Bitcoin - WATCH OUT ❗ BULL TRAP 📈Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
From a chart analysis, I have been watching this major triangular consolidation for a while and optimistically hoped we would see a clean breakout above the white resistance zone. In other words, see a few daily candles CLOSE ABOVE this zone. What we see instead, is lower highs and wicky range trading.
From a technical indicator perspective we can see high volume with little price action. This means, that currently there is an equal amount of buyers and sellers. Nearly the same amount of people are bullish and bearish on Bitcoin, which causes the price to trade in a range. The nest thing to remember, is that range trading attracts algo's / algorithmic trading bots. Algo's specialize in shaking people out of their positions, aka stop hunt. This means that the price might increase to just above the resistance zone where most short sellers will have their stoploss, and then the price falls again to just underneath the support zone where most long buyers have their stop loss set.
So what can we take from all of this? SPOT . If you have to trade now, spot trading is definitely your safest bet during this time of the market phase, which is the accumulation phase according to the Wyckoff Method cycle.
Algo bots are notorious for their activity during the accumulation phase, so don't take low-reward high-risk trades!
Want to know which ALT I am bullish on ? Check out this idea:
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Volumeanalysis
GBPJPY ImpulsesI have been tracking the impulses of GBPJPY.
In the past 10 days, the average impulse in around 367pips. of course, that is b/c a couple really big plays without it the average comes to around 260-300. I've noticed that GBPJPY impulses at the end of a consolidation periods. Capturing such a move would be a nice add to the trading account. I can see why GBPJPY can help you build up account, as well as Blow your account quickly, if you do not have your S/Ls set. GBPJPY has a tendency to sweep the S/L's and reclaim its position, very quickly.
Also, Using RSI on this chart hasn't worked recently. seems to go the opposite way.
I will continue to track impulses while watching if volume reveals anything to help encourage the impulses.
Hope you enjoy!
cellectis alcls : begenning of a new cycle
technicaly , it looks like the last phase of correction has ended, i.e the wave C( impulse with 5 waves)
fundamentaly , cellectis is growing big, has very good product, it's an awesome company
notice :
i'm not a financial adviser
i don't have anything to sell ( signal - education- etc..)
I only post my ideas to force myself to be good and learn from anybody who want to engage in a constructive discussion
please if you see anything wrong in my analysis, let me know
thank you
EUR/CHF Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn EUR/CHF is nice to see strong buying reaction from the price 0.95700 , there is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated...
I thing that buyers from this area will be defend this long position...
and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again...
Uptrend + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade....
Happy trading
Dale
GBP/USD Volume areas On GBP/USD is nice to see strong sell-off from the price 1.11940 , there are nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated...
I thing that sellers from this area will be defend this short position...
and when the price come back to this area, strong sellers will be push down the market again...
Downtrend + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade....
Happy trading
Dale
Bitcoin continue with the DowntrendOn Bitcoin is nice to see strong sell-off from the price 19970 , there are nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated...
I thing that sellers from this area will be defend this short position...
and when the price come back to this area, strong sellers will be push down the market again...
Downtrend + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade....
Happy trading
Dale
CPNG - inverse H&SThe techs are lining up quite nicely for CPNG so far with all 3 moving averages (20,50 and 200) about to cross up in the right order. A break up above the neckline @ 21.35 (esp with solid volume) will be a good buy point. However, it is probably prudent to test with small amount first and add if it pulls back to retest near the neckline (or pyramiding up is ok if overall momentum is strong). I will put initial stop loss just slightly below $19 and trail stops up if trade is working out. Take partial profits if it is able to reach around 26.5 (resistance there). Let's see if it works out!
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
BTCUSDT Swing Short Targets 20900, 20200, Naked POCsSwing shorts to 20900 and 20200 are a very good bet.
These are NPOCs from July 5, 6, and 7.
It is rare when the price does not return to a previous POCs, so they are very good targets.
POCs from HTFs (higher timeframes) are especially good targets because the higher time means more volume during that time period than LTFs (lower time frames)
The volume at a POC is too significant for traders to not bring the price back to it.
Until the price the returns to that POC, the POC is naked.
On Bybit's BTCUSDT perp market, the daily POCs from July 5, 6, and 7 are naked on a 1 tick bid/ask profile chart.
The POCs are
20900
: July 7
20200:
July 5 AND July 6
POCs (naked and virgin)
POCs are points of control. They are prices that had the highest volume during a time period. The high volume at that price means traders are strongly motivated to bring the price back to that POC value.
After a time period has closed, until the price returns to the POC of that period, in the jargon of order flow trading, the POC is called a naked or a virgin POC.
₿ BITCOIN To the moon? 37k incoming? ₿₿ Referring to my previous post on Bitcoin in which I wrote that there is a high probability of a breakout from the double bottom (post pinned at the bottom)
₿ We can see that Monday and Tuesday trading session gave a new light of hope for a bump for this cryptocurrency.
₿ The level of 37k was seen from the fact that I measured the last 2 largest corrections of the downward trend, from this came out a cluster of levels 0.382 plus 0.618 fibo levels
₿ It should be taken into account that we are still in a downward trend but looking at the size of the volume bars (chart 1) You can clearly see that there have been huge purchases at the 18k-19k levels which are the biggest purchases of all time! ₿ For this reason, I just wanted to draw your attention to this cryptocurrency because I feel something big is coming up
₿ If you liked the analysis go to the profile and leave a mark :D
ILMN - Inverse H&S breakup, can it be trusted?An inverse H&S that formed over the last 5 months cummulating in a breakup yesterday.
The marked increase in volume in the past week is encouraing and while the low of 173 on 17July (69% fall form it's peak) is likely to be "the low", it is probaby prudent to only buy small amounts now (in view of overall market volatility) and to add if we we a dip back towards the neckline (but not back below).
We would have more conviction that an uptrend is underway if and when price could at least clear the horizontal resistence @ 259. There is nothing wrong should one prefer to wait till it can clear this level before establishing a trade as sometimes it's better to be later but surer.
Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
$FUNDUSDT Unification ^Once genesis hashes had been verified between operators as all matching, the operators restarted their nodes with the new genesis, initialising FUND-MainNet-2. At 14:00:00 UTC — the new genesis time specified in the governance proposal — the nodes began communicating with each other to propose and sign the first block. After a relatively short (and nerve-wracking) time > ⅔ Validator power reached consensus, block 1 was produced, and the new chain was born!
The update required massive cooperation, participation, and appropriately, unity among all members to enable a successful update and was able to proceed in a historic 3 hours as planned with the minimally possible downtime, continuing Unification’s stance among the most efficient Blockchains for enterprise and DeFi, which give reason to the continuation of government, consortium and corporate partners who have grown with the Foundation since the initial MainNet launch in 2020.
^ BEACON/Wrkchain state pruning
State bloat has been a long running concern for validator operators. The upgrade includes a major improvement for the BEACON and WRKChain modules to address this, with hash & timestamp state pruning. The vast majority of BEACONs and WRKChains don’t need to keep millions of hashes in-state, so it makes sense to modify the storage of old data sets to optimise network efficiency and state storage. Much like EVM smart contracts, all data submitted to mainchain is effectively archived via Transaction Events, which, with the latest in-place upgrades offered by Cosmos SDK, means event data is no longer “lost” during a chain upgrade. This means that while old data may no longer be held in the state DB, it will effectively still be accessible via transaction query filters to search for BEACON/WRKChain specific events.
Starting from the upgrade height, BEACONs and WRKChains will be allocated 50,000 in-state storage spaces — this is the equivalent to approximately 1 month’s worth of hash submissions, (assuming 1 submission per minute). During the upgrade, the 50,000 most recent submissions for each BEACON/WRKChain will be retained in the state DB, and the rest will be pruned from state. New hash/timestamp submissions will be added to the top of the stack, and old data will be pruned via FILO.
MainNet
Approx. 1 month after TestNet upgrade is executed (allowing for tests etc.) — governance proposal for MainNet 1-ibc upgrade
Voting period runs for 2 weeks
Approx. 1 week after voting period ends — MainNet upgrade executes.
Validator operators were in constant communication via Telegram and Discord, cross-referencing their SHA256 hash results of the migrated genesis, to ensure that all operators had exported and migrated correctly.
Positive Divergences: NVDA, SYNH, ZMPositive Divergences are developing in many stocks as they reach strong support levels.
NVDA, SYNH and ZM are examples that showed signs of the run down ending as volume indicators diverged upward against the decline. This is an early buy to cover signal for short positions.
EUR/USD continue with the Downtrend -RIGHT NOW !On EUR/USD is nice to see strong sell-off from the price 0.99860 , there are nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated...
I thing that sellers from this area will be defend this short position...
and when the price come back to this area, strong sellers will be push down the market again...
Downtrend + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade....
Happy trading
Dale
SPX v VIX 10/4/22Other than this sell no trade so far this week. Market's been moving outside of my trading window and the one setup that i could have taken was yesterday morning. Nothing looking good in my opinion at the moment so I'm just sitting on my hands and being patient for now.
VIX volume indicator coming off the high 32.685
SPX coming off the low as VIX coming off the high
The buy for this week is one that is moving up on decreasing volume
XRP TO $1?We have some heavy price action which has recently broke and this could be the sign of XRP climbing upwards to key levels not seen since May.
1) Weekly Trendline - this has been in state since November 2021 - this hasn't been broken since price action in late September (Bullish)
2) XRP has Strongly broken out of 100 day range trading between $0.30-$0.38 (Bullish)
3) Strong Bullish Volume - this weight has not been seen on the Daily all year
4) Bullish Pennant forming outside of the Weekly Trendline break. Currently on the 12th day of this pattern - we could see this pattern take a few more days to for (Bullish)
5) If price was to break out of the Pennant we look to $0.50 for the BOS and if this is true then we can expect a new strong trend
Take profit areas
Look to previous Market Structure and i use a simple technique such as LH/LL for price points ( when the market reverses to the upside) - there's a long way to go before we hit $1.00 and we need to reclaim areas we lost this year such as
$0.58
$0.65
$0.79
$0.87
Let me know you thoughts on XRP going forward
$BONEUSDT Bone ShibaSwap entry PT 1.08-ish Target PT 2,000BONE Price Live Data
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DAX weekly exhaustion volume at wave 5 wolfOrder BUY DAX NASDAQ.NMS Stop 20.97 LMT 20.97 will be automatically canceled at 20230401 01:00:00 EST
DAX weekly exhaustion volume at wave 5 wolf at strong monthly support. Needs weekly downtrend break confirmation. Will exit for small profit if doesn't confirm.