ETH. Buying opportunitiesHi traders and investors!
The seller's vector 9-10 reached its mandatory target in the sideways range on the daily TF from the previous review. It's time to update the possible scenarios.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range that began in February 2024. The seller's vector 9-10 reached its mandatory target with a low of 3240, and now the buyer's vector 10-11 is relevant with a potential target of 3977. The first obstacle for the buyer is the high of the last seller's bar at 3435. The price has not yet interacted with this level. Since the price is at the lower boundary of the sideways range on the daily timeframe, it makes sense to start looking for buying opportunities. Let's look at the lower timeframe.
Hourly Timeframe Analysis
On the hourly timeframe, the price has formed a sideways range. The seller's vector 4-5 exited the boundary of the range, and then the buyer absorbed the attacking range boundary candle of the seller, forming a buyer's zone at the end of the seller's vector (blue rectangle on the chart). Currently, the buyer's vector 5-6 is relevant with a potential target of 3653. The price is at the lower boundary of the sideways range on the hourly timeframe, so it makes sense to start looking for buying opportunities.
Buying opportunities
Buying opportunities can be sought from the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 10-11 in the sideways range on the daily timeframe or from the idea of realizing the buyer's vector 5-6 in the sideways range on the hourly timeframe.
From the protection by the buyer of the lower boundary of the sideways range at 3362 on the hourly timeframe.
From the protection by the buyer of the level 3345, which is the test of the seller of the formed buyer's zone at the end of the seller's vector 4-5 on the hourly timeframe.
From the protection by the buyer of the level 3240, which is the test of the seller of the formed buyer's zone at the base of the buyer's vector 8-9 on the daily timeframe.
After the buyer absorbs the daily candle of June 24, 2024 on the daily timeframe (conservative strategy).
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Volumespreadanalysis
TGT 5M Long Aggressive DaytradeAggressive Trade
- short balance
- volumed expanding ICE
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
- above first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Hourly context:
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction"
Daily context:
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ weak test"
Monthly context:
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support level
+ close to 1/2 correction"
If the day closed bullish I'll double up
TGT @NYSE Sell Limit 146.11, GTC
TGT @NYSE Sell Stop 141.69 LMT 143.16, GTC
PFE Long 1D Conservative Trade DCAConservative Trade
"+ long balance
- volumed expanding ICE
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp-"
Monthly context
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction of 15 years long trend
+ historical volume
- resistance level"
There's no trading signal, but I like volume distribution on daily, so started to accumulate shares little by little.
No stop loss or take profit at this point, we'll be adding as we go.
VZ 1H Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short balance
+ expanding ICE
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close below entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R before 1/2 of monthly take profit
OCO 3A: Sell VZ Limit at $40.35 (Good 'til Canceled)
OCO 3B: Sell VZ Stop at $38.91 Limit at $39.39 (Good 'til Canceled)
Daily context:
"- short impulse
- unvolumed T1"
Monthly context:
"+ long balance
+ historical 1/2 correction
with exhaustion volume in the end
+ initiative take over
+ ICE level
+ volumed? 2Sp
+ test"
BLS - Gearing up for 15% - 20% move ?In early Feb, the stock faced price rejection around 430 levels and was pushed back to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it has been consolidating for almost three months. Now it is attempting to move up, it is about to cross the current price rejection level at 358. The relative strength is also turning positive and the money also started flowing into the stock. The volumes have been increasing including the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers are stepping in. The momentum has and Buying Pressure have been increasing recently. Once we have a positive close above 358 levels, we could see the stock testing the supply zone around 430 levels. This is a stock to watch.
CENTUARY PLY - Moving out of the Accumulation Zone. The stock has finally moved out of the consolidation zone. Late last December, the stock met with price rejection around 850 levels and it was pushed down below the 200 DMA levels. Then it started consolidating for almost three months now. The money flow had started increasing for the past month and the relative strength also started showing signs of recovery. Today, the stock moved out of the consolidation zone with a gap-up opening and a widespread up-bar. Of course, it did meet some supply. as we can see, the close was almost in the upper mid of the bar. The stock also moved above the short-term and the long-term moving averages and we can see the convergence of the averages as well. The relative strength also is moving into the positive territory. The volume has also started increasing and we can see increase in delivery volumes as well. The momentum has been positive for almost a month now. Looks like the stock is now poised to test the rejection zone at 850 again. However, we need to see some increase in the relative strength and the momentum as well. There is also a possibility of a retest of the accumulation zone.
Conservative Investment Trend Trade HD LongMonthly Trend Trade
" + long impulse
+ 1/2 correction"
Daily Conservative Trend trade
"+ long impulse
+ 1/2 correction
+ ICE level
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp"
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Broker set up:
May-20-2024
Buy HD at Market (Day)
May-20-2024
OCO 3A: Sell HD Stop at $332.37 Limit at $337.86 (Good 'til Canceled)
May-20-2024
OCO 3B: Sell HD Limit at $348.84 (Good 'til Canceled)
GREENPLY INDUSTRIESThe stock was moving up and in the last week of February, it encountered a BC bar or a buying climax like bar. Then because of the supply of the BC bar, it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it started recovering. Then it attempted to take out the Supply shadow of the BC bar but did not succeed. Then again recently did try to go into the shadow of the BC bar. It was struggling and pulled back a little and then now it has moved past the supply shadow of the BC bar. It would mean that all the supply has been fully absorbed now and the stock would be ready to move up. As you can see, the relative strength is becoming positive and the money is also flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing and the volume has also increased. Also, we can see the good increase in the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers stepping in. Now with a positive close above 287, the last close would take the stock into the next higher trajectory. So, it is a stock worth watching.
GRANULES - A stock to watchThe stock after facing price rejection around 466 to 480 area was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. It took support from there and started moving up and now it's making a higher high and higher low. The relative strength is also positive and we can see good volumes coming in. Money is flowing into the stock and the momentum is also positive and increasing. Also, we can see good increase in the delivery volumes recently indicating committed buyers stepping in. A bullish close above 480 would take the stock to the next higher trajectory.
ADANI PORTS - Ready to Move to next upper Trajectory?The stock on its upper trajectory faced a price rejection around 1425 levels and it was driven down to below the 50 DMA levels. From there it took support and then started recovering. Recently there was an attempt to take out the price rejection zone but that move did not succeed and it was pushed back to test the price rejection zone. Now it is again attempting to take out the rejection zone. We can see increasing momentum and also the relative strength is positive. The money flow needs to become positive. We can see some increase in the volume as well. Now this stock is likely to succeed in taking out the rejection zone. A good close above 1457 would take it to the next upper trajectory.
UNION BANK - Gearing up for a Break out?The PSU bank index has been moving in a slightly inclined upward channel showing positive bias. However, this stock has been moving in a sideways range for almost four months now. Now the stock is testing the top of the sideway range. The MFI indicates money is flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing, the relative strength is also turning positive. We can see increases in the volume as well. Also, we can see increases in the delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in here. The minor trend and the immediate trend are also up. Looks like the stock is gearing up to break out of the range and move into the next higher orbit. So the level to watch out is 162. This stock should find a place on your watch list.
KNR CONSTRUCTION - A watch list StockThe stock after facing rejection at 317 levels was pushed down below the 200 DMA level. From the bottom in June 22, the stock has been moving almost sideways for almost two years now. Finally, the stock seems to be making an attempt to move up. It is about to take out the minor price rejection zone. You can see an increased volume and also you can see that the money flow has been increasing. Now the relative strength is also turning positive. So once now the stock is likely to test the major rejection zone at 317 to 343 levels. Once that is taken out, that is if we have a bullish candle above the 343 levels, we can expect this stock to go into the next phase of uptrend. A stock to watch.
JUBLI FOODS – Confirming Reversal and ready to move higher?The stock after making a high of 586 last December has been going down. It has been making lower highs and lower lows with each price wave was getting lower. After reaching a bottom of 421 it started reversing. Then it started making higher highs and higher lows and each price wave was getting higher and higher. Now it has crossed above the 3 short-term moving averages and today it moved above the 200 DMA as well. You can see that the volumes for each wave was getting higher. The money flow had remained positive from April onward and in May the relative strength also turned positive. The stock also exhibited strong momentum in May. Recently the delivery volumes have also increased indicating interested buyer stepping in. Now the stock is likely to teat the previous high of 586. 520 levels could offer some resistances.
EXIDE INDUSTRIESThe stock after a good up move has been re-accumulating for almost a month and half. Now the stock is on the verge of breaking out from this re-accumulation zone. The relative strength is turning positive and the money flow is also on the verge of reversing. Momentum which was weak has started picking up. The volume in the last two sessions has been high. The delivery volumes is also increasing. A good close above today's high, that is a good close above 500 will take the stock to the next orbit and it will move much higher.
We had caught the earlier breakout from the Rejection zone at 280 as well.
USDRUB.P Long Aggressive DayTradeMonthly context
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ support
- above 1/2 correction
+ volumed 2Sp
+ weak test"
Daily context:
"- short impulse
+ volumed T1
+ support level
+ volumed manipulation"
Hourly context
"- short impulse
+ biggest volume T1 level
+ support level
+ volumed 2Sp"
5M set up
- short impulse
+ volumed T1 level
+ support level
+ biggest volume Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable virtual stop loss
1 to 2 take profit
GENERAL INSURANCE CORPORATIONThe stock after facing price rejection around 440 to 467 levels came back to below 50 DMA levels. It has been consolidating since then for almost 3 months now. Finally, today we saw it breaking out of the consolidation zone. We saw a widespread bar on very high volume. The relative strength is also turning positive. The money flow has been positive for the last few sessions. We can also see a reversal in the momentum to the positive side. If the stock sustains above the high of today's bar, we can see the stock testing the previous price rejection zone at 440 to 467 levels. Now the only point of caution here is today's very high-volume bar, it is like a BC bar which can cast a shadow of supply bringing the stock down back into the consolidation zone. So that is why we need to have positive close above the shadow of the BC bar for the stock to move higher. So, it is a stock worth watching.
ADITYA BIRLA FASHIONS - Poised to moved up ?The stock saw a huge fall of about 50% from a high of 359. From the bottom, it has been struggling for almost a year to reverse the trend. And of late, you can see the attempt to move up, seeing some success. You can see a break of structure in the daily and now a break of structure in the weekly as well. The relative strength is also positive. The money flow which had dipped is now recovering. The momentum also had weakened recently and is now picking up. Today the stock moved past the price rejection zone at 277 with wide spread up bar with volume support. In the last few sessions, we saw some increase in delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in. If the stock sustains above 277 levels, we can see the stock moving up further north. The next destination could be 315 levels.
APD Long Investment Conservative Trend Trade Conservative Trend Trade 5F
+ long impulse
+ SOS bar
Calculated affordable stop loss
1 to 2 R/R below 1/2 monthly zone
Monthly chart context
+ long impulse
+ biggest volume T2 level
+ biggest volume manipulation
Start building position, will add more after there's a set up on inferior timeframe.
STLA 1H Long Aggressive CounterTrend TradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade
- short impulse
+ volumed T1 level
+ volumed Sp
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar closed entry
Calculated affordable real stop loss
1 to 2 TP before volume zone
Context on Daily:
"- short impulse
+ monthly support level
+ 1/2 correction monthly
+ biggest volume T1
+ biggest volume Sp"
Context on Monthly
"+ long impulse
+ SOS level
+ 1/2 correction?
+ support level"
DEEPAK NITRITEIn early January, the stock faced rejection around 2520 levels and it retreated to sub 200 DMA levels. From there, it recovered. In early May, it made an attempt to take out the price rejection zone. There was a move on very high volume. Unfortunately, that move did not succeed and it was pushed back below into the supply shadow of the BC bar which happened on the April 24th. Now, again it is attempting to move above the shadow of the BC bar and the price rejection zone. The relative strength is still positive but the money flow is lacking and also the volume is very low. The momentum has also dropped. So, once this stock succeeds in taking out the price rejection zone and goes above the shadow of the BC bar, the stock is likely to move up higher. We also see a very nice consolidation pattern almost like a cup and handle pattern. So, we need to wait and watch for the volume to increase and the money flow to be positive and the momentum also to come in. So, this is a stock worth watching
EDELWEISSThe stock is trying to move out of the price rejection zone after nearly four months of sideways move. The relative strength and the money flow are also positive. The volume has been increasing in the recent past and the volume adjusted momentum is also turning positive. All the conditions are favoring the stock to take out the price rejection zone. Once we have a good close above 88, we can see the stock moving up much higher.
Crompton Greaves - Poised move up?After a long sideways move the stock is now attempting go on upward trajectory. Creasing relative strength and Money flow is supporting the up move. Momentum and Buying Pressure are also increasing. Recent increase in delivery volumes indicate good amount of accumulation. Today's ultra high volume is reason for caution. Once we have a positive close above 343 we can expect a 100 point up move.