. This area could act as support, containing the price and potentially initiating a rebound.
Bearish Scenario
If the POC area fails to hold the price, the stock could continue its decline toward a static support zone around $200.
FedEx remains an interesting stock to watch, especially considering how it reacts in the coming weeks and its ability to maintain key support levels.
Ethereum Resistance Starts At $2800Ethereum flashed green on my indicator system on the 9th of September. I don't see much resistance until we move into that $2800 area. Our first resistance area will be that block of sell side pressure which coincides with the 350 DMA. Above that we have the top of our channel which coincides with an area of higher volume according to the VRVP. This is where I will begin watching closely for my indicator system to flash red. Of course, we could always break the top of our channel and continue up. The bulls will have shown a lot of strength to do so. I will try to keep you posted as Ethereum tends to lead much of our altcoin space.
SWING IDEA - GLOBUSSPRNSE:GLOBUSSPR has found its Swing Low levels at 710, which has also formed as a good Support as of now.
MACD levels are also moving upward steadily since the last few years indicating a good move upward.
If the market condition is stable for the next few weeks, we can see this stock moving up too.
Do not expect the stock to suddenly rally up as there is not much news about the stock in the recent months, so the Price movement could be pretty slow yet steady too.
Take this trade only based on your Risk Appetite and Risk Management.
BTC AnalysisHello friends,
Right now BINANCE:BTCUSDT is in the healthy up trend. The wise one said it's better to always trade in direction of trend.
I see one condition here for taking short:
In case price accelerate and VOLUME jumped, we can consider taking SHORT position from trading zone.
Cheers,
keiwan