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Volumeprofileanalysis

IGMS a cash burning biotechnology stock SHORTIGMS is down about 70% YTD with no end is sight as the cash burn is greater than the analyst's estimates.On the 2H chart, the midline of the Bollinger Bands has had a persistent negative slope. Overall, IGMS is very shortable if shares can be found at a low cost. I will watch for a correction of the upgoing price toward the middle of the Bollinger Bands especially on a lower time frame such as 30-60 minutes and then target the bottom of the Bollinger Bands on the daily chart for an estimated 25-30% profit. The entry would be at the confluence of the POC line and then BB midline as a bounce down from that resistance. This will be a great trade if S & P / SPY makes a deeper correction than already seen. There was an opportunity one week ago and I think it will come again.
NASDAQ:IGMSShort
by AwesomeAvani
HE- Hawaii Power responsible for the fires LONGAs seen on the 2H chart HE has been trending down since July 28th and the recent earnings miss and devastating fires caused by faults in its electric distribution system. There will be lawsuits which will drag on for years. No matter this is a regulatory protected monopoly. It will be rescued by the consumers through the regulators. Price is reversing to the upside. Price is now at or above the POC line of the volume profile I will take a large long trade. If you want my ideas as to a stop loss and targets or the selected call option, please leave a comment. As an aside profits in this trade will be donated to the survivors and victims of this unnatural disaster.
NYSE:HELong
by AwesomeAvani
6
GNC penny stock LONGIn circumstances similar to May GDC on a1`5 minute chart pumped today for 60% and then faded to the middle basis band of the Bollinger Bands below the mean VWAP and POC line of the short term volume profile. The MACD is showing bullish divergence. THE RS lines are above the 50 level. I have GNC on watch in the after-hours and tomorrow's pre-market to resume bullish momentum and will enter if price gets over the VWAP/POC at 4.17 especially if volume returns.
NASDAQ:GDCLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
SLB a rising biotechology stock LONGSLN has appreciated 70% in the past month largly on the strength of an earnings beat. Unlike many small cap biotechnology companies, SLN is actually making money and beating analyst's estimates. On the 3O minute chart, price is just below the POC line of the near term volume profile and sitting on the dynamic support of a VWAP line. Strength lines are above 50 and the low time frame green line is above its counterpart. Ovreall, I see SLN rising more after a little more consolidation. I will enter a long trade with a buy stop at 9.18 to catch a trade when price crosses over the POC line, I will set the stop loss at 9.14 below that line and target both 20% and 30% ROI in equal halves of the position.
NASDAQ:SLNLong
by AwesomeAvani
YANG China Leveraged Bearish LONGYANG benefits when the China factories slow down and the economy stagnates which is the present situation. The weekly chart shows YANG at its highest before and after covid in 2019-2020. The volume profile shows over the 3+ years most shares have traded at the present price levels. Price is rising above the POC line of the volume profile and approaching the long term mean VWAP. The RS indicator shows sideways strength movement in the mid-ranges. The MACD is curling upward over a low amplitude histogram. The Asexome Oscillator is sideways. Overall, I will place a long trade here and then supplement it with an add when the trend direction is stronger and the Average Directional Index gains amplitude.
AMEX:YANGLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
AFRM Can it continue the move after earnings ?AFRM jumped about 27% from a decent earnings beat on Thursday August 24th. It is now sitting in the tip of a bullish pennant pattern and at the POC line of the volume profile. The dual time frame RS indicator suggests strength is above 50 after the close of the week fade. The MACD lines crossing and above the horizontal . zero suggests this is simply a rest in bullish momentum Price is above then mean VWAP and tracking one standard deviation above it. My trade plan is long or short depending on how price moves off the POC line. I have drawn entry levels for a market or buy stop order. The stop loss would be the opposite blue line. Targets start out at 19.5 and upside from there.
NASDAQ:AFRM
by AwesomeAvani
WBA in a long trend down SHORTWBA is Walgreens. On the daily chart it is down about 50% from the highs of late 2019, the summer of 2021 and winter of 2021. WBA may be suffering from not keeping up with online mail-order prescription filling and online in general. Like others, it may be suffering from potential downside of litigation related to the opioid epidemic. Mark Cuban and his Cost Plus Drugs may be having an impact on WBA . Merely a reasonable conjecture on my part. WBA beat earnings for three years of quarters prior to this most recent one. Importantly, on the long-range volume profile WBA is below the POC line where most traders prefer to trade. It is even farther below the POC line of the near term volume profile. The other indicators show ongoing or even accelerating bearish momentum. I will short WBA in what I think will be a long-duration swing trade. I will look into put option contracts as well.
NASDAQ:WBAShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
RAD - Is there such a thing as a safe SHORT?If there was ever a thing such as a safe short- I think it would be Rite Aid (RAD) As shown on a monthly chart, RAD triple topped in 2015=2017 and has been in a decline every since. It has shed 90% of its market cap in the intervening 6-8 years. Now, it is fundamentally fighting for survival. This is because as a weaker drugstore retailer and the rise of Walgreens, CVS and others as well as RAD's role in the opioid epidemic ( I have insider knowledge) RAD is now filing for bankruptcy protection against claims and litigation which will vastly outstrip its liability protections. All confirmations on the monthly chart ( high validity given the time frame) considered in context, RAD is near to its death bed. The judge will be ing the rights of shareholders against the rights of litigants ( which include Medicare, Medicaid and state governments). The shareholders will loose and loose very badly. I will go short in a stock trade and take a large put option position. There is no need to buy call options here for backside protection. The writing is on the wall.
RShort
by AwesomeAvani
BA VWAP bounce LONGBA on the 1H chart put in a double top. Given the heavy volumes on the volume profile, BA was shorted heavily at the top. Those shorts have rode the profit train down to the mean VWAP. At this point they are buying to cover and taking profit and are joined by new buyers. BA has reversed and pivoted up. the MACD is confirmatory. Volume is adaquate and steady albeit without any spikes. BA is a low mover. Price has about 5% upside to the double top and POC line of the volume profile. This is most suitable for a call option trade to follow this megacap up. Please leave a comment if you would like to query my ideas as to a good option for this trade.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
WOOF dropped after an earnings beat now setup REVERSALOPRA on the 30-minute chart dropped after an earnings beat as apparently a lot of traders expected better. The volume profile shows the vast majority of the trading occurred in the 5.05 to 5.25 range. This heavy accumulation should result in price movement in due time per Wycoff. I believe that a long trade is setup for a Fibonacci retracement of the drop into the middle levels and so 5.85 as shown by the indicator on the chart. The mass index indicator reached the reversal zone and then triggered with a drop below it confirming a probable reversal. The MACD is showing bullish divergence. I will place a buy stop order above the POC line of the volume profile with a stop loss at 12.0 just below the POC line is a safe 10-13% trade which may take into the beginning of next week. I will take call option contracts as well. If you want to know the details of those, please leave a comment.
NASDAQ:WOOFLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
OPRA drops after earnings beat LONGOPRA on the 30-minute chart dropped after an earnings beat as apparently a lot of traders expected better. The volume profile shows the vast majority of the trading occurred in the 12.75 to 13.05 range. This heavy accumulation should result in price movement in due time per Wycoff. I believe that a long trade is setup for a Fibonacci retracement of the drop into the middle levels and so 14.75 as shown by the indicator on the chart. The mass index indicator reached the reversal zone and then triggered with a drop below it confirming a probable reversal. The MACD shows bullish divergence. I will place a market order with a stop loss at 12.0 just below the POC line which is below present market price. This is a safe 10-13% trade which may take into the beginning of next week. I will take call option contracts as well.
NASDAQ:OPRALong
by AwesomeAvani
TBT- a bearish treasury ETF LONGTBT on the 30 minute time frame shows a trend up in an ascending parallel channel now at the bottom of the channel where it could go up or breakdown and go under the channel. The ZL MACD suggests some bullish divergence while the dual TF RS indicator and the ADX oscillator are non-commital. The immediate recent short term volume profile with a POC line above price suggests a lot of trading above price and likely short sellers. A longer time interval volume profile shows the POC line more than $1.00 below current price. Price could easily gravitate in the direction of that price magnet. Overall, I see a bias for a bearish move and will watch this to confirm. i will play this with put options to leverge the amplitude of the move albeit at higher risk.
AMEX:TBTShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
KO a dividend king a top holding of Buffett LONGOn the 1H chart, KO is well positioned having bounced up from the dynamic support of the deviation line under the mean VWAP and now approaching the POC line of the volume profile over the past month. the dual time frame RS indicator shows lines in the mid-range between oversold and overbought. I believe KO will cycle up towards the dynamic resistance of the upper VWAP lines. I will take a long trade here targeting first 62.25 just below the first upper line for 60% of the trade and then 63.15 for the remaining 405 of the trade. The limit entry by buy stop at 60.1 while the stop loss is under the POC line @ 60.85 the stop loss minimal magnitude sets up a very good risk to reward ratio. I will take several call options as well. Leave a comment if you would like to know those details. While much of the market is sideways or maybe looking to drop, i see KO as diversified and global in its business insulated from currency fluctuations and a consumer staple and so a solid fortress from the chaos now available on a relative bargain sale in keeping with the philosphies of Warren Buffett.
NYSE:KOLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
OSCR Earnings Beat Setup LONGOSCR on the daily chart is shown near to but below the POC line on the volume profile anchored in April. The ZL MACD has a low amplitude histogram. On the directional index indicator both negative and positive lines are nearly trendless at the 20 level. The price is closer to the lower Bollinger Bands and so a reversion to the mean would be upward price action. I am looking to take a long trade here. The entry would be by a buy stop over the POC line at 7.35 and the stop loss at 7.05, the low of the last red candle. The targets are 8.75 and 9.85 corresponding to horizontal resistance lines. This is a swing trade planning for a profit of about 30%. The stop loss of 0.30 as compared with an average target of 1.75 is about 1:5 for the risk to reward. I may take an options trade of 1-3 months duration as well. Leave a commnet , if you would like to know my considerations for a call option. Healthcare and medical are relatively strong sectors right now compared with the chaotic market at large.
NYSE:OSCRLong
by AwesomeAvani
WEAT- Wheat ETF at buy point LONGWEAT the Wheat EFT has been volatile of late due to the Bakc Sea shipping deal falling apart when Russia refused to renew it. Brazil has been trying to increase whet exports to pick up from the fall off of Ukrainian shipments to Africa and others. On the 4H chart, WEAT has fallen 15% from the double tops of July demonstrating the high volatility in what is typically a slow-moving commodity. WEAT is now 5% above the support trendline and about 14% below the horizontal resistance of those double tops. This is a favorable r:R ratio. I will go long here assuming there is now breakthrough in the near future with the resumption of the Black Sea grain deal to impact the supply-demand imbalance and destabilize the price rise. I will look into a call option trade as well.
AMEX:WEATLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
Is this a good time to buy RIOT ? LONGRIOT has had a downfall in the past month on the 1H chart. The crypto market had a resurgence and is now in the dog days of crypto summer. The MACD shows some bullish divergence. The volume profile shows most of the buying was in the 16-17 range. RIOT is far below that with relative volume voids in any movement back to that level. I see this as a long trade setup with 30-40% upside on the stock and much more in a one or two month call contract. If you would like to know my parameters on a long stock trade or call options please leave a comment. ( please also see my BTBT post, like and subscribe).
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by AwesomeAvani
5
Fixed Range Volume Profile, How do I use it?I can say that Fixed Range Volume Profile is strong tool to determine targets and stop loss, POC point of control as per my research represent a central price and bar close price is turning around it, so when you assign take profit and stop loss as per it, you reduce the risk and have a plan B to manage your trade. as you see in above chart for BTCUSD, we have trend line on daily time frame, I cut the chart to 3 successive zones representing 3 cycle, 1 cycle is from the trend to trend and applied "Fixed Range Volume Profile" on all 3 ranges/cycles, last cycle has not finished yet, and I show POC1, POC2 and POC3 prices. I consider this line as central price for a range and we can see how price keep moving above and down POC1 & POC2 prices. for the last range/cycle (not completed yet because it has not reach the uptrend line yet, we see POC3 = $30,200 and the current price $29,590 so price is under POC3 and we can guess it is going to trend at approximately $27,750, this is 1st hint. 2nd hint is to take "Fixed Range Volume Profile" for the all uptrend, did you notice it? I think the price is going to POC(all range) = $28,300 (support) Now we came to the best part of our subject, the what if question and how to set up a plan?: what is stop loss? we need a 1H bar close above POC3= $30,200+100= $30,300 (resistant) and we buy target $31,380 (you should know why!) and for stop loss, we need close price 1H again down $30,200 what is take profit? we can set $28,300 for safe and $27,750 if you want to risk a little bit, this is first target, but what if bar 4h close down POC= $28,300? here we can set a 2nd take profit at $26,400 (you should know why!) this is what I wanted to share with you and I will be glad to answer your questions. I did go short for BTCUSD this morning, enter price $29,165 and I set a take profit at $29,322 because I am working on 15 min timeframe.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Eymen-GUVEN
2
EUR USD IdeaHey there, champions of the dawn! EU's high dreams are fading, divergences aplenty painting the scene. Price action? Oh, it's all about that consolidation range vibe. We're talking scalps and hedging our positions, at Global Chart Surfers. We're kicking back, waiting for that news this week to rev up the engine. Hang loose, let's ride these tides, and watch how it all unfolds. Keep it real, stay sharp, and remember – in this sea of uncertainty, opportunity's our ultimate wave! 🌊🤙🏄‍♂️📈
by themarketknight
FNGU- the leaders of the pack will come back first LONGFNGU is triple leveraged ETF of the titans of the NASDAQ; I expect it to come back front of volatility in the market quickly as its constituents are the leaders here. I hope to exploit this for 10% before COB for the trading week in the next two days.. A volume profile and mean anchored VWAP using metrics employed by institutions and those executing with blocks of voume. Analysis and target levels are on the chart for pureposeful brevity. Trade on !
AMEX:FNGULong
by AwesomeAvani
FORD fell after good earnings - now reverses LONGFORD on the 2H chart double topped in mid July and then descended as it had reached the second deviation line above the mean anchored VWAP. It continued the fall had a bit of pre-earnings run up and then paradoxically fell with very decent top and bottom line earnings. If you know why please let me know. After earnings and the fall, FORD reached the long-term mean VWAP and reversed as can be seen on lower time frames. I see this as a VWAP bounce, the favorite place for institutional traders to make their trades. A volume profile and its POC line find the highest trading volumes of the time interval. the MACD and Price Momentum Oscillators are confirmatory with reversal signals. I will take a long trade here. The stop loss will be 13 below VWAP. Targets are 14 (25%) 14.5 (50%) and 14.85 (25%). This is a simple trade with $0.25 risk which will be eliminated once price gets to $13.5 making it risk and stress-free. I have an options trade in mind. Comment if you want my specifics.
NYSE:FLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
AMSC 57% July rise AI tech ( chips) upcoming earnings LONGAMSC has had a great rise since the beginning of the AI revolution. From the overlay of the anchored VWAP this would be a VWAP breakout that closed the last trading day with a correction pullback and then a bounce off the POC line of the volume profile. The natural stop loss for a long trade is directly under the POC line. As a strong bull run stock, the MACD just showed another line cross above the histogram. Amplitudes are rising. This sector is scorching hot. Some will call it overextended and overvalued. Buy weakness - yeah for sure unless its going to get worse. Buy strength when you determine the probability that it will go higher. This long trade will not wait for me. I will take it and be watchful for signs of reversal. I do not think that I will see them anytime soon. With earnings coming this week and trader interest peaking. I will jump in here and watch for good action. To be safe I will take off part of the position before the earnings.
NASDAQ:AMSCLong
by AwesomeAvani