LAURAS LABS - A Stock to WatchThe stock has been moving up slowly and on the weekly, it has been making higher highs and higher lows. Also, it has been repeatedly bouncing from the 200 DMA. Currently after making a higher high on the weekly, it was pushed down back to the 200 DMA from where it has been bouncing. Now it has moved past the short-term moving averages as well. In the last few sessions, we saw good buying up bars. However, the key parameters like relative strength, money flow and the volume driven momentum are still in the negative territory tending to move to the positive side. Ideally this stock should make another higher high surpassing the earlier higher high which was around 520 levels. Ideally one should wait till it crosses 477 levels and all key parameters turn positive. This will also help to confirm that there is follow up bullishness. Hence this is a stock to watch.
Volumepriceanalysis
MAZAGON DOCKS - ON A RECOVERY PATH ?The stock after a buying climax bar in the month of July was overwhelmed with the supply of the BC bar and was pushed down to below the 50 DMA levels. Then it started accumulating around the 50 DMA and now it's finally getting pushed above the short-term moving averages. And all the key parameters like the relative strength, absolute strength, the money flow, buying pressure are all nicely stacked up favouring further up move. So, this could move up again. Another 1000 points testing 5400 levels. However, it is better to watch the next couple of bars to see if there is follow-up support coming.
Cable (GBPUSD) heading for 1.3800, FED rate Hike Priced In I believe the FED rate cuts are largely being priced in. We are now moving to that liquidity event level that was as a result of Russian sanctions and some liquidity being sucked out of the system. I expect Cable to move up to the 1.3800 level first and then possibly 1.4000.
1. You can see the Volume come in after the FED cut. That's some of the earlier longs liquidating on the higher volume trading those events.
2. You can see from the volume that the trade started from October last year and picked additional pace in April this year. So if you are trading the upside now you missed out on most of the earlier move.
3. The key now is to wait for sellers or develop a bullish bias in intraday traders if you are a day trader. You can follow more of my thoughts as a 15 year trading veteran in London
Tricky Spot Thursday's candle closed above the prior day's high, reaching the weekly SIBI, overnight in the Asian session the price rallied, consolidated in London, and Reversed In the NY Session
4hr market structure is still bullish but at the top of the range creating a bearish reversal with high volume that created a bearish SIBI retesting value area high or the 4hr trading range/4hr Fixed Volume profile the 4hr bullish bars that traded away from POC showed an increase in volume but the bearish volume was higher
m15 has two potential areas from long at 20,271.00 or at 20,140.00
but I'm being mindful of the 20,406.00 to 20,362.00 level that can act as resistance causing longs to get squeezed out of their positions
I will review what happens overnight
Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
Eye For Longs wiith Caution Tuesday's candle closed above prior day high, as well as reaching weekly high
4hr market structure is still bullish but after rally price failed to close above 4hr swing high
4hr Fixed Volume profile shows the POC is at the highs on the 4hr price attempted to move away from POC in a bullish fashion but could be a weak move due to the failed closure
I want to see what develops over night to get a clearer picture
but i do see a potential area for longs at 20,097.00 or 20,060.00
Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
RADICO - In to the next orbit ?The stock has been moving almost sideways with a upward bias for the last eight months. However, recently you can see that in the weekly it has been making a higher, high and higher lows. Now the stock has successfully moved out of this sideways range and also it has crossed above the supply line in the top. The move was with very high volumes. You can see a positive money flow in the weekly. On the daily you can see that the relative strength, absolute strength and the money flow has been positive. So, it looks like that stock is now ready to go into the next orbit. However, the ultra-high volume calls for some caution. So, one has to wait till the stock crosses above 1973 which is a high of the “BC” like bar of the last day. Relative strength turning positive on the weekly will add to the conviction.
UPL - Finally out of the woods?The stock had been in a downtrend for more than 15 months, losing almost 45% in value. In the last three months it was seeing some recovery and finally now it seems to be out of the woods. We can see the stock is making a higher high and higher low on the weekly and we can see a change of character in the weekly as well. Now finally the stock is decisively going above the 200 DMA and also the short-term moving averages. The relative strength and the money flow is also positive. Even the buying pressure and the absolute strength are also positive. It is showing a positive momentum as well. We can now confirm that the stock is finally ready to move up further and eventually the stock should be testing 800 levels.
SYNGENE - Gearing up for higher MoveThe stock after nearly 10 months of consolidation had come out of the consolidation zone and now it is attempting to take out the previous supply zone as well. As we can see in the weekly chart, the relative strength and the money flow index are positive. In the daily chart as well, you can find the relative strength, the buying pressure are all positive. However, the money flow has not picked up. Given these conditions, once the money flow also picks up, the stock is likely to go up higher after breaking out of the price rejection zone or the supply zone. A positive close above 858 level, will add to the conviction.
MINDA CORP - Gearing up for More Upside ?After almost two months of side ways move the stock is on the verge of taking out the previous Price Rejection Zone. My checklist all ticked right
Relative Strength
Buying Pressure
Increased volume
Money Flow
Absolute Momentum
Increased Delivery volumes
There is a high probability of the stock moving into the next Higher trajectory. A positive close above 527 will add more conviction.
Tata Consumer Products Ltd. This is one of the very few stocks that stood strong in a very weak market. Today when most of the stocks were going down heavily, this one stood quite strong. It has also made a very nice consolidation pattern, almost a cup and handle pattern. So, any good move above the handle would propel the stock to much higher levels. The Positivity will really come into play above the level 1250. This is a stock to watch.
KNR CONSTRUCTION - Moving to next orbit ?The stock, after a long consolidation of more than 2 years, made an impressive up move in late May, early June period. Then it met with supply around 344-410 levels. Then again it consolidated for almost 2 months taking support in the previous Major PRZ. Now it is trying to move out of this supply zone. All the other parameters like relative strength, money flow, buying pressure, the volumes, all look positive and likely to aid further up move. So, looks like the stock is going to go into the next higher orbit.
MOTILALOFS - Ready for 15% up move?The stock was already in a up trend. It faced Price Rejection around 720 level and retreated. Took support at the previous support zone and gearing to move up. Money flow is positive. RS is also on the verge of turning positive. We can good delivery volumes indicating interest longer term buyers. Now likely to test the PRZ . Hence we could see a quick 10-15% up move.
JNJ Swing Long Conservative Trend Trade 14Conservative Trend Trade 14
+ long impulse
+ support level
+ 1/2 correction
+ T2 level
+ biggest volume 2Sp
+ test
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Daily chart context
+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
Monthly chart context
- short impulse
+ biggest volume Sp
+ test
+ 1/2 correction
HBL POWER - High Probability for further up MoveThe stock faced price rejection around 612 on its upward journey and it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. And it moved almost sideways for 6 months. Multiple attempts to take out the rejection zone failed and recently it did succeed in moving out of the rejection zone. But it again went back to test the rejection zone. Now again it is moved up above the rejection zone and also the supply shadow of the BC bar of the 15th of July. As you can see the money flow is positive and the relative strength is also positive now. Th e volume has substantially increased and also the delivery volumes have increased in the recent past. All this does indicate that this current breakout of the rejection zone will sustain and it is highly probable that the stock will move up further.
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Volume and Price DynamicsVolume Spread Analysis (VSA): Understanding Market Intentions through Volume and Price Dynamics.
█ Simple Explanation:
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a trading technique that identifies key market patterns and trends by analyzing the relationship between volume and price spread, revealing traders' actions and market behavior.
Essentials in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA):
Laws.
VSA Indicator.
Signs of Strength.
Signs of Weakness.
Note that while the provided examples are excellent for illustrating the points, they are unlikely to play out perfectly in most scenarios.
█ Laws
Three basic laws forming the foundation of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA).
The Law of Supply and Demand
This law states that supply and demand balance each other over time. High demand and low supply lead to rising prices until demand falls to a level where supply can meet it. Conversely, low demand and high supply cause prices to fall until demand increases enough to absorb the excess supply.
The Law of Cause and Effect
This law assumes that a 'cause' will result in an 'effect' proportional to the 'cause'. A strong 'cause' will lead to a strong trend (effect), while a weak 'cause' will lead to a weak trend.
The Law of Effort vs Result
This law asserts that the result should reflect the effort exerted. In trading terms, a large volume should result in a significant price move (spread). If the spread is small, the volume should also be small. Any deviation from this pattern is considered an anomaly.
█ VSA Indicator
This indicator simplifies the identification of Volume and Spread Levels. It provides options to display volume and/or spread bars. An enhanced version of the indicator auto-scales both volume and spread for optimal chart presentation, reloading every time the chart is moved.
Levels: Representing the levels of both volume and spread using the terminalogy of low, normal, high, and ultra.
Indicator Version 1: Display volume and/or spread bars. When both are displayed, the spread bars are shown in a fixed quantity.
Indicator Version 2: Display both volume and spread bars, with the spread bars scaled to the volume bars.
█ Signs of Strength
Indicates that the market is likely to experience bullish behavior.
Down Thrust: Indicates strong buying interest at lower prices, suggesting a potential upward reversal.
Selling Climax: Signifies a reversal point as panic selling exhausts and smart money starts accumulating.
Bear Effort No Result: A large downward price move without strong selling effort (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the down move may be unsustained.
No Effort Bear Result: Strong selling effort (volume) fails to push prices down indicating an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of downward momentum.
Inverse Down Thrust: Shows buyers overpowering sellers, likely leading to a bullish market reversal.
Failed Selling Climax: Failed selling effort suggests strong buying support and a possible upward trend reversal.
Bull Outside Reversal: Indicates strong buying reversing a downtrend, confirmed by higher close.
End of Falling Market: Signifies strong buying absorbs panic selling at new lows, likely leading to stabilized price or reversal.
Pseudo Down Thrust: Suggests weakening of the downward momentum with a potential upward continuation if broken above high.
No Supply: Indicates a lack of selling interest at lower prices, potentially setting up for a price rise.
█ Signs of Weakness
Indicates that the market is likely to experience bearish behavior.
Up Thrust: Indicates sellers overpowering buyers during a price rise, suggesting a potential downward reversal.
Buying Climax: Represents peak buying, typically at price highs, with potential for reversal as sellers take control.
No Effort Bull Result: A large upward price move without strong buying pressure (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the up move may be unsustained.
Bull Effort No Result: Strong buying (volume) fails to drive prices higher indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of upward momentum.
Inverse Up Thrust: Increased selling pressure during an uptrend suggests a possible shift to a downtrend.
Failed Buying Climax: High buying volume fails to sustain higher prices, indicating a potential reversal to downtrend.
Bear Outside Reversal: Strong selling pressure reversing an uptrend, signaling a potential downtrend.
End of Rising Market: Indicates buying saturation at market peaks, suggesting a possible reversal as demand exhausts.
Pseudo Down Thrust: Indicates weakening upward momentum with potential for downward continuation if broken below low.
No Demand: Indicates reduced buying interest at higher prices, possibly leading to a price decline.
ETF Developers Buying Ahead of Q2 Earnings Reports: HDThis Dow component was the highest gainer for the average with a modest 2.10% gain yesterday. NYSE:HD price action was very controlled. Volume was slightly below average indicating it was likely ETF developers buying ahead of the earnings report.
Accumulation/Distribution indicator confirms this price range is a buy zone.
This is a technical setup to watch for pre-earnings runs for swing trading.
AFFLE - A stock to watchThe stock has been moving almost sideways for more than two years. Early this year it attempted to take out the old price rejection zone of two years at 1336 level, it failed and it was pushed down again below the 200 DMA. From there it started recovering and in the month of May the stock did make an attempt to take out this price rejection zone. It failed and again was pushed down below the 200 DMA. Now again it is making an attempt and it is crossed the rejection zone with a “Buying Climax” like Bar with a with widespread up bar on very high volume. Now the level 1390 is very significant now because once the price goes above this level it would cross the previous resistances from 2022 and also it would go above the supply shadow of the “BC” like bar which happened today. A bullish close above 1390 will take the stock higher. All other parameters like Relative strength, Money Flow, Buying Pressure and Momentum seem to support. The up move could struggle till 1510 level above which the ease of movement would be much better.
EURCAD POTENTIAL SUPPORT BREAK?????Pair: EURCAD
Timeframe: 30M
Analysis: Trend line, volume profile , support and resistance, trend break, consolidation, ascending triangle pattern
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Key Takeaway: Been a alot of consolidation between 1.47450-1.47200 and we could finally see a break. Need to look for a close below dynamic support and our trend line and then a retest of these levels before entering short.
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Level needed: need a close bellow 1.47200
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Trade: SHORT
RISK:REWARD 1:4
SL: 1.47340
TP: 1.46950-1.46640
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DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
BLS - Gearing up for 15% - 20% move ?In early Feb, the stock faced price rejection around 430 levels and was pushed back to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it has been consolidating for almost three months. Now it is attempting to move up, it is about to cross the current price rejection level at 358. The relative strength is also turning positive and the money also started flowing into the stock. The volumes have been increasing including the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers are stepping in. The momentum has and Buying Pressure have been increasing recently. Once we have a positive close above 358 levels, we could see the stock testing the supply zone around 430 levels. This is a stock to watch.
GREENPLY INDUSTRIESThe stock was moving up and in the last week of February, it encountered a BC bar or a buying climax like bar. Then because of the supply of the BC bar, it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it started recovering. Then it attempted to take out the Supply shadow of the BC bar but did not succeed. Then again recently did try to go into the shadow of the BC bar. It was struggling and pulled back a little and then now it has moved past the supply shadow of the BC bar. It would mean that all the supply has been fully absorbed now and the stock would be ready to move up. As you can see, the relative strength is becoming positive and the money is also flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing and the volume has also increased. Also, we can see the good increase in the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers stepping in. Now with a positive close above 287, the last close would take the stock into the next higher trajectory. So, it is a stock worth watching.
GRANULES - A stock to watchThe stock after facing price rejection around 466 to 480 area was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. It took support from there and started moving up and now it's making a higher high and higher low. The relative strength is also positive and we can see good volumes coming in. Money is flowing into the stock and the momentum is also positive and increasing. Also, we can see good increase in the delivery volumes recently indicating committed buyers stepping in. A bullish close above 480 would take the stock to the next higher trajectory.
ADANI PORTS - Ready to Move to next upper Trajectory?The stock on its upper trajectory faced a price rejection around 1425 levels and it was driven down to below the 50 DMA levels. From there it took support and then started recovering. Recently there was an attempt to take out the price rejection zone but that move did not succeed and it was pushed back to test the price rejection zone. Now it is again attempting to take out the rejection zone. We can see increasing momentum and also the relative strength is positive. The money flow needs to become positive. We can see some increase in the volume as well. Now this stock is likely to succeed in taking out the rejection zone. A good close above 1457 would take it to the next upper trajectory.
UNION BANK - Gearing up for a Break out?The PSU bank index has been moving in a slightly inclined upward channel showing positive bias. However, this stock has been moving in a sideways range for almost four months now. Now the stock is testing the top of the sideway range. The MFI indicates money is flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing, the relative strength is also turning positive. We can see increases in the volume as well. Also, we can see increases in the delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in here. The minor trend and the immediate trend are also up. Looks like the stock is gearing up to break out of the range and move into the next higher orbit. So the level to watch out is 162. This stock should find a place on your watch list.