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Volumeprofileanalysis

Tricky Spot Thursday's candle closed above the prior day's high, reaching the weekly SIBI, overnight in the Asian session the price rallied, consolidated in London, and Reversed In the NY Session 4hr market structure is still bullish but at the top of the range creating a bearish reversal with high volume that created a bearish SIBI retesting value area high or the 4hr trading range/4hr Fixed Volume profile the 4hr bullish bars that traded away from POC showed an increase in volume but the bearish volume was higher m15 has two potential areas from long at 20,271.00 or at 20,140.00 but I'm being mindful of the 20,406.00 to 20,362.00 level that can act as resistance causing longs to get squeezed out of their positions I will review what happens overnight Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by martiedirect
Bullish into Weekly SIBIWednesday's candle closed above the prior day's high, reaching the weekly high as well as the previous month's high, we could potentially see the price continue to rally into weekly sibi 4hr market structure is still bullish but after the rally, the price has now closed above 4hr swing-high 4hr Fixed Volume profile shows the POC is at the high of a price and now price action is moving away from that area in a bullish fashion m15 has two potential areas from long at 20,221.00 or at if the Asian session continues to expand we will have to see how London's action is traded especially if the price reaches the w-sibi first in the overnight session which could result in a NY session reversal Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by martiedirect
Eye For Longs wiith Caution Tuesday's candle closed above prior day high, as well as reaching weekly high 4hr market structure is still bullish but after rally price failed to close above 4hr swing high 4hr Fixed Volume profile shows the POC is at the highs on the 4hr price attempted to move away from POC in a bullish fashion but could be a weak move due to the failed closure I want to see what develops over night to get a clearer picture but i do see a potential area for longs at 20,097.00 or 20,060.00 Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by martiedirect
Technical Analysis on FedEx (FDX)Despite the long- and short-term uptrend, FedEx stock displays some peculiar behavior, with frequent gap ups and gap downs, mostly occurring around earnings reports. Some gap downs have reached up to 20%, but were quickly filled shortly thereafter. Recently, the stock reached its all-time high, only to be rejected. Therefore, the $320 area serves as a strong resistance (RES) that needs to be broken for the stock to resume its bullish trend. Bullish Scenario Following the release of the latest earnings report and declining revenue, the stock dropped 15% in a single day, creating a new gap down. With this decline, the price is now approaching a key volume area, the POC zone around $250. This area could act as support, containing the price and potentially initiating a rebound. Bearish Scenario If the POC area fails to hold the price, the stock could continue its decline toward a static support zone around $200. FedEx remains an interesting stock to watch, especially considering how it reacts in the coming weeks and its ability to maintain key support levels.
NYSE:FDX
by Giovanni_Bandini
1
KAS/USDT Trading ScenarioThe KAS’s price chart continues to follow an upward trend, with the trendline successfully acting as a support level four times, indicating its significant strength. From a volume profile perspective, the current asset price is in a zone of heightened market participant interest, with a key volume level POC at $0.16833. After the news about a potential Fed rate cut, a short-term correction is likely, as the market has probably already priced this event in. In this case, we may see sell-offs following the news release. However, in the long term, growth potential remains, with the trendline, once again being tested, serving as a possible reversal point.
by Rick_SimpleSwap
Technical Analysis of Broadcom Inc (AVGO)The stock ( AVGO ) is in a long- and medium-term uptrend. In the short term, it is undergoing a retracement phase, having been rejected twice by the POC 1, which reflects the volume area starting from November 2023, when the latest uptrend began. After the second rejection from POC 1, which confirms its strength, the price is heading towards the $171 area, corresponding to a second volume zone, POC 2. This area acts as resistance, having already rejected the stock once, and we will see if it holds again. To summarize, in the short term, the stock is retracing, using POC 1 as support and POC 2 as resistance. This phase has resulted in lower highs and higher lows, forming a pattern known as a symmetrical triangle. The symmetrical triangle is generally considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the breakout often (but not always) occurs in the direction of the trend prior to the triangle's formation. However, it can also signal a consolidation phase or market indecision. Interpretation: Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks the resistance (the descending trendline of lower highs) and moves above POC 2, this would be a bullish signal. Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price breaks the support (the ascending trendline of higher lows) and moves below POC 1, this would be a bearish signal. It is important to confirm the breakout with an increase in volume, as a breakout without strong volume may indicate a false signal.
NASDAQ:AVGO
by Giovanni_Bandini
ETH/USDT Trading ScenarioAs of writing, the asset is trading near the support level of $2130. This level was established following a sharp decline and an attempt at a quick recovery. If this level is breached, further price drops are likely, with the next support level being the significant volume-based Point of Control level at $1585.25. This zone is attracting heightened attention from market participants, which may contribute to a price rebound. A break below the $1585.25 level could be seen as a potential buying opportunity, both for speculative and long-term investment purposes.
by Rick_SimpleSwap
Technical Analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)Upon analyzing the stock SMCI , we observe a significant turning point starting in 2022, following a long period of sideways movement where the stock struggled to break above the $40 level. After this prolonged sideways phase, the stock broke out with a clear upward trend, highlighted by the ascending trendline (green), characterized by higher highs and higher lows. Following a year of gains, the stock entered a consolidation phase but then broke out again to the upside with strength, accompanied by a substantial increase in volume. After reaching a peak in March 2024, the stock began a downward phase that is still ongoing. Potential long entry points, where the stock might bounce or change trend direction, are found in the following two support areas: Support area S1; The POC 1 area. If the stock begins to rally again, it will be crucial to monitor its behavior as it approaches the descending trendline (green), which could serve as a more conservative initial target. More ambitious targets are POC 2 and resistance R1, both within a price range of $900 to $1,000.
NASDAQ:SMCI
by Giovanni_Bandini
Technical Analysis on Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR)Palantir ( PLTR ) is currently in a short-term bullish phase, as indicated by the green trendline, which began in May 2023 with the breakout of the descending trendline (orange) accompanied by a gap up and increasing volume. The stock has recently broken above the resistance zone R1, which it is currently retesting. Bullish Scenario: A short-term bullish scenario would see a move toward the next resistance level R2 in the $38-$40 area. Bearish Scenario: If the retest of resistance R1 fails, the stock could move towards the support areas, where potential entries could be considered if one anticipates a rebound: The POC area around $24; The weekly support S1; The weekly support S2. The support zones S2 and S1 are more clearly visible on a monthly timeframe:
NYSE:PLTR
by Giovanni_Bandini
OP/USDT Trading ScenarioAfter reaching an all-time high of $4.866, the asset's price corrected by more than 78%, returning to a zone of interest for participants, as defined by the volume profile and the key POC level. According to Fibonacci levels, the current asset price is in a buying zone. In this situation, based on indicator readings, it's possible to consider building a position in OP assets with the aim of holding and potential growth to at least the 0.5 Fibonacci level, corresponding to the price point of $2.61. There is also the possibility of further price movement with a new ATH.
by Rick_SimpleSwap
Technical Analysis on Alibaba (BABA)Alibaba ( BABA ) has been in a long-term downtrend that began in October 2020. In the medium term, however, the price has entered a phase of compression, suggesting a possible pause or reversal of the trend. Analyzing the volumes using the Volume Profile, we can see that the price is currently caught between two key Points of Control (POC): POC 1: A significant volume level that considers the entire historical data of the stock, located around the $80 area. POC 2: A medium-term POC that reflects the current phase of compression. Bullish Scenario: To consider a potential bullish scenario, it will be necessary to wait for the price to reach POC 1, located around the $80 area, followed by a breakout and a possible retest of the descending trendline. The first significant resistance and target for this bullish scenario is around the $120 area. Bearish Scenario: For a continuation of the downtrend, it is important to monitor the price in relation to the two POCs. If the price drops below both levels and breaks the ascending line, with a possible retest, we could see an extension of the downward movement.
NYSE:BABA
by Giovanni_Bandini
Technical Analysis on AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)Analyzing the historical performance of AMD , a key turning point is evident that marked the beginning of the current bullish phase—starting at the end of 2015. During this period, the stock held an important support level, followed by a decisive breakout of the bearish trendline. On a daily timeframe, this breakout was accompanied by a gap up, known as a breakaway gap. During the upward phase, the stock experienced pullbacks ranging from 40% to 60%. The most recent pullback, which began with a Shooting Star candle, was 45% and stopped precisely at a crucial Fibonacci level of 0.618. Bullish Scenario: To confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, AMD must first surpass the $160 area and then the $190 area, a range characterized by significant volumes. Bearish Scenario: If the stock fails to exceed these two levels, it could continue its retracement by breaking the ascending trendline. Two potential entry levels can be found in the POC area around $180 and the support area around $95.
NASDAQ:AMD
by Giovanni_Bandini
Technical Analysis on Intel (INTC)Using long-term volume analysis with the Volume Profile, we observe that Intel's ( INTC ) current price has moved below a significant monthly Point of Control (POC). To gain a clearer perspective, it will be crucial to wait for the monthly close to determine whether the price remains above or below this POC level. By zooming in to the daily or H4 timeframe, we notice a potential rounding formation in both the candlesticks and volume, indicating a possible shift in trend direction. Bullish Scenario: To confirm a bullish scenario, it will be necessary to wait for a monthly close above the POC. This signal will be strengthened if the volumes increase as well. Bearish Scenario: If the price stays below the POC, the bearish scenario suggests potential targets, as illustrated in the image below. It may be possible to consider short entries at the levels indicated as Target 2 and Target 3.
NASDAQ:INTC
by Giovanni_Bandini
Smart Money and the why behind it I have used @TradingView for near enough 10 years now. What I like about the platform is the simplicity and the tools. I often get asked about things like strategy or other people's techniques - "What do you think of SMC or this guy or that guy" Look, when it comes to trading - Liquidity is something very little people understand. Gurus talk about it and draw pretty lines but still fail to break it down as to why it's there in the first place. "Ah it's where the big boys buy or sell" so to help visualise this lets use some of these tools here on Tradingview. Look at my first chart here; What I have done is jumped up a timeframe and placed a volume profile tool on my chart, then simply used the drawing tool to draw a squiggle around the relevant nodes. I then dropped back to the smaller timeframe and switched on a couple of indicators to help visualise where the liquidity is. if you look at the lines 15minutes and 30minutes both in green and cast your eyes to the right, can you see they sit just below (as price is coming from above) to those higher volume nodes from that higher timeframe? Let's use another tool here on TradingView; This one is called a fixed range volume profile. the two blue lines extended out are known as the value area high and low. Often this is set to around 70-75% but I like to reduce that a little. The red line is called a PoC or point of control. This basically means the highest transactional point of the range you fixed. However, if you look over to the left this time you will see two higher volume nodes (mountains) and therefore look at the 15m and 30m lines again with fresh eyes. In this next image I have increased the range and dragged it over to include more data. I could write full strategies on this tool alone. The first thing you should notice is the PoC has now jumped up higher. Think logically about this for a second. We are seeking lower timeframe liquidity down low and the area of interest and value is showing price was accepted up high. So, after grabbing liquidity, would we anticipate the price to continue down lower or come back to play in the accepted zone? This is where a lot of newer traders fail, especially when trading smart money concepts "SMC" for short. They fail to understand the bigger picture. Another little tool in the same box-set is the Timeprice indicator. Much like session volume this gives a pretty clean view and of course settings can be adjusted. I like the look on this one, it's very modern. But the real value isn't until you zoom in and zoom in and you see why it's called Time - Price. I'll leave that for another post. But continuing the theme of this post; look at the clusters of the time price indicator and note where the PoC sits on the 15m liquidity level. Then below the 30m liquidity is the lower side of the value area. Are you starting to see a theme? In this last image; I have simply highlighted liquidity to keep my chart clean. You will see candles showing the last buys before the selloff. Then a consolidation under the liquidity - this is basically a Wyckoff structure prior to a mark down move. We then drop into the liquidity pocket and here is where most SMC traders would be jumping long. We see a very nice little rally, then a large fast drop through the liquidity, this hitting many stops and triggering new short positions. which is why as these shorts get triggered, you anticipate the pullback - to what level? Well look left and the charts will tell you. I hope this has opened a few eyes - go away and have a play with these indicators on @TradingView and feel free to aks if you have any questions. Disclaimer This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principle trader has over 20 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
Education
by Mayfair_Ventures
4
TON/USDT Trading ScenarioThe decline in the TON value following the arrest of the founder of Telegram and the TON platform mirrors the scenario of BNB's price drop after the arrest of Binance's CEO. At that time, BNB lost over 30% of its value, then entered a sideways trend. However, with the start of BTC's rise at the end of December, the asset's price not only recovered but also surged by more than 280%. In the case of TON, we are observing a similar situation, making the current price attractive, while any further decline provides an additional opportunity to increase returns. The TON network and the Telegram messenger are fundamental factors contributing to the trust in this asset.
by Rick_SimpleSwap