CELR : Sensitive areaHello friends🙌
✅Considering the decline we had, you can see that the price has been well supported in the support area drawn with Fibonacci and now it seems that it wants to go up to the specified ranges, which are also good and high-volume ranges, and these areas are like magnets for the price.
✅Don't forget risk and capital management.
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Volume
EUR/USD Analysis Based on Volume, Fibonacci & Stochastic
This EUR/USD trade setup is structured using:
Volume analysis to locate key activity zones
Fibonacci retracement for confluence
Stochastic indicator to refine the timing of entry
🔹 Entry: 1.1546
🔹 Stop-Loss: 1.1588
🔹 Take-Profit: 1.1506
🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1.02
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade responsibly.
USD/CHFThis trade setup is based on volume analysis, Fibonacci retracement zones, and confirmation from the Stochastic oscillator to determine a strong long entry. The setup suggests a potential bullish move with favorable risk conditions.
Entry: 0.8082 area
Stop-Loss: 0.8044 area
Take-Profit: 0.8130 area
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:1.5
This idea capitalizes on a bounce from a key Fibonacci support level, where volume and momentum indicate buyer strength and trend continuation potential.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management.
GBP/USD This trade is based on a combination of volume analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels, and signals from the Stochastic oscillator to identify a favorable long entry. The setup indicates a potential bullish continuation, supported by increasing volume and a shift in momentum.
Entry: 1.3293 area
Stop-Loss: 1.3269 area
Take-Profit: 1.3333 area
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.0
This setup targets a continuation of the upward move, with price reacting positively at a key Fibonacci zone and momentum confirming with a bullish signal from the Stochastic.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management.
Possible run to 130 in the cardsEasily invalidated.
We are using the patterns from the price action post threshold break (redline in bottom pane)
These breaks are unseen on this time frame
The volume instabilities are between the 15 minute and the 1 hour. I would look for breaks under 15 minutes, too much noise at that level. Go ahead and test it yourself. See my script posted on trading view for details.
BTC Forecast For August & September. The Only Roadmap You Need !This is one is so obvious, its a no brainer , and would likely be very easy to trade as long as you follow this road map i have provided.
The Value Area High at 110k price range is most important upcoming battle line between bull vs bear. If bulls fail to get a strong bounce from 110k and we close at least 2 daily candles below it. Then it would mean bears have full control and the implication of that is that since we would at that point be closing back inside an established Value Area range, formed between Nov 20th to Jul 25th, then it would mean the probability of price selling all the way down to re-test the VAL (value area low) at $91.6k would instantly become very very high.
After re-testing $91.6k we'll watch and see what happens.
It'll either hold after grabbing some liquidity below and stay in the Value Area Range until further notice Or we lose it and the sell off continues. Bear market will be in full swing if that happens and you can bet a ton of weak hands will start to exit due to max pain & cascading long liquidations. Fear index will be back in the red at that point as capitulation starts to set in. Alot of new alts and meme coins will be completely obliterated.
Bullish Continuation Scenario
If bulls get a strong bounce from 110k and don't close back inside the Value Area Range below, then we could continue up to a make a new ATH for a classic trend pullback continuation trade. Once we get back above 115.4k, the dream of a new ATH will become much more realistic. There is an UFA(Unfinished Auction) at 120.8k which is only visible to traders using the market profile or footprint chart. This make poor high and needs to be taking out at some point.
For the Price target to the upside, we would be using the peak formation line of the ExoFade indicator.
WTI: downside potentialHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Weekly timeframe
A buyer initiative is tentatively developing, yet the strongest buyer candle (highest volume) produced no follow-through. It was followed by two buyer candles on weak volume. Last week volume expanded again and clustered around 69.975, showing that sellers are still defending this level. Weekly seller targets: 65.628 and 64.378.
Daily timeframe
Sellers remain in control. The chart clearly shows volume manipulation around 69.975. Daily seller targets: 65.628 and 64.736.
Wishing you profitable trades!
AUD/USD Analysis Based on Volume, Fibonacci & Stochastic
This AUD/USD setup is based on:
Volume Profile zones to detect institutional interest
Fibonacci levels for structural confirmation
Stochastic oscillator to time the entry more accurately
🔹 Entry: 0.6460
🔹 Stop-Loss: 0.6476
🔹 Take-Profit: 0.6441
🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1.19
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately.
EURAUD 4H: Long Setup from Fresh Demand ZoneOverview:
OANDA:EURAUD retracing into a newly formed 4H demand zone after a bullish Break of Structure (BoS). Eyes on continuation towards a historically significant supply zone at 1.8000.
🧩 Setup Details
• Asset & Timeframe: EURAUD, 4H
• Bias: Bullish
• Entry Zone: 1.77300 – 1.77700 (DEMAND area)
• Targets:
🎯 T1 = 1.7900 (minor reaction level)
🎯 T2 = 1.8000 (historical supply level)
• Stop-Loss: Below 1.77300 (last valid demand)
• Risk-Reward: Approx. 1:6+
🧠 Why Now? (Trade Rationale)
• ✅ Fresh 4H Demand Zone: Price is retracing into a clear demand zone after rejecting lower prices.
• ✅ Break of Structure (BoS): Bullish BoS confirms shift in order flow.
• ✅ Volume Confirmation: Increasing demand near current price levels.
• ✅ Clear Liquidity Sweep: Price likely swept short-term lows before BoS.
• ✅ Target Supply Zone: 1.8000 is a well-respected historical supply/resistance level — clean magnet for price.
⏱ Multi-Timeframe Context
• Daily Chart: Price is reacting off a larger DAILY DEMAND ZONE. Trend bias is bullish.
• 4H Chart: Structure break + demand formation suggest continuation.
• 1H/Entry Level: Monitor price action in the blue zone for lower-timeframe confirmation (e.g. bullish engulfing, flip zones, LQ sweep, etc.) and potentially greater risk-reward.
📉 Risk Management & Duration
• Stop below 1.76315 keeps you protected from deeper invalidation.
• Trade Duration: Short to mid-term (1–4 days).
• Position Size: Scale based on volatility; ideal for swing trade conditions.
📌 Trade Plan Summary
📍 Watch for bullish PA on re-entry into demand (1.77300–1.77700)
📍 Set SL below 1.76315
📍 TP1 at 1.79000 — partials advised
📍 TP2 at 1.80000 — strong historical level
📍 Adjust SL to BE on momentum breakout
GBP/USD Analysis Based on Volume, Fibonacci & Stochastic
This GBP/USD setup is built on:
Volume Analysis to detect strong price areas
Fibonacci retracement to identify key support/resistance
Stochastic oscillator to find a better-timed entry
🔹 Entry: 1.3270
🔹 Stop-Loss: 1.3298
🔹 Take-Profit: 1.3239
🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1.14
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please do your own research and manage your risk properly before trading.
AUD/USDThis analysis is based on a combination of volume analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels, and Stochastic oscillator signals to find an optimal entry point. The trade setup suggests a potential bullish move after confirming support and momentum alignment.
Entry: 0.6475 area
Stop-Loss: 0.6465 area
Take-Profit: 0.6498 area
This setup aims to capitalize on a high-probability bounce within a key Fibonacci zone, confirmed by volume strength and oversold readings on the Stochastic indicator.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and use proper risk management.
USD/JPYThis analysis is built on volume analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels, and confirmation from the Stochastic oscillator to pinpoint a precise long entry. The setup reflects a potential bullish continuation supported by strong demand and upward momentum.
Entry: 147.76 area
Stop-Loss: 147.56 area
Take-Profit: 148.55 area
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:4.5
This setup aims to capture a breakout or bounce from a key Fibonacci level, where the volume confirms buying interest and the Stochastic indicates a reversal from oversold conditions.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and apply proper risk management.
NZD/USDThis analysis is based on a combination of volume analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels, and Stochastic oscillator signals to identify a high-probability entry point. The trade setup suggests a potential bearish move following confirmation from volume patterns and momentum indicators.
Entry: 0.5907 area
Stop-Loss: 0.5916 area
Take-Profit: 0.5893 area
This setup targets a short-term downward correction within a key Fibonacci zone, supported by weakening volume and an overbought signal from the Stochastic indicator.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management.
EURUSD. Weekly and Daily AnalysisHi traders and investors!
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Weekly TF
Price has tapped the 50 % level of the last buyer initiative at 1.14477 and run a manipulation around 1.15569.
Daily TF
We’ve seen a manipulation of the lower boundary of the buyer initiative, and an IKC candle has printed.
Buyer targets on the daily chart: 1.17110, 1.17888, 1.18299.
Before aiming for those, buyers first need to clear the potential sell zones at 1.15994 and 1.16108.
Conservative long setup:
Wait for buyers to defend 1.15994 (or a higher level).
Alternatively, watch the 1-hour support at 1.15165; if buyers hold it, there’s scope for a move toward 1.15994 — and potentially higher after that.
Wishing you profitable trades!
Aussie Shorts Looks Promising This is a pullback trend trade anticipating trend continuation. Entry is based on LVN (low volume node) for entry. Also looking on the footprint chart there is a high volume node with -ve delta that was traded at 0.64715.
If the sellers return to defend that price then this pullback should give some strong rejection once we pierce the entry zone and send bulls packing.
TP1 - First swing low
TP2 - Value area low of the range, which also is in confluence with the ExoFade peak on the 1HR timeframe. ExoFade peaks always gets taken out in a strong trend, that's why i love using them as price targets for exits. ExoFade is free on Tradingview for those curious about it. Just search for it.
Bitcoin: Expected Cool-Off or Cause for Concern?After rallying more than 25% off the June lows, Bitcoin is finally taking a breather with a much-anticipated pullback. But as expected, the fear meter is spiking, especially across CT.
Was this cool-off really a surprise? Not quite.
The signs were there: price stalling at upper extremes, responsive sellers stepping in at perceived overextensions, and inefficient zones left behind during sharp impulsive moves.
Of course, reading it in real-time is easier said than done. Emotions always complicate execution , but that’s a separate conversation.
In this post, let’s break down the current structure in detail —using volume profile, TPO charts, and market structure analysis, to give you a clearer picture of what’s unfolding. We’ll also explore a few scenarios worth watching as the next move shapes up.
Let’s dive in!
Table of Contents
➺ Volume Profile
➺ TPO
➺ Key Technical Insights
➺ Market Structure
➺ Trade Scenarios and What to Watch
➺ TLDR
⦿ Volume Profile
Currently, we’re seeing two key zones of balance : one broad range that held for over 60 days and a tighter 21-day structure that formed at higher levels. These are classic areas of value where buyers and sellers found temporary agreement, establishing balance.
The sharp move from ~111,000 to ~122,000 was largely impulsive , with little volume built along the way, suggesting initiative buying in early July. As is often the case with such thin zones, they tend to get revisited once momentum fades. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now.
As price dips into this low-volume pocket, the key question is:
Will the market accept this zone and begin building value here, or will it reject and bounce back toward higher ground?
Looking at the Volume Range Visible Profile (VRVP) since June 7th, the nearby Value Area High (VAH) sits around ~111,000 . If current support doesn’t hold, this becomes the next major volume magnet. That said, there’s also a low-volume node (LVN) just above 111,000 , which could act as a demand pocket and trigger a responsive bounce.
In simple terms:
– Acceptance into the LVN could lead to new range formation at lower levels
– A sharp bounce off ~110,000 might reestablish the prior higher balance, or create a fresh range between the two existing areas
The next few sessions will reveal whether the market is hunting for new value or just shaking out weak hands.
⦿ TPO
Zooming into the 4H TPO chart, we can clearly see the evolving monthly profiles from May through August. And as is often the case, the market found resistance right where you’d expect: at the extremes.
The upper end of July’s profile became a battleground. Buyers attempted multiple pushes above that upper balance, but each effort was consistently faded by responsive sellers , signaling growing exhaustion at the top.
Eventually, that pressure gave way to an impulsive breakdown, driven by initiative selling. Notably, price didn’t rotate gently back into the previous range, but it sliced straight into a thin zone of prior low participation.
Now, the market is sitting at the low-volume region , and the next key battle is shaping up. Additionally, The 108,000 to 110,000 area carries weight as it served as the Value Area High (VAH) for both the May and June profiles. If buyers are going to respond, this is one of the more likely places for them to step in.
⦿ Key Technical Insights
▸ Failed Acceptance Above 21-Day Balance
Repeated attempts to hold above the short-term balance were rejected, signaling buyer fatigue and a lack of conviction at higher levels.
▸ Initiative Sellers Took Control
Once demand dried up, sellers stepped in aggressively. The thin participation during the recent rally left little structural support, allowing price to drop quickly.
▸ No Value Built Below Yet
The zone currently being tested saw minimal trading earlier. If bulls want to reclaim control, they’ll need to build value here and establish a new base.
▸ Prior Balance High as Potential Support
Price is now retesting the top of the 60+ day balance area from above, a classic setup where previous resistance can become support. This area also aligns with a known demand shelf.
▸ Deviation Below the 200 MA Cloud
Price has slipped below the 200 MA cloud and is nearing a key flip zone. A test of the 110,000 level next week wouldn’t be surprising. That area could serve as a strong support zone where a new accumulation phase begins.
⦿ Market Structure
The broader market structure points to a transition in progress. After spending over two months in balance , price broke out to the upside —only to form another short-lived range at higher levels. That, too, gave way to a swift breakdown.
This kind of “failed acceptance at higher prices” is often an early signal that the market may revisit prior zones of interest, typically areas where value was last built.
All eyes now shift to the 110,000–111,000 zone , the high of the previous 60-day balance.
We’re in a classic test-retest phase, where the market is probing for conviction . These moments often set the stage for the next significant move, either continued distribution lower, or the beginning of a re-accumulation phase.
⦿ Scenarios & What to Watch
As Bitcoin pulls back into key structural zones, several scenarios are in play. Here's what to monitor in the coming sessions:
Scenario 1: Re-Acceptance into 21-Day Balance
▸ If price reclaims and holds above ~116K, we could see a rotation back toward the upper end of the short-term balance near ~120K.
▸ This would suggest the recent breakdown was a failed auction or bear trap, not the start of a broader trend reversal.
▸ Watch for initiative buying above the demand shelf with follow-through volume.
Scenario 2: Choppy Mid-Balance Activity
▸ Price remains range-bound between ~110K and ~116K, forming a new short-term balance zone.
▸ Expect slower movement and back-and-forth behavior as the market decides its next direction.
▸ Patience is key here. Watch volume and initiative behavior to gauge strength.
Scenario 3: Rejection and Continuation Lower
▸ If price fails to hold above ~110K, there’s potential for a move down to the POC near ~104K, or even deeper toward ~100K (Value Area Low).
▸ These are low-volume zones, which rarely offer strong support unless new value is built.
▸ This would signal a continuation of the current imbalance and potentially mark a structural trend shift.
I’m primarily focused on Scenario 1 and 2 , as we appear to be in a late bull phase. A deeper pullback toward 100K increases the risk of a broader trend change, making it less attractive from a risk/reward standpoint.
⦿ TLDR
▸ Buyers failed to hold the top of the 21-day balance. Clear signs of exhaustion.
▸ Price dropped into a prior low-volume zone, which now acts as potential demand.
▸ This area has never been accepted before - either buyers step in, or we go lower.
▸ Reclaiming ~116K could fuel a move back toward 120K+.
▸ Failure to hold ~110K opens the door to 104K, maybe even 100K.
What happens next week will likely set the tone for the next major move. Watch how the market responds to acceptance vs rejection zones, and let price action confirm your bias before you act.
If you found this analysis helpful, share it with someone who trades Bitcoin. 🥰
What’s your read on the current structure? Let me know in the comments! 📉
⚠️ Disclaimer
As always, this post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
RENDER Spot Re-add PlanAlready holding Render as my biggest spot bag. Just setting clean limit orders to compound on weakness.
📍 Limit Orders (laddered):
• 3.45 → Daily FVG top (40%)
• 2.95 → Weekly VAL zone (40%)
• 2.55 → Deep HTF discount (20%)
Long term hold. Pure add-on entries.
DISCLAIMER:
I am not providing financial advice or investment signals. This post reflects my personal accumulation strategy and is shared solely for documentation purposes. I'm adding to an existing long-term position based on my own analysis and conviction. Sharing this openly helps me stay accountable and focused on my goals. If you choose to act on any of this, it's entirely at your own risk. Always do your own research and make informed decisions based on your situation.
Gold’s on a Roller Coaster — and We’re Riding It Down🎢 Gold’s on a Roller Coaster — and We’re Riding It Down 🎢
Gold just snapped up like it saw Trump tweet “TARIFFS ARE BACK” — but the move smells like a knee-jerk algo pump, not real conviction. We just rejected right into a thin-volume imbalance zone and tagged the underside of a long-standing trendline.
📉 Short Setup Locked In:
💥 Entry: 3405
🛑 Stop: 3415
🎯 Target: 3353
💰 R:R ≈ 5:1
🔍 Why I'm In This Trade:
That rip? Total headline panic, not structural strength.
Low volume shelf above, with a massive POC magnet below at 3353.
We tapped the Developing VAH (3414) and got rejected — classic trap setup.
SQZMOM showing the energy is already fizzling. Green flash, no follow-through.
🧠 The Narrative:
Gold’s trying to price in volatility from every angle — Trump talk, tariffs, macro chaos — but under the hood, this pop looks unsustainable. If this is just a liquidity grab, we could see a flush back into the meat of value fast.
Grab your helmets — this roller coaster might just be heading downhill 🎢📉