ES1! Fibonacci LevelsES1! Fibonacci Levels on 6wk horizon. Confluence observed with PA in sustained level between Key SMAS 20, 200. Confluence observed with 0.618 and 0.5 with areas of fair value. Reliability of measure supported using linear regression with pearsons r of 0.97554. A bear flag would be confirmed with breach of sigma 2 :3888.50 and KLs 3973.75, 3515.50 (and rediscovery of September 2022 and October 2020 prices). > 4165.75: 4319.25, 4509 (sigma 1 level confluent with fib 0.236); Where RSI of 54.43 x upward slope supports risk on auction // Price at time of study 4140.25// Upcoming earnings will be factored in alongside economic events, breadth, and treasury market volatility// Bias: Neutral to risk on
Volumeanalysis
📊The Effects of Volume Cheatsheet📍 In trading, volume refers to the number of shares or contracts that are traded within a specific period of time. It is a key technical indicator used by traders and investors to analyze the strength and direction of price movements in the financial markets.
The volume of a security can be used to confirm trends, indicate potential reversals, and identify areas of support and resistance. For example, a sudden increase in trading volume for a particular stock may suggest that a significant news event has occurred or that there is an increase in investor interest. On the other hand, a decrease in volume may indicate that investors are losing interest or that a trend is weakening.
Volume is important in trading because it provides information about market activity and helps traders make informed decisions. By analyzing trading volume along with other technical indicators such as moving averages and price patterns, traders can gain insights into market trends and make more accurate predictions about future price movements.
💥Key Takeaway:
When prices are rising or falling with high volume , it suggests that there is strong participation in the market and that the price movement is likely to continue in that direction . Conversely, when prices are rising or falling with low volume, it may indicate that there is not enough market participation to sustain the price movement and that a reversal could occur.
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BTC Weekly Bearish Volume divergenceThis is very simple observation so I will not get too much into it, because chart speaks for itself.
The fact I remain bearish doesn't mean I don't trade along the current trend. I'm saying that despite everyone on social media yelling bull run, I see bulls, but they are not running.
TMF 20 year 3x Leveraged Treasuries ETFTMF completed an uptrend from 3/28 to 4/6 and then a retracement of it.
It is now positioned above the 0.5 Fibonacci level also the VWAP of the anchored
multisession VWAP indicator in the fair value ( and high volatility ) area also
near to and importantly above the POC line of the intermediate-term volume
profile. This high confluence yields strong support for the continuation of
an uptrend targetting $10.00 the pivot high this past February with a stop loss
of $8.92. For those looking for a high reward entree with the requistite
risk appetite a call option with a strike of $9.00 or $ 9.50 expiring 5/19
or 6/16 might be what is on the menu.
ADA Breakout possible, TriangleCurrently, ADA is displaying a triangle pattern, indicating an upcoming breakout. However, given the fundamental background, the likelihood of a downside breakout is higher, particularly as the price approaches the 0.786 level.
Notably, the 0.34 area has seen significant buying interest, suggesting that this may be the target if ADA does break the trendline and FIB level to the downside, as supported by volume data.
MATICUSDT Potential Bullish BreakoutMATIC is currently approaching a crucial Fibonacci level that aligns with a trendline created by higher lows. This price range has seen MOST of the recent trading activity, as shown on the chart. Therefore, there is a possibility for a bullish breakout in the near future, especially after the markets close on the weekend. The trading idea suggests buying Matic on Friday and selling it on Monday, as the weekend closure may trigger positive market sentiment and a potential price increase. However, it's important to monitor the price action and adjust the trading plan accordingly to manage the risk.
US 500 LongIf this is an Inverse Head and Shoulders chart pattern, 4200 is the target.
What we need to see is the price get above the recent POC.
Blood is in the streets.
The Fed needs to get some new expectations out and deliver some news that comforts the market. Or this is their way of creating financial turmoil that gets job losses that crushes the demand. You choose your narrative.
Or, maybe the news is designed to shake everyone's confidence so that the actual money men of this world can buy at a discount.
NASDQ losing momentumReaching the top of the volume shelf profile and weekly expected move. VIX 2hr and 4hr changing momentum on MACD to bullish for VIX while QQQ is turning to negative momentum. 320 on QQQ seems to be a resistance level that will hold. Expecting a pull back in preparation for the March CPI print with a large rally a few days before as we have seen at the previous CPI prints.
Not financial advice just my personal thoughts
Bulls, Turn Up The Volume!Bulls have been shouting ALL last year, that the Bear market is over.
It's fine. Everything is fine.
Don't think about hyperinflation incoming, or the everything crash around the corner, or credit default swaps going vertical, or multiple banks insolvency, or dollar threatened as global currency, or Fed rates still rising all this year, or layoffs increasing, or personal credit usage rising more, or personal savings non-existent, or discretionary spending decreasing to substance vices only... or all the other things that we can see signaling this is the middle of the bear market, only. Not the end of it.
Almost a year since my last post & I still see many Bulls (mainstream media & social media influencers), urging retail to "buy the dip!" & other nonsense. There have been dips last year, & there will be more this year. You can buy low now, & hold the bag soon, for banks & hedge funds that have counted on you todo for generations.
Or wait until we actually crash first, & then buy at the bottom. Volume doesn't lie & VIX doesn't lie. Only when you see both big & strong, then you will see capitulation.
Hold steady in waiting. You can scalp, or catch the small sideways swings, if you like. But don't fool yourself into thinking now is the time to go long. It's not.
PBYI a speculative biotech LONGPBYI according to the recent earnings as no earnings nor revenue. This is typical in the biotechnology sector.
This 4H chart shows a consistent downtrend with a couple of minor pullback corrections shown with a Doji followed
by a green engulfing candle but with low volume and the K/D lines of the MACD did not on the histogram.
In the present, the volume pattern shows relatively high selling volume then reversed to buying volume which is above the
moving 50 period average shown as the green horizontal line. Moreover, in this episode, the MACD/Signal lines have crossed
and curled up. The histogram has sent positive after being negative since early February.
I interpret this as being an early reversal now ripe for entry. Just like in nature, the early bird gets the worm.
Buyer beware biotechnology stocks that have market cap based on high potentials are speculative but potentially
offer high rewards. I see a reasonable target as a 50% retracement of the downturn or about $ 3.50 ( this is
less than the upside of some analysts ) PGYI is up 10% today. the train is leaving the station with momentum.
I see a potential takeover or a low float short squeeze.
(See also the link below )
London Close Volume up to Daily Zone at 1.0854 or Range? The 4Hr candle closed above 1.083 4Hr Zone which is quite bullish for me. However we must consider that we have seen some volatile rejection near NY Open around 3-4 Hours ago. It's about where candles close so that is why we will give more weight to the buy side. If We get to 1.0854, then I can see it being pretty straight forward for us to reach 1.089 as mentioned in previous posts.
More Analysis: The first 1Hr cnadle of the new 4hr candle pulled back to 1.081 which we respected. The consumer confidence report was used as a catalyst for a continuation of bullish momentum. The 1Hr candle just closed above the other candles to the left at 4pm GMT time. Look on the 1Hr and 4hr and you will observe a free liquidity range for us to push
up to 1.089. First we must observe the Daily level at 1.0854 and see if we will push further into it or plainly reject it, taking us back to 1.081.
EYPT EyePoint Pharmaceutics LONGEYPT is now on another breakout on the 2h chart similar to what occurred
from mid-December to mid-January. On the indicators the MACD shows
the K/D lines on a steep upward slope. For me, what set off my interest
was a relative volume scan that produced this stock on the list.
The relative volume this week and consequential accumulation triggered
the breakout with those volume spikes
Fundamentally, EYPT had a catalyst as it completed one phase of its
FDA clinical trials for a treatment for macular degeneration, a
debilitating eye disease of the elderly. The potential market
is several multiples of the stock's current market cap.
This company is a takeover candidate as it is young without
a big pipeline but with upside potential.
The relative volume of 4X to 8X is a sure sign that buying
pressure will move the price. Price has crossed the SMA50 just as it
did last winter. The price is up 40% or more this week. Could this be
a pump and dump? Maybe. For sure it is a speculation play just like many
NASDAQ penny biotech stocks For mem the price action of last winter
with a 120% gain in one month is reassurance for this time around
with some hopeium thrown into the mix with the technical analysis.
I will buy a call option under the current price with the 4/21
expiration and leverage the speculation a bit. In the past day,
this option rose 67% based on the price surge of the underlying stock.
XAUUSD : Trading Gold with Harmonic butterfly patternOANDA:XAUUSD
Hi trader's .. i Hope you all are winning good profit from ,market and if not than no worry i am available for you help and assistance
As you can see perfect Harmonic pattern visible on chart
it's a bearish butterfly pattern , after completion of D leg market gives an 61.8 % retracement
Our target fully Hit , it's a 70 % accurate pattern , I have done 5 year's back testing on it
Market now on side way's breakout any side will tell the movement of gold
USDCAD : Possible Pull back from major support levelOANDA:USDCAD
Hi trader's .. Market breakout downside from descending Triangle
Market reached major support level , as market now in over sold area
so possible pull back from support level expected
Price Can make double bottom at 1.3556 area and from there buyer's can push market toward's 1.3645 area
Key levels for BTC - Big moves comingBTC has been consolidating this whole week, brewing for a big move. Looking at daily volume profiles.
26700 - 26800 level is key support, already bounced off twice
- if broken we likely see a bear run possibly down to 25000 level
Or we continue the Bullish trend started 2 weeks ago and heads toward 30000 level. Watch for break of recent highs.
Any thoughts?
Spot Gold XAUUSD LongOn the 15-minute chart with a volume profile overlaid, XAUUSD broke down from
a head and shoulders pattern and trended down into a double bottom.
Stop Loss and 2 targets are labeled on the char along with supply and demand zones.
I see this as a long swing to take on the forex market with using some leverage
in conjunction with risk management in the trade including adjusting the
stop-loss once the price reaches some unrealized profit and closing a part of the
position once the first target is reached.