im still bullishlast daily deviated from my trendline. to me that could be a swing fail and a shakeout to shake weak hands.
reasons to consider: there is CPI data today and on 10/10 theres the tesla robot event a big fail could prove to be a priced in scenerio and the start of the nuke today with the following nuke tomorrow.
for me i am a big believer of tesla so im bullish for me i may have another buy oprotunity on the vola vola today.
as for the pattern in question we have a 48% on the cup depth 32% on the handle depth 44% on the parallel channel that is still part of the handle.. make of it what you will.
i dont believe tesla will break out before the 10/10 but will swingfail the down level even (especially) on bullish cpi data (if anyone knows how hedge funds like to operate).
there are bad lows at our current level and at 226 (which is also previous resistance)
a sweep would be an amazing bullish retest that may or may not fail but the oprotunity is there and it all depends on how aggressive you'd like to trade or invest.
Trendlines are current value ranges
The upper teal drawings are potential double top that has formed and if we reject a potential double bottom (rsi will print an rsi div on 30 mins and may potentially swing up to the upper part of the channel causing an overbought on 4hours and daily)
Vwap will confluence with the 100 daily ema that could potentially be a good entry but there's also the potential of the 150 and 200 bullish retest even though in my opinion that would ruin the cup and handle entirely although the liquidity idea would stay the same i'd be sad to see the pattern go.
if we dont swing fail the bullish retest i will look to swing fail the lower trendline for another liquidity pool grab which is also the yearly value area poc.
if all fails and we go bearish on tesla i will trade the consolation prize from valow to vahigh (a lower high and on the higher timeframe and a full rotation play)
the bullish idea is if tesla preforms and the vah turns into the new poc/val and said new value range would be between current to 400-500
i hope i made enough sense and that my ideas are interesting for you. good luck to everyone.
Volumeprofileanalysis
Gold Wyckoff AnalysisGold's been on a stellar run with a strong campaign initiated at the start of September which broke out of a beautiful Wyckoff accumulation on the much higher time frame BUEC. Overall still very bullish for gold over the next 18-24months.
In the current price action we've had a strong push up from $2,590 where we have found a new trading range. We had a potential spring event that failed to breakout which shows some weakness in the market right now suggesting more of a distribution/selling/profit taking event.
Since this spring the range has tightened and tested both extremes of the range at the purple circles indicating no real support either way to rally further or sell of. The volatility is suggesting selling activity however we will not know until the range is completed. This smaller range can also be a test of the potential spring event
Expecting the market to show us an answer over the coming days as price continues to contract in a bearish fashion however this can still always mean 2 things, that
1. sellers are exhausted or nearing the end of taking profits and demand is strong
or
2. demand is weakening
Now looking for another potential spring event that dips below the prior one, if this shows any weakness and fails its going to be a sharp quick drop to the next high volume node at $2,580.
Trading opportunities to go long will be in the green circle in which will be a faster reversal given the location as this would also represent another higher time frame test of the consolidation breakout that happened at the start of September
or
At a successful spring event test back in the range.
or
The failure of a spring event not able to reclaim the range and going short to the next high volume node in the green circle.
Technical Analysis of Nike (NKE)Looking at Nike ’s stock on a monthly timeframe, we can clearly observe that it has been in a downtrend since November 2021, following the formation of a Double Top pattern, confirmed by the development of a Shooting Star candlestick.
The downward movement has currently paused at a support level (SUP) in the $70 area, where the stock has shown a reaction.
At the moment, the stock is trading near a crucial volume level, the Point of Control (POC). Above this level, up to $110, there are significant volumes that could make upward movement more challenging.
Bullish Scenario
For a bullish scenario, the stock needs to break above the current POC level and the descending trendline. The first target could be the resistance (RES 1) around $110.
If it successfully breaks through this resistance with strength, the second target could be the $130 area (RES 2), which has acted as both support and resistance in the past.
Bearish Scenario
However, if the stock lacks the momentum to break through the POC and the entire high-volume area up to RES 1, the downtrend could continue, with the next support (SUP1) located around the $50 area.
This analysis outlines both bullish and bearish scenarios for Nike's stock, offering a clear view of the key price levels to watch.
XAUUSD: Neutral DayStill in Balancing Range trading strategy.
Green == If price can hold above YPOC and 9 Day HVN. It may potentailly move up to the upper boundary of 9 Day range.
Red == If price break and hold below YPOC and 9 Day HVN. It may potentailly move down to trend line at the red zone or lower than that.
We are we doiiiingggg lol ?Daily: Tuesday trading was bearish pushing into the weekly low. Wednesday's price failed to take out Tuesday's daily low creating indecision. For me, that's giving the idea that Thursday can go either way
4hr: RTH shows that the NY session had mostly bullish volume but still a bearish presence at the highs. Longs will be favored if we can get above 20.266.00
M15: After the NY session on Tuesday, the price went into accumulation and attempted the expansion today leaving behind a m15 imbalance that I will be curious how the price reacts to if retested
If it holds we can see long stepping back in, but if it fails price might push back to the lows
I want to see how the overnight session trades to see if it gives any sentiment of price moving higher or lower in the Asian and London sessions.
XAUUSD: Reversing to 5 day HVN?GREEN============================================================
- If the price can break and hold above yesterday POC. It's potentially can move back up to 5 Day HVN.
RED===========================================================
- If the price break up and come back down and hold below yesterday POC. It might potentially moving in the price range moving expected.
Could We Be Going Long???Daily: Monday's candle swept below Friday's low and closed bullish. Price is still extended at a higher high in the daily bullish trading range. Price can potentially move higher into the previous day's high.
4hr: The 4hr trading range is still bullish in the corrective phase back into the 4hr volume profile POC, but we can see a potential reversal for longs playing out if the price closes above 20286.50 on the 4hr
m15: If that happens I will look for a pullback sweeping sell side for long entry
Again, we let the price develop overnight before the NY session and updated in the morning to see if anything had changed.
Since NQ and ES move in the same direction I will be monitoring for divergence or convergence between the two
LDO/USDT Trading ScenarioAfter reaching a new high of $4.027, the price of LDO significantly declined, dropping to $0.863, which corresponds to a fall of over 78%.
According to the volume profile, the asset broke through the POC volume level at $2.4.
Special attention should be given to the increase in volume in the range of $1.026 to $1.135. This range shows active growth and is approaching the POC level, which could signal a potential reversal and the start of an upward trend.
Technical Analysis on JD.comJD.com has experienced a strong bearish trend since February 2021, reaching its lowest point in 2024, near the support area of $20, with an overall loss of about 80% of its value.
By conducting a volume analysis using the Volume Profile of the entire history, we can see that JD.com was recently rejected from a significant support level, POC 1, around the $25 price zone, also breaking the descending trendline. This provides a strong signal for a potential reversal.
In a short time, the stock has reached another important volumetric area, POC 2, which could act as the first resistance level. At this point, we might observe the first reaction of price rejection.
Considering the broader momentum, particularly the economic situation in China, the stock may quickly overcome this resistance. If JD.com moves above POC 2, it would likely face few obstacles in reaching the next resistance level (R1) just below $70, given the low trading volume in this price range.
Tricky Spot Thursday's candle closed above the prior day's high, reaching the weekly SIBI, overnight in the Asian session the price rallied, consolidated in London, and Reversed In the NY Session
4hr market structure is still bullish but at the top of the range creating a bearish reversal with high volume that created a bearish SIBI retesting value area high or the 4hr trading range/4hr Fixed Volume profile the 4hr bullish bars that traded away from POC showed an increase in volume but the bearish volume was higher
m15 has two potential areas from long at 20,271.00 or at 20,140.00
but I'm being mindful of the 20,406.00 to 20,362.00 level that can act as resistance causing longs to get squeezed out of their positions
I will review what happens overnight
Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
Bullish into Weekly SIBIWednesday's candle closed above the prior day's high, reaching the weekly high as well as the previous month's high, we could potentially see the price continue to rally into weekly sibi
4hr market structure is still bullish but after the rally, the price has now closed above 4hr swing-high
4hr Fixed Volume profile shows the POC is at the high of a price and now price action is moving away from that area in a bullish fashion
m15 has two potential areas from long at 20,221.00 or at
if the Asian session continues to expand we will have to see how London's action is traded especially if the price reaches the w-sibi first in the overnight session which could result in a NY session reversal
Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
Eye For Longs wiith Caution Tuesday's candle closed above prior day high, as well as reaching weekly high
4hr market structure is still bullish but after rally price failed to close above 4hr swing high
4hr Fixed Volume profile shows the POC is at the highs on the 4hr price attempted to move away from POC in a bullish fashion but could be a weak move due to the failed closure
I want to see what develops over night to get a clearer picture
but i do see a potential area for longs at 20,097.00 or 20,060.00
Since NQ is typically correlated with ES I will monitor both for direction confirmation and divergences and convergences
Technical Analysis on FedEx (FDX)Despite the long- and short-term uptrend, FedEx stock displays some peculiar behavior, with frequent gap ups and gap downs, mostly occurring around earnings reports. Some gap downs have reached up to 20%, but were quickly filled shortly thereafter.
Recently, the stock reached its all-time high, only to be rejected. Therefore, the $320 area serves as a strong resistance (RES) that needs to be broken for the stock to resume its bullish trend.
Bullish Scenario
Following the release of the latest earnings report and declining revenue, the stock dropped 15% in a single day, creating a new gap down. With this decline, the price is now approaching a key volume area, the POC zone around $250. This area could act as support, containing the price and potentially initiating a rebound.
Bearish Scenario
If the POC area fails to hold the price, the stock could continue its decline toward a static support zone around $200.
FedEx remains an interesting stock to watch, especially considering how it reacts in the coming weeks and its ability to maintain key support levels.
XAUUSD: Looking for New All Time High?2 Scenario has set for today
Green Dash== In case Buyer is very aggressive and won't let the price go below YPOC. Wait for price making a reversal signal to make a New All Time High.
Green== If the price make a deeper pull back to the 1st TL(Trend Line). And hold above 6 Day HVN. It could lead the price to a strong further move to make a New All Time High.
Red=== If the price has broken a 1st TL. It might be a choppy day.
KAS/USDT Trading ScenarioThe KAS’s price chart continues to follow an upward trend, with the trendline successfully acting as a support level four times, indicating its significant strength. From a volume profile perspective, the current asset price is in a zone of heightened market participant interest, with a key volume level POC at $0.16833.
After the news about a potential Fed rate cut, a short-term correction is likely, as the market has probably already priced this event in. In this case, we may see sell-offs following the news release. However, in the long term, growth potential remains, with the trendline, once again being tested, serving as a possible reversal point.
GBPUSD: How deep it's pulling back?2 Scenario has set for today.
1. Buy Bias: If price hold above 38.2 Fibo.
Look for reversal pattern (Dubble buttom or Break out from price compression or Price Action or what ever that show the sign of Buyer has steped in).
2. Sale Bias: If price break and hold below 38.2 Fibo.
Look for break below and retest around level 38.2 Fibo.
Technical Analysis of Broadcom Inc (AVGO)The stock ( AVGO ) is in a long- and medium-term uptrend.
In the short term, it is undergoing a retracement phase, having been rejected twice by the POC 1, which reflects the volume area starting from November 2023, when the latest uptrend began.
After the second rejection from POC 1, which confirms its strength, the price is heading towards the $171 area, corresponding to a second volume zone, POC 2. This area acts as resistance, having already rejected the stock once, and we will see if it holds again.
To summarize, in the short term, the stock is retracing, using POC 1 as support and POC 2 as resistance. This phase has resulted in lower highs and higher lows, forming a pattern known as a symmetrical triangle.
The symmetrical triangle is generally considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the breakout often (but not always) occurs in the direction of the trend prior to the triangle's formation. However, it can also signal a consolidation phase or market indecision.
Interpretation:
Bullish Scenario: If the price breaks the resistance (the descending trendline of lower highs) and moves above POC 2, this would be a bullish signal.
Bearish Scenario: Conversely, if the price breaks the support (the ascending trendline of higher lows) and moves below POC 1, this would be a bearish signal.
It is important to confirm the breakout with an increase in volume, as a breakout without strong volume may indicate a false signal.
ETH/USDT Trading ScenarioAs of writing, the asset is trading near the support level of $2130. This level was established following a sharp decline and an attempt at a quick recovery.
If this level is breached, further price drops are likely, with the next support level being the significant volume-based Point of Control level at $1585.25. This zone is attracting heightened attention from market participants, which may contribute to a price rebound.
A break below the $1585.25 level could be seen as a potential buying opportunity, both for speculative and long-term investment purposes.