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[20250526] Gold - True Bull or Liquidity Trap This Week?Key Dynamic Levels Guide: Previous Grey/Black, Green/Magenta, and Red/Blue dynamic levels mark important zones where Smart Money (SM) has positioned itself. These levels are crucial liquidity pools, as support and resistance (S/R) frequently revisit these zones. Check their values by hovering your mouse for guidance before proceeding. 4H key-level confluence can be refer in published Idea titled: Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated? refer the related post ---> 📊 Weekly Market Intent – Gold Analysis Gold has recently tested the 3360+ zone, showing renewed bullish momentum. However, system-based structure mapping suggests that this move might still be part of a broader setup—rather than a confirmed breakout. 📌 Market Structure & Key Levels A possible ABCDE triangle structure remains in play, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this formation holds, a pullback toward 3044–2950 could materialize before Wave-E completes and resumes the larger bullish trend. The market also aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where recent highs attract late buyers before deeper liquidity moves unfold. 🔹 Key Dynamic Levels (4H Confluence): Bull VAH (Grey Line): 3317.52 – Key retracement level in a bullish environment. Bull POC (Light Green): 3313.55 – Defines bullish sentiment zone. Blue Line (Bull Bias Limit): 3254.26 – A breach would indicate deeper pullback risk. Red Line (Bear Bias Limit): 3369.81 – A decisive break suggests bullish continuation. Liquidity Levels: 3401.21 (upper target) | 3212.57 (lower target). 🧐 Market Sentiment & Next Move Current sentiment indicates bullish bias with bear presence, as the market attempts lower support levels before a bullish continuation. Bullish Continuation: Price moving past 3366 could signal a breakout, with unconfirmed top resistance levels remaining untested before further upside. Bearish Presence: Below 3313.55, sell-side pressure could intensify. Below the bull bias limit (3254.26), deeper downside traction suggests a short-cycle bearish move until a rebound occurs above the newly formed dynamic bear bias limit. 🧠 Reversal / Invalidation Conditions Bullish Strength Holds: Trading above 3253.57, with unsuccessful bear attempts, suggests bullish sentiment remains intact. Bearish Shift: A failed support at 3290 and successful retest reinforce downside pressure. Momentum and volume remain key for validating the shift. 📌 System-Based Order Limits Daily Order Limits Buy: 3350.95 | SL: 3281.20 | TP: 3399.82 Sell: 3302.39 | SL: 3372.14 | TP: 3253.52 Weekly Order Limits Buy: 3335.02 | SL: 3192.49 | TP: 3434.89 Sell: 3235.80 | SL: 3378.33 | TP: 3135.93 Monthly Order Limits Buy: 3374.47 | SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65 Sell: 3181.54 | SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36 📌 Final Insight Market intent unfolds dynamically, and structure-driven decision-making ensures anticipation zones remain valuable references. 📢 Gawai Festival Notice: As I’ll be away for the season’s harvest festival, I may not provide further updates on next shifts. However, this weekly confluence bias should guide traders in navigating market ranges effectively. Stay disciplined, wait for liquidity validation, and let Smart Money footprints lead the way. Wishing all traders a profitable week ahead! See you next week. 🚀
TRADENATIONSB:XAUUSD
by jerryfc000
BCH Analysis for Scalpers (1H)Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is currently showing multiple technical signals that support a potential bullish continuation. A reversed Head and Shoulders pattern is in the process of forming, and it aligns well with several key confluences — including the Ichimoku Cloud and volume profile support zones. A breakout above the $430 level would not only confirm the pattern but also activate a bullish flag formation, adding further momentum to the setup. In that case, the next immediate target would be around $452.4. This setup remains valid only upon confirmation of the breakout. Until then, caution is advised — a clean break and retest would offer the most favorable entry. — Thanks for reading.
Long
by vs_sayin
Are we seeing UTAD on BTC?Bitcoin has been in ana scending channel for a while but ever since the new all time high, some things make me doubt we see a continuation of the bull trend in the near term. -Volume has been declining the entire length of the channel -We saw a bump in volume but the effort didn't match. A lower volume red candle had the same impact on price. -The new all time high resulted in a third touch of bearish divergence on the MACD. Also the MA's are showing bearishness. -The RSI fell below the EMA and is now looking like it's resisting breaking through. We are clearly in a supply zone and all signs point to absorption and distribution taking place. 104k is the next level that will offer any significant support.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HotsauceShoTYME
How to Use Fixed Range Volume Profile on TradingView 1️⃣ Why Fixed Range Volume Profile Matters ✅ It helps you spot real price structure where traders were active, not just where price passed through. Useful for: Identifying Supply & Demand zones Understanding nstitutional activity (volume concentration = likely smart money involvement) Analyzing range-bound markets Confirming pullbacks or entries in trending setups There are two different tools: one is called Volume Profile, and the other is Fixed Range Volume Profile. To learn more about them, check out the link below. Volume Profile Indicators: basic concepts: www.tradingview.com Fixed Range Volume Profile: www.tradingview.com 2️⃣ What is Volume in Trading? Volume refers to the total number of units (e.g., shares, contracts, coins) traded during a specific time period. It measures the market's participation. ✔️ High Volume = strong interest and confirmation of price moves. ❌ Low Volume = weak conviction, indecision, or potential false moves. Volume is calculated by counting all completed trades in a candle both buying and selling. Learn more about volume here: www.tradingview.com 3️⃣ What is Fixed Range Volume Profile? Fixed Range Volume Profile is a tool you can draw on your chart to check how much trading happened at different price levels, but only within the range you select. You pick the start and end point, and the tool shows volume activity just in that area. It shows three main levels: 🔴 Point of Control (POC): the price where the most trading happened 🟢 Value Area High (VAH): the highest price in the area where most trades occurred (about 70% of total volume) 🔵 Value Area Low (VAL): the lowest price in that same area These three levels show the price range where most trading took place also called the value area. 4️⃣ Why Fixed Range Volume Profile Matters It helps you spot real price structure where traders were active, not just where price passed through. Useful for: Identifying Supply & Demand zones Understanding institutional activity (volume concentration = likely smart money involvement) Analyzing **range-bound markets Confirming pullbacks or entries in trending setups 5️⃣ How to Use Fixed Range Volume Profile on TradingView Steps: 1. First, look for a clear range on your chart. A range is a sideways movement where price is mostly moving back and forth instead of trending. 2. I like to use the 4-hour chart for this, but you can use any timeframe. Using candles with clearer shapes can help you see the range more easily. 3. Once you see a range, go to the left-hand toolbar and select the Fixed Range Volume Profile tool. 4. Click at the beginning of the range, then drag your mouse to the end of the range. 5. Let go of the mouse, and the volume profile will appear on that section of the chart. Analyze: POC: Price may often return to this level because it's where most trading happened VAH: Price could have a harder time moving higher if it reaches this level may act like resistance VAL: Price may find support around here — traders bought more in this area 1. Find the Range 2. Draw your Profile 3. You should treat your volume range like a basic support and resistance level. What you want to see is a flip between support and resistance. 4. If the price breaks above the volume profile and keeps going higher, you want it to come back and retest that same range this time acting as support. 5. Your entry should be near the support. Your stop-loss should be placed above the high of the breakout or a logical structure. Of course, setting a stop-loss always depends on more context, like the overall market structure and your risk management plan. 6️⃣ Practical Scenarios ✔️ Use it during sideways or quiet market phases (called consolidation) to see where most of the trading happened before the market moved ✔️ Try it on pullbacks in trending markets to check if price is returning to an area of high volume ✔️ Draw profiles on different price swings to spot areas where volume keeps showing up again and again Example: ⚠️ Limitations Fixed Range Volume Profile might not work well when: The asset has very little trading volume (like new coins or very small stocks) There’s a big news event causing unexpected volume spikes The market is moving fast in one direction, and the volume zones don’t hold ⚠️ A couple of common mistakes traders make when using Fixed Range Volume Profile: They apply it in trending markets. This tool works best in sideways or ranging markets, not when price is trending strongly up or down. They include breakout volume. Breakouts often include forced liquidations or trapped traders this can create misleading spikes in volume. 7️⃣ Summary Fixed Range Volume Profile helps you see where most trades happened in a specific part of the chart. It highlights price zones where traders were most active, which can help you understand possible support, resistance, or value areas. ✅ Good for: Markets that are going sideways Double-checking volume around key levels Spotting price zones where support or resistance might appear Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Education
by Risk_Adj_Return
BTCUSDTPrice action anlysis The initial phase, likely Phase A, marked the stopping of the previous downtrend. The low reached around the 24th could be identified as a Selling Climax (SC) or a significant low. The subsequent rally to near the 25th then established an Automatic Rally (AR), defining the upper boundary of the initial trading range. A following decline that tested the SC zone, around the 25th, would constitute a Secondary Test (ST). Following this, the price entered Phase B, the "building of the cause," where the "Composite Man" is presumed to be accumulating. From the ST on the 25th until near the 26th, the price moved laterally, repeatedly testing the support and resistance levels established by the SC and AR, with supports around $107K-$107K and resistance evolving from $109K towards $109-$110K The low on the 26th, reaching near $107K, is particularly noteworthy and could be interpreted as a Spring or an ST in Phase C, effectively a shakeout below prior support. If this low on the 26th is indeed a Spring, then Phase C, the test, is confirmed by the immediate subsequent rally that did not retest this low with any significant force, indicating a lack of supply. This leads us into Phase D, characterized by a developing uptrend within the range and the potential for a breakout. The ascent starting late on the 26th and continuing to the current moment displays clear Signs of Strength (SOS). The price has broken through internal resistance levels within the range and is now challenging the upper boundary of the broader trading range, near $110K. Currently, the price at $109K is situated at a critical resistance zone, which notably coincides with the Point of Control (POC) indicated by the volume profile. Volume Behavior Analysis: The behavior of volume provides further context. During Phase A, volume at the SC, while not climactic, was significant compared to its immediate surroundings, and the volume on the AR was moderate. Crucially, volume during the ST on the 25th was markedly lower than at the SC, a positive sign for accumulation, suggesting diminishing selling pressure. Throughout Phase B, volume was somewhat erratic but generally decreased on successful tests of support. Some volume spikes were observed on upward movements testing resistance, indicating absorption of supply. The volume on the potential Spring on the 26th was moderate, which is acceptable if followed by a swift recovery on low-volume retests. In Phase D, the rally from late on the 26th has been accompanied by an increase in volume on bullish candles, especially during the breakout of internal resistance levels, supporting the SOS and indicating demand taking control. Current volume, as the price consolidates at the highs, is moderate. RSI Behavior Analysis: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) offers additional insights. A clear bullish divergence is evident when comparing the price low of the 25th with the low of the 26th; while the price made an equal or slightly lower low, the RSI formed a distinctly higher low. This classic signal supports the interpretation of a Spring or a final test of supply. During the accumulation phase, the RSI mostly oscillated below the 50-60 levels. With the onset of Phase D and the SOS, the RSI has crossed above and is maintaining itself above 50 (currently at 58.27), indicating a shift towards bullish momentum. It is not yet in overbought territory (above 70), suggesting potential for further upside if demand persists. The volume profile on the right shows the POC, the area of highest traded volume, situated precisely where the price is currently, around $109,7K - $109,8K. This area acts as a strong magnet and a significant potential resistance or support. Below this, a High Volume Node (HVN) around $108K could serve as strong support on pullbacks. Above the current POC, a Low Volume Node (LVN) exists before another minor HVN near $111K; LVNs are often traversed quickly if the price can overcome the current HVN. Relevant Points to Consider for the Next 24 Hours: Looking ahead for the next 24 hours, several key elements will be crucial. The immediate focus is on the price's ability to break and sustain above the current resistance and POC zone of $109,7K - $110K USDT. A confirmed breakout above $110K USDT, ideally accompanied by increasing volume, would validate the SOS and signal entry into Phase E, a markup phase, with potential targets around $110,5K and then the HVN near $111K. A pullback to this breakout zone that holds as support, forming a Last Point of Support (LPS), would be a strong bullish indication. Conversely, a failure to overcome this zone, especially with increasing selling volume, could lead to a retracement to test lower supports, initially around $109K-$109,2K, and then potentially the HVN at $108K. Volume during any breakout or rejection will be paramount; a low-volume breakout would be suspect (a potential Upthrust), while increased volume on a breakout would be confirmatory. For the RSI, if new price highs above $110K are achieved, it will be important to see if the RSI confirms with new highs or forms a bearish divergence, which could warn of short-term bullish exhaustion. Sustaining above RSI 50 is positive. From a Wyckoff perspective, if this is indeed Phase D, "Backups" or LPS testing the breakout area are normal. However, a failure of the structure, such as a decisive break below the Spring level (e.g., below 106,800), would invalidate the accumulation scenario and suggest either redistribution or a continuation of the prior downtrend.
by hiraganime
CHAMBLFERT - Chambal Fertilizers Ltd. (Daily chart, NSE) - LongCHAMBLFERT - Chambal Fertilizers Ltd. (Daily chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term swing research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 3.41 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 594 Entry limit ~ 592 on May 27, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 610 (+3.04%; +18 points) 2.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~ 625 (+5.57%; +33 points) 3.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~ 650 (+9.80%; +58 points) Stop order limit ~ 575 (-2.87%; -17 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:CHAMBLFERTLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
BTCUSDT 26/05/2025: Overall Price Structure and Wyckoff PhasesPrice Action Analysis: Observing the price action from May 23rd to May 26th, the chart suggests the development of a Wyckoff accumulation schematic. The initial phase, Phase A, marked the stopping of the previous downtrend. This began with a Selling Climax (SC), where price bottomed near the $107,3K level due to panic selling being absorbed by larger interests. This was followed by an Automatic Rally (AR) to approximately $110K, which established the upper boundary of the subsequent trading range. Subsequent declines, like those served as Secondary Tests (STs) of the SC area. Phase B represented the "building of the cause," where the "Composite Operator" accumulated positions. This phase extended from the AR, with price trading largely sideways between roughly $107K and $109,8K. The Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR) highlights a significant Point of Control (POC) near $107,3K during this period, indicating substantial trading activity and value acceptance in the lower part of this range. Phase C involved a critical test of supply. The dip observed around towards the $106,8K level, testing the SC/ST lows, can be interpreted as a Spring. This maneuver is designed to mislead uninformed traders and assess remaining supply, with price quickly recovering above the range's support. Following the test, Phase D began, signifying the trend emerging out of the range and its confirmation. A clear Sign of Strength (SOS) occurred with the strong rally. This move decisively broke above the Phase B trading range resistance ($109,8K) and reached approximately $110,4K, indicating that demand had overcome supply. Currently, the price action on May 26th, consolidating above the broken resistance (now support) around the $109,6K-$109,9K area, is characteristic of a Last Point of Support (LPS) or a Back-Up (BU) to the "creek." This area also aligns with a new prominent POC on the VPVR, suggesting it's a new level of value acceptance. Volume Behavior Analysis: Volume patterns have closely supported the Wyckoff schematic. The Selling Climax on May 23rd was accompanied by a distinct volume spike, indicative of a significant transfer of shares. Volume during the subsequent Automatic Rally and Secondary Tests was generally lower, signaling diminishing selling pressure. The Spring on May 25th showed notable volume, suggesting a final cleanout of supply, but the ensuing rally demonstrated demand's ability to absorb this. Critically, the Sign of Strength breakout rally on May 25th occurred with a significant increase in volume, validating the upward thrust. During the current LPS/BU consolidation, volume has generally decreased, which is a constructive sign, suggesting light selling pressure as the new support level is tested. RSI Behavior Analysis: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also provided confirming signals. During the Selling Climax, the RSI likely dipped into oversold territory (below 30). Throughout Phase B, it oscillated primarily in the neutral zone, reflecting the range-bound price action, and may have formed bullish divergences. The Spring might have seen the RSI briefly dip or form another bullish divergence. Importantly, during the Sign of Strength, the RSI surged upwards with the price, likely approaching or entering overbought territory (above 70), confirming strong bullish momentum. In the current LPS/BU phase, the RSI has pulled back from its highs and is now around 46.58, a neutral reading. This cooldown is typical after an impulsive move and provides room for a potential next leg up. Primary Trend, Signs of Strength, and Weakness: The trend prior to May 23rd was likely bearish. However, the successful development of the Wyckoff accumulation structure and the subsequent SOS indicate that the emerging primary trend is now considered bullish for the short to medium term. Signs of strength for this new bullish trend include the completed accumulation schematic, the decisive SOS breakout with increased volume, the price holding above the broken resistance (now support) during the LPS/BU phase (around $109,6K-$109,8K), diminishing volume on the pullback, and the RSI cooling off to neutral. The new POC forming at the LPS/BU level further reinforces this area as a value zone. Signs of weakness to watch for would include the price failing to hold the current LPS/BU support, a significant increase in selling volume on rally attempts, the price falling back into the previous trading range, or the RSI breaking down or forming significant bearish divergences. Relevant Points to Consider for the Next 24 Hours: Over the next 24 hours, the price action around the key support zone of $109,5K to $109,9K (LPS/BU) will be critical. Holding above this, especially with low volume on any dips, would signal continued strength. Volume confirmation is essential: any attempt to rally from the current consolidation and break the recent high around $110,4K should be accompanied by an increase in volume. The RSI should ideally confirm new price highs or hold above 40-50 on tests of support. The immediate resistance is the recent high around $110,4K. A sustained break above this with good volume would signal the continuation of the markup phase. Should the current LPS/BU fail, the next significant support to watch would be the $107K - $107,3K zone. The market is in a post-SOS consolidation, and the immediate future will determine if the markup resumes or if further testing is needed.
by hiraganime
USD/CAD - continues the downtrendOn USD/CAD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 1.37540 and 1.38150 . It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. Strong S/R zone from the past and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go short on this trade. Happy trading, Dale
by Trader_Dale
1
GBP/USD - Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn GBP/USD , it's nice to see a strong buying reaction at the price of 1.35000. There's a significant accumulation of contracts in this area, indicating strong buyer interest. I believe that buyers who entered at this level will defend their long positions. If the price returns to this area, strong buyers will likely push the market up again. Uptrend and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading Dale
by Trader_Dale