Volumeanalysis
Dollar General (DG) a recession stock is Trending UpDG had a swing low in mid-March. While it has retraced well, it is still 15% below the YTD high
On the 2H chart, the retracement uptrend is accompanied by a persistent volume of about 2X
that of March and before. I am supposing that with an early or light recession underway, value
sensitive consumers are delivering DG more revenue from its retail operations and will continue
to do so. The zero-lag MACD is showing a buy signal; I will take a long position and watch
for signs of overextension or loss of directional strength as an exit in due time.
The END is NEARNow I understand there are a lot of shenanigan's going on in the banking sector, but I'm not going to pretend to know how exactly this will affect the price of bank stocks. Everyone and their mom is now bearish on bank stocks from the constant news of bank failures and if I've learned anything from the markets is that the market always moves against the crowd. So I make my decisions strictly from the price action and volume obtained from charts.
BAC has been trending on this blue support line since 2016.
You can even take it back to 2011. Each time it has bounced off of this blue trend line. However this time, it will be different. This time we had an inverse head and shoulder from which price broke down with SIGNIFICANT volume
Although the price has bounced from the blue trend line for right now, it has already rejected the previous support of the inverse head and shoulders at $30. Validating the breakdown with more downside to come. The fact that a bearish pattern broke down with such high volume right above the extremely strong blue trend line tells me price action is gathering strength to be able to break below this blue trend line after years of support. When this break below occurs, it will be nasty. A rapid fall in price, not slow and drawn out. An optimistic bounce area will be between 24 to 23. However, a break of a trend line this strong can only be accomplished with significant strength, in this case bearish strength. I see BAC falling to the 19.5 to 17.5 dollar range, an area that previously was a resistance but is now a support. When will this break down happen? I don't know, but price action is showing it is bound to happen in the upcoming future. Possibly after earnings are all done with.
Unlocking the Power of Volume: Combining Volume with TAIn our previous blog posts, we explored the importance of volume analysis in understanding indicators that can be used for volume analysis. Today, we'll delve deeper into how combining volume analysis with technical analysis can provide valuable insights for traders and investors alike. We will do so by laying out a strategy that anyone can use that will utilize volume.
The Significance of Volume in Technical Analysis
We have previously discussed how volume plays a crucial role in technical analysis. It is essential to examine volume patterns alongside price action, as it helps traders determine liquidity and identify potential trading opportunities. When combined with technical indicators, volume offers a more comprehensive view of market activity and can enhance decision-making in trading.
Indicators to Combine with Volume Analysis
Here are some popular technical indicators that traders can use in conjunction with volume analysis:
1. Moving Averages
Moving averages (MAs) are one of the most widely used technical indicators, as they help traders identify trends and potential support and resistance levels. The two most commonly used moving averages are simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA). We'll use a short-term EMA (e.g., 9-day EMA) and a long-term EMA (e.g., 21-day EMA) for a strategy later in this post.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100, with readings below 30 indicating oversold conditions and readings above 70 indicating overbought conditions. The RSI can help traders identify potential trend reversals and entry/exit points.
The Strategy That Incorporates Volume
1. Identify Trend Direction
First, apply the 9-day EMA(shown in white) and the 21-day EMA(shown in purple) to your price chart. The trend direction is determined by the relationship between the two moving averages:
Uptrend: The 9-day EMA is above the 21-day EMA
Downtrend: The 9-day EMA is below the 21-day EMA
Sideways: The moving averages are intertwined, with no clear direction
2. Confirm Trend Strength with RSI
Apply the RSI to your chart, and use the 30 and 70 levels as reference points:
For uptrends, look for the RSI to stay above 30 and preferably above 50.
For downtrends, look for the RSI to stay below 70 and preferably below 50.
3. Analyze Trading Volume
Compare the volume levels during the trend to the average volume over a specific period of your choosing using your desired volume indicator (see previous post on volume indicators). If the volume is above average during the trend or is rising, it confirms its strength. Conversely, a decreasing volume may signal a weakening trend or a potential reversal.
4. Entry and Exit Points
Long Entry: In an uptrend, look for the RSI to pull back below 50, and then cross back above it. Confirm the entry with increasing trading volume. This indicates a potential buying opportunity.
Short Entry: In a downtrend, look for the RSI to pull back above 50 and then cross back below it. Confirm the entry with increasing trading volume. This indicates a potential selling opportunity.
Exit Points: Use the moving averages as trailing stop-loss levels. For long positions, exit when the 9-day EMA crosses below the 21-day EMA. For short positions, exit when the 9-day EMA crosses above the 21-day EMA.
Practical Tips for Combining Volume with Technical Analysis
Here are some practical tips for effectively integrating volume analysis with technical indicators:
1. Use Multiple Timeframes
Analyze volume patterns and technical indicators across different timeframes to identify potential trends and reversals more accurately. We always recommend a top-down time frame approach, starting at higher time frames and working down to your desired time frame for entries.
2. Look for Volume Confirmation
When a technical indicator signals a potential trading opportunity, confirm it with volume analysis to ensure the move is supported by strong market activity.
3. Monitor Divergences
Divergences between volume and price action can signal potential trend reversals or continuations. Keep an eye on these discrepancies to make informed trading decisions.
Conclusion:
Combining volume analysis with technical indicators can help traders and investors make more informed decisions about market trends and potential trading opportunities. By understanding the relationship between volume and price action and incorporating this knowledge with technical analysis, traders can unlock powerful insights and enhance their overall trading strategy.
Triangles and volume Don't Lie - Bitcoin ProjectionThis is my Bitcoin projection until May 2025 (1 year after the Halving), where it should find the top of the movement traced from the beginning.
This projection is a study that contemplates targets based on triangle patterns that mirror from 2 tops and the last bottom. Time will tell if the pattern will repeat itself, but I understand that the statistical chance is in favor of the longs that will keep the Bitcoins in their wallets. In addition, the Fibonacci projections and High Support Volume corroborate the patterns of the triangles drawn. Success for those who act wisely!
NOTE: This is just a study and I don't intend to tell you what to do and how to do it. Make your decisions, because the consequences are yours.
ADAUSDT Very bullish pattern - LongADA once again drew a very strong accumulation in the background.
After re-entering the accumulation range yesterday and after a failed stop loss hunt (washout), ADA breakout range again. The volumes at the tops and bottoms testify to a very strong accumulation of value by a large capital. The wave marked with the volume of 57m is the largest upward wave since the beginning of the declines, at the same time confirming the entire accumulative pattern.
Indicator used for this analysis: Wyckoff Wave Volume
Technique: Wyckoff Methodology
Long!
Follow for more!
VolumeDayTrader
IMGN Biotech Post Earnings IMGN had great earnings the last days of April and has been trending up ever since.
It is riding the upper Bollinger band consistently in this past wee. The volume spike
after earnings has subsided but ongoing volume is at about 5X the moving average of
early April and March. Increased volume supports price momentum. The volume spike
here is obvious and significant.
IMGN announced a public offering. I see this as a positive. It is primed for increasing
growth but needs the fuel. Interest rates are high. Stock offering will raise cash
and all shareholders will be rewarded. IMGN is resting and consolidated in a narrow
range during this public offering. See also the favorable article from IBD linked below.
I see IMGN as a solid swing long until the next earnings. I will watch for an uncoiling
upon completion of the offering with resumption of momentum moving forward.
Injective (INJ): A Top Performing CryptocurrencyInjective has been one of the top-performing cryptocurrencies this year. Let’s see what happens next!
What is Injective? Injective is a blockchain designed for finance, powering DeFi applications such as decentralized spot and derivatives exchanges, prediction markets, and lending protocols. It offers core financial infrastructure primitives and a fully decentralized MEV-resistant on-chain orderbook. Its cross-chain bridging infrastructure is compatible with Ethereum and other blockchains. Injective uses the Cosmos SDK and a Tendermint-based Proof-of-Stake (POS) consensus mechanism, providing fast performance and transaction finality. It also provides a highly interoperable smart contract platform based on CosmWasm. INJ, its token, is used for protocol governance, dApp value capture, POS security, developer incentives, and staking.
Injective’s Current Trend
Injective (INJ) has been making waves in the cryptocurrency market, gaining 700% since the beginning of the year. INJ has stood out in the market due to its consistent upward trend, avoiding any significant periods of consolidation.
Currently, it appears that INJ is pulling back to its support level of $5.00. This pullback will result in a 50% drop from its 2023 high. The $5.00 support level is expected to hold, and afterwards we may see INJ continue its uptrend towards the all-time high.
For traders, one of the best aspects of INJ is its volatility. The daily candles of INJ are very large, which means that there is a lot of intraday volatility. This characteristic is a great advantage for day traders, as they can make quick returns.
Conclusion: Injective has proven to be one of the top performing cryptocurrencies this year, offering consistent upward momentum and high intraday volatility. With its pullback to the $5.00 support level, traders should keep a close eye on the price action of INJ in the coming days.
Bitcoin buying zone Bitcoin looks like it is gathering strength again for a new upward breakout. Volumes on an uptrend show the power of buyers. We are still dealing with a sideways trend and a clear BUYING ZONE in the case of a re-pull back. 28k is crucial to further consider the current price behavior as a bullish pattern
Dream Finders Homes - with accumulation in the backgroundDFH on the last two candles did not significantly reduce its price, although the main SP500 index fell quite strongly. It seems that this action is stronger than the broad market index SP500. In the background we have a strong accumulation and we should expect increases in the coming sessions
S&P500 on very strong support.The US index is bouncing off a strong support. The volume on down waves is definitely smaller in the last quarters. Tomorrow we have non farm payroll data and everything indicates that the market will want to strengthen. The current layout looks like an accumulating range, which can still be tested in today's session. On smaller timeframes, the volume breaking this range indicates an uptrend
Volume Indicators: Using Indicators to Analyze VolumeIn our last post we discussed how volume plays a crucial role in financial trading, providing insights into the strength of price movements and overall market sentiment. Volume indicators are essential tools for traders, helping them make informed decisions based on market activity. In this blog post, we will dive deep into the world of volume indicators, discussing their importance and exploring the best indicators available for analyzing volume in day trading. We will also provide practical examples of how these indicators can be used to enhance trading strategies.
The Importance of Volume Indicators
Volume indicators can reveal the level of interest in a financial instrument, showing how many shares, contracts, or lots are being bought or sold within a specific time frame . By analyzing volume, traders can better understand the market's momentum and identify potential breakouts, reversals, and areas of support or resistance. Volume indicators can also help traders detect bullish or bearish divergences, where price movements and volume are not aligned, indicating a possible trend reversal.
Top Volume Indicators
a. Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
VWAP is a popular volume indicator that calculates the average price of a financial instrument, weighted by volume. It is often used as a benchmark by institutional traders to gauge the efficiency of their trades. VWAP can help traders identify trends and potential entry and exit points, particularly for intraday trading.
b. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA)
Like VWAP, VWMA assigns more importance to periods with higher volume by calculating a moving average that incorporates volume data. VWMA can be used to confirm trends, as a rising VWMA in an uptrend or a declining VWMA in a downtrend shows that volume is supporting the price movement.
c. Money Flow Index (MFI)
MFI is an oscillator that measures the inflow and outflow of money into a financial instrument over a specific time frame. It combines both price and volume data, providing insights into buying and selling pressure. MFI can help traders identify overbought or oversold conditions, as well as potential trend reversals.
d. Accumulation and Distribution Indicator
This indicator measures the cumulative flow of money into and out of a financial instrument, helping traders identify accumulation (buying) and distribution (selling) phases. A rising Accumulation and Distribution indicator suggests strong buying pressure, while a falling indicator signals strong selling pressure.
e. Klinger Oscillator
The Klinger Oscillator is a volume-based indicator designed to predict long-term trends by comparing short-term and long-term volume flows. It can help traders confirm price movements and detect potential trend reversals.
f. On-Balance Volume (OBV)
OBV is a simple but effective volume indicator that calculates the cumulative volume, adding the day's volume when the price closes higher and subtracting it when the price closes lower. OBV can help traders identify trends and potential breakouts by comparing price movements with volume data.
Applying Volume Indicators in Trading
When using volume indicators, it is important to remember that they should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and price action analysis. By combining volume indicators with other technical indicators and chart patterns, traders can develop comprehensive strategies for trading breakouts, reversals, and identifying areas of support and resistance.
Conclusion
Understanding volume and incorporating volume indicators into trading strategies is essential for traders looking to make informed decisions in the financial markets. By using a combination of indicators such as VWAP, VWMA, MFI, Accumulation and Distribution, Klinger Oscillator, and OBV, traders can better analyze market activity and develop effective trading strategies.
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ACHV Biotech ACHV had good earnings in mid-March and has been in an ascending triangle since that time.
The uptrend had a correction April 17th to 20th to which buyers responded with spiking
buying volume. Current volume is 3x relative to the usual and customary historical volume
averages.
I will take a long trade on this when price descends to the support trendline as notified by
an alert set on Tradingview. The target is the post covid highs of $ 17.00 . This is modest
compared with the average upside of the analysts of $ 22+ ( see the link below)
I will take out a sizeable stock position and also some insurance in the form of a long term
put option to manage the risk on the trade.
BAC Bank of America SHORTBAC is shown here on the 15 minute chart. Fundamentally, it is under pressure like
many other banks including First Republic.
On the chart, price is in a downtrend having bounced from VWAP (redline)
in confluence with the blue line of the top of the high volume area of the
volume profile. Price is underneath the blackline which is the 210 HMA.
Only shorts should be taken underneath that line.
The target is the thin red line below which is the bottom of the low volume area.
Accordingly, the thin red line is the target while the thin blue line or the
VWAP (thick red) are the stop loss levels. This is a very safe trade with
an acceptable R:R.
My put option @ $ 28.50 for expiration 5/12 gained 68% overnight.
I will ride this down and then look for the reversal trade.
Dollar Index with very bullish patternsHey traders!
Seems like since few days we have nice accumulation patterns on Dollar Index. Sellers loosing power in last two days and buyers taking slowly control. Very strong buying waves on the last highs give extremely bullish patterns.
Trading around upper channel line is giving information that buyers try to go high buy still they absorb short selling. the dollar index is weighted by the euro in 57%, so if the breakout accrued on this chart EURUSD should be traded short.
Indicators used to market analyses:
Wyckoff Wave Chart
Wyckoff Wave Volume
Wyckoff Wave Trend
ACHV preparing to Reverse SHORTACHC previously ran up in a high tight flag pattern in my previous idea.
It has been slowly ascending in a narrowing channel. ( ascending wedge)
There has been a little push in volume on the indicator as price has
approached the upper boundaries of the channel. The average
directional index has decreased into the " chop zone" where consolidation
and lack of direction describes the price action.
I see this an an opportunity for a short entry. I will watch things on
the 1 and 5 minute charts for the best entry possible and the
ride this volatile biotechnology stock a long as possible.
OPRA Opera - Alternative Browser Earnings Play LONGOPRA has had a consistent upwards trajectory as shown on the 4H chart.
189% price increase in approximately 125 trading days is about 1.5% daily return,
This could be a good set-it-and-forget-it play on the very positive earnings report.
OPRA beat earnings guidance by 34% despite advertising pullbacks in a moderate
recession. The revenue held steady giving cause shareholders to see the ship
as sailing well despite the headwinds it is exposed to.
The chart shows a dramatic increase in volume in the past month which is
powering the price action. On the long term volume profile, price is sitting
above the POC, buyers are dominating right now and short sellers if anything
are buying to cover giving further fuel to the price appreciation.
As the modest pirce per share and great return on any recent ivestment,
I see OPRA as heading higher into blue sky (all-time high). Today's pullback
of 3% is the entry @ market in the morning.
How to catch the great trade entriesAfter the price falls below the contraction zone on the higher timeframe (4H in this case)
We look at the MCVF that I made; go to a lower timeframe (5m in this case)
The indicator finds contractions in momentum and tells you when price will reverse; almost right at the top;))
I linked the indicator below, make sure to give me a follow and a boost if you like the code + content that I make
📊 Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD)📍 CVD describes the number of contracts bought at the offer minus those sold at the bid. It simply measures the "aggressiveness" of buyers versus sellers. If the sellers are aggressive, they place limit orders instead of market selling and vice versa. CVD is the easiest method to use delta in your trading.
🔹UPTREND EXHAUSTION
Price is making new highs but CVD isn't. This shows a lack of interest coming from aggressive buyers who would be needed to continue the price increase. We can expect a short term reversal to the downside.
🔷UPTREND ABSORPTION
CVD is making new highs but price isn't. This shows that there is a lot of activity from aggressive buyers trying to push the price higher but their market buy orders are getting absorbed by limit sell orders.
🔷DOWNTREND EXHAUSTION
Price is making new lows but CVD isn't. This shows a lack of interest coming from aggressive sellers who would be needed to continue the price decrease. We can expect a short term reversal to the upside.
🔷DOWNTREND ABSORPTION
CVD is making new lows but price isn't. This shows that there is a lot of activity from aggressive sellers trying to push the price lower but their market sell orders are getting absorbed by limit buy orders.
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