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Volumeprofileanalysis

WBA in a long trend down SHORTWBA is Walgreens. On the daily chart it is down about 50% from the highs of late 2019, the summer of 2021 and winter of 2021. WBA may be suffering from not keeping up with online mail-order prescription filling and online in general. Like others, it may be suffering from potential downside of litigation related to the opioid epidemic. Mark Cuban and his Cost Plus Drugs may be having an impact on WBA . Merely a reasonable conjecture on my part. WBA beat earnings for three years of quarters prior to this most recent one. Importantly, on the long-range volume profile WBA is below the POC line where most traders prefer to trade. It is even farther below the POC line of the near term volume profile. The other indicators show ongoing or even accelerating bearish momentum. I will short WBA in what I think will be a long-duration swing trade. I will look into put option contracts as well.
NASDAQ:WBAShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
RAD - Is there such a thing as a safe SHORT?If there was ever a thing such as a safe short- I think it would be Rite Aid (RAD) As shown on a monthly chart, RAD triple topped in 2015=2017 and has been in a decline every since. It has shed 90% of its market cap in the intervening 6-8 years. Now, it is fundamentally fighting for survival. This is because as a weaker drugstore retailer and the rise of Walgreens, CVS and others as well as RAD's role in the opioid epidemic ( I have insider knowledge) RAD is now filing for bankruptcy protection against claims and litigation which will vastly outstrip its liability protections. All confirmations on the monthly chart ( high validity given the time frame) considered in context, RAD is near to its death bed. The judge will be ing the rights of shareholders against the rights of litigants ( which include Medicare, Medicaid and state governments). The shareholders will loose and loose very badly. I will go short in a stock trade and take a large put option position. There is no need to buy call options here for backside protection. The writing is on the wall.
RShort
by AwesomeAvani
BA VWAP bounce LONGBA on the 1H chart put in a double top. Given the heavy volumes on the volume profile, BA was shorted heavily at the top. Those shorts have rode the profit train down to the mean VWAP. At this point they are buying to cover and taking profit and are joined by new buyers. BA has reversed and pivoted up. the MACD is confirmatory. Volume is adaquate and steady albeit without any spikes. BA is a low mover. Price has about 5% upside to the double top and POC line of the volume profile. This is most suitable for a call option trade to follow this megacap up. Please leave a comment if you would like to query my ideas as to a good option for this trade.
NYSE:BALong
by AwesomeAvani
WOOF dropped after an earnings beat now setup REVERSALOPRA on the 30-minute chart dropped after an earnings beat as apparently a lot of traders expected better. The volume profile shows the vast majority of the trading occurred in the 5.05 to 5.25 range. This heavy accumulation should result in price movement in due time per Wycoff. I believe that a long trade is setup for a Fibonacci retracement of the drop into the middle levels and so 5.85 as shown by the indicator on the chart. The mass index indicator reached the reversal zone and then triggered with a drop below it confirming a probable reversal. The MACD is showing bullish divergence. I will place a buy stop order above the POC line of the volume profile with a stop loss at 12.0 just below the POC line is a safe 10-13% trade which may take into the beginning of next week. I will take call option contracts as well. If you want to know the details of those, please leave a comment.
NASDAQ:WOOFLong
by AwesomeAvani
4
OPRA drops after earnings beat LONGOPRA on the 30-minute chart dropped after an earnings beat as apparently a lot of traders expected better. The volume profile shows the vast majority of the trading occurred in the 12.75 to 13.05 range. This heavy accumulation should result in price movement in due time per Wycoff. I believe that a long trade is setup for a Fibonacci retracement of the drop into the middle levels and so 14.75 as shown by the indicator on the chart. The mass index indicator reached the reversal zone and then triggered with a drop below it confirming a probable reversal. The MACD shows bullish divergence. I will place a market order with a stop loss at 12.0 just below the POC line which is below present market price. This is a safe 10-13% trade which may take into the beginning of next week. I will take call option contracts as well.
NASDAQ:OPRALong
by AwesomeAvani
TBT- a bearish treasury ETF LONGTBT on the 30 minute time frame shows a trend up in an ascending parallel channel now at the bottom of the channel where it could go up or breakdown and go under the channel. The ZL MACD suggests some bullish divergence while the dual TF RS indicator and the ADX oscillator are non-commital. The immediate recent short term volume profile with a POC line above price suggests a lot of trading above price and likely short sellers. A longer time interval volume profile shows the POC line more than $1.00 below current price. Price could easily gravitate in the direction of that price magnet. Overall, I see a bias for a bearish move and will watch this to confirm. i will play this with put options to leverge the amplitude of the move albeit at higher risk.
AMEX:TBTShort
by AwesomeAvani
1
KO a dividend king a top holding of Buffett LONGOn the 1H chart, KO is well positioned having bounced up from the dynamic support of the deviation line under the mean VWAP and now approaching the POC line of the volume profile over the past month. the dual time frame RS indicator shows lines in the mid-range between oversold and overbought. I believe KO will cycle up towards the dynamic resistance of the upper VWAP lines. I will take a long trade here targeting first 62.25 just below the first upper line for 60% of the trade and then 63.15 for the remaining 405 of the trade. The limit entry by buy stop at 60.1 while the stop loss is under the POC line @ 60.85 the stop loss minimal magnitude sets up a very good risk to reward ratio. I will take several call options as well. Leave a comment if you would like to know those details. While much of the market is sideways or maybe looking to drop, i see KO as diversified and global in its business insulated from currency fluctuations and a consumer staple and so a solid fortress from the chaos now available on a relative bargain sale in keeping with the philosphies of Warren Buffett.
NYSE:KOLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
OSCR Earnings Beat Setup LONGOSCR on the daily chart is shown near to but below the POC line on the volume profile anchored in April. The ZL MACD has a low amplitude histogram. On the directional index indicator both negative and positive lines are nearly trendless at the 20 level. The price is closer to the lower Bollinger Bands and so a reversion to the mean would be upward price action. I am looking to take a long trade here. The entry would be by a buy stop over the POC line at 7.35 and the stop loss at 7.05, the low of the last red candle. The targets are 8.75 and 9.85 corresponding to horizontal resistance lines. This is a swing trade planning for a profit of about 30%. The stop loss of 0.30 as compared with an average target of 1.75 is about 1:5 for the risk to reward. I may take an options trade of 1-3 months duration as well. Leave a commnet , if you would like to know my considerations for a call option. Healthcare and medical are relatively strong sectors right now compared with the chaotic market at large.
NYSE:OSCRLong
by AwesomeAvani
WEAT- Wheat ETF at buy point LONGWEAT the Wheat EFT has been volatile of late due to the Bakc Sea shipping deal falling apart when Russia refused to renew it. Brazil has been trying to increase whet exports to pick up from the fall off of Ukrainian shipments to Africa and others. On the 4H chart, WEAT has fallen 15% from the double tops of July demonstrating the high volatility in what is typically a slow-moving commodity. WEAT is now 5% above the support trendline and about 14% below the horizontal resistance of those double tops. This is a favorable r:R ratio. I will go long here assuming there is now breakthrough in the near future with the resumption of the Black Sea grain deal to impact the supply-demand imbalance and destabilize the price rise. I will look into a call option trade as well.
AMEX:WEATLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
Is this a good time to buy RIOT ? LONGRIOT has had a downfall in the past month on the 1H chart. The crypto market had a resurgence and is now in the dog days of crypto summer. The MACD shows some bullish divergence. The volume profile shows most of the buying was in the 16-17 range. RIOT is far below that with relative volume voids in any movement back to that level. I see this as a long trade setup with 30-40% upside on the stock and much more in a one or two month call contract. If you would like to know my parameters on a long stock trade or call options please leave a comment. ( please also see my BTBT post, like and subscribe).
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by AwesomeAvani
5
Fixed Range Volume Profile, How do I use it?I can say that Fixed Range Volume Profile is strong tool to determine targets and stop loss, POC point of control as per my research represent a central price and bar close price is turning around it, so when you assign take profit and stop loss as per it, you reduce the risk and have a plan B to manage your trade. as you see in above chart for BTCUSD, we have trend line on daily time frame, I cut the chart to 3 successive zones representing 3 cycle, 1 cycle is from the trend to trend and applied "Fixed Range Volume Profile" on all 3 ranges/cycles, last cycle has not finished yet, and I show POC1, POC2 and POC3 prices. I consider this line as central price for a range and we can see how price keep moving above and down POC1 & POC2 prices. for the last range/cycle (not completed yet because it has not reach the uptrend line yet, we see POC3 = $30,200 and the current price $29,590 so price is under POC3 and we can guess it is going to trend at approximately $27,750, this is 1st hint. 2nd hint is to take "Fixed Range Volume Profile" for the all uptrend, did you notice it? I think the price is going to POC(all range) = $28,300 (support) Now we came to the best part of our subject, the what if question and how to set up a plan?: what is stop loss? we need a 1H bar close above POC3= $30,200+100= $30,300 (resistant) and we buy target $31,380 (you should know why!) and for stop loss, we need close price 1H again down $30,200 what is take profit? we can set $28,300 for safe and $27,750 if you want to risk a little bit, this is first target, but what if bar 4h close down POC= $28,300? here we can set a 2nd take profit at $26,400 (you should know why!) this is what I wanted to share with you and I will be glad to answer your questions. I did go short for BTCUSD this morning, enter price $29,165 and I set a take profit at $29,322 because I am working on 15 min timeframe.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Eymen-GUVEN
2
EUR USD IdeaHey there, champions of the dawn! EU's high dreams are fading, divergences aplenty painting the scene. Price action? Oh, it's all about that consolidation range vibe. We're talking scalps and hedging our positions, at Global Chart Surfers. We're kicking back, waiting for that news this week to rev up the engine. Hang loose, let's ride these tides, and watch how it all unfolds. Keep it real, stay sharp, and remember – in this sea of uncertainty, opportunity's our ultimate wave! 🌊🤙🏄‍♂️📈
by themarketknight
FNGU- the leaders of the pack will come back first LONGFNGU is triple leveraged ETF of the titans of the NASDAQ; I expect it to come back front of volatility in the market quickly as its constituents are the leaders here. I hope to exploit this for 10% before COB for the trading week in the next two days.. A volume profile and mean anchored VWAP using metrics employed by institutions and those executing with blocks of voume. Analysis and target levels are on the chart for pureposeful brevity. Trade on !
AMEX:FNGULong
by AwesomeAvani
FORD fell after good earnings - now reverses LONGFORD on the 2H chart double topped in mid July and then descended as it had reached the second deviation line above the mean anchored VWAP. It continued the fall had a bit of pre-earnings run up and then paradoxically fell with very decent top and bottom line earnings. If you know why please let me know. After earnings and the fall, FORD reached the long-term mean VWAP and reversed as can be seen on lower time frames. I see this as a VWAP bounce, the favorite place for institutional traders to make their trades. A volume profile and its POC line find the highest trading volumes of the time interval. the MACD and Price Momentum Oscillators are confirmatory with reversal signals. I will take a long trade here. The stop loss will be 13 below VWAP. Targets are 14 (25%) 14.5 (50%) and 14.85 (25%). This is a simple trade with $0.25 risk which will be eliminated once price gets to $13.5 making it risk and stress-free. I have an options trade in mind. Comment if you want my specifics.
NYSE:FLong
by AwesomeAvani
3
AMSC 57% July rise AI tech ( chips) upcoming earnings LONGAMSC has had a great rise since the beginning of the AI revolution. From the overlay of the anchored VWAP this would be a VWAP breakout that closed the last trading day with a correction pullback and then a bounce off the POC line of the volume profile. The natural stop loss for a long trade is directly under the POC line. As a strong bull run stock, the MACD just showed another line cross above the histogram. Amplitudes are rising. This sector is scorching hot. Some will call it overextended and overvalued. Buy weakness - yeah for sure unless its going to get worse. Buy strength when you determine the probability that it will go higher. This long trade will not wait for me. I will take it and be watchful for signs of reversal. I do not think that I will see them anytime soon. With earnings coming this week and trader interest peaking. I will jump in here and watch for good action. To be safe I will take off part of the position before the earnings.
NASDAQ:AMSCLong
by AwesomeAvani
Bitcoin Range Breakout - Trade PlanThe volume profile for Bitcoin over the past 4 months shows a key level at around $28,040. Historically, after Bitcoin breaks out of a trading range, it tends to spike up, get traders excited and buying, before crashing back down to retest longer timeframe volume profiles. We've been ranging above $30,000 for a month now, causing many to forget about this $28k volume shelf. Psychologically, traders get used to above $30k prices. So when the price dives below, it sparks panic selling. Currently, there is the potential for a short squeeze if Bitcoin spikes up toward $29,300, where there are high short liquidations waiting. This could provide a textbook short opportunity around $28,850. On the flip side, if the price continues falling, we could see a high volume long squeeze which would lead us to one of the best long trades this year opened around the key $28,040 level. Either way, keeping an eye on this zone and watching for liquidation spikes will be key. We should be prepared for both scenarios and have a plan ahead of time - either a long squeeze occurs and we look to short around $29,850, or we wait patiently for price to break down to our target of $28,040 to enter a long position. The market is about to react violently and it will be important to keep emotions in check and remain stoic through the volatility.
by stoicobserver
2
UPST mid-term VIEW Pre Earning LONGUPST on the daily chart with 2022-2023 in range shows a downtrend of more than 70% and now a round bottom reversal. The volume profile shows the high volumes of the high volume area which is relatively thin and mostly below the current price. That is to say, UPST has a lot of volume voids to fill on its way back to $162 . The Triple EMA ( 200,100,50) shows a convergence over a long interval followed by the reversal and now divergence. The MACD indicator is upgoing as are the trends of the dual RS lines of the RSI indicator. I see this as a long swing trade or investment while UPST is awaiting earnings next month. For targets, I plan the red lines generated by the volume profite and so $94 and $161. UPST is on my current favorite stock list. My current holding includes an option striking $51 for 8/4. I will roll that option over about 8/2 to avoid time decay. Additionally, I will buy another option striking $75 and expiring on 9/15 costing about $950 at the market price with the bid/ask spread of about 4%. I expect the combined two call optins will yield on average 5-7% per trading day and may hold them through the earnings period. The only downside risk is that an earnings beat is somehow already priced into UPST and that the momentum will decelerate and fade. Buying the contact cheap and out of the money seeks to manage that risk.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by AwesomeAvani
25
DISH a TV penny before earnings LONGDISH has earnings on 8/2. On the 2H, price just bounced off the support of the longest of the three EMAs (35/70/280) and tested the POC line of the volume profile again showing buyer support at a high trading volume and volatility area. the MACD indicator shows a bullish line crossover and negative to positive on the histogram where convergence ended and divergence took over. The dual RSI indicator shows the lower time frame green line in a dip for a few days and then a rise above the 50 level and the higher time frame black line. DISH has volume voids above the current price and the near-term pivot high is above. If that cracks, price momentum could accelerate. DISH is suitably set up for a long trade as traders anticipate the earnings. I will take it. I may trade a sizeable trade of stocks or alternatively options striking $8 for 8/11.
DLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
OPEN OpenDoor a Penny Real Estate LONGOPEN has earnings upcoming on 8/3. An analysis of the 4H chart with overlays shows bullish momentum in the set of zero lag EMA lines as well as upgoing anchored VWAP landlines. Price crossed over the mean VWAP ( thin black) and the POC line of the volume profile one month ago. The MACD shows bullish momentum since July 24th. The dual RSI indicator shows the low time frame green line rising and then crossing the steady higher black time frame line the past trading day and both being at the 60 level. OPEN is a long trade setup with earnings around the corner. I will take it.
NASDAQ:OPENLong
by AwesomeAvani
SNOW another technology company tolerating Bidenonomics LONGSNOW on the 4H is seen trending from from earnings in May with the great top line and okay bottom line with a big uptrend into a sideways wide range channel. It is now low in the channel but still above the long term anchored mean VWAP which is the logical stop loss for any long trade setup. Confluent support is the POC line of the visible volume profile with the upper high volume profile providing the the expected range of a long trade. The Volume Price Trend indicator and the MACD are synergistic in their confirmation. Fundamentally, SNOW is in the AI revolution and its role in streamlining processes and lowering costs for the government and businesses. The logical target here, the second deviation above mean VWAP presently at the 193.45 price level. This line pushed the price back down 4 times in the past 8 weeks. I see the quick 10% upside as good for a long trade knowing well-managed options trade could produce 100-150% easily in capitalizing on AI software tech and the heavy hitters of the new NASDAC leading the index higher and faster. What a great concept more snow while the climate heat wave is unrelenting. I will enter here with a sizeable stock trade while considering a 10-30 DTE call option to catch the ride toward the target mentioned here.
NYSE:SNOWLong
by AwesomeAvani
UPST ready to run higherUPST on the daily chart is 65% below its highs of March 22 . It rose above the long term POC line of the volume profile two months ago after a favorable earnings report. Another earnings will report in a month. There has been very little trading above the current price in the visible range. This means there is little volume resistance to price rise. Price is presently at the longterm mean VWAP anchored 16 months in the past and got there by rising from the support of the line one standard deviation below the mean aVWAP. On the zero-lag MACD, the lines have first crossed under the histogram and then ascended in parallel above the zero line in yet another sign of bullish momentum. Lastly, the three in one indicator including money flow is all green. I readily conclude that UPST is set up well for a long swing trade targetting just below the mentioned swing highs and so $160 or so. This would be about 200% while setting a stop loss at $50. I believe the trade offers a great potential reward to risk and so will open this position while identifying an entry on the 15-30 minute chart looking for a pivot low.
NASDAQ:UPSTLong
by AwesomeAvani
22