Bitcoin: Exploring Long-Term and Short-Term Scenarios📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on Bitcoin in the 1D time frame to examine both long-term and short-term scenarios.
🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis
Bitcoin has experienced a decline after breaking the support at 60303, producing a large, high-volume candle and also breaking the 58429 level. However, it has not yet managed to stabilize below this area and is currently in a resting phase.
⌛️ Recent Market Behavior
Not much time has passed since the last analysis, and as predicted, after the selloff candle, the market entered a ranging phase with reduced volatility. This has indeed occurred, with volume decreasing during the ranging market. The long upper shadows on recent candles indicate that sellers have the upper hand and bearish momentum is present.
🧲 SMA25 Analysis
The SMA25 indicator had moved away from the candles, contributing to the market's ranging and pullback behavior. One of the properties of moving averages is that they attract the price towards themselves like a black hole, or the price ranges until the moving average reaches it. As the SMA25 approaches the candles, we can expect new bearish momentum to enter the market. If the price stabilizes above this moving average, the trend could potentially become bullish again. Confirmation of this breakout would be with a candle stabilizing above 60303.
📊 Volume Analysis
The volume is strongly confirming the trend. During declines, the volume increases, and during upward corrections, the volume decreases. This indicates that the volume is converging with the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) trend and could also influence the High Wave Cycle (HWC) trend.
📈 Bullish Confirmation
Relying solely on SMA for bullish confirmation is not very reliable due to its high error rate. From a price action perspective, if we want to confirm a bullish market, we can expect the price to move upwards with stabilization above the 63018 area. The target for this move could be the next resistance at 71607. Breaking 45.39 in the RSI can also confirm this upward breakout.
📉 Bearish Scenarios
In case of further market decline, there is a significant support around the 55k area, which is more visible in the 4-hour time frame and coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If this area is broken, we can expect the price to move at least to the 0.618 area, which is a logical target from a price action perspective and lies between 50k and 53k. This is a very important area that can prevent further price decline. The last support is at 46969, and if the price stabilizes below this support, the HWC trend in Bitcoin will change from bullish to bearish.
🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot
For buying Bitcoin in the spot market, it is better to wait until buying volume enters the market and the price stabilizes above 63471. This assumes the price moves upwards without creating a ranging box for buying. If the price ranges in the current area, we can buy upon breaking the range ceiling. If the price starts to decline, we can buy spot with confirmation from candles in the 50k or 46k areas. Be sure to manage your capital and set stop-losses to limit potential losses if the market declines further.
🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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Volumeanalysis
ICP/USDT Trading ScenarioAmid the negative news about Bitcoin, the price of ICP significantly declined, falling from a local high of $20.937 to $5.837, a drop of over 71%. The asset's price chart has fallen below the 0.75 Fibonacci level, which is often interpreted as a favorable buying zone.
From the perspective of volume profile, the area of interest for market participants is significantly higher, in the range of $13.041.
Currently, there is a positive reaction from buyers at the $5.837 mark, as evidenced by the formation of a daily pin bar. This signal could indicate a potential trend reversal and the beginning of an upward movement, as a pin bar typically signifies a change in market sentiment.
STX Daily Analysis: Anticipating a Breakout📅 Let's dive into today's analysis in the crypto market. Today's coin is STX, one of the coins that gave significant returns during Bitcoin's surge from 16k to 73k. We won't analyze Bitcoin today since I will provide a complete analysis of Bitcoin tomorrow.
🔍 Analysis of STX
Project Overview
STX is a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin, similar to other layer-2 solutions, it increases network speed and reduces transaction fees. Additionally, STX provides infrastructure on the Bitcoin network for building decentralized applications (DAPPs). Many well-known DAPP projects use this platform and protocol for their infrastructure.
🎲 Chart Analysis
The analysis is conducted in the daily time frame. As you can see, STX had a powerful upward trend and, after reaching the resistance of 3.686 and concurrently with Bitcoin reaching its peak of 73k, it started to retrace. This retracement has been marked by a curved trendline and a trendline from the price bottom, leading the price down to the 1.316 area.
🧩 Key Support Level
The support level at 1.316 is quite strong. It is significant not only from a price action perspective but also because it coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci level, adding to its importance.
📊 Volume Analysis
During the last upward wave from 1.316 to 3.686, the volume of green candles began to decrease, indicating a weakening trend that was visible on the chart. After this, and during the correction phase down to 1.316, the volume continued to decrease, suggesting that traders did not engage in buying within the range of 1.316 to 3.686. This indicates that the resistance at 3.686 is not very strong, and the price is likely to test this area again.
🧲 Trendlines and Breakout Scenarios
The trendlines that have brought the price down from 3.686 to 1.316 are nearing their end. The price will soon break either the upper or lower trendline. If the curved trendline is broken and its trigger is activated, the price could rise back to the 3.686 peak with a significant influx of buying volume. Conversely, if the trendline from the price bottom is broken, there are two potential scenarios:
If selling volume enters the market and Bitcoin loses its 55k support, we can expect a strong bearish momentum. Breaking the 33.44 support on the RSI can confirm this momentum entering the market.
If the trendline is broken but Bitcoin maintains its support and selling volume does not enter the market, we might see the bearish trend exhaust, and the price could move back above the 1.316 support level.
💥 Bitcoin's Influence
The reason Bitcoin's support and resistance are crucial for this coin's movement is that STX is a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin. Layer-2 projects generally have a high correlation with their primary projects. Additionally, with Bitcoin's dominance at 54%, Bitcoin naturally influences all altcoins, especially one that serves as a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin.
🛒 Buying Strategy in Spot
The safest trigger for buying this coin in the spot market is 3.686, which is the all-time high (ATH) for this coin. If the price stabilizes above this level, it could move towards new targets. However, this trigger is 130% away from the current market price, which is quite a distance. Until the price reaches 3.686, there are other triggers that, upon stabilizing above these levels, the price could move upwards. Naturally, these triggers are riskier than 3.686, and the probability of hitting a stop loss is higher. The first trigger is 1.801, which is the peak of the Low Wave Cycle (LWC). Since the price is in a High Wave Cycle (HWC) uptrend, you can consider entering in the LWC. The next trigger for buying is 2.422, which is the MWC resistance. After breaking and stabilizing above this area, we can move towards the 3.686 peak.
📝 Conclusion
STX, a layer-2 solution for Bitcoin, is currently at a critical support level of 1.316, which is significant both in price action and Fibonacci terms. With decreasing volume indicating a potential test of the 3.686 resistance level again, traders should watch for key breakouts and Bitcoin's influence on the market. Considering the triggers and support levels mentioned, strategic entries can be made with proper risk management.
🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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How to read Volume properlyIn this video, I explain how to interpret volume bars in conjunction with price movements. Recognizing large volume bars is crucial for understanding significant market interest, especially when they accompany substantial percentage changes in the underlying asset. These insights can help confirm institutional buying, signal the beginning or end of uptrends, and indicate the start of sell-offs or the end of downtrends.
For example, large green volume bars can suggest the start of an uptrend or confirm institutional buying, while large red volume bars can signal the beginning of a sell-off or the end of a downtrend. This indicator simplifies the process of reading volume bars, making it easier to extract valuable insights from them.
BAJAJHLDNG - Cup & Handle patternAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered analyst. Please do your own analyses before taking position. Details provided on chart is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation
Today's Analysis: Bitcoin and BNB📅Today, the market, after experiencing a dip, is in a ranging phase. We can expect the next wave of decline to begin after this correction and rest period. The coin I want to analyze today is BNB, but as always, let's start with Bitcoin.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 1-Hour Time Frame Analysis
In the 1-hour time frame, Bitcoin has corrected to 58516 and then started to decline. In recent candles, significant selling volume has entered the market. The price has also pulled back to the SMA99 and is now consolidating below the 0.382 Fibonacci level. RSI has triggered at 44.10. The next trigger is 56045, and if a candle closes below this level, we can target 53921 again.
📈 Long Position
For a long position, the market structure still doesn't seem favorable. However, if you insist on opening a long position, 58516 can be a suitable trigger. As mentioned, I won't open a long position until a suitable structure forms.
📉 Short Position
The next trigger for a short position is 56045. I will wait for the price to react to this level once, and on the next attempt, if it breaks, I'll open a position. The trigger at 57033 has slightly shifted, and now we can open a position if 56693 is broken, though the target for this position is smaller than the target for the 56045 trigger.
📊 Volume Analysis
If the market declines, the volume of red candles should increase. If not, I will open the position with lower volume and risk since volume and momentum are crucial when opening a position.
🔍 BNB Analysis
🗂 Binance Overview
Binance is one of the top crypto exchanges, handling the majority of crypto trading volume and being the most reputable exchange for traders. In addition to its trading platform, Binance also has its own blockchain with BNB as the main coin. All activities on this blockchain are conducted using BNB, which has secured the 4th position in market cap after Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Tether.
🧩 Daily Time Frame Technical Analysis
In the daily time frame, as seen, after forming an ascending triangle and breaking resistance at 619, BNB couldn't hold above this level, resulting in a fake breakout and a return to the box. The trigger for confirming the fake breakout was at 591. Currently, the price has reached the support level at 499, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci level. If this level is broken, the next targets are 450$ and 390$.
📊 Volume Analysis for BNB
The volume of red candles is currently much higher than green ones, indicating strong downward momentum. However, due to the selloff candle two days ago, the market might rest for a few days before deciding whether to continue the HWC uptrend or start a correction.
🛒 Spot Buying Strategy
For buying BNB in spot, I don't recommend it while the market has downward momentum, unless a daily or weekly candle closes above 619. In my opinion, waiting for the market to form a new structure can provide better entry points.
📝 Conclusion
Both Bitcoin and BNB are at critical points. Bitcoin continues to show signs of a downtrend, and BNB is trying to stabilize at significant support levels amid strong selling pressure. Wait for the necessary confirmations before entering positions and closely monitor volume and momentum.
🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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Today's Analysis: Ethereum & Bitcoin at Critical Levels📅Today, we're diving into the analysis of Ethereum (ETH) in both weekly and daily timeframes, alongside our usual analysis of Bitcoin (BTC). Let's kick things off with a detailed look at Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 1-Hour Timeframe Technical Analysis
After a prolonged bearish wave, Bitcoin hit support at 53921 and entered a correction phase. Currently, it is breaking through the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which significantly supports the bearish trend as the volume of green candles is much lower than the red ones from the previous days. This indicates volume and trend convergence, confirming the trend's health. The next correction levels are 58516 and 59550. Upon reaching and confirming these levels, short positions can be considered.
📈 Long Position Strategy
For long positions, I will hold off until the price stabilizes above the 99-day Simple Moving Average (SMA99). Once the price secures this level, I will announce the entry point for a long position.
📉 Short Position Strategy
For short positions, you can utilize the levels of 58516 and 59550 during market corrections. If the market declines or you miss these two levels, you can open positions upon breaking 56045 or 53921. The levels mentioned for corrections are reactive, and since we adopt a breakout strategy, we must wait for the price to range at these levels. With a break below the range's floor and increasing sell volume, you can enter the position. The RSI trigger for confirming momentum entry is 44.10.
💰 Ethereum Analysis
🗂 Project Overview
Ethereum is a blockchain-based project and one of the best in the crypto space, particularly for those interested in DeFi. Besides its native coin and blockchain, Ethereum also supports Layer 2 (L2) blockchains like Arbitrum, zkSync, Optimism (OP), Base, Linea, and Mode, which help manage transactions to reduce the load on the main blockchain, optimizing transaction fees and speeds.
Ethereum's transaction fees have significantly decreased following the Shanghai and Dencun updates, dropping from 60-70 Gwei to 2-9 Gwei, attracting more users to the blockchain. Various earning methods exist on the Ethereum network. The primary method is staking 32 ETH to become an Ethereum node, which ensures network security and earns fees from network transactions and block creation. Other methods include creating Liquidity Pool Tokens (LP tokens) on DEXs and earning fees from trades and swaps or engaging in lending and borrowing, which is a vast field in itself.
🔍 Weekly Timeframe Technical Analysis
In the weekly timeframe, Ethereum began an upward move from the 1550$ area, continuing up to 4100$, then faced resistance at 3876$ and started to correct. It has now formed a double top pattern, which hasn't activated yet. Remember, a pattern holds no significance until it activates. So, we disregard this pattern unless the price stabilizes below 2914. If that happens, we can say the pattern is activated, and the price could move downward.
The critical point now is that the curved trendline is broken, the strong bullish momentum in the market has faded, and the price has been stabilizing below the 25-day SMA. Additionally, the 51.51 support in RSI is broken, potentially pushing the price down.
📈 Bullish Scenarios
We have a few scenarios for bullish movements. First, the price doesn't stabilize below 2914, gets supported, and starts creating higher highs. Second, a further correction to the 24709 support, a significant support level for Ethereum, might prevent further price drops. Third, reaching the double top target of 2188, which is the last stronghold for Ethereum's bullish trend.
🛒 Spot Trading Strategy
For spot trading, it’s better to move to the daily timeframe for clearer charts. In this timeframe, a bearish momentum has caused the price to drop from 3919 to 2883, and it’s currently resting. If the price ranges adequately and forms a suitable structure for buying, you can enter upon breaking its range box. If it doesn't range and moves directly upward, our trigger is breaking the main resistance at 3919 unless we buy according to Dow Theory rules. Upon breaking 2883, the first support is 2620, and the second is 2188.
📊 Volume Analysis
The significant volume of red candles suggests a probable break of 2883, but since yesterday’s candle was a selloff, and today and tomorrow are holidays, the price might range for a few days before selling volume re-enters the market.
🔔 Entry Points
Regarding the entry points mentioned, don't place orders in advance. Wait for the price to react to these levels and form a range structure. After buy volume enters and breaks the range box, you can proceed with your purchase.
📝 Conclusion
In conclusion, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are at critical levels, with Bitcoin showing bearish tendencies and Ethereum facing significant support challenges. It's crucial to wait for confirmation signals and volume trends before entering any positions.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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Bitcoin's Deep Dive: Critical Support Levels & Trend Analysis📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. Bitcoin has finally broken the 59323 support level, indicating that in addition to the Low Wave Cycle (LWC), the Medium Wave Cycle (MWC) trend has also turned bearish. This suggests that Bitcoin may undergo a deeper correction.
🗂 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 Daily Timeframe Technical Analysis
In the daily timeframe, after reaching the 71509 resistance and a fake move towards 73000, Bitcoin began to rest and formed a range box between 71509 and 60273. Over 110 days, the price reacted to the floor and ceiling four times each, with one fake breakdown from the floor, and then rebounded from 0.382. On the fifth attempt, the box was broken, and now it has dropped to the 0.5 level or 55213.
📊 Volume Analysis
The candle volume is very high, indicating strong selling pressure. If the market intends to correct and the volume decreases, it means the volume is confirming the trend. Otherwise, if the volume is diverging with the upward trend, we have a divergence. If the price continues its downward movement, the volume must increase, or else we'll see divergence again.
📉 Key Support Levels
The next significant support area is between 50000 and 52000. This is a critical area that could halt the price decline, as it's an important zone both in terms of price action and the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, known as the Golden Zone. I anticipate the price will reach this range and then enter a consolidation phase after a significant selloff candle. The RSI trigger in the daily timeframe is breaking 26.33, and if this level is broken, we might see a large selloff candle. However, more bearish momentum could enter the market, so we shouldn't place orders at the 50000-52000 range yet, as the price might drop sharply to lower levels.
🎈 Additional Support
If the 50000-52000 support is broken, the next level is 47000. I believe this is the final support for maintaining the bullish trend in the High Wave Cycle. If we are to see a bull run in Bitcoin, the price should not stabilize below 47000.
🧩 Pullback Scenario
Another possible scenario is a pullback to the 60273 area. Given the 15% drop over three days and the overall bullish trend in the High Wave Cycle, a pullback is not out of the question. If the price pulls back to this level or the 58715 area and then breaks the floor of the pullback, we can confirm that the downward MWC trend is healthy and could continue to lower levels.
📈 Bullish Strategy
Currently, I don't have a plan for a bullish market, as it seems illogical with the current bearish trend and momentum. I will wait for the market to create a suitable structure for a long position. If you recall, since reaching 60000, I only announced one long trigger at 62800, which never activated as the market continued its decline. So, it's better to wait until the market forms a proper structure for a long entry point. Under current conditions, I won't open a long position unless the RSI stabilizes above 45.13, or the market creates a suitable structure for a long position.
♟ Strategy for Short Positions
As for my short position strategy, I will wait for the market to exit the oversold state. By oversold, I don't mean RSI levels but price-wise oversold, as price volatility has increased. So, I will wait and observe until the market forms a new structure in the 1-hour or 4-hour timeframes before entering a short position upon breaking the trigger.
📝 Conclusion
In conclusion, Bitcoin is at a critical juncture where it has broken significant support levels, suggesting a deeper correction might be underway. The next key support areas to watch are 50000-52000 and 47000, which will determine if the long-term bullish trend can be maintained. Volume and RSI indicators will be crucial in confirming the next move.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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EUR/CAD: Key Levels and Trading Strategies for Upcoming Moves📅 Let's get into today's analysis. I've decided to focus more on Forex analyses, and today we're analyzing the EUR/CAD pair with the main timeframe being weekly. I'll be looking at the chart solely from a technical analysis perspective.
🔍 In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, after the market found support at the 1.2953 level, bullish momentum entered and we managed to move up to the 1.4945 resistance level. After this sharp upward movement, the market entered a correction phase and corrected down to the 1.4141 level. Currently, the price is ranging between the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1.4945 resistance. I believe that until the price either breaks above 1.4945 or below 1.4141, the market will continue to range within this box.
🧩 There is also a minor ascending trend line that the price has reacted to multiple times, which could be a key determinant for future price movements. The price is currently trading above this trend line, indicating potential continued bullish momentum if it holds.
🧲 Regarding the 0.382 Fibonacci level at 1.4330, it has acted as a strong support in the past and could continue to do so. If the price breaks below this level, it might move down to the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 1.4141.
📈 For a long position on the weekly timeframe, it seems appropriate to wait for a break above the 1.4945 resistance area. The target for this move, based on the overall range, could be 1.5798. However, this target is quite high, and if the price aims to reach it, it will likely be a long-term move.
📉 For a short position, breaking below 1.4141 serves as a good trigger. If the price stabilizes below this level, it might move down to the area around 1.4327 and potentially lower if the bearish momentum is strong.
For shorter-term positions, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe. In this timeframe, we have a long-term range box and a significant support area around the 0.382 Fibonacci level on the weekly chart. There’s no need to extend the analysis here; I’ll just discuss the entry triggers.
📈 For long positions, we have three different triggers. The first trigger is a break above 1.4763, which is the riskiest one with a target of 1.4945. The next trigger is a break above 1.4945 with a target of 1.5798. The final trigger is at 1.5798, with potential higher targets if the bullish momentum is strong.
📉 For short positions, the first trigger is a break below 1.4591, and the second trigger is the break of the support area at 1.4327.
♟ Now, let me explain how I personally trade with each trigger. For the long trigger at 1.4763, I open positions in lower timeframes such as the 1-hour chart and set a small stop loss to quickly reach a risk-reward ratio of 2, which is my first target, with minimal risk. For the 1.4945 trigger, I open a position with normal risk and a regular stop loss size. For the 1.5798 trigger, I open a position with a larger stop loss because the trigger is at a significant resistance level and represents a very strong supply zone. For short positions, I do not open any until the price stabilizes below the support area.
📝 In summary, EUR/CAD is currently in a ranging phase between the 0.382 Fibonacci level and the 1.4945 resistance level. Depending on the break above 1.4945 or below 1.4141, there are opportunities for long or short positions, respectively. For those trading in shorter timeframes, key entry triggers and careful risk management are essential to navigate the market effectively.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in Forex trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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Bitcoin's Parabolic Potential & MANA's Key Levels Revealed📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. We are focusing on the crypto market, where we've seen an upward move, and Bitcoin is at a critical and exciting position. The coin I'll be analyzing today is MANA.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 Bitcoin Technical Analysis
In the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin has started to correct after reaching the 59323 support level and has now created a bullish structure in this timeframe, reaching the 63700 resistance level. A correction to 0.382 of this upward wave has been made, creating a box between 36700 and 62634.
🧲 Trend Line Analysis
Additionally, there is a curved trend line supporting the price. Since this line is curved, it could trigger a parabolic movement in the market. Conversely, if this trend line breaks, we might witness another sharp drop in the market.
📊 Volume Analysis
The market volume is ranging and is neither converging with buyers nor sellers. The direction will likely depend on which side increases its volume.
📈 Long Position Strategy
Long Position: We can enter a long position with a break above 63700, targeting 64530 as the first target. A riskier trigger is at 63122. RSI stabilization above the 55.87 resistance can act as confirmation for these positions.
📉 Short Position Strategy
Short Position: For a short position, first wait for a candle to stabilize below the curved trend line and activate the 62634 trigger. The second trigger is breaking the trend line at 62168. The RSI confirmation trigger is at 40.72.
🔍 MANA Analysis
🗂 Project Overview
Decentraland is a crypto and metaverse project where everyone can buy land and introduce their projects to others. The native token of this platform is MANA, and all transactions on this platform are conducted using this token.
🧲 Trend Line Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, this coin has started a downward trend from 0.4832 and dropped to the 0.3170 support level. After reaching this support, it corrected up to 0.236 and created a range box. This coin also has an upward curved trend line that could trigger a parabolic movement in the coin.
📈 Long Position Strategy
Long Position: Stabilizing the candle above the 0.236 area could push the price upward, creating bullish momentum to move towards the 0.5 Fibonacci area, which coincides with 0.3896. For this position, buying volume must enter the market, and the RSI trigger is at 59.26.
📉 Short Position Strategy
Short Position: For a short position, first wait for the curved trend line to break. For additional confirmation, we have two triggers: the first is at 0.3287, and the second is at 0.3170. If these levels break, we can expect the price to move down to 0.2792 based on Fibonacci Extension. Personally, I would open a position with a break below 0.3170 only if the selling volume increases and the RSI is below 50. Otherwise, I will wait for a break below 0.2792.
📝 Conclusion
In conclusion, both Bitcoin and MANA are showing critical levels that could determine their next major moves. Bitcoin's parabolic potential hinges on its curved trend line support, while MANA's future depends on its range and trend line dynamics. Keep an eye on the volume and RSI confirmations for better entry points.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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Bharat Dynamics (BDL): Cup & Handle or VCPBharat Dynamics which was already in nice uptrend has currently taken a pause.
When it was move up, it formed big range candle with big volume (in May month), then when it halted, its first pulled back with lower volume.
Whenever there is green candle, there is big volume and where there is red candle there is low volume.
Volume completely dried at second pullback, it means less and less supply is coming, supply is getting absorbed.
So could be the short term trading good opportunity.
Market Analysis: Bitcoin and AVAX📅 Today's market conditions aren't significantly different from yesterday. Given that it's Sunday, it's essential to minimize risk and avoid unnecessary positions. I'll start with a Bitcoin analysis and then move on to AVAX.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 In the 1-hour timeframe, as I mentioned yesterday, there was a potential reaction at 60718, which occurred around 60739. Following this, the price moved upward with strong momentum, forming two powerful bullish candles. However, volume has started to decrease, indicating that the bullish momentum has temporarily subsided. We need to wait for a confirmation to see momentum re-enter the market.
📈 For a long position, I still wait for a break of 62168, which coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. If this level breaks, the price could move up to 63583. If the RSI stabilizes above 70, we could consider entering a long position earlier.
📉 For a short position, our trigger has shifted slightly to 60739, considering the market's reaction to this level yesterday. This could be a good short trigger with a target of 59323. However, volume needs to increase in the market, so it might be better to wait until the new week starts.
⛓ AVAX Analysis
🗂 The AVAX project operates on its blockchain, where AVAX is the primary coin used for transactions, fees, staking, and DeFi applications.
🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, after a decline, the chart hit the support level at 23.84 and started to correct, now moving upward in the Low Wave Cycle. However, the decreasing volume favors a bearish trend continuation. We can expect the downtrend to continue if the price stabilizes below the 23.84 support.
📈 For a long position, you can enter upon breaking 28.59, but keep in mind that the volume is low, and you're trading against the main trend. The target for this position could be 30.88. If the RSI enters the overbought territory, it can provide confirmation to keep the position open.
📉 For a short position, you can enter upon breaking 27.69, though this trigger is quite risky. The main short trigger is at 23.84; breaking this level allows entering a short position. A break of 50 on the RSI can provide a suitable confirmation for bearish momentum entering the market.
📝Both Bitcoin and AVAX are at critical points. Bitcoin's low weekend volume suggests caution, while AVAX presents clear short and long opportunities based on the triggers discussed. Monitor volume closely and ensure confirmations through RSI patterns to make well-informed trading decisions.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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Market Insights: Navigating Bitcoin and DYDX📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. The market continues to range, and Bitcoin had a fake breakout yesterday, returning to its range box. Today, it might finally find a suitable condition for a long position. Today's altcoin focus is DYDX, which presents a good shorting opportunity.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔄 As usual, I'm analyzing Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe. We had a short entry trigger at 60718, but after breaking this level, the price couldn't continue its downtrend and returned to its range box. If you entered on very low timeframes like 15 minutes, you probably hit a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 and hit your target. However, if you entered in the 1-hour timeframe like me, you would have hit your stop loss, which happened to me as well.
🔍 Now, let's find today's trading triggers. After the fake breakout, we can say the first sign of buyers entering the market was seen. However, it's Saturday, and the volume is very low, so we can't say that buyers are showing a weak trend. I think it's better to stay away from the market today and tomorrow due to low volume, but we should check the market every few hours because we might miss a sharp move.
📈 For a long position, I personally will wait for the 62168 trigger, as it will likely take some time for the price to reach it. By then, the weekend will be over, and the market will have more logical volume. If the trigger breaks quickly before the weekend ends, we can conclude the market has momentum, making it viable to open a position.
📉 For a short position, 60718 is still suitable, but if the price revisits and reacts to this level again, it will be even more suitable for a short. I'm not focusing much on Bitcoin short positions because DYDX has a better trigger for shorting today compared to Bitcoin.
💱 DYDX Analysis
🗂 Let's move on to DYDX. There's no need to explain the project in detail because I covered it fully in previous analyses. However, to give a brief summary, DYDX is a decentralized platform where you can open positions. For more details, you can check out past analyses. If you want a comprehensive analysis of DYDX covering all timeframes and a detailed project explanation, let me know in the comments, and I'll do that for you.
🔍 In the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, there's a downtrend starting from the break of 1.935 down to 1.306. Drawing a Fibonacci retracement, we see it corrected up to 0.382 and formed a range box between 1.1306 and 1.505. On a smaller scale, there's a smaller range box between 1.434 and 1.343.
📈 For a long position, we can enter after breaking 1.434, aiming for 1.505. The next trigger is breaking 1.505, which could move the price towards 0.618. The final target for this position is 1.794.
📉 For a short position, we have two triggers: 1.343 and 1.306. If the price makes another downward move, it can reach 1.030, a level indicated by the Fibonacci extension.
📊 For all triggers, note that volume should increase in the direction of the position you want to open. Otherwise, we have a divergence, and the trend can't be trusted.
🧩 Regarding RSI, there's an ascending triangle. If the trendline of this triangle or the 57.16 resistance breaks, it confirms the activation of this pattern, providing a confirmation for the position you want to open. The trendline break trigger is 36.71.
📝Both Bitcoin and DYDX are at pivotal points. Bitcoin's low weekend volume suggests caution, while DYDX presents clear short and long opportunities based on the triggers discussed. Monitor volume closely and ensure confirmations through RSI patterns to make well-informed trading decisions.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Blockchain Volume DeclineWe build a robot that calculates and the daily total trading volume on the Dogecoin blockchain. Yesterday the blockchain volume fell from 9.2 billion to 7.6 billion.
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Good luck in your trading and have a fat profit!
You can find my price action anticipation in previous postings.
Wyckoff Bullish Patterns - Accumulation (strong buyers action)VolumeDayTrader offers script of such indicators on TradingView. For more details check our profile or DM us.
Weis Wave is an advanced trading indicator used to identify bullish and bearish patterns in the market. It is based on Richard D. Wyckoff's methodologies and is typically used to analyze volume and price action. Here's how to recognize and understand bullish patterns using Weis Wave:
Key Concepts of Weis Wave
Wave Volume: This is the cumulative volume of each price wave. It helps to identify the strength of buying or selling pressure.
Price Waves: These are the movements in price, which can be upward or downward.
Recognizing Bullish Patterns
Rising Volume on Upwaves: When the volume increases on upward price waves, it suggests strong buying interest. This is a bullish signal as it indicates accumulation.
Decreasing Volume on Downwaves: When the volume decreases on downward price waves, it indicates weak selling pressure. This is also a bullish sign as it shows that sellers are not aggressive.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows: In a bullish pattern, each successive upwave will typically make a higher high, and each downwave will make a higher low. This reflects a strong uptrend.
Support and Resistance Levels: Pay attention to how the price reacts around key support and resistance levels. A bullish pattern often sees the price breaking through resistance levels with strong volume.
Example of Bullish Patterns
Accumulation Phase: This phase is characterized by a series of higher lows and higher highs, with increasing volume on upwaves. It suggests that smart money is accumulating shares.
Breakout with Volume: A significant bullish signal is when the price breaks above a resistance level with a large increase in volume. This confirms that buyers are in control.
Pullback with Low Volume: After a breakout, a minor pullback or consolidation with low volume is often seen. This is typically a continuation pattern indicating that the uptrend is likely to resume.
Using Weis Wave for Confirmation
Combine with Other Indicators: Use the Weis Wave in conjunction with other technical indicators like Moving Averages, RSI, or MACD to confirm bullish patterns.
Volume Clusters: Look for clusters of high volume on upwaves at key price levels to confirm bullish strength.
By analyzing these aspects, you can effectively use the Weis Wave to identify and trade bullish patterns in the market. Would you like more detailed examples or further explanation on any specific aspect of the Weis Wave?
Delving into the Depths: Bitcoin & POLS Analysis📅 Today, we're diving into the analysis of POLS, a coin suggested by one of our followers in the comments of yesterday's analysis. If you have a coin in mind that hasn't been analyzed yet or if the analysis is outdated, let me know in the comments, and I'll be sure to provide an analysis for you. But before that, as always, let's start with Bitcoin.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 I'll analyze Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe, as usual. Yesterday, the 61273 trigger was activated, and it's likely now in a risk-to-reward 1 area. As I always say, the first target should be at least a risk-to-reward of 2, as I don't find 1 or 1.5 risk-to-reward ratios worthwhile. So, if you opened a position with yesterday's trigger, I suggest keeping it open.
📊 New selling volume is entering the market, and in the last two strong candles, significant selling volume has entered.
📉 If you don't have a position and want to open a short one, the 60635 trigger can be very suitable. However, I prefer it to test this support again and break it next time, as this would make me more confident in the trigger. The RSI trigger is also being activated at 35.86, which will likely confirm the entry before the price does.
📈 For long positions, we still need more space and structure, but I think a suitable structure for a long position will form by tomorrow, and I'll discuss it then.
💎 POLS Analysis
🔍 Now it's time to analyze POLS. The analysis will be done in the daily timeframe, but I'll also check lower timeframes for futures. First, let's review the project.
🗂 The POLS project is a blockchain-based platform that provides infrastructure for new projects to conduct presales and raise funds for their projects. Projects on this platform are very risky, and most of them fail, but if you have the necessary knowledge to evaluate projects and conduct your own research, you can discover new market gems and earn significant profits after their tokens or coins are listed. Additionally, the gam3s project is a subset of this project, acting as a game launcher. Just as the main project is a platform for viewing and purchasing blockchain projects, gam3s is a platform for viewing and purchasing crypto games and Play-to-Earn games.
🎲 In the daily timeframe, POLS had a long-term range box, and after breaking the box from below, it started its downtrend, forming a descending trendline from the price lows, which can be considered as the target for each wave. The SMA25 has also effectively supported the price in this trend, preventing it from losing its bearish momentum. Currently, the selling volume in the market is decreasing, indicating that these moves could be among the last in this cycle. For the downtrend to continue, selling volume needs to increase again, and ideally, the RSI should break the 27.32 support to bring bearish momentum into the market.
🪤 There was a Fake Breakout from the 1.1738 ceiling, which initiated the bearish move. I want to talk more about these fake breakouts. The analytical use of fakes is such that each fake breakout has a trigger, which in this example, was the 1.0577 trigger. After breaking this trigger, we can say the market turned bearish. The reason is that buyers broke the resistance and gained control but couldn't maintain it, resulting in a lower high and introducing bearish momentum into the market.
🛒 For spot buying, considering the bearish market, there are no resistances yet for this coin that would make a spot purchase logical. The closest trigger for a spot buy is 0.7492, which is quite far, and before that, the price will likely form a new structure and provide a lower entry point.
🚀 For futures trading, it's better to look at the 4-hour timeframe.
⚙️ In this timeframe, another fake breakout occurred, but in this example, the trigger wasn't activated, and the price is moving downward again.
📉 The short trigger for this coin was 0.5515, which has been activated. The target for this trigger could be the trendline drawn in the daily timeframe or the static support at 0.4636. The trigger for this move in the RSI is 38.06.
📈 For long positions, the 0.5728 trigger is suitable, but the price is far from it and might reach it in a few days.
📝In conclusion, the market conditions indicate potential short opportunities for Bitcoin while POLS shows promise for long positions if the resistance is broken. Always remember to use appropriate risk management techniques and adhere to your trading strategies.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Navigating Market Waves: Bitcoin & PENDLE Analysis📅 Let's dive into today's analysis. The market has formed a small structure, giving us better triggers for taking positions. The coin I want to analyze today is PENDLE, but first, let's look at Bitcoin.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 We're analyzing Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe, as usual. The conditions haven't changed much from yesterday. The price has made a deep pullback to the broken descending channel. The current short position trigger is 61,273, which, if broken with good volume, can introduce significant bearish momentum into the market.
📊 The volume has decreased during the correction, which is natural and indicates the strength of the bearish trend, suggesting convergence.
📉 For short positions, as mentioned, 61,273 is a suitable trigger. If you miss this trigger, you can use Dow Theory to take a position or wait for the support break at 59,323.
📈 I still do not recommend any long triggers as it doesn't make sense to open long positions with the market having such strong bearish momentum.
✉️ PENDLE Analysis
🔍 Let's move on to PENDLE. This is the first time I'm analyzing this coin on the channel, so I'll explain the project as well.
The PENDLE project is a blockchain-based platform within the DeFi space that offers users LP-Tokens with high APRs. These LP-Tokens have expiration dates, and if they are not withdrawn before their expiration, the invested funds are completely lost. This is why the APRs are high, as there is more risk involved.
💎 On the daily timeframe, as you can see, there's a good, clean uptrend that, after reaching the resistance at 7.033, started to correct down to the golden Fibonacci zone of 0.5 to 0.618. It then moved back up to the 7.033 peak, forming an ascending triangle supported by a trendline. Additionally, the SMA 99 is also providing strong support to the price. Since we are both on the trendline and the SMA 99 has reached the price, the likelihood of support from these levels is high, depending on Bitcoin's trend and future developments.
📊 The volume of this coin has started to decrease after reaching the 7.033 resistance, which is natural. However, for a new uptrend to start, the buying volume needs to increase at least to the previous levels.
🛒 For spot purchases, you can buy after breaking the 7.033 resistance, which is the ATH resistance for this coin. I believe risking no more than 0.5-1% on this coin is logical, but considering the potential hype around the project, this risk is reasonable. Personally, I plan to hold a small amount of this coin in my spot portfolio after breaking this resistance.
🎯 The target for this coin in the first stage is the $12 range, and for a bull run or a major move, it could be $23. I suggest waiting for the $23 target as it depends on the project's success and if it becomes as large, popular, and reliable as Uniswap or Pancakeswap.
📉 For futures positions, it's better to move to the 4-hour timeframe to see the triggers more clearly. The long trigger in futures can be 6.21, which is close to the ATH and should be quickly locked in as profit due to the strong supply zone. The 55.92 trigger in RSI can confirm our long position.
📈 For short positions, after breaking the trendline, the 4.841 trigger is suitable. The target can be the daily golden Fibonacci zone, and its confirmation can be the break of 35.76 in RSI.
📝 Conclusion
In conclusion, the market has shown a significant bearish movement, especially in Bitcoin, leading to cautious market sentiment. For Bitcoin, short positions remain more favorable due to the strong bearish momentum, with 61,273 as a key trigger. For PENDLE, 8.871 is a crucial short trigger, while long positions should be taken with caution, waiting for a more defined structure and stronger buying signals. Always manage risk and wait for clear triggers before entering positions.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
GBPUSD 160 Pips Sell setup!! Must Watch!!Based on our technical analysis we are seeing massive rejection on the weekly timeframe
We see price has changed structure after the rejection and breaking the trendline, we had a nice pull back to 38.2 fib level and its In confluence with trendline as resistance
Please manager your risk!!
Follow me for more analysis
Heavy Market Drop: Bitcoin and UNI Analysis🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. The market experienced a significant drop, especially Bitcoin. Altcoins also fell, but since Bitcoin's dominance decreased, Bitcoin's drop was more substantial than that of altcoins. Today, I want to analyze UNI, which has dropped less than Bitcoin. But first, let's look at Bitcoin's analysis.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 We're analyzing Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. As you can see, after breaking 64,247, which was a trigger mentioned in previous analyses for short positions, the descending channel was broken from below. This can lead to two scenarios:
Trend Fatigue: The price may re-enter the channel.
Sharp Downtrend: The price may continue a sharp downtrend, which happened in this case with a 9% drop to the 58K low. It was then supported at 59,323 and is currently ranging around 61,300.
🔄 I hope you utilized the short triggers mentioned in previous analyses. Our triggers were 64,247 and 63,583, and with a break strategy, you could have easily taken a position with a risk-to-reward ratio of 5 to 20, depending on which trigger and stop-loss size you used.
📊 The selling volume in the market has increased significantly, and as the price takes a breather, the current buying volume is negligible compared to the selling volume during the downtrend, indicating the strength of the bearish trend.
📈 I am not recommending any long positions because it's illogical to open long positions when the market has such a strong bearish momentum.
📉 For short positions, we currently have the 59,323 trigger. If you want to enter earlier, you can use Dow Theory and open a short position whenever a lower low is made. I believe the price will wait for the SMA 99 to catch up since it's quite far from the current price.
📚 Bitcoin Dominance
Let's look at Bitcoin dominance. As I mentioned, Bitcoin's larger drop compared to altcoins is due to the decline in Bitcoin's dominance. This chart shows the percentage of money in the crypto market that is in Bitcoin.
🔑 Yesterday, with the break of 55.06%, Bitcoin dominance dropped, causing money to flow out of Bitcoin into altcoins. Part of this money became Tether, and part went into altcoins, causing both Bitcoin and altcoins to drop, but Bitcoin more so. Currently, dominance is ranging between 53.74% and 56.31%. With a break of the 55.06 trigger, it can move to the lower end of the range.
🦄 UNI Analysis
🔍 Now, let's analyze UNI. I've previously discussed the Uniswap project and its court case with the US in detail, so let's go straight to the chart.
🔄 In the previous analysis, I mentioned that you could open a long position with a break of 11.567, but a fake breakout occurred, and the price couldn't stabilize above this area. Subsequently, the price dropped past the POC fixed range volume profile and continued down to the 6.412 area. After a brief consolidation, it dropped again to the box low of 8.871.
📉 For shorts, the 8.871 trigger is very suitable, especially if Bitcoin dominance increases, making it a great short trigger. The target for this move could be 8.226, and after that, 6.768. A break of 26.35 in RSI could introduce bearish momentum into the market, making lower targets achievable.
📈 For longs, wait for the price to build a new structure. Until then, wait for a break of 10.82, which overlaps with the POC.
📝In conclusion, the market has shown a significant bearish movement, especially in Bitcoin, which has led to cautious market sentiment. For Bitcoin, short positions remain more favorable due to the strong bearish momentum. For UNI, the short trigger of 8.871 is a key level to watch, while long positions should be approached with caution, waiting for a more defined structure and stronger buying signals. Always ensure to manage risk and wait for clear triggers before entering positions.
Sunday Market Calm: Bitcoin and SUSHI Insights🔍Let's dive into today's analysis. The market is quite range-bound and lacks volatility since it's Sunday and the trading volume is low. As usual, let's start with Bitcoin analysis:
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
1-Hour Timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, we still have an ascending channel where yesterday, the price stabilized above its midline. However, as mentioned earlier, there is currently no bullish momentum in the market, which is why I haven't opened any positions and remained in a no-position stance.
🔻 Interestingly, the price was supported at 64247, making this trigger more reliable. Upon breaking this short-term support, I will open my short position. However, given the low market volume, it's better if selling volume enters the market simultaneously with the trigger break. The RSI confirmation trigger is 44.53, but due to the ranging market, momentum oscillators are less reliable.
📈 For a long position, the risky trigger at 64530 is still on the table, but I strongly advise against opening a long position in the current conditions. It is better to wait for the market to build more structure.
🍣 SUSHI Analysis
Project Overview
The coin we will analyze today is SUSHI, which is a DEX platform in the DeFi space. This platform allows decentralized trading of cryptocurrencies. Additionally, by creating Liquidity Pool Tokens (LP tokens) on this platform, you can generate income. This relates to the DeFi sector, and I recommend thorough research before entering this space.
Technical Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, it is evident that there is a downtrend that started from the 1.295 resistance and reached the 0.791 support. Using the Fibonacci retracement, we see that between the 0.791 support and the 0.859 level (which is also the 0.236 Fibonacci level), a range box has formed, indicating a resting phase. The SMA25 has reached the candles and turned the previous candle red. If the SMA25 can inject momentum into the market, we can expect the market to become bearish.
📉 For a short position, I recommend opening a short position upon breaking 0.791, with a target of 0.64. It is crucial that volume increases; otherwise, the trend will weaken.
📈 For a long position, wait for the price to stabilize above the SMA25 and for the RSI to hold above 47.03. You can open a position upon breaking 0.859, but since this is against the trend, buying volume in the candles must be high, and the target should be small. The 0.382, 0.5, and 0.618 Fibonacci levels can be suitable targets for this position.
♟ Personal Strategy
I will definitely open a short position upon breaking 0.791 because if this area breaks, a significant bearish momentum will enter the market, potentially leading to a substantial decline. However, for a long position, I will not open one at the moment and will wait for the market to build a structure that fits my long position strategy.
📝 Conclusion
Today’s market analysis highlights the importance of patience and strategic positioning. For Bitcoin, the lack of bullish momentum suggests a cautious approach, avoiding long positions until the market shows more definitive signs. SUSHI presents potential opportunities on both the short and long sides, but volume confirmation is key to avoid false moves. Remember, in low-volume conditions like today, it's best to wait for clear signals before making any trading decisions. Always prioritize risk management and thorough analysis before entering the market.