Volumeprofileanalysis
US100 VPOCs of interestWe are nearing the top of the range, however there is a daily VPOC at 12920 still left untagged, another below at 12520. At the very least to reach balance we tag 12920.
Above we have a VPOC in the 13500-13550 area, further away but a long term target for aa bullish breakout, most like a fakeout if it stops there as above 13900 would be the real target.
I think we need to tag these VPOCs below as many have been left all the way down to 11800 and the ones above are many months older from the initial leg down.
EURGBP SHORT @ ResistanceEURGBP on the 30-minute chart has ascended to the supply / resistance zone marked by
the LuxAlgo indicator. It is far extended in the overvalued zone two standard deviations
above the mean anchored VWAP. There is confluence in the volume profile which shows
price far above the POC line and also above the top margin of the high-volume area of the
profile. Finally, the stochastic RSI is showing bearish divergence. Accordingly, I will take
a short position and also check the EURUSD pair and GBPUSD pair for analysis.
BAC Bank of America SHORTBAC is shown here on the 15 minute chart. Fundamentally, it is under pressure like
many other banks including First Republic.
On the chart, price is in a downtrend having bounced from VWAP (redline)
in confluence with the blue line of the top of the high volume area of the
volume profile. Price is underneath the blackline which is the 210 HMA.
Only shorts should be taken underneath that line.
The target is the thin red line below which is the bottom of the low volume area.
Accordingly, the thin red line is the target while the thin blue line or the
VWAP (thick red) are the stop loss levels. This is a very safe trade with
an acceptable R:R.
My put option @ $ 28.50 for expiration 5/12 gained 68% overnight.
I will ride this down and then look for the reversal trade.
AUDUSD Rising LONGOn the 4H chart, AUDUSD is rising over the intermediate term volume profile POC and ascending the anchorded
VWAP bands as well; Price rose from undervalued to fair-valued on the VWAP bands.
The Chris Moody RSI indicator flashed a a pair of buy signals and RSI rose over the 50% line.
Another good sign is price is approaching a volume void /gap on the volume profile. Finally
there was a mild volume spike when price reversed from the bottom of the high volume area on
the profile. I am looking for rising price action in the intraday upcoming once both London
and New York sessions are overlapping.