JUBLI FOODS – Confirming Reversal and ready to move higher?The stock after making a high of 586 last December has been going down. It has been making lower highs and lower lows with each price wave was getting lower. After reaching a bottom of 421 it started reversing. Then it started making higher highs and higher lows and each price wave was getting higher and higher. Now it has crossed above the 3 short-term moving averages and today it moved above the 200 DMA as well. You can see that the volumes for each wave was getting higher. The money flow had remained positive from April onward and in May the relative strength also turned positive. The stock also exhibited strong momentum in May. Recently the delivery volumes have also increased indicating interested buyer stepping in. Now the stock is likely to teat the previous high of 586. 520 levels could offer some resistances.
Volumepriceanalysis
Chota Packet Bada Dhamaka Supreme Power Equipment LtdTransformer Market size is valued at USD 54 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to
grow at a CAGR of 7.2% between 2023 and 2032.
o Large scale integration of renewable energy sources coupled with increasing
electrification programs primarily across the emerging economies will
accelerate the industry scenario.
o Expanding urban infrastructure to proliferate product demand for commercial &
industrial applications Power transformer market from the commercial &
industrial applications segment is expected to exhibit nearly 7% growth rate
between 2023 and 2032.
o The global power transformer market size was valued at $27.7 billion in 2019, and
is expected to reach $50.8 billion by 2027, registering a CAGR of 7.9% from 2020
to 2027.
Indian Transformer Market Size
o The India transformer market is expected to rise at a CAGR of more than
5% during the forecast period.
o The Transformer market in India can be pegged at more than INR 12,000
Crores. Power Transformers contribute 45 percent of the total market and
distribution transformers, 55 percent.
o Anticipating the huge domestic, requirement of power sector expansion
and overseas demand, the transformer industry in India has more than
doubled its manufacturing capacity over the last five years.
o Transformer manufacturing capacity in India stands at ~370 GVA with
capacity utilization rates hovering around 60- 70 percent on an average
over the last 5 years.
Power Sector
o India is the third-largest producer and consumer of electricity worldwide, with an installed power capacity of 416.59 GW as of April 30, 2023.
o India's power generation witnessed its highest growth rate in over 30 years in FY23. Power generation in India increased by 8.87% to 1,624.15 billion
kilowatt-hours (kWh) in FY23.
o According to data from the Ministry of Power, India's power consumption stood at 130.57 BU in April, 2023.
o The peak power demand in the country stood at 226.87 GW in April, 2023.
Attractive Opportunities
In Union Budget 2023-24, the government allocated US$ 885 million (Rs. 7,327
crore) for the solar power sector including grid, off-grid, and PM-KUSUM
projects. •
To meet India’s 500 GW renewable energy target and tackle the
annual issue of coal demand supply mismatch, the Ministry of Power has
identified 81 thermal units which will replace coal with renewable energy
generation by 2026.
In Budget 2023-24, Government has committed an outlay of Rs. 10 lakh crore
(US$ 120 billion) during 2023-24 towards infrastructure capital expenditure
compared to Rs. 7.5 lakh crore (US$ 90 billion) (BE) during 2022–23.
Company has reduced debt.
Company is almost debt free.
Company has delivered good profit growth of 108% CAGR over last 5 years.
Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 67.2%.
Debtor days have improved from 114 to 83.3 days.
Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 87.0 days to 67.8 days
EXIDE INDUSTRIESThe stock after a good up move has been re-accumulating for almost a month and half. Now the stock is on the verge of breaking out from this re-accumulation zone. The relative strength is turning positive and the money flow is also on the verge of reversing. Momentum which was weak has started picking up. The volume in the last two sessions has been high. The delivery volumes is also increasing. A good close above today's high, that is a good close above 500 will take the stock to the next orbit and it will move much higher.
We had caught the earlier breakout from the Rejection zone at 280 as well.
GENERAL INSURANCE CORPORATIONThe stock after facing price rejection around 440 to 467 levels came back to below 50 DMA levels. It has been consolidating since then for almost 3 months now. Finally, today we saw it breaking out of the consolidation zone. We saw a widespread bar on very high volume. The relative strength is also turning positive. The money flow has been positive for the last few sessions. We can also see a reversal in the momentum to the positive side. If the stock sustains above the high of today's bar, we can see the stock testing the previous price rejection zone at 440 to 467 levels. Now the only point of caution here is today's very high-volume bar, it is like a BC bar which can cast a shadow of supply bringing the stock down back into the consolidation zone. So that is why we need to have positive close above the shadow of the BC bar for the stock to move higher. So, it is a stock worth watching.
ADITYA BIRLA FASHIONS - Poised to moved up ?The stock saw a huge fall of about 50% from a high of 359. From the bottom, it has been struggling for almost a year to reverse the trend. And of late, you can see the attempt to move up, seeing some success. You can see a break of structure in the daily and now a break of structure in the weekly as well. The relative strength is also positive. The money flow which had dipped is now recovering. The momentum also had weakened recently and is now picking up. Today the stock moved past the price rejection zone at 277 with wide spread up bar with volume support. In the last few sessions, we saw some increase in delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in. If the stock sustains above 277 levels, we can see the stock moving up further north. The next destination could be 315 levels.
DEEPAK NITRITEIn early January, the stock faced rejection around 2520 levels and it retreated to sub 200 DMA levels. From there, it recovered. In early May, it made an attempt to take out the price rejection zone. There was a move on very high volume. Unfortunately, that move did not succeed and it was pushed back below into the supply shadow of the BC bar which happened on the April 24th. Now, again it is attempting to move above the shadow of the BC bar and the price rejection zone. The relative strength is still positive but the money flow is lacking and also the volume is very low. The momentum has also dropped. So, once this stock succeeds in taking out the price rejection zone and goes above the shadow of the BC bar, the stock is likely to move up higher. We also see a very nice consolidation pattern almost like a cup and handle pattern. So, we need to wait and watch for the volume to increase and the money flow to be positive and the momentum also to come in. So, this is a stock worth watching
EDELWEISSThe stock is trying to move out of the price rejection zone after nearly four months of sideways move. The relative strength and the money flow are also positive. The volume has been increasing in the recent past and the volume adjusted momentum is also turning positive. All the conditions are favoring the stock to take out the price rejection zone. Once we have a good close above 88, we can see the stock moving up much higher.
Crompton Greaves - Poised move up?After a long sideways move the stock is now attempting go on upward trajectory. Creasing relative strength and Money flow is supporting the up move. Momentum and Buying Pressure are also increasing. Recent increase in delivery volumes indicate good amount of accumulation. Today's ultra high volume is reason for caution. Once we have a positive close above 343 we can expect a 100 point up move.
BRIGADE - A stock to watchThe stock is attempting to cross the previous Rejection zone with Buying Climax like Bar. Relative strength, Money flow is positive and increasing. Delivery Volumes in the last two sessions has ben high. If we have a good quality close above 1108 the stock will move much higher. Need some caution here because of the Very high Volume “BC” bar. The BC Bar supply may provide some resistance for further up move albeit for short term.
HBAR Trading ScenarioWe're looking at how the price of HBAR has been moving recently.
After dropping to a low of $0.0666, it bounced back up to $0.1818. The growth was more than 170%. Then, the price dropped back down to $0.0903. Right now, the asset price is trying to strengthen.
As for now, the market is showing that sellers are in control, so we can probably expect the HBAR price to keep dropping. If you're looking to get in on this, you might want to consider buying when the price touches the 200-day moving average or when the volume level POC declines.
SURYA ROSHNI – Looks good for a quick short term swing The stock was pushed to sub 200 DMA level after facing Rejection around 840 levels. Now the stock is recovering making Higher lows and Higher Highs. Absolute and Relative Strengths are positive. Money is also flowing into the stock. Delivery volumes have increased. The stock likely to test the 840 levels. A quick short term 20% move possible
TANLA looks fantasticTANLA Platforms charts look exceptionally good on both short term and longer term accumulation studies based on volumes.
If you understand the price-action backed by volumes, you wouldn't want to miss this.
Company in a good financial health provides further comfort.
Disclaimer: Do your own analysis before making any financial commitments. This is to spread awareness among the community members. Not to be treated as a buy/sell recommendation.
GODREJ INDUSTRIES The stock has now successfully taken out the Rejection Zone with consecutive Bullish Effort to Move up Bars. Quality Buying seen with increased Delivery volumes. RS and Money Flow has be strong for some time. The stock likely to move higher now . A test of the Rejection Zone is also possible before the up move.
Volume Delta explained : BTC exampleHello community,
One of the most powerful indicators added by TradingView recently is the Volume Delta indicator.
Practical Explanations :
The volume delta indicator serves as a crucial tool for traders, providing insights into the ongoing war between buyers and sellers in the market. 📊 Without it, relying solely on standard volume charts leaves traders blind to who's winning the battle between the bulls 🐻 and the bears🐂 . Moreover, a high volume on its own doesn't necessarily signify a dominant presence of either bulls or bears. Sometimes, amidst the roar of high volumes, the battle is evenly matched, leaving traders unable to discern the potential direction of the market.
Volume Delta indicator shows the net difference between buying and selling volume during the selected timeframe. When the volume delta is positive, it indicates that buying volume is higher than selling volume, suggesting bullish sentiment. Conversely, when the volume delta is negative, it suggests bearish sentiment as selling volume exceeds buying volume.💡
What do spikes in Volume Delta really mean?
If the closing price is far from the upper tail of a green delta volume candle, it suggests that despite the initial surge in buying activity (represented by the tall tail), the price didn't sustain its upward momentum and closed lower. Many examples can be given :
- Buyers bought their coins and sent them to cold wallets
- Presence of liquidation price level or profit taking orders being triggred so Delta volume reached it's maximum.
Traders can use the volume delta indicator to confirm trends, identify potential reversals, and make informed trading decisions based on changes in market dynamics.
Happy learning !
What is going on with GOOGL?Price adjusted volume continues to make lower highs as the stock pushes to all time highs. What is behind it? (Money Flow Line shown here)
- Are people less interested in buying at these prices?
- Are people more interested in selling at these prices?
- Does this divergence mean is the trend expected to reverse? …or will it continue regardless?
- Are big players selling chunks to retail hype?
CARBORUNDUMThe stock after a long consolidation for 10 months is finally trying to move out the consolidation zone. The Money Flow and Relative Strength are slowly turning positive. The buying pressure also was quite high in the recent times. Looks like the stock is on the way to the next wave of up move.
MAPMYINDIA - A stock to watchAfter a substantial down move to sub 200 MA level, the stock is bouncing back. Now it is crossing above the supply line. The Relative strength and Money Flow turning positive. Increasing Buying Pressure. Increase in Delivery volumes indicate some longer term interest. With a positive close above 1916 the stock will test the previous Rejection levels ( 2343-2200 )
waiting for the big resistanceOANDA: XAUUSD. The trend appears to be bullish, but there is a minor resistance system in its way. It's recommended to wait for the price to react to the trend line. If the price reacts as expected, the next significant resistance would be an excellent opportunity to take a short scalp position.
remember the trend is leading to higher peaks.
RADICOThe stock has been moving sideways after facing rejection above 1720+ levels. Bouncing from support zone and crossing above converging short-term moving averages on high volume. Money Flow turning positive and Relative Strength on the verge of turning positive. Today's Delivery volumes were very high, seven times the average indicating longer term interest. Now the stock is likely to attempt to take out the Rejection zone. Looks like 1800+ on the cards. I am looking for a minimum 10% quick up swing.