KAS/USDT Trading ScenarioThe KAS’s price chart continues to follow an upward trend, with the trendline successfully acting as a support level four times, indicating its significant strength. From a volume profile perspective, the current asset price is in a zone of heightened market participant interest, with a key volume level POC at $0.16833.
After the news about a potential Fed rate cut, a short-term correction is likely, as the market has probably already priced this event in. In this case, we may see sell-offs following the news release. However, in the long term, growth potential remains, with the trendline, once again being tested, serving as a possible reversal point.
Volumeanalysis
BTC AnalysisHello friends,
BINANCE:BTCUSDT get ready for a big move now. I believe Bitcoin price can reach 65K soon and even more.
How can we take this trade? I'd showed you the best entry to take this trade on the chart. take the trade only if BIG VOLUME appeared on the chart, Otherwise there is a chance that price go even lower.
regards
Technical Analysis of Broadcom Inc (AVGO)The stock ( AVGO ) is in a long- and medium-term uptrend.
In the short term, it is undergoing a retracement phase, having been rejected twice by the POC 1, which reflects the volume area starting from November 2023, when the latest uptrend began.
After the second rejection from POC 1, which confirms its strength, the price is heading towards the $171 area, corresponding to a second volume zone, POC 2. This area acts as resistance, having already rejected the stock once, and we will see if it holds again.
To summarize, in the short term, the stock is retracing, using POC 1 as support and POC 2 as resistance. This phase has resulted in lower highs and higher lows, forming a pattern known as a symmetrical triangle.
The symmetrical triangle is generally considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the breakout often (but not always) occurs in the direction of the trend prior to the triangle's formation. However, it can also signal a consolidation phase or market indecision.
Interpretation:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks the resistance (the descending trendline of lower highs) and moves above POC 2, this would be a bullish signal.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price breaks the support (the ascending trendline of higher lows) and moves below POC 1, this would be a bearish signal.
It is important to confirm the breakout with an increase in volume, as a breakout without strong volume may indicate a false signal.
BTC AnalysisHello friends,
For hours BINANCE:BTCUSDT moves near the VAH. I think BTC is ready for a big move to 61500 and even more.
Right now there is no entry for taking Long position but in case BINANCE:BTCUSDT reach the VAL and Volume increased, then I say it is a good opportunity to open Long position.
Be careful guys, Opening position in this scenario is risky.
ETH/USDT Trading ScenarioAs of writing, the asset is trading near the support level of $2130. This level was established following a sharp decline and an attempt at a quick recovery.
If this level is breached, further price drops are likely, with the next support level being the significant volume-based Point of Control level at $1585.25. This zone is attracting heightened attention from market participants, which may contribute to a price rebound.
A break below the $1585.25 level could be seen as a potential buying opportunity, both for speculative and long-term investment purposes.
NVDA - Swing Trade Idea NVIDIA (NVDA) is gradually recovering after the recent sharp sell-off. We saw a structural shift with the recapture of the X-POC (Xtructure Changing Starting Point) around $102.50, where buyers stepped in, forming a high-volume node (HVN).
Following the X-POC recovery, NVDA gapped up, closing above this level and establishing a new point of control (POC) with significant volume at $105.
Today, NVDA opened strong but, as anticipated, encountered resistance just before the N-POC at $110.61. Bears took control, driving the price back down to the previous day’s POC at $105.
The key for the rest of the day is maintaining a close above $105. Ideally, closing above $107.10 (today’s POC) would strengthen the bullish case. However, if we see further declines, the critical support remains at the $102.50 X-POC.
Looking ahead, tomorrow's CPI report will likely set the tone for the FOMC meeting next Wednesday, potentially clearing the path for a return to all-time highs. For now, bulls need to break through the $110.61 N-POC and hold above it. If achieved, we could see rapid movement towards the $118 POC, with resistance expected before reaching the final target at the $126 N-POC.
Technical Analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)Upon analyzing the stock SMCI , we observe a significant turning point starting in 2022, following a long period of sideways movement where the stock struggled to break above the $40 level.
After this prolonged sideways phase, the stock broke out with a clear upward trend, highlighted by the ascending trendline (green), characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Following a year of gains, the stock entered a consolidation phase but then broke out again to the upside with strength, accompanied by a substantial increase in volume.
After reaching a peak in March 2024, the stock began a downward phase that is still ongoing.
Potential long entry points, where the stock might bounce or change trend direction, are found in the following two support areas:
Support area S1;
The POC 1 area.
If the stock begins to rally again, it will be crucial to monitor its behavior as it approaches the descending trendline (green), which could serve as a more conservative initial target.
More ambitious targets are POC 2 and resistance R1, both within a price range of $900 to $1,000.
EURGBP-NEXT WEEK 9-SEP-2024 TO 13-SEP-2024Currently, the market is forming a Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential reversal. On the 1-hour timeframe, a Cup and Handle formation has been identified, but the breakout isn’t strong enough yet, and a retest hasn’t occurred. However, volume confirmation on the 4-hour chart signals that the breakout may be imminent.
On the 15-minute chart, we see a triangle formation, but we are waiting for a retest to confirm our entry. The area of value lies below the resistance zone, which we will use to define our risk levels after the retest.
I am using Fibonacci retracement on the 4-hour chart to define the take-profit target. At the moment, there are no major obstacles like significant support or resistance levels on the way, which aligns well with our target.
The stop-loss is set 10 pips above the resistance on the 4-hour chart, giving us a well-protected position. The risk-reward ratio (RRR), which is calculated at 2.11, making this trade attractive in terms of risk management.
Technical Analysis on Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR)Palantir ( PLTR ) is currently in a short-term bullish phase, as indicated by the green trendline, which began in May 2023 with the breakout of the descending trendline (orange) accompanied by a gap up and increasing volume.
The stock has recently broken above the resistance zone R1, which it is currently retesting.
Bullish Scenario:
A short-term bullish scenario would see a move toward the next resistance level R2 in the $38-$40 area.
Bearish Scenario:
If the retest of resistance R1 fails, the stock could move towards the support areas, where potential entries could be considered if one anticipates a rebound:
The POC area around $24;
The weekly support S1;
The weekly support S2.
The support zones S2 and S1 are more clearly visible on a monthly timeframe:
OP/USDT Trading ScenarioAfter reaching an all-time high of $4.866, the asset's price corrected by more than 78%, returning to a zone of interest for participants, as defined by the volume profile and the key POC level. According to Fibonacci levels, the current asset price is in a buying zone.
In this situation, based on indicator readings, it's possible to consider building a position in OP assets with the aim of holding and potential growth to at least the 0.5 Fibonacci level, corresponding to the price point of $2.61. There is also the possibility of further price movement with a new ATH.
Stock Market Logic Series #10Do you think the above is a coincidence?
There are no coincidences in life - only cause and effect.
You are where you are because of a cause that is bound to physical and natural laws.
The same pressure of physics that works on the airplane wing, or the balloon that wants to push its way up when pressed into water (pool), also works in the stock market.
You just have to KNOW how to SEE it. follow my explanation.
If you follow the price action, you can see clearly where the high-pressure volume comes in, you can't miss it. It is obviously seen.
Then you need to wait for the correction, and you want to see that the correction is demonstrating a low-volume pressure behavior.
When you see this low volume pressure behavior, the stock has DRIED UP.
This DRYING-UP effect is a key indicator of a probable future LIFT and stock movement.
You want to ask yourself the question:
Why the stock is not falling down anymore?
The question of "WHY" is searching for the cause BEHIND the stock movement.
The stock movement is only the effect!
In previous posts, I explained the other LOGIC behind this pattern, and explained why the price should not fall down and with a high probability of going up.
If you read any of the books of Jesse Livermore, he clearly states that you need to "KNOW" that the stock will move your way, first let the market "SHOW YOU" exactly what will happen, and only then you put in a trade.
The KEY CONCEPT in this idea is the DRYING UP OF VOLUME.
When you understand the WHY behind the stock movement, buying and selling are emotionless.
The focus should be only a trading setups that you "KNOW" it is highly probable to move in your expected trade direction. You "KNOW" because you have stock market LOGIC to back it up.
If you want a specific post about Jesse Livermore's trading rules, let me know in the comments.
It is always important to make sure that you have the correct perspective on the stock market, otherwise, you get confused. There is only at every given time only ONE side to the market as Jesse Livermore said, "The RIGHT SIDE". This goes back to my idea, that at every given time the puppet master ONLY buys or sells but NOT BOTH.
BTC AnalysisHello Friends,
Right now, BINANCE:BTCUSDT roams around the POC. I recommend waiting until the price starts to move away from POC.
If price reach 61-62000 area and volume jumped, we can think about opening short trade (54000 is the TARGET)
In case BTC drop from here, 54000 should be a good area to take long trade!
Gold ready for a meltdown Sell Now!!So as we are approaching this week's NFP report which will give a clear indication of either a soft landing or a hard landing I expect Gold to have a slight retracement as it is currently facing some resistance and has broken out of the ascending triangle so our target will be at the h4 tradeline
Follow more for quickly analysis
Happy Labor day SPY Lovers ! (4hr Chart Analysis)This is our 4-hour chart, and as you can see, I am linking it with the daily chart I published earlier.
What I want you to notice is the number of orders positioned at 544.58. We must take into account that on our daily chart, this is the second time the price has activated the institutional order block, and there was no intention of a breakout; it was simply rejected as we predicted last week.
The price on the 4-hour chart has only moved within a range and hasn't been able to surpass all-time highs yet. Looking at the chart, it gives me the impression that it might reject again.
No one knows what will happen; this is an analysis based on historical movements, price action, and smart money concepts.
Let’s see what Tuesday brings, but for now, enjoy your Labor Day!
Cheers, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
Technical Analysis on Alibaba (BABA)Alibaba ( BABA ) has been in a long-term downtrend that began in October 2020. In the medium term, however, the price has entered a phase of compression, suggesting a possible pause or reversal of the trend.
Analyzing the volumes using the Volume Profile, we can see that the price is currently caught between two key Points of Control (POC):
POC 1: A significant volume level that considers the entire historical data of the stock, located around the $80 area.
POC 2: A medium-term POC that reflects the current phase of compression.
Bullish Scenario:
To consider a potential bullish scenario, it will be necessary to wait for the price to reach POC 1, located around the $80 area, followed by a breakout and a possible retest of the descending trendline. The first significant resistance and target for this bullish scenario is around the $120 area.
Bearish Scenario:
For a continuation of the downtrend, it is important to monitor the price in relation to the two POCs. If the price drops below both levels and breaks the ascending line, with a possible retest, we could see an extension of the downward movement.
Technical Analysis on AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)Analyzing the historical performance of AMD , a key turning point is evident that marked the beginning of the current bullish phase—starting at the end of 2015. During this period, the stock held an important support level, followed by a decisive breakout of the bearish trendline.
On a daily timeframe, this breakout was accompanied by a gap up, known as a breakaway gap.
During the upward phase, the stock experienced pullbacks ranging from 40% to 60%. The most recent pullback, which began with a Shooting Star candle, was 45% and stopped precisely at a crucial Fibonacci level of 0.618.
Bullish Scenario:
To confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, AMD must first surpass the $160 area and then the $190 area, a range characterized by significant volumes.
Bearish Scenario:
If the stock fails to exceed these two levels, it could continue its retracement by breaking the ascending trendline. Two potential entry levels can be found in the POC area around $180 and the support area around $95.
SPY shows signs of breakthough to the upsideSPY recent day of trading gave an overall picture that this flat trading is coming to close with a potential rally coming.
Gapped up for second time in the 2 days
Sold off slowly with low volume
The rally in late day spurred by smart money with increasing volume
Stock breaks through upper resistance for first time
SPY is showing a strong bullish signal indicating a longer term rally to come
QQQ gives more strength to its bullish turn aroundToday QQQ started with another gap up breakout for the 2cd day in a row. Stock retraced then rallied again in the late day.
Stock gapped up again doing another breakout weakening the week long sell off trend.
Retracement that was expected sold off less and at slower pass than the day before
Late day smart money jumped in and pushed the stock to higher highs
Volume experienced a massive spike in last moments of trading which can be indication of price exhaustion. This should cause a temporary pull back next trading day
Overall the bull thesis for QQQ is getting stronger each day.