BTCUSD Symmetric TriangleLooks to me like BTCUSD is in a symmetric triangle pattern, which tends to follow the current trend (which has been down) before continuing onward. There is a possibility of reversal, but symmetric triangles typically continue the current trend. If this were an ascending right triangle, I'd see it as more bullish. If it were a descending right triangle, more bearish.
I'm going to wait and see if it can hold above the triangle for a couple days, and then maybe open some positions on it, or wait for it to reject the trend and fib resistance points and continue down.
My opinion is that it is likely to continue downward, and this is a Wyckoff redistribution phase. There's a chance it is a consolidation for an upcoming reversal, but I'm personally bearish.
Volumepriceanalysis
Expecting SBUX to head towards ~$85Long term technicals don't look too good right now, there is a gap that still needs to be filled and that is what I am expecting is going to happen.
Currently at the Monthly SR level and volume area, but seems to be rejecting it. My logic is that is will go to the next volume area, possibly bounce off the weekly SR level.
The Bears Have Taken ControlThe bears have finally pulled price below the main POC at 4350 (this is still in play). We saw a large move followed by a doji and another large move on the daily, will today be a doji? As I write this we are approaching a bearish reversal level on the daily Informant Pivots. These levels were bounced off of all of yesterday's trading session so I suggest you pay attention when the Informant Pivots speak. Below are some key levels, that, with price action will prove to be important points for price.
Key Levels
4323.67- bearish reversal
4349.59 - a bullish continuation
4271.83 - a bullish reversal
4245.91 - berish continuation
4350ish - overall POC for bears/bulls
1.679M in 15-minute Informant OBV - if we blow passed this upward we are in for a bullish day and vice verse
1.62 - if we cross this we are in complete bear territory
Another Explosive Move Is Possible TomorrowThis is a tight inside value day on the Informant Pivots, just 19.98 in difference from the high/low-value pivots. The last explosive move came form a 36.85 point difference and that was yesterday (9/28) for a 86 point move. I expect a large move leaning to the upside tomorrow. I believe yesterday (9//28) was indicative of bullish reversal based on volume and the simple fact that price closed above what I coined the bearish/bullish Mason-Dixon line. We are in an HnS Pattern on the daily and on the intraday right shoulder (there is a HnS pattern) so I truly believe this is a bear trap. CRP for floor pivots (central pivot range) is extremely tight as well but, it has a slightly lower value bias than the Informant Pivots.
The case of the bulls is the capitulation volume on 9/28 (daily) along with intraday (before close yesterday) coupled with bullish convergence. Price has also, as of writing this, crossed through the 4359.26 bearish reversal level
Levels to to look out for tomorrow
4350ish - Bear/Bull Mason-Dixon line
4359.26 - Bearish reversal (of course, as with all of these we need price action in our favor)
4340.24 - Bullish reversal
4368.73 - Bullish continuation until 4384.49
4330.77 Bearish continuation until 4315.21
Bulls take control of the week at 4378.75
Bulls take back official control of daily market at 4472
To confirm bullish look for Informant OBV to run through 1.90M at open
To confirm bearish look for volume on Informant OBV to reject the 1.90M level at open
Cineworld looks a tempting shortLSE:CINE
Price over the last 2 days looks like it is presenting a selling climax, volume has been much higher than the last couple of weeks.
The shorter price body from todays trading, with an upper rejection wick and with almost the same amount of volume as yesterday looks like it has clearly identified some strong selling at this level.
Looks weak ahead.
Tutorial | Lesson 3: What Are Low Volume "Air Pockets"?Welcome to an impromptu Part 3 in the Video Idea Series on using Volume Profile Scripts on TradingView. Thanks to a question/comment from @sandyrindal, today's episode features a sneak peak at the Standing Camel pattern and what to do with the Low Volume Node (aka Air Pocket) between the 2 humps of higher volume.
QQQ: Long SetupThe daily chart shows that price is at the 21 EMA
which is likely to act as support.
And on the hourly chart, price is coming to test
a support level around 335. Today, just printed
two low volume sell bars near that the 335 support
level.
A good entry price would be between 335-336. I would
place my stop at 332.60 and my profit target at 342. I think
it could go past 342 but it would depend on how the next 10-15
bars look. 342 still gives you a decent risk reward ratio.
(Note: This is not a trade I'm personally taking right now
because I have other trades going on but this is a logical
and compelling long to take.)
SPY: Buyers come in again after a low volume dayToday's bar was a bullish bar and went above the high of yesterday's
low volume bar. April 27 and April 28 were low volume days
as well.
When price continues to put in new highs despite
these low volume days it is a good indication price is headed higher.
4250 and 4300 are the next targets for the S&P.
I do not advocate buying into the highs so entering on pullbacks
waiting for a price action entry is best.
We'll see what tomorrow's bar brings.
Bitcoin: Likely to head to 45,000This evening price finally broke through the low of 51,300
after being in a squeeze to the downside. That squeeze can
be better seen on an hourly chart. Click link for pic of that.
www.screencast.com
The past few days including today were bearish bars but
"normal" volume bars. The buyers are not stepping back in
yet. They have tried to hold the line for the past few days
but it looks like the sellers are going to push prices lower.
It is possible that we could have a failed breakout of the
51,300 level but it would have to happen fairly quickly
within the next 24-48 hours in my opinion.
The next support level to be hit is around 45,000 from
Feb 28th.
We'll see what tomorow's bar brings!
Note: I am not long Bitcoin.
Bitcoin: Low Volume Selling, Buyers still in controlBuyers are really trying to push price higher but are
struggling to push through the 59,500-60,000 level.
On the daily chart, April 3rd and April 4th were low volume
sell bars (yellow bars on chart). Price then broke above the high of the
April 4th low volume selling bar which was an indication that
sellers still do not have control. Price hit resistance and is now coming
down a little.
They are trying to sell again and break through the 21 day EMA but even
if they do, there is no indication yet that buyers are getting out of their
long positions in substantial numbers.
I am currently long Bitcoin.
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