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Volumeprofileanalysis

Is this a good time to buy RIOT ? LONGRIOT has had a downfall in the past month on the 1H chart. The crypto market had a resurgence and is now in the dog days of crypto summer. The MACD shows some bullish divergence. The volume profile shows most of the buying was in the 16-17 range. RIOT is far below that with relative volume voids in any movement back to that level. I see this as a long trade setup with 30-40% upside on the stock and much more in a one or two month call contract. If you would like to know my parameters on a long stock trade or call options please leave a comment. ( please also see my BTBT post, like and subscribe).
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by AwesomeAvani
5
Fixed Range Volume Profile, How do I use it?I can say that Fixed Range Volume Profile is strong tool to determine targets and stop loss, POC point of control as per my research represent a central price and bar close price is turning around it, so when you assign take profit and stop loss as per it, you reduce the risk and have a plan B to manage your trade. as you see in above chart for BTCUSD, we have trend line on daily time frame, I cut the chart to 3 successive zones representing 3 cycle, 1 cycle is from the trend to trend and applied "Fixed Range Volume Profile" on all 3 ranges/cycles, last cycle has not finished yet, and I show POC1, POC2 and POC3 prices. I consider this line as central price for a range and we can see how price keep moving above and down POC1 & POC2 prices. for the last range/cycle (not completed yet because it has not reach the uptrend line yet, we see POC3 = $30,200 and the current price $29,590 so price is under POC3 and we can guess it is going to trend at approximately $27,750, this is 1st hint. 2nd hint is to take "Fixed Range Volume Profile" for the all uptrend, did you notice it? I think the price is going to POC(all range) = $28,300 (support) Now we came to the best part of our subject, the what if question and how to set up a plan?: what is stop loss? we need a 1H bar close above POC3= $30,200+100= $30,300 (resistant) and we buy target $31,380 (you should know why!) and for stop loss, we need close price 1H again down $30,200 what is take profit? we can set $28,300 for safe and $27,750 if you want to risk a little bit, this is first target, but what if bar 4h close down POC= $28,300? here we can set a 2nd take profit at $26,400 (you should know why!) this is what I wanted to share with you and I will be glad to answer your questions. I did go short for BTCUSD this morning, enter price $29,165 and I set a take profit at $29,322 because I am working on 15 min timeframe.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Eymen-GUVEN
2
EUR USD IdeaHey there, champions of the dawn! EU's high dreams are fading, divergences aplenty painting the scene. Price action? Oh, it's all about that consolidation range vibe. We're talking scalps and hedging our positions, at Global Chart Surfers. We're kicking back, waiting for that news this week to rev up the engine. Hang loose, let's ride these tides, and watch how it all unfolds. Keep it real, stay sharp, and remember – in this sea of uncertainty, opportunity's our ultimate wave! 🌊🤙🏄‍♂️📈
by themarketknight
FNGU- the leaders of the pack will come back first LONGFNGU is triple leveraged ETF of the titans of the NASDAQ; I expect it to come back front of volatility in the market quickly as its constituents are the leaders here. I hope to exploit this for 10% before COB for the trading week in the next two days.. A volume profile and mean anchored VWAP using metrics employed by institutions and those executing with blocks of voume. Analysis and target levels are on the chart for pureposeful brevity. Trade on !
AMEX:FNGULong
by AwesomeAvani
FORD fell after good earnings - now reverses LONGFORD on the 2H chart double topped in mid July and then descended as it had reached the second deviation line above the mean anchored VWAP. It continued the fall had a bit of pre-earnings run up and then paradoxically fell with very decent top and bottom line earnings. If you know why please let me know. After earnings and the fall, FORD reached the long-term mean VWAP and reversed as can be seen on lower time frames. I see this as a VWAP bounce, the favorite place for institutional traders to make their trades. A volume profile and its POC line find the highest trading volumes of the time interval. the MACD and Price Momentum Oscillators are confirmatory with reversal signals. I will take a long trade here. The stop loss will be 13 below VWAP. Targets are 14 (25%) 14.5 (50%) and 14.85 (25%). This is a simple trade with $0.25 risk which will be eliminated once price gets to $13.5 making it risk and stress-free. I have an options trade in mind. Comment if you want my specifics.
NYSE:FLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
AMSC 57% July rise AI tech ( chips) upcoming earnings LONGAMSC has had a great rise since the beginning of the AI revolution. From the overlay of the anchored VWAP this would be a VWAP breakout that closed the last trading day with a correction pullback and then a bounce off the POC line of the volume profile. The natural stop loss for a long trade is directly under the POC line. As a strong bull run stock, the MACD just showed another line cross above the histogram. Amplitudes are rising. This sector is scorching hot. Some will call it overextended and overvalued. Buy weakness - yeah for sure unless its going to get worse. Buy strength when you determine the probability that it will go higher. This long trade will not wait for me. I will take it and be watchful for signs of reversal. I do not think that I will see them anytime soon. With earnings coming this week and trader interest peaking. I will jump in here and watch for good action. To be safe I will take off part of the position before the earnings.
NASDAQ:AMSCLong
by AwesomeAvani
Bitcoin Range Breakout - Trade PlanThe volume profile for Bitcoin over the past 4 months shows a key level at around $28,040. Historically, after Bitcoin breaks out of a trading range, it tends to spike up, get traders excited and buying, before crashing back down to retest longer timeframe volume profiles. We've been ranging above $30,000 for a month now, causing many to forget about this $28k volume shelf. Psychologically, traders get used to above $30k prices. So when the price dives below, it sparks panic selling. Currently, there is the potential for a short squeeze if Bitcoin spikes up toward $29,300, where there are high short liquidations waiting. This could provide a textbook short opportunity around $28,850. On the flip side, if the price continues falling, we could see a high volume long squeeze which would lead us to one of the best long trades this year opened around the key $28,040 level. Either way, keeping an eye on this zone and watching for liquidation spikes will be key. We should be prepared for both scenarios and have a plan ahead of time - either a long squeeze occurs and we look to short around $29,850, or we wait patiently for price to break down to our target of $28,040 to enter a long position. The market is about to react violently and it will be important to keep emotions in check and remain stoic through the volatility.
by stoicobserver
2
UPST mid-term VIEW Pre Earning LONGUPST on the daily chart with 2022-2023 in range shows a downtrend of more than 70% and now a round bottom reversal. The volume profile shows the high volumes of the high volume area which is relatively thin and mostly below the current price. That is to say, UPST has a lot of volume voids to fill on its way back to $162 . The Triple EMA ( 200,100,50) shows a convergence over a long interval followed by the reversal and now divergence. The MACD indicator is upgoing as are the trends of the dual RS lines of the RSI indicator. I see this as a long swing trade or investment while UPST is awaiting earnings next month. For targets, I plan the red lines generated by the volume profite and so $94 and $161. UPST is on my current favorite stock list. My current holding includes an option striking $51 for 8/4. I will roll that option over about 8/2 to avoid time decay. Additionally, I will buy another option striking $75 and expiring on 9/15 costing about $950 at the market price with the bid/ask spread of about 4%. I expect the combined two call optins will yield on average 5-7% per trading day and may hold them through the earnings period. The only downside risk is that an earnings beat is somehow already priced into UPST and that the momentum will decelerate and fade. Buying the contact cheap and out of the money seeks to manage that risk.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by AwesomeAvani
25
DISH a TV penny before earnings LONGDISH has earnings on 8/2. On the 2H, price just bounced off the support of the longest of the three EMAs (35/70/280) and tested the POC line of the volume profile again showing buyer support at a high trading volume and volatility area. the MACD indicator shows a bullish line crossover and negative to positive on the histogram where convergence ended and divergence took over. The dual RSI indicator shows the lower time frame green line in a dip for a few days and then a rise above the 50 level and the higher time frame black line. DISH has volume voids above the current price and the near-term pivot high is above. If that cracks, price momentum could accelerate. DISH is suitably set up for a long trade as traders anticipate the earnings. I will take it. I may trade a sizeable trade of stocks or alternatively options striking $8 for 8/11.
DLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
OPEN OpenDoor a Penny Real Estate LONGOPEN has earnings upcoming on 8/3. An analysis of the 4H chart with overlays shows bullish momentum in the set of zero lag EMA lines as well as upgoing anchored VWAP landlines. Price crossed over the mean VWAP ( thin black) and the POC line of the volume profile one month ago. The MACD shows bullish momentum since July 24th. The dual RSI indicator shows the low time frame green line rising and then crossing the steady higher black time frame line the past trading day and both being at the 60 level. OPEN is a long trade setup with earnings around the corner. I will take it.
NASDAQ:OPENLong
by AwesomeAvani
SNOW another technology company tolerating Bidenonomics LONGSNOW on the 4H is seen trending from from earnings in May with the great top line and okay bottom line with a big uptrend into a sideways wide range channel. It is now low in the channel but still above the long term anchored mean VWAP which is the logical stop loss for any long trade setup. Confluent support is the POC line of the visible volume profile with the upper high volume profile providing the the expected range of a long trade. The Volume Price Trend indicator and the MACD are synergistic in their confirmation. Fundamentally, SNOW is in the AI revolution and its role in streamlining processes and lowering costs for the government and businesses. The logical target here, the second deviation above mean VWAP presently at the 193.45 price level. This line pushed the price back down 4 times in the past 8 weeks. I see the quick 10% upside as good for a long trade knowing well-managed options trade could produce 100-150% easily in capitalizing on AI software tech and the heavy hitters of the new NASDAC leading the index higher and faster. What a great concept more snow while the climate heat wave is unrelenting. I will enter here with a sizeable stock trade while considering a 10-30 DTE call option to catch the ride toward the target mentioned here.
NYSE:SNOWLong
by AwesomeAvani
UPST ready to run higherUPST on the daily chart is 65% below its highs of March 22 . It rose above the long term POC line of the volume profile two months ago after a favorable earnings report. Another earnings will report in a month. There has been very little trading above the current price in the visible range. This means there is little volume resistance to price rise. Price is presently at the longterm mean VWAP anchored 16 months in the past and got there by rising from the support of the line one standard deviation below the mean aVWAP. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines have first crossed under the histogram and then ascended in parallel above the zero line in yet another sign of bullish momentum. Lastly, the three in one indicator including money flow is all green. I readily conclude that UPST is set up well for a long swing trade targetting just below the mentioned swing highs and so $160 or so. This would be about 200% while setting a stop loss at $50. I believe the trade offers a great potential reward to risk and so will open this position while identifying an entry on the 15-30 minute chart looking for a pivot low.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by AwesomeAvani
22
GOEV a niche EV manufacturer LONGGOEV does not compete with TSLA. It makes special use electric vehicles including a NASA contract apparently for vehicles to be used upon the return to moon exploration. As a penny stock, GEOV has weak fundamentals coupled with high trader and investor interest. Large capital institutions have a predominant portion of the shares. On the 15 minute chart. GOEV trended up from July 14th to Ju;y 19th and then down to about the same price as before then trend. This was a range of 50% demonstrating the typical high volatility of penny stocks. Based on a set of anchored VWAP bands originating in mid- April, GOEV is currently near the mean long multi-session VWAP. Since many shares are held by institutions this is a price level where trading volume and volatility are expected. I will take a long trade here. The stop loss is the recent swing low at $0.59 with a target at $0.737 just below the POC line of the related volume profile from an entry-by-limit order at $0.613 making for a projected profit of 20% with a much lower risk. For chartists who follow chart patterns, in the interval under analysis, GOEV fell from a head and shoulders pattern. My target is the neckline of that pattern. GOEV benefits from the general interest and trading volumes in the EV sector at large as well as its niche with little competition.
NASDAQ:GOEVLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
📉🛢️ Crude Oil Technical Analysis: Bearish Setup in Focus 📈🐻🚨 Oil traders, exciting times ahead! A compelling bearish opportunity has emerged in the 4-hour timeframe. The price of Crude Oil has recently encountered a crucial supply zone, where a strong rejection was formed. Adding to the bearish outlook, the RSI indicator reveals a bearish divergence, supporting our thesis for a downside move. As traders, you have two strategic options to approach this setup: 1️⃣ Enter a short position right from the supply zone, utilizing the proven supply zone strategy to capitalize on the rejection and potential decline in price. 2️⃣ Exercise patience and wait for a breakdown of the trendline, which will provide additional confirmation to the bearish scenario before initiating your short position. For both approaches, the first take profit level awaits at approximately 73.50, and our ultimate target stands at 71. This is a significant level where a large pool of orders is anticipated, making it an attractive target for taking profit. Feel free to share your toughts in the comments section, follow me for updates and don't forget to press the like button if this insight was helpful !🚀
TVC:USOILShort
by Thomas_Zito
13
NFLX builds more momentum LONG for nowNFLX has been trending up for three weeks. If the trend is getting old it is now showing. Based on a set of two anchored VWAP bands originating June 1 and June 15, Netflix is breaking through VWAP bands from the lower -2 standard deviation lines to the +2 standard deviation lines and nearly the third upper deviation lines. This is a clear and convincing VWAP breakout with buyers in overwhelming control Trading volume today is about 4 or 5 times the running average and about 1M. Volume support for price action is obvious. The dual time frame RSI shows 1 hr TF RSI (blue line) shot up crossed over the daily TF RSI (black line) and is retreating a bit. The daily RS is below 80 and still trending up. The MACD shows a classical bullish momentum pattern with the lines well above the histograms. Overall NFLX has the risk of overextension and possible topping with a fade afterwards. The mass index indicator shows a value into the reversal zone but until the value rises and the drops to 26.5, the trend is still intact. I will take a long trade here, hoping for a quick 5% ROI between now and the end of the week and about 50% on an options trade with a strike of $500 expiring July 28th which I will close upon a confirmed reversal and use the profits realized therefrom to buy a put option to take a ride down.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
AGQ- A Silver on steroids ETF LONGAGQ a leveraged ETF of silver and its futures, spent mid-March to mid-April on a great uptrend from which it pivoted down in a 50% Fib. retracement which took two months to complete. After a bit of consolidation and sideways channeling, it has finally launched into bullish continuation as shown on the daily chart. The Lorentzian AI machine learning indicator printed a buy signal today as it reacted to a green engulfing candle crossing the mean VWAP anchored from the pivot low of mid-March. This indicator has extreme accuracy in its signals as demonstrated on its tables. On the MTF RSI indicator, the low TF RSI has been riding above the higher and crossed the 50 level one week ago. The zero-lag MACD is confirmatory. Overall AGQ is ready for a swing long trade which I will take. I will zoom into a 30-60 minute time frame and look for a pivot low from which to enter. My target is the line showing two standard deviations above the anchored mean VWAP presently about 36.3 representing at least 20% potential upside and profit. The stop loss will be narrow with the price presently at the mean VWAP and POC line of the visible range volume profile I will set it at 29.85. ( The risk to reward is approximately 1:40 ) DYODD !
AMEX:AGQLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
DPST- Banks will thrive if rate hikes are over LONGDPST is shown here on the 15- minute chart- This triple leveraged bank stock hit a double bottom in late June and early July with a double bounce from the lines one standard deviation below the mean VWAP lines anchored at pivots in mid-May. These lines provide dynamic support and resistance unlike vertical lines from pivots. From the VWAP breakout, price has crossed over the mean VWAPs and is not at the level of the volume profile's POC line and the one standard deviations above the mean VWAP. The two time frame RSI indicator shows the lower time frame rising from below 20 to over 50 and crossing over the higher black line TF RSI is for me a clear and convincing sign of bullish momentum in its extreme form. Fundamentally, bank stocks are gaining in the federal news data regarding CPI and PPI. Based on this analysis, I will take a long trade here targeting the second deviation lines at about $70.5 representing about a11% upside in one week or less.
AMEX:DPSTLong
by AwesomeAvani
JNUG- Gold is Going Higher ( LONG)Gold is rising and so also JNUG the triple-leveraged junior miner ETF which has components of miners that have the most to benefit from rising. On the daily chart, price dropped from a winter pivot high with a head and shoulders pattern into a trend down with a bounce off the lows in early March followed by a YTD pivot high in mid April followed by a trend down into the July 4th holiday where the reversal from the low into the current price movement is supported by the MTF RSI indicator showing both the low and high TF RSIs crossing the 50 level. The zero-lag MACD shows the histogram going negative to positive simultaneously with the K /D lines crossing from underneath and beginning to rise. Importantly the Lroentzian machine learning AI indicator using a variety of indicators and factors printed a buy signal earlier this same trading day. I will go long in a swing trade expectant of great profit. I can see that price is approaching the long term mean VWAP and has crossed over the POC line of the lower high volume area. The target of 43.2 is the POC line of the upper high volume area confluent with the first standard deviation above that mean VWAP and also the neckline of the H & S this past winter. The analysis is strong from the confluences and so expectant of 15-20% profit.
AMEX:JNUGLong
by AwesomeAvani
UAL United Airlines Pre Earnings LONGUAL has been in a persistent trend up for a couple of months after great earnings were reported in early May with another due on July 19th. The airports have been quite busy with vacation travel and UAL has been part of that action. On the 1H chart, price has been supported by the mean VWAP and has oscillated to the one standard deviation line above that. I see a target as 56.80 where the the second deviation lines above the mean aVWAP while placing a stop loss just under the blue line of one STD above VWAP. The price is below the POC line of the volume profile which should act as a magnet pulling the price higher. The MACD indicator shows 4 the lines in parallel and above the zero horizontal line with a positive histogram. The relative volatility indicator shows sufficient volatility to support momentum trading. I will take a long trade going into earnings. I will do this with ten call options contracts with a strike at $57 expiring on July 21st. On the last trading day, this contract had a low of $ 0.95 and a high of $1.32 for a range of 35% in a single day. I expect similar price action as the earnings date approaches. I expect to pay about $1320 for ten contracts and the profit expectation is 100% over the next 10 trading days.
NASDAQ:UALLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
Can USD/JPY rally through this 300-pip liquidity gap?Divergent monetary policies between the Fed and BOJ have allowed USD/JPY to extend its bullish trend on the daily chart. Whilst the Fed are very close to their terminal rate, they have to keep the threat of further hikes on the table to tame inflation expectations. When coupled with the ultra-easy policies of the BOJ, we've seen USD/JPY return to its cycle highs. However, the current resistance level around the November high marks the lows of a ~300-pip liquidity gap - and such areas can see prices move swiftly through them if revisited. Soft US inflation data last November sent USD/JPY aggressively lower on the day, and left the liquidity gap to potentially be filled. The question now is whether bulls can persist and send prices within it, which could see USD/JPY head for the range highs around 145. Of course, a building threat for bulls to keep in the back of their mind is that Japan's Ministry of Finance or the BOJ could become vocal about yen volatility to spook JPY bears. But until then, we prefer to buy dips on the daily chart or seek bullish continuation patterns on lower timeframes.
Long
by CityIndex