GBP/CHF SHORT SETUP AFTER BOE NEWS I expect a strong Swiss Franc (CHF) against the British Pound (GBP) following recent events that have further weakened the US Dollar (USD). I anticipate a retracement to the 1.1130 level, where we have a Fibonacci retracement, and within that area, I will seek additional confirmation to enter a short position.
Furthermore, after the interest rate hike in the UK and statements from the Bank of England's President, we have an additional motivational factor to short the British Pound (GBP). Please let me know your thoughts on this analysis. Happy trading to everyone from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
Volumeanalysis
EUR/JPY BEARISH TRIANGLE AND LONG SETUPOn EURJPY, we can observe a descending triangle pattern, as the price generated a large bearish candle of over 80 pips around 9 o'clock on the H1 timeframe. Currently, the price is approaching a Forex48 block, which is a high reaction zone, especially if there's a double confirmation on the M15 timeframe. If this zone fails to halt the downtrend, the next potential target could be the level of 155.80, where we have a FVG (Financial Volume Grouping), indicating a significant support area. At this level, the price might find support and reverse upwards, targeting 157 to retest the lower boundary of the descending triangle. Your thoughts and analysis on this setup are welcomed. Happy trading to all!
XAU/USD BEARISH SETUP - 1910 KEY LEVELOn gold, we have a bearish setup on both the weekly and daily charts. Occasionally, we have noticed that it is useful to look at clearer and more detailed timeframes. In both the weekly and daily charts, we precisely have a bearish setup with a resistance zone between 1960 and 2040. Within this zone, there is a demand area and a bearish trendline where the price has bounced before reversing course after a slight rally. Indeed, the price is now descending towards 1910, which is our key level that will act as support initially and then resistance once the price reaches the demand zone, which is between 1800 and 1840. We expect a rebound from that area with a target of 1910. Let us know what you think. Happy trading to everyone!
EUR/USD BULLISH SETUP WITH NEGATIVE ADP On EUR/USD, we have a bullish setup in the H4 timeframe. The price is currently within a range between 1.0980 and 1.0280. The expectation is for a bounce from the lower side of the range, around the 1.0980 area, where we have a trendline support, a Fibonacci retracement level (FVG), and a 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) acting as support. This could trigger the beginning of a long trade with a target at 1.11.
This scenario might be further influenced by today afternoon's anticipated negative data from the United States, which could lead to a depreciation of the dollar. Let me know your thoughts. Happy trading to everyone from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
EUR/USD LONG SETUP WAITING NFPOn EUR/USD, we have a bearish setup with the price approaching the 1.0996 zone, where we encounter a strong resistance/support area supported by a demand zone in the H4 timeframe and a bullish trendline. At this point, the price could potentially rebound, with a possible target at 1.15, considering that the dollar is expected to adopt an extremely restrictive policy in the coming months, while the Eurozone might raise interest rates to at least 5%.
I would appreciate your thoughts on this analysis. Happy trading to all!
ABCAPITAL - Cup and Handle patternAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered. Please do your own analyses before taking position. This post is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation.
GBP/USD SHORT TRADE AFTER THREE H1 RE-TESTI took a position in the GBP/USD market after noticing a confirmed downside breakout below the Point of Control (PoC) followed by 3 re-tests this morning. The price closed below the level of 1.2854, and I decided to enter a short position (sell) as I believed there were good chances for the price to continue going down.
My objective (target) was to capitalize on further downside movements and profit from the decrease in the GBP/USD exchange rate. I made the trade based on what was highlighted on the chart, which indicated promising opportunities for a short trade.
INTC - Bullish CUP (and handle?)INTC first broke out of it's base neckline @30.50 (as well as it's 200 day Moving Average) on 29 March. However, its movement has been very erratic since.
Last Friday's post earning's strong gap up changes the picture considerably IMO as it has now completed a "CUP" formation (a bullish pattern with higher odds of success).
2 possible scenario could happen next:
1. it breaks out of the CUP with hardly any pullback (ie no "handle" being formed) or,
2. it begins to from a "handle", which is likely to be a shallow 38.2% fib retracement towards 34.90 where it fills the recent gap. This level is just arbitrary but in any case, a pullback would provide a less risky opportunity to long (or add to) the stock with a stop just slightly below 33 (61.8% fib retracement).
When the stock eventually breaks out of $39, then the next target @ $43 is in sight, although expect it to move in a zig zag fashion up.
p/s targets are for shorter term traders, who may prefer to take profits and look for opportunity again during the next pullback.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
GBP/AUD LONG TRADE - H1 EXPLANATION On GBPAUD, I executed a long trade after the price retested a support level at 1.9167. Afterward, I waited for the formation of a demand zone, meaning a breakout of the previous high, with an entry at the zone of 1.9218 and a target at the level of 1.9340. Let me know what you think about it. Happy trading to everyone from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
GBP/USD LONG SETUP AFTER FED RATESGood morning traders, today I present this idea on GBP/USD. On this pair, we have a bullish setup after the news from Europe about the dollar. The market, while rising, broke through a supply zone, creating an important reaction area known as a "Forex48 block" on the M15 timeframe. If the price reaches this zone and provides the necessary confirmations on M15, I will enter a long position at the expected entry point around 1.293. The trade is currently aiming for a target of 1:6.5. Remember, patience is key, and confirmations are like nuggets of gold. Please share your opinion and give a like to support our work. Best regards from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy
CAD/CHF WAITING FOR SHORT TRADEOn CAD/CHF, we have a bearish setup: there's a trendline supporting the price decline. The price at the level of 0.6540 has broken the low of July 21st, and what I expect is a retest of the break, and if there are operational confirmations, one could consider opening a short position. Personally, I don't have a strategic operation in this exchange. What I see is a truly strong Swiss franc in the last month, with a weak Canadian dollar, which is further amplified by a weak US dollar. This morning, the price broke another demand zone, supporting a bearish view. Tonight, we have the Fed rates, so keep an eye out for potential volatility. Let me know what you think. Happy trading to everyone from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
USD/JPY SHORT SETUP H1 BEFORE FED RATESOn USD/JPY, we have a bearish setup with a trendline holding from the level 141.90. Currently, the price is at 140.70, where it could break the previous minimum before a re-test. If the re-test is confirmed properly, it could give us a clear signal for a short trade with a target at 139.90. Let me know what you think. Happy trading to everyone from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
XAU/USD LONG TRADE BEFORE FED RATES
On this trade, we have a bullish setup after the price broke a bullish trendline and bounced off the intersection of two trendlines. I positioned myself long exactly after an H1 confirmation at the 1955 level. I've set the target around 1990, where we have a FVG (Failed V-shaped pattern), which indicates a possible zone for a short trade in case there are appropriate confirmations. Leave a like and let me know your thoughts. Greetings from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
BOIL (3X Natural Gas ) Overnight Trade RecapAs a triple leveraged ETF BOIL is highly volatility and typically has a good range
even if the overall price changes only a small amount from one day to the next.
While these overnight day trades are typically conducted on the 3 or 5 minute time
frame, here a 15- minute chart is shown. Because BOIL is tracking natural gas
futures and the futures markets are around the clock , BOIL often has movement
after-hours and in the pre-market while futures markets are active.
In this example, the chart is dressed with double Bollinger band setup with
deviations of 1.618 and 2 618 which are Fibonacci numbers. Relative volatility
and relative volumes are indicated as well to be better attentive to reversals
or trending amplitudes.
In this example at about 12N on yesterday 7/24, price dropped out of the bands
volume and volatility went red to green and the candlesticks formed a morning
star pattern. This is the entry. The stop loss is placed just below the lowest bottoming
wick in the pattern. Today, in the premarket, when the price rose to outside the upper
trade zone and green bars on the volatility and volume indicators fell quickly, the
trade was closed for a realized profit of 4.7%. About 90 minutes later, another
long trade was set up for a more than 4% five hour day trade.
Rinse and repeat DYODD !
EURUSD full weekly AnalysisSMA 20 of Daily chart alamost matches with SMA 480 of hourly chart.
SMA20 of daily chart was a great trend detector for the pair recently so I'll use 480 in hourlt chart.
According the SMA20 we are still bullish.
By deeper look at Daily chart a bullish channel could be seen that proves bullish trend. Also a great SNR zone is obviously clear in daily chart.
I think last week was just a correction.
By looking at 1H zone, we could see conflux of mighty SMA480, Camarilla pivot level of S3, Daily S&R zone and also a strong Delta Volume important zone.
There is a high probability of rejection from the zone.
About the delta volume: There were strong buyers in last bullish move, but in some points there were slightly stronger sellers, market tends to reverse from those critical points.
Looking at IG sentiment factor we'll get that sentiment indicators worked reversely in recent weeks. So strong sellers can not hesitate me.
Market may avoid sharp moves before FOMC meeting at Wednesday.
TP1 : 1.116
TP2 : 1.121
TP3 : 1.130
BTC - Bartnalysis Technical analysis is adapting.
We can see this Bart pattern proved to be a strong support level, but was not able to hold up.
Since his head is only so big.
(Next time I'll make it bigger, so this doesn't happen - gotchu fam 🤝)
We have support levels at:
- Eye level
- Nose level
- Mouth level
Currently, price is sitting at forehead support levels.
Volume has been sliding 😏 and I would expect a reversal off of the this support area, or the nose support..
Likely by Thursday after the FOMC meeting.
EPL- Darvas Box Pattern - 24% ROIAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered. Please do your own analyses before taking position. This post is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation
EUR/CAD BULLISH TRADE - TRADE IDEA H1On EUR/CAD, we have a bearish setup following the PMI data in the Eurozone. The market is approaching the level of 1.4570, where we have a Forex48 block, indicating a potential reversal zone. If we receive valid confirmations on the M15 timeframe, a long position could be considered with a target at 1.47, aiming to capitalize on the inefficiency created by today's news. Best regards and happy trading from Nicola, CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
📉🛢️ Crude Oil Technical Analysis: Bearish Setup in Focus 📈🐻🚨 Oil traders, exciting times ahead! A compelling bearish opportunity has emerged in the 4-hour timeframe. The price of Crude Oil has recently encountered a crucial supply zone, where a strong rejection was formed.
Adding to the bearish outlook, the RSI indicator reveals a bearish divergence, supporting our thesis for a downside move.
As traders, you have two strategic options to approach this setup:
1️⃣ Enter a short position right from the supply zone, utilizing the proven supply zone strategy to capitalize on the rejection and potential decline in price.
2️⃣ Exercise patience and wait for a breakdown of the trendline, which will provide additional confirmation to the bearish scenario before initiating your short position.
For both approaches, the first take profit level awaits at approximately 73.50, and our ultimate target stands at 71. This is a significant level where a large pool of orders is anticipated, making it an attractive target for taking profit.
Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if this insight was helpful !🚀
Bitcoin (BTC) in 2023: Transitioning into a Bull Cycle High-Level Overview:
As we progress through 2023, it appears that Bitcoin (BTC) has transitioned into a cycle impulse wave, a bull run in a five-wave structure, from the bottom of the recent bear market.
Within this cycle impulse wave, we are currently in the first primary wave, which is projected to climb up to the 39-40k range.
However, this upward trajectory is not without potential roadblocks. Following this initial surge, we can expect a primary Wave 2 correction that could pull BTC down to the 22-24k range by the end of the year.
Short-Term Details:
Drilling down further into the structure of this first primary impulse wave, we are currently in the intermediate Wave 5. This wave could potentially drive BTC's value up to the 39-40k mark by the end of September.
As part of this intermediate wave 5, we are presently in a minor Wave 2 correction. This correction phase may see BTC's price finding support at the 28-29k level.
Following this correction, we anticipate a strong minor impulse Wave 3, potentially pushing BTC up to the 1.618 Fibonacci level, which equates to around 36k.
Subsequent to Wave 3, minor Wave 4 is predicted to retrace but should not drop below the top of Wave 1, thereby maintaining a support level of over 31.5k.
Finally, after this minor Wave 4 correction, we should see the final push of minor Wave 5. This final wave within the intermediate wave sequence could see BTC hitting the 39-40k target.
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Disclaimer: This analysis uses the Elliott Wave Theory, volume profile, and Fibonacci retracement levels for technical analysis. However, financial markets are inherently unpredictable and influenced by numerous factors. This forecast is not financial advice but an interpretation of potential market movements. Always conduct your own research and consider your risk tolerance when making investment decisions.
Please keep in mind that the Elliott Wave Theory is highly subjective and open to interpretation. In addition, real-world markets are rarely as neat and predictable as theoretical models, so anomalies and irregular patterns do happen.
GBPNZD SHORT SETUP AFTER EURO NEWSOn gbpnzd, we have a bearish setup after the trendline breakout this morning following the Eurozone PMI data. The price is heading towards the 2.0485 area, where we have a POC (Point of Control), which is a specific entry point for a long trade if the price reaches and bounces from the POC, representing the highest concentration of orders. In that zone, the market could rebound with a target at 2.0850. Leave a like to support our work, comment, and share your analysis. Greetings from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
GBP/USD BULLISH SETUP DURING FED WEEKRegarding GBP/NZD, we have identified a bearish setup with decreasing highs and lows. It's immediately noticeable that the price has dropped over 320 pips, equivalent to 2.5%, in the last two weeks, indicating that the market is already pricing in the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike.
In my view, I expect the price to potentially reach the level of 1.2812, where we have a Fibonacci level, which could be a possible reversal point with the necessary confirmations, of course. Subsequently, the price could turn long with a target of 1.31. This is also supported by the fact that the pound is expected to recover economically in the coming months, bringing in very positive macroeconomic data for the currency.
Let me know what you think in the comments. Happy trading and have a great weekend, everyone, from Nicola, the CEO of Forex48 Trading Academy.
WHAT'S HAPPENING? ⚡️ SUPPLY AND DEMAND IN LOCKSTEP 😢In this video I explain the current state of the Bitcoin market as seen through the lens of the latest pattern found in the forecast model, "The Lightning Volume". The Federal Reserves interest rate policy continues to create considerable headwinds for the Bitcoin price. When could it end? Watch this video and let me know your thoughts? Thanks for watching!