TSLA Long Monday intraday movementThis is my predicted price action for Monday 4/29. I will update the trades I take as the day goes on, obviously if price action moves against me completely I will have to change my strategy. This may include me not taking a trade on NASDAQ:TSLA at all for the day. To make this price prediction I only used VWAP and Volume Profile
Volumeprofileanalysis
XAGUSD set up for long entry XAGUSD on the 120-minute chart is at the top of the high volume area on the profile. This
is a relative volume void above and a high volume area breakout is possible or even likely.
The TTM squeeze indicator has just triggered. The Price Momentum and Relative Trend
indicators appear bullish. I assert that spot silver is bullish right now and mining stocks
especially junior miners may be ready to take long positions as well. My immediate target
for spot silver is 25.75, the recent high pivot in March and then 25.95 the high pivot of
December, and then 26.5, the highs of Spring 2022. Played in a leveraged forex setting,
the profit potentials are significant.
DOGE/USDT Trading ScenarioBelow is a scenario for the price movement of DOGE.
After an impulsive rise in the price chart from $0.08418 to $0.22721, which amounted to more than a 171% increase, resistance formed at the level of $0.22721. Under this level, the asset is trading on increased volumes.
Currently, the asset is trading at $0.16156, exceeding the Point of Control level that the price chart falsely broke through. Yet the price continues to hold above it.
We can expect continued interest from traders and movement towards the resistance level at $0.22721. If the resistance level is overcome and maintained above, we can expect further growth.
COF - Capital One Drop and Pop LONGCOF is shown on 1 15 minute chart. The trade idea is to play the drop in a bank stock as a
reaction to the sticky inflation report and the idea that a rate cut already baked into stock
price is about to come off the table. This is a risky reversal trade. However, with risk comes
reward. The idea is on the chart. I will take a long trade here anticipating a return of 2%
and about seven times risk. A call option for an expiration of 4/19 will also be in the position,
striking 141. See also
BNB USDT Price Movement ScenarioWe are considering a scenario for the price movement of BNB.
Since the beginning of 2023, there has been increased interest from buyers in the movement of the asset's prices. Confirmation of this is a sustainable upward trend accompanied by an increase in trading volumes.
Volume profile analysis confirms the sustained interest of buyers within the current price range. At the moment, the price of the asset has been in a squeezed state within a triangle for a significant amount of time.
This creates conditions to expect the price of the asset to break out upwards, followed by testing the levels of the triangle and subsequent ascent with the overcoming of resistance levels. The process of such a breakthrough may be supported by an increase in trading volume and increased interest from buyers, which in turn will emphasize the strength of the potential upward movement.
Why did HPE Breakout?As shown on the one-hour chart, in the last trading session, HPE broke out of its usual trading
the range being the blue high-volume area on the profile. This is with increased volatility as
shown by the indicator and the large top wicks on the rising green candles. Why did this
occur? Were traders simply buying anything in the IT sector vaguely related to AI after the
NVDA breakout? Does HPE have a role in artificial intelligence? Was this a sympathy play?
The Luxalgo Supply / Demand indicator shows supply immediately overhead. The wicks on the
last several candles show a defined level. This might be called a " tweezer top " Overall,
I see this as an excellent short setup to be played with either short selling or a put option as the
retracement seems inevitable.
CZOO moves up on the pre-earnings interest LONGCZOO shown on a reliable daily chart had an earnings report beating the estimates back in
November whereprice action trended up then down in January followed by sideway action
then finally a break out through VWAP band lines and the entirety of the high volume area of
the profile. Ahead above is a volume void where price moved quickly coming down..
On the retrace, price can move through the void just as easily.
The indicators show the volume pump and corresponding Price Volume Trend going exponential
My first target is 23 about 90% upside - it is the line between the lows of the bottom wicks of
Doji candles on 11/17 and 12/18/23. The stop loss is 12.6 just below the upper
boundary of the high volume area. Once the price gets over 17, the stop loss will be
converted to a trailing $2.00 stop loss and the risk free trade will continue higher.
At the first target 50% will be realized and at the second another 25% while the remaining will
be left to see if any momentum remains. The final target is 43 being the high pivots of early
December 23 and the consolidation high volume area of October 23. the rest will look for the
momentum fade while the stop loss is changed to trailing $1.00.
This is potentially a 3-4X profit trade using alerts / notifications/ limits and stops.
There will be very little screen time or effort in the management.
Double Distribution Entry On SP500 [ESM24]LVN entry in-between double distribution of the SP500 .
This entry has a 2.51 RR potential with just 10 point SL and 103 points TP.
Trade will be executed on both ESM24 and MESM24.
Most ideal place for and early exit or TP1 would be the top of the VRVP
If trade fails and price gaps down through the Low volume area, then the next potential good entry will be around the POC of the lower distribution at 5285.25.
If that fails as well, then the chance for a bigger dump down to the next LVN below goes up.
LCTX gets upgrade and is technically setup LONGLCTX on the weekly chart here has been falling since late 2021 and found support at the bottom
of the high volume area of the volume profile and ranged between it and the POC line for the
past 18 months. The is a high end clinically active biotechnology firm using stem cells to
produce therapeutic cell lines . ( One experiment using the mammary glands of cows imbedded
with cells that make insulin to make a weak milk solution containing insulin and then
concentrate it for cheap insulin is quite remarkable- ) How about some special milk for
to have with your sugar buzz) see more in the here link en.wikipedia.org
Anyway, price rose into triple confluence- the anchored mean VWAP, the POC line, the upper
boundary of the high volume area. A new analysis targets 7. Smart money is paying attention.
My smart money is paying a lot of attention. I understand the science and the market that
LCTX could reach in due time. I am not an insider but close. Enough said. My target is the
tweezer tops of 2022 at 2.5 and so 65-70% upside in the near to intermediate term and after
that maybe the analysis will revise the target up or down I am guessing the former.
ETH/BTC Price Movement AnalysisWe are considering the movements of the ETH price relative to the BTC price.
On the chart of ETH movement relative to BTC, we can identify a specific range where the support level is at 0.04885 BTC, and the resistance level is at 0.08869 BTC. When the price reaches the support level at 0.04885 BTC, a confident bounce is observed, followed by further growth.
Currently, ETH has bounced again from the support level and is in a consolidation phase, which may precede a more significant rise in ETH compared to BTC in the medium term.
However, it is important to note that there may be obstacles to the price, including the volume level at 0.06811 BTC. This level is in the middle of the range and could serve as a profit-taking point for market participants.
ZS got too short, LONG opportunityNASDAQ:ZS has been very "bearish" for almost month but we're still in a monthly uptrend. At the same time there are bearish exhaustion signs: weekly bearish upthrust has diminished, and value area has been overlapping for the last three days. This creates opportunity to capture possible short-squeeze.
It is a high risk trade given the context but upside can be huge. Exercise with caution.
You can see example of possible trade on the chart (conservative profit target)
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
MINA/USDT Trading ScenarioBelow is the scenario of price movement for MINA.
As a result of an extended period of accumulation of large positions at a price of $0.6862, participants have begun to initiate an upward price movement. After completing additional accumulation at around $1.3297, the asset is once again approaching the local maximum and resistance level at the price of $1.6908.
We consider the possibility of conducting a deal on breaking through the local maximum at the price level of $1.6908 with the aim of consolidating above this level and subsequently continuing the upward trend of the asset's value.
MRVL has a melt-down trader reaction to mediocre earnings LONGMRVL on the 2H chart had been in a trend up since February 29th when it broke out of the
high volume area of the profile in a pre-earnings run . Earnings were reported and MRVL
more or less matched the analyst's forecasts. Price sold-off in the aftermath of trader
disappointment. I held a large position of both shares and options but sold off half of
the positions two days ago to capture some profits. I see MRVL as still above VWAP
and so in buying territory and now at a price level supported by the first upper anchored
VWAP line as well as the upper boundary of the high volume area. It is a strong stock which
I do not believe will make a full Fibonacci retracement. I will now add back into my
position half of what I sold a few days ago. and expect a bullish continuation. On a lower
time frame, I have guidance from the inside bars that price is printing in the after hours.
When regular trading arrives on Friday, I will buy call options for mid-April striking
$85 (OTM).
A Basic Guide to Trading a Balanced Volume ProfileBasic Principles of Trading a Balanced Node
Rule 1: Unless the price breaks and holds Value High or Value Low we should expect buyers and sellers to maintain the current balance.
Rule 2: If we break and re-bid from Period Value High we should treat that level as supportive until it is reclaimed ( buy-side acceptance outside of balance)
Rule 3: If we break and push away from Period Value Low we should treat that level as resistance on retest until it is reclaimed (sell-side acceptance outside of balance)
Rule 4: If we recover Value Low and it becomes supportive we look for our Period POC and Period Value High as our targets above ( return to balance)
Rule 5: If we fail to hold Period Value High and sellers make it resistance on re-offer we look for our Period POC and Period Value Low as targets (return to balance)
Balance between Value Low and Value High will remain between buyers & sellers until we see a value shift and acceptance above/below on one of our "edges".
Utilizing these rules we can look for opportunities around our Value Edges and have a better understanding how to trade around them.
GLD the gold futures ETF LONGOn the daily chart GLD is in a volume profile early breakout going above the jagged pruple line
representing the top of the high volume area. Price has been compressing within a
symmetrical triangle and now has broke through the descending resistance trendline portion of
that. What remains to be seen is a retest of that new support line. Of late Bitcoin has ran up
and probably taken with it market cap away from gold. ( see my idea on the Bitcoin to spot
gold ratio) Now that Bitcoin has topped and is retracing capital is freed up to flow into gold
which has been comparitively weaker. I will take a long trade here and exploit the opportunity
in the cycle between gold and Bitcoin.
UVXY the VIXX following ETF ShortUVXY the fear and volatility ETF ran up nearly 10% on the past trading day before
retracing a bit all due to the quick about-face in the market at about 1PM New York time.
It moved from the lows at the opening bell and let up with after hours profit taking.
The relative volatility indicator shows the volatility pump and then dump.
The dual signal RSI indicator shows the low time frame in blue dropping faster
than the higher time frame in black. I see this as a good setup for a short trade
that could yield half of the run-up over the next two trading days or 5% by
next Tuesday, August 1. The stop loss set at the top wicking at 17.25 while the target
the pivot low from which price began at 15.55. I have contemplated a put option
on this but have not yet reviewed the options chain. Price action down may begin
slow until price crosses under the POC line of the volume profile and then accelerate
as price drops below the high volume area into relative volume voids.
MYO can Myomo continue the push to the earnings report?MYO had impressive week gaining over 35%. It is a volatile penny biotechnology stock
with good earnings back in November new due for another report. On a 120 minute chart
with relative volatility and volume indicators and a volume profile added. The volume and
volativlty of this past week's move is obvious. Price gain has slowed on the approach to the
POC line of the volume profile which appears to be resistance. Price may break that resistance
but could get rejected there. I plan to buy MYO long on a break of resistance with
a buy stop set at 4.04 and a stop loss at 3.96. If MYO rises and gets over 4.04 the order should
fill and if it retests the POC line as support and the support fails, the stop will close the trade.
My expectation however is for the earnings run to take it to the level of the pivot high
in early January for a 25% gain.
Can INTC breakout from a trinagle ? LONGINTC on a 180 minute chart is in a flat bottom triangle since before earnings. The earnings
report was a beat of 20% on earnings and 1.5 % on revenue but apparently disappointed greedy
traders expecting more. Price has been mostly sideways. I saw the dip on Tuesday to Thursday
as an opportunity to take a call option trade for Friday which had a great return. I see INTC
ready to gain price and break out of the triangle. It has a P/E ratio much lower than some of
the high flyers in its subsector making it attractive to value-seeking investors and traders
who like to buy at the lows. Price is now above the long-term POC line where buying pressure
should predominate. Having seen the rise on Friday, some short sellers may begin to buy to
cover and close their positionons especially those with put options from which the time to
realize profits is now.
GLD , the gold futures ETF LONGGLD is shown on this 240 minute chart with a falt top triangle drawn with upper and lower
trendlines for resistance and support. A volume profile is overlaid. Text boxes comment
on the basis for the trade and the use of the relative strength indicator. Price is low
in the high volume area confluent with the support line. I see this as a long trade set up
and ready to go. Zooming into a 15-50 minute time frame will help find the best entry.
The RSI indicator would need to have its time frame settings adjusted I typically use
one half the chart time and twice the chart time to get a decent time spread,
Gold is forecasted by some to reach $3000 spot price in 2024. Gold and Bitcoin compete
for dollar attention. Things will be interesting for sure.
BA Trade Setup into Earnings by Fib Retrace / Volume ProfileBA is shown on a marked up 120 minute chart with a Volume Profile and Fibonnaci retracement
levels as well as the trend angle reversal at the consolidation upon finding support at the
bottom of the high-volume area of the profile. The fib levels suggest targets. Risk in the trade
is after earnings reports of "beats" will drive the action higher or "misses" will cause a down
trajectory. Volatility will increase as the earnings date quickly approaches. Some traders may
want to close a winning trade just before earnings or take a predominant partial close leaving
the the rest to move through the storm looking for blue sky.
I have a risk appetite here. I will take call options for February 5th striking OTM at $240.
I will cut them no later than 24 hours before earnings or when they hit 200% if that happens
beforehand.