Get started

Volumeanalysis

Will AMC's Short Squeeze Continue?Primary Chart 1 : AMC Price on the Daily Chart with Significant Fibonacci Levels Noted Will AMC's Short Squeeze Continue? Another short squeeze has successfully launched a few lucky traders into the stratosphere. Maybe more than a few if some take profits timely. AMC has risen about +183% above its low on May 12, 2022. In the past several days since July 27, 2022, it has risen about 99.06%. All signs point to another short squeeze similar to the prior ones. Even volume patterns look the same—albeit much smaller than prior volume patterns. The short squeeze could continue as it did in June 2021. Short squeezes don't necessarily stop because everyone things price has gone too high. This article does not take a position on whether AMC is destined to revisit this year's lows or make new all-time lows. And predicting the behavior of numerous market participants—the retail buyers looking for a squeeze and the short sellers looking for a flush—and analyzing how such behavior is affected by other macro issues such as interest rates and liquidity in light of tightening Federal Reserve monetary policy would be a futile endeavor. As a result, one may look to technical analysis to try to make a prediction about the probabilities. Note on Primary Chart 1 how the price patterns at the prior short squeeze on March 29, 2022, and today's short squeeze, look nearly identical. Compare the two yellow ellipses on Primary Chart 1 above. Both peak candlesticks have an extremely tall bullish candle preceding them. And both sport a long upper shadow (or wick). Some technicians call this a Pinocchio candle or bar. This type of price bar shows up when the bar breaks temporarily above a level of resistance and then falls back below it. It also can appear when the bar breaks temporarily below a key support level, and then reclaims that level by the close of the bar. Some basics of Pinocchio bars follow below for those unfamiliar with the term: Martin Pring, a technical expert, writes that these bars "give a false sense of what is really going on." Pinocchio bars tend to create bull or bear traps depending on the direction the long upper shadow points. Upside breakouts, such as here with AMC, lock in unwary longs with a loss by the close of the bar. Shorts similarly get stopped when intraday bars pierce well below support and then whipsaw back above that support by the close. In Martin Pring's books, he further explains that the "false break" that develops is " indicative of exhaustion since the price cannot hold above the strong resistance reflected by the line ." In short, like the character Pinocchio's nose that grows when he lies, the price move beyond the resistance / support ends up being a false move, and the bigger the false move, the bigger the lie. In summary, the Pinocchio bar with a long upper shadow, especially when viewed along side other similar bars over the past year, imply that price has likely exhausted to the upside for the time being. Further support for exhaustion is evident. Note how the Fibonacci projection levels have provided strong support and resistance repeatedly since the all-time high in June 2021. Primary Chart 1 labels those levels and points out their operation as strong resistance on multiple occasions. The last two rally attempts occurred in December 2021 and March 2022. Both these rally attempts failed at the .50 Fibonacci projection (green line shown on Primary Chart 1). For the current rally, the price bars with the long upper shadow pierces the next Fibonacci level of importance in the sequence: the .618 level which lies just below the .50 level . This also supports at least a temporary pullback or consolidation. Additional evidence supports exhaustion. Note below how AMC's price has now risen to +5 ATR on the daily and its candle has a long upper shadow. Moves to +3 ATR are rarely sustainable for long much less +5ATR. In the chart below, note the location of price relative to the +3 ATR Keltner Channel. The +3 ATR KC is the outermost band on the upper edge of the KC bands. Supplementary Chart 2.1: AMC's price well above +3 ATR band on the Daily Chart using Keltner Channels Supplementary Chart 2.2: AMC's price relative to the +5 ATR band on the daily chart using Keltner Channels Finally, note the declining volume on each successive short squeeze. This suggests that the buying pressure has waned as short squeezes have continued following each major decline. Supplementary Chart 3.1: AMC's price well above +3 ATR band on the Daily Chart using Keltner Channels But the persistence of the buyers squeezing the shorts should be recognized as something that is a new force in markets since what occurred in 2021. Price could indeed push higher if enough collective buying force continues in stock and options markets sufficient to overwhelm all supply. Price can do a lot of things no one expects. But based on technical analysis alone, however, price likely falls lower from here. This author makes no argument that new lows will be reached. It will be important to watch the pullback to answer that question. A reasonable price target would seem to be 16.50 near the .618 retracement of the rally from the May 12, 2022, low to the August 8, 2022 high.
Editors' picks
NYSE:AMC
by SquishTrade
38
XNGUSD ready to reverse recent downtrend LONGGLOBALPRIME:XNGUSD XNGUSD a few weeks back downtrended afer breaking the neckline of a head and shoulders pattern down to the support of a double bottom formed in early August. Volume profiles are added to the 30 minute chart. I see an uptrend retracement of the recent downtrend and accordingly the following: Stop Loss at 7.64 just below the recent swing low Target 1 8.59 the bottom of the high volume areas and near the Fib 0.382 Target 2 8.84 just under the Fib 0.50 Target 3 9.15 just under the POCs of the volume profiles and the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. Fundamentals: decreasing DXY will cause a relative rise in commodities; winter is coming storage of compressed NG is underway and increasing demand. All is all, this forex pair is ready for a long trade.
XLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
Buy XRP around the zoneBuyers did not tolerate breaking of the level! Generally, by breaking a level down more sellers join the market, if buyers be able to move the prices even higher the broken level it's a good sign of their power. some classical analyzer may find a Head and shoulder here! Bulls are so strong and price react bullishly to the dynamic levels. I'll buy some XRP around the level and keep them until the VP line is touched. If it easily broke the line I'll keep them to the next level but if I see enough rejections in LTF I'll sell them all. In case of SL I suggest the stabilizing under the trend line as the SL.
BINANCE:XRPUSDLong
by AliSignals
TWLO - Bottom could be in (don't shoot me if wrong)TWLO has established a strong support zone around 62 - 68 as can be seen on the weekly chart. Weekly bullish divergence in it's RSI can be seen since June while the stock was meandering lower, eventually hitting into the long term support zone and we finally saw a good bounce off this zone on strong volume yesterday. There is a good chance that this zone will continue to act as the support (though never say never!). Those buying near this support could place a stop loss slightly below this zone. However there is a chance the stock could be choppy for a while and we might not see real momentum until it can trade a fair bit higher. Hence a more "conservative" trader would probably prefer to wait till it garners enough momentum to at least break above the near term neckline resistence before going long (by then we have the 20 MA firmly crossing above the 50MA). Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NYSE:TWLOLong
by Juliac
SOXL reversal from bottom LONGAMEX:SOXL On a 30-minute chart SOXL, a triple leveraged bull ETF for semiconductors is now in an early uptrend. The semiconductor sector may be challenged but stable economics from its industrial customer bases may be steadily rising. The chart shows recent horizontal resistances from pivot points and an overlaid volume profile. For the long trade, I will set a stop loss for a 3% risk while setting targets of $15.85 , below the Fib 0.5 $ 16.8 below the top of the high volume area of the profile and final take profit at $21.3 just below the double top of August 5th and 12th. With tiered take profits, this looks to be about 30% upside overall with a very safe ratio of risk especially if the stop loss is raised above the entry on the first leg of the uptrend.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by AwesomeAvani
NZD/USD: Day Trading Analysis With Volume Profile On NZD/USD is nice to see strong buying reaction from the price 0.60800 , there is nice to see strong volume area.... Where is lot of contract accumulated... I thing that buyers from this area will be defend this long position... and when the price come back to this area, strong buyers will be push up the market again... S/R zone from the past + Downtrend + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this long trade.... Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale
1
EOS/USDT BINANCE 4H 🎆HI All 🎀 This crypto currency prone to growth has registered a new support zone with its reaction to the $0.8 level. Also, with several hits to this level, it validated the validity of this support area, changed its nature and started its upward trend. As you can see, these higher floors that have been created show a red uptrend line. Using the Volume indicator, monitor the volumes entered into this growth-prone currency, which, if this currency is supported, the ability to reach the targets of $1.8, $1.95, $2.2 seems reasonable. Arztoday 👒
by arztoday
1
PDD - will it breakup soon?PDD had an earlier breakup of an Adam & Eve formation (@ neckline1) that subsequently failed. It is now approaching a more significant neckline (neckline2) and the earnings that is expected out soon could give a clue if the worst over and if the stock is on the way to propel higher, especially if it could continue to hold above the 200 day Moving Average. Let's see! Disclaimer: Just my 2 cents and not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Take care and Good Luck!
NASDAQ:PDD
by Juliac
1
Last stand for BTC BullsThere is a lack of a clear impulsive structure to the upside which makes it difficult to clearly say whether or not the price action is bullish or bearish . This is the only real bullish count that would pave the way for new all time highs. If we assume that ~17,500 was the bottom then we are looking at an impulse in minor 1 a complex correction in minor 2 and a three of three extension in wave ((i)) of 3. The price rejected at 24,666 which is the 1.618 of W in the bearish count so in order to consider this current move a wave 3 we would need to see that pivot get cleared. Price below 20,670 will invalidate the bullish impulse since wave (ii) will have retraced >100% of wave (i). It's important to note that the volumes are very low for a wave 3 which casts doubt on the bullish count.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HelioHelix