TRX/USDT Trading Scenario: TRX Accumulation
We are considering the scenarios of TRX development and initiating purchases of the asset.
Since March 2023, the asset has demonstrated a noticeable upward trend. It surpassed the 200-day moving average level, which is a strong indicator. TRX’s price has increased by more than 120% since reaching the $0.12367 mark. This indicates significant attractiveness of the asset during this period.
It is also worth noting that while the price of BTC is decreasing, this asset continues to show stable growth. This may indicate its strong position and potential for further growth, despite the overall market direction.
However, given the current market scenario, there is a possibility of a correction in the price of the asset along with the overall market movement.
We are considering the possibility of entering a position on the TRX correction. We plan to start accumulating a position when the price reaches around $0.10528 and consolidates above this level. If the price declines to the sloping trendline at approximately $0.09689, we might also consider adding to the position.
This approach is based on the desire to enter a position at an optimal level that will support our risk management strategy and increase the potential profitability of the trade.
Volumeprofileanalysis
TSLA Short / Put Options Recap Volume Profile Strategy SHORTTSLA is shown here on a 30-minute chart. Utilizing only a volume profile indicator and stray
fundamental related news, TSLA was watched for a short entry in consideration of the antics of
its CEO and the price cuts in Europe coupled with the challenges of NIO, XPEV and BYD in China
and China's recession I opted to look for a short entry. Analysis, trade entry and trade
management and trade close are on the chart in a text box. This idea and recap of TSLA
short shows the utility of volume profile analysis in making a very profitable short trade on
TSLA which uses a precise entry after confirmation and the same for the exit. As such, this also
makes possible very profitable options trades with near-term expirations to optimize the
value of thorough analysis before the trade combined with a tight entry and good follow
through to make for high profit with less risk. Using TVs alerts and notifications this trade
was managed with little screen time making for a high profit yield per hour of effort.
Rinse and repeat as they say.....
XRP/USDT Investment OpportunityWe are considering an investment position in XRP.
After a explosive growth of over 98% in a single day in July 2023, the asset's price reached $0.9378. This was followed by a swift return to pre-spike levels, then a jump from $0.4597 to $0.7490, resulting in a significant increase of over 60%.
Currently, the price has returned to the reversal zone, representing the upper boundary of a long consolidation period that lasted for a whole year. During this consolidation period, there was high trading volume, indicating significant attention and activity from large market participants.
In light of the current market dynamics, we are analyzing the possibility of acquiring the asset within the consolidation range for long-term holding. In case of further price declines, we also consider additional purchases of XRP, complementing our portfolio in line with current trends and prospects.
This strategic decision aims to capitalize on potential growth opportunities and ensure portfolio stability amidst market volatility.
USO ( Oil Futures ETF) Swing Trade Review LONGThe idea was that while US Oil is not directly affected by the tensions in the Middle East as
most of it is domestic consumption, what portion of it that is exported does not go through the
Suez Canal but rather across the Pacific to Asia mostly. The idea was expanded by no matter
that, the Middle East quagmire affects global oil prices all intertwined. The China recession
is a drag on oil prices as is Russian sales below market but no matter the shipping costs have
gone up and so also the price of what is being shipped.
The 30-minute chart shows the trades based on the premise of a volume profile with the
evolving high volume area between the blue lines and price simply a black line. As the price is
supported by the lower black line and resisted by the upper black line and the price is expected
to rise, the trade plan was to "buy low" when the price dropped to the lower black line with
two lots of shares. When the price rose to the upper black line sell one of those lots and run the
other to gradually acquire more shares and average up. A high-volume area breakout 3 days
ago was also used as a buy signal.
As of the present, the trade is carrying five lots of 10 shares each. Profit has been pulled out
in partials each time a lot has been sold at a red down arrow. The trade close signal will be
from the RSI indicator when the fast RSI line in green goes under the slower red RSI line.
Upon closure, the profits will be redeployed by shorting USO using a similar strategy: short
selling at the top of the high volume area two lots of shares and buying to cover one lot at the
bottom of the high-volume area. Although this trade is a slow-moving swing trade used for
disciplined and deliberate trading, it is very low risk with moderate profit and for the most
part is risk-free because the entry points are relatively precise especially if using a shorter
time frame than the 30 minutes here.
TMV Triple Inverse Treasury Bill ETF LONGTMV on the 4H chart appears to be reversing a trend down since 12/28. YTD it is rising.
The reasonable target is the Fib 0.5 retracement at $40 while support for a stop loss
just below the POC line of the volume profile is $29.25. As such this is a 35% upside.
The RSI indicator shows the fast RSI rising and crossing over the slower RSI while the
relative volume indicator shows increasing volumes reacting to the price bottoming and
accumulation underway. I see this as a long trade set up while recognizing that fundamentals
such as interest rate adjustments and inflation data could impact the technicals.
UROY Uranium finance lease mining play LONGUROY does royalties foe uranium mining ore to refined et cetera. On the 60 minute chart,
it has been on fire this week picking up 30% in market cap showing explosive volumes
at 5X and sustained. The past two days have been rest and recuperation in consolidation.
The zero-lag MACD suggests there is more upside in the near term with a line cross under a
histogram rising from zero. The advanced RSI indicator shows a relative strength pullback from
80ish to about 65 and surprisingly the linear regression lines suggest an oversold state at
present. I will take a long position here which may be risky at nearly 2 standard deviations
above a rising mean VWAP and extended from the POC line of the volume profile but the
supertrend indicator is showing a stepped rise and that is good enough for me. I have a
new position in UEC a penny energy stock in the uranium subsector.
UROY Swing Trade Recap Volume Profile Analysis LONGUROY on a 15-minute chart with the volume profile and the EMA cloud as the indicators
demonstrates a one-week-long swing trade. Both stock shares and inexpensive call contracts
were traded. The stock trade profit was 30% over five trading days ( MLK Holiday ignored).
Options dramatically more profit for the expiration of 1/19th. The analysis, setup and
trade management occupied about 5 minutes per day as assisted by typical alerts and
notifications on the indicators as per TV.
The options contracts were closed as they were expiring later that Friday afternoon. The stock
position could have continued over a closed market weekend but I opted to close the
the entire position of stock simultaneously with the options.
This idea demonstrates the utility of the volume profile in this case applied to a penny stock
the hot uranium subsector within the energy sector at large. See also my other ideas on UROY
and also UEC.
The profits here will be used to take another long call option for UROY striking $ 5.00
for January 2025 sith some change left over for the next re-entry.
BEAMX/USDT Trading IdeaBelow is a speculative idea for the BEAMX/USDT coin pair.
After reaching its historical maximum in mid-December at a price of $0.027332, the asset experienced a correction, resulting in a decrease of more than 38%. Following the completion of the correction, there was a consolidation phase.
At present, a resistance level has been identified at $0.023531. Additionally, an inclined support level has been detected, indicating stability in the asset within this price range.
As part of the trading strategy, we anticipate a potential third approach of the price to the resistance level at $0.023531. If this scenario is confirmed with active trading near this level, we consider entering a position with the goal of surpassing the resistance level and further moving towards the historical maximum, potentially leading to a 15% increase.
In the event of strong market support, there is also consideration for breaking the all-time high at the price level of $0.027332, which could be viewed as a potential entry point.
CRV/USDT Accumulation PhaseBelow is the description of the accumulation phase potential development of the CRV/USDT cryptocurrency pair.
After reaching a local minimum in November 2022, when CRV was trading around $0.3982, there was a convincing upward movement that led to a significant increase to $1.29. During this period, the asset demonstrated a growth of more than 225%. Subsequently, the asset gradually declined, reaching a new local minimum at $0.3882.
During the price decrease, a descending trading channel was formed. At the moment, the asset is testing the upper boundary of this channel, which is occurring at the level of $0.6382.
Considering the current trends, we can assume that the asset is preparing to overcome the upper boundary of the trading channel. This could happen after a small corrective pullback to the average price within the descending channel.
Following a successful breakout above the upper boundary of the channel and a subsequent retest with a possible bounce from it, a positive signal for further growth of the asset can be expected. This scenario could indicate movement towards a price maximum at the level of $1.29.
AAVE/USDT Trading IdeaWe're discussing the development idea in the accumulation phase for the AAVE/USDT crypto pair.
In June 2022, there was a notable decline in the asset, hitting a local bottom of the existing bearish trend at $45.80. However, it confidently surged from this level, reaching $115.27, showing over a 150% increase . Later on, the asset chart displayed the formation of a descending triangle, accompanied by significant trading volumes.
Currently, we observe AAVE's price breaking out of the described triangle and starting to trade within an ascending channel , confined by values from $115.27. This might indicate a potential continuation of the accumulation phase with a possible price squeeze toward the local maximum. Hence, the present trends and price chart structure suggest interesting dynamics in the asset's movement.
Considering these trends, it's conceivable that the asset is preparing to surpass the local maximum of $115.27, paving the way for further upward movement. The initial target for this upward trend could be the strong resistance level at $200. If this level is successfully breached and bullish pressure is sustained, the subsequent potential target could be around $260.
SAND/USDT Trading IdeaBelow is a trading idea for the SAND/USDT pair.
Since the beginning of October, this asset has shown a consistent upward trend. Starting at $0.2739 and reaching a current high of $0.5970 , it has grown by more than 114% . The trend line, acting as support, confirms continued interest from buyers in this coin, having held up through three significant approaches. Currently, the asset is undergoing a correction after hitting a local price peak.
The idea is to consider buying the asset if the price drops below the Value Area High and approaches the level close to the support trend line.
The trend's stability is confirmed by the continuation of the upward movement after the correction from the local peak, accompanied by noticeable increases in trading volumes. After entering a position, the first target is considered to be $0.5992, with the second target at $0.7178.
BTC/USDT ScenariosWe are considering two possible scenarios for the development of the situation with BTC.
At the end of October, following a significant impulsive rise of BTC from $29,614 to $35,300 , there was an increase of more than 18%. In the following month, an ascending trading channel was observed, which was successfully broken after testing the upper boundary at $39,670. As a result of the breakout, the asset reached a price level of $44,436 , marking an increase of more than 11%.
The first scenario focuses on the current overbought condition of the BTC price, which suggests the potential for a correction. There is a possibility of a downward corrective movement until reaching the upper boundary of the trading channel, located around $40,600, with a subsequent potential reversal. If the price remains stable at this level, there is consideration for opening a long position on BTC.
In the second scenario, a significant price decrease towards the level of the highest volume POC at $37,100 is anticipated. From this level, a price reversal might occur, followed by a continuation of the upward movement. If the price remains stable at this level and there are signals for a reversal, we are also considering the possibility of buying BTC.
USDT/DOT Speculative Trading IdeaBelow is a speculative trading idea for the DOT/USDT pair.
Currently, the asset's price has broken through an inclined level after updating the minimum at the price of $3.550 within the current global downtrend. After reaching the $3.550 level, there was a rebound, amounting to over 41% to the current price. This situation indicates an attempt to break the local downtrend in effect in 2023.
As we anticipate a price correction, we identify two entry points for the asset to continue the upward movement within this correction.
We place our first limit orders to buy DOT at price levels of $4.550 with a growth potential of 37% to the price level of $6.273.
We place our second limit orders to buy DOT at price levels of $4.220 with a growth potential of 50% to the price level of $6.273.
Green Energy Penny ETFKSET is an ETF comprised of stocks in the green energy and carbon credit subsector.
It is best suited for traders and investors wanting to support the evolution of the
energy intrastructure and climate change abatement. On the one hour chart, a double
bottom and RSI rising from the oversold area suggest now is a good entry. Targets are
marked onto the chart using the fibonacci retracement too. A stop loss is below the POC
line of the intermediate term POC line. This affords a reward to risk ratio of about 4 and
a potential upside of 60-80% over 1-2 months.
GAP Short under 18.50Retracement play for XETR:GAP after major earnings pop. Beware this still has momentum , but we are reaching an overvalued territory.
Big volume gap also seen above 19 , which is unlikely to fill with this overextended trend.
Price target - $15
USDT/BTC Speculative Trading IdeaBelow is a speculative trading idea for the BTC/USDT pair.
As of writing, there’s a consolidation and price chart compression towards the established local resistance level at a price of $35,195, following an impulsive 31% price increase from $26,794 with a rebound from the 50-day moving average.
Within the framework of this idea, we propose to consider the possibility of buying BTC at a price of $35,195.
We do so with the aim of continuing the BTC price rise towards the resistance zone located near the POC volume level, corresponding to the trading range of the first half of 2022. The approximate target for this trade is $38,440.
An additional factor supporting this decision is the cumulative delta, indicating sustained buyer interest. The potential for this trade is estimated at 9%, with a stop-loss set at the 3% level, which amounts to $34,100.
BNT/USDT Speculative Trading IdeaBelow is a speculative trading idea for the BNT/USDT pair.
As of writing, the asset's value has decreased by more than 50% after a strong growth of 240%. The asset meets our expected indicators and reaches a high of $1.9546 .
We decide to acquire the asset at the current price of $0.8426. The 50-day moving average serves as support. A decrease in seller activity is also noted, and the price is being held by buyers according to the cumulative delta. The volume profile also reflects market participants' interest in this asset at this price level.
The first target of our trade is to reach the mirror level at $1.0500, with a profit percentage of over 20%. Upon reaching this level, we plan to close the majority of our position, which will be 80%.
The second target, intended for the remaining 20% of the position, is to reach a price of $1.2163 in the event of a breakout of the mirror level. The expected profit at this stage will be over 40%.
BTC/USDT - Short term SHORT with 2 Target ZonesThere is a potential for a short term SHORT trade on BTC/USDT. If todays bar closes < 34.7k (~3.5 hours till close) there is potential for a short. There are two target zones:
Yellow zone, this is the most likely zone it may dump to between 32.5 and 32.8k
White zone, between 30.3k and 31.8k, this may happen if the lower level of 32.5k in the Yellow zone fails to hold. Please note that the upper level of this zone at 31.8k may also act as a Support.
There are many reasons why this short may happen:
The price faced resistance at the trend line.
The price has closed above the upper purchase zone level since October 16th, and it MAY close below it today.
We are currently in a Blood Diamond which has been confirmed (white circle within the YinYang Momentum Oscillator).
YinYang RSI is at 98.08 and very Overbought and is closing in with the YinYang RSI MA which is now at 94.94.
The Buy Volume is bending towards the Sell Volume.
YinYang Momentum is very Overbought, the predictive mountain is already angling towards the regular and may dump inside of it soon. Likewise we can see the Confirming Blood Diamond appeared on the current bar (white circle).
YinYang Momentum Trend Line has turned Bearish.
The reason it may correct to these zones specifically:
Yellow Zone:
The Basis line is here.
There is a Downwards Trend Line within here.
The Fourth level of the Purchase Zone is there.
White Zone:
The high of 31.8k was a long lasting Resistance Pivot.
the low of 30.3k is where the Volume Profile is.
the low of 30.3k faced lots of resistance recently.
Please note this is a short term short, on the long term BTC may remain bullish.
Indicators used to make this analysis:
YinYang Trend
YinYang Volume
YinYang Momentum
YinYang RSI
XAUUSD mid-term short setupAfter finished the short-term for long setup , I continue to follow the moving waves of Elliott to plan the short setup. (Just click the hyperlink above to read the previous analysis)
Combine Elliott Wave with Volume Profile help me easier to see the big picture. And now I'm waiting for the corrective wave to entry the short setup. How do you think about this analysis, what is your opinion?
Consolidating?Practicing my crayons skills... Don't judge :)
Fixed range VP setup near breakout zones
Things of interest
- Previous dips chopped before the next leg up
- Currently just outside high volume zones. Low vol = consolidation potential?
- Holding, so far, previous resistance zone
- Sideways moves could give time for breadth to improve
- Oil appears to be going up --> good for the markets?
- 'Triangle pattern' kinda interesting
Position :
If asked, I'd say wait for a trend.
Full/final position for the year will be initiated on trend confirmation via private scripts, MAs, etc.
Not financial advice. Good luck and don't risk what you can't lose!