USO - Oil Prices are Rising LONGUSO follows the futures prices of oil barrels. On this 30 minute chart, price falls have been
rejected by the POC line of the volume profile and the Lux Algo Donchian channel has
transitioned from downgoing to trending up. The dual TF RSI of Chris Moody now shows
RSI holding above 50 in both the 15 min and 60 min TFs. Net distribution has bottomed out
and accumulation now exceeds distribution. I see this as an excellent entry to buy calls
above the money at $70 or look into shares of USO / UCO/ GUSH ETFs or look at any of
the oil sector stocks including well services which are typically small caps with great upside
volatility with price action momentum. My favorite of those is BORR which currently is trending
up and may have much of its move ahead. The ascending parallel channel of USO is perhaps
a signal for the sector at large.
Volumeprofileanalysis
USO is in a sweet spot on its chart LONGUSO while the middle east, the Houthi rebels and the Suez Canal shipping quagmire affect
oil liquidity globally and prices at the pump continue to be volatile the federal government
seeks contracts to restore the national strategic reserves depleted in the last supply demand
challenge while the presidential and congressional election cycle starts warming up.
On the weekly chart, USO has just crossed over the long term anchored mean VWAP line
as well as the POC line of the volume profile. This is a bullish momentum move. Price is
situated in the middle of the high volume area showing expectations of decent trading volume
and liquidity. I see this as an opportunity to take long trades in oil or anything oil related.
CVX is on sale after a drop after the morning open. i will look at oilfield services stocks, big
oil and oil futures.
Gold slowing at Thursdays POCI have been testing Tradingviews volume profiles with Gold and some of the levels are so accurate. Using spot market data, it was a bit of a surprise, but a welcomed surprise it has been.
We can see today's intraday longs tapping straight into a naked POC left behind from the sharp sell off on Thursday.
I have yet to test this is in other markets however Gold has proven really quite reliable utilising the entire Value area from the fixed period profiles.
Anyway - watch out for Gold bears to take control once again from 2360 - 2370 once again.
I am looking for a 1000pip drop near enough back to 2275. I will keep you all updated.
THETA/USDT Trading ScenarioWe're looking into the scenario of price movement development on THETA.
Right now, the asset is trading below the resistance level at $2.5757. There's a chance it could break through this level if the volume profile supports it. This could show that buyers are getting more interested.
The next significant resistance is at $3.1098. From this level, there might be a correction and testing of the broken level, which will confirm its strength as a new support.
There's a chance that further consolidation under the new level, with a probable move higher, will be seen. This will depend on the preservation of buying pressure and favorable market conditions.
Can SBUX rise from beating beaten down 15% YTD ?SBUX of late has been in a descending channel and has sloped down heavily in April.
It is now in deep undervalued and overbought territory at the bottom of the channel and
above the 3rd lower VWAP band line. The RSI lines ( both faster and slower) are bearish as
well. My trade plan is to watch Starbucks for a reversal which may be signaled by
bullish divergence on the RSI. SBUX has fallen through a volume void under the high volume
area. Once it reverses it could rise fairly quickly to 90 and then slower to 94. These will be
the targets.
TONUSDT Trading ScenarioLet's have a look at how the price of TON is moving.
Right now, the price is testing the resistance level it hit at $7.637. The first rise in the price came from the volume POC level at $2.117, which led to a rise of more than 270%. After that, the price corrected by 40%.
There might be a deeper decline in this move. This could be a good time to buy the asset. During the decline, we can use the 200-day moving average as a reference point to start forming a position.
Retest of 42-43K level to the moon I believe Bitcoin will likely drop to $42,000 - $43,000, which aligns with the Volume Profile Value Area High (VAH) of the range from mid-October 2020 until now. Simultaneously, this level also corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement between the low from November 2022 and the current all-time high (ATH). Additionally, it intersects with the green trendline in my chart.
Since mid-October 2020, Bitcoin has been in a significant consolidation phase, during which, after marking the cycle low at $15,500 in late November 2022, we revisited the Point of Control (POC) in March 2023 and then broke out above the VAH of this range. It's now time to revisit the VAH, flip it into support and start the real parabolic move.
Within the complete cycle, I believe there are two consolidation phases:
First Phase:
ATH → Bottom Formation → Breakout Attempt
Significant Retrace to the POC as VAH fails to act as support
Initial Bull Run that leads to the Second Phase consolidation
Second Phase:
Bottom Formation → Retrace to POC first → Breakout Attempt
Retraces to the VAH, flip it into support
Parabolic Run
After these two consolidation phases are completed, a parabolic run typically follows, leading to the next ATH and subsequent consolidation (Phase 1).
HBAR Trading ScenarioWe're looking at how the price of HBAR has been moving recently.
After dropping to a low of $0.0666, it bounced back up to $0.1818. The growth was more than 170%. Then, the price dropped back down to $0.0903. Right now, the asset price is trying to strengthen.
As for now, the market is showing that sellers are in control, so we can probably expect the HBAR price to keep dropping. If you're looking to get in on this, you might want to consider buying when the price touches the 200-day moving average or when the volume level POC declines.
An unimaginable short from the depths of analysisHello Traders ;]
As I examined the GBP/USD pair, it appears we're in a prime position for a short trading strategy. The pair has retraced into the 0.79-0.61 zone, a classic area that often signifies a natural correction within a trend. Such retracements can offer strategic entry points for traders looking to capitalize on potential reversals.
Furthermore, a glance at the volume profile over the entirety of the visible price movement indicates that we've reached the Value Area High (VAH). This point in the volume profile is particularly telling; it's where the majority of trading activity has taken place, acting as a barrier of sorts—a 'strong wall'—which the price may struggle to break through. Consequently, this serves as a strong indication that the pair may recoil from this level.
In setting up this trade, placing a stop loss just above the VAH would be a prudent measure, limiting exposure should the market move contrary to our expectations. For the profit target, we look to the opposite end of the volume profile, the bottom.
This analysis not only aligns with the technical indicators, but also with the principle of selling into strength within a downtrend—a strategy often favored by seasoned traders looking to join the broader market momentum.
Good luck strugglers!
TSLA Long Monday intraday movementThis is my predicted price action for Monday 4/29. I will update the trades I take as the day goes on, obviously if price action moves against me completely I will have to change my strategy. This may include me not taking a trade on NASDAQ:TSLA at all for the day. To make this price prediction I only used VWAP and Volume Profile
XAGUSD set up for long entry XAGUSD on the 120-minute chart is at the top of the high volume area on the profile. This
is a relative volume void above and a high volume area breakout is possible or even likely.
The TTM squeeze indicator has just triggered. The Price Momentum and Relative Trend
indicators appear bullish. I assert that spot silver is bullish right now and mining stocks
especially junior miners may be ready to take long positions as well. My immediate target
for spot silver is 25.75, the recent high pivot in March and then 25.95 the high pivot of
December, and then 26.5, the highs of Spring 2022. Played in a leveraged forex setting,
the profit potentials are significant.
DOGE/USDT Trading ScenarioBelow is a scenario for the price movement of DOGE.
After an impulsive rise in the price chart from $0.08418 to $0.22721, which amounted to more than a 171% increase, resistance formed at the level of $0.22721. Under this level, the asset is trading on increased volumes.
Currently, the asset is trading at $0.16156, exceeding the Point of Control level that the price chart falsely broke through. Yet the price continues to hold above it.
We can expect continued interest from traders and movement towards the resistance level at $0.22721. If the resistance level is overcome and maintained above, we can expect further growth.
COF - Capital One Drop and Pop LONGCOF is shown on 1 15 minute chart. The trade idea is to play the drop in a bank stock as a
reaction to the sticky inflation report and the idea that a rate cut already baked into stock
price is about to come off the table. This is a risky reversal trade. However, with risk comes
reward. The idea is on the chart. I will take a long trade here anticipating a return of 2%
and about seven times risk. A call option for an expiration of 4/19 will also be in the position,
striking 141. See also
BNB USDT Price Movement ScenarioWe are considering a scenario for the price movement of BNB.
Since the beginning of 2023, there has been increased interest from buyers in the movement of the asset's prices. Confirmation of this is a sustainable upward trend accompanied by an increase in trading volumes.
Volume profile analysis confirms the sustained interest of buyers within the current price range. At the moment, the price of the asset has been in a squeezed state within a triangle for a significant amount of time.
This creates conditions to expect the price of the asset to break out upwards, followed by testing the levels of the triangle and subsequent ascent with the overcoming of resistance levels. The process of such a breakthrough may be supported by an increase in trading volume and increased interest from buyers, which in turn will emphasize the strength of the potential upward movement.
Why did HPE Breakout?As shown on the one-hour chart, in the last trading session, HPE broke out of its usual trading
the range being the blue high-volume area on the profile. This is with increased volatility as
shown by the indicator and the large top wicks on the rising green candles. Why did this
occur? Were traders simply buying anything in the IT sector vaguely related to AI after the
NVDA breakout? Does HPE have a role in artificial intelligence? Was this a sympathy play?
The Luxalgo Supply / Demand indicator shows supply immediately overhead. The wicks on the
last several candles show a defined level. This might be called a " tweezer top " Overall,
I see this as an excellent short setup to be played with either short selling or a put option as the
retracement seems inevitable.
CZOO moves up on the pre-earnings interest LONGCZOO shown on a reliable daily chart had an earnings report beating the estimates back in
November whereprice action trended up then down in January followed by sideway action
then finally a break out through VWAP band lines and the entirety of the high volume area of
the profile. Ahead above is a volume void where price moved quickly coming down..
On the retrace, price can move through the void just as easily.
The indicators show the volume pump and corresponding Price Volume Trend going exponential
My first target is 23 about 90% upside - it is the line between the lows of the bottom wicks of
Doji candles on 11/17 and 12/18/23. The stop loss is 12.6 just below the upper
boundary of the high volume area. Once the price gets over 17, the stop loss will be
converted to a trailing $2.00 stop loss and the risk free trade will continue higher.
At the first target 50% will be realized and at the second another 25% while the remaining will
be left to see if any momentum remains. The final target is 43 being the high pivots of early
December 23 and the consolidation high volume area of October 23. the rest will look for the
momentum fade while the stop loss is changed to trailing $1.00.
This is potentially a 3-4X profit trade using alerts / notifications/ limits and stops.
There will be very little screen time or effort in the management.
Double Distribution Entry On SP500 [ESM24]LVN entry in-between double distribution of the SP500 .
This entry has a 2.51 RR potential with just 10 point SL and 103 points TP.
Trade will be executed on both ESM24 and MESM24.
Most ideal place for and early exit or TP1 would be the top of the VRVP
If trade fails and price gaps down through the Low volume area, then the next potential good entry will be around the POC of the lower distribution at 5285.25.
If that fails as well, then the chance for a bigger dump down to the next LVN below goes up.
LCTX gets upgrade and is technically setup LONGLCTX on the weekly chart here has been falling since late 2021 and found support at the bottom
of the high volume area of the volume profile and ranged between it and the POC line for the
past 18 months. The is a high end clinically active biotechnology firm using stem cells to
produce therapeutic cell lines . ( One experiment using the mammary glands of cows imbedded
with cells that make insulin to make a weak milk solution containing insulin and then
concentrate it for cheap insulin is quite remarkable- ) How about some special milk for
to have with your sugar buzz) see more in the here link en.wikipedia.org
Anyway, price rose into triple confluence- the anchored mean VWAP, the POC line, the upper
boundary of the high volume area. A new analysis targets 7. Smart money is paying attention.
My smart money is paying a lot of attention. I understand the science and the market that
LCTX could reach in due time. I am not an insider but close. Enough said. My target is the
tweezer tops of 2022 at 2.5 and so 65-70% upside in the near to intermediate term and after
that maybe the analysis will revise the target up or down I am guessing the former.
ETH/BTC Price Movement AnalysisWe are considering the movements of the ETH price relative to the BTC price.
On the chart of ETH movement relative to BTC, we can identify a specific range where the support level is at 0.04885 BTC, and the resistance level is at 0.08869 BTC. When the price reaches the support level at 0.04885 BTC, a confident bounce is observed, followed by further growth.
Currently, ETH has bounced again from the support level and is in a consolidation phase, which may precede a more significant rise in ETH compared to BTC in the medium term.
However, it is important to note that there may be obstacles to the price, including the volume level at 0.06811 BTC. This level is in the middle of the range and could serve as a profit-taking point for market participants.
ZS got too short, LONG opportunityNASDAQ:ZS has been very "bearish" for almost month but we're still in a monthly uptrend. At the same time there are bearish exhaustion signs: weekly bearish upthrust has diminished, and value area has been overlapping for the last three days. This creates opportunity to capture possible short-squeeze.
It is a high risk trade given the context but upside can be huge. Exercise with caution.
You can see example of possible trade on the chart (conservative profit target)
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.