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Microsoft. There is still potential for the price to decline.Hello traders and investors! Let's take a look at the situation with Microsoft stocks. I believe there is still potential for the price to decline. Weekly Timeframe On the weekly TF, there is an attempt to reverse the long trend. The first seller's impulse has been formed. The level of the last buyer’s impulse start is 445.66, and the level of the last seller’s impulse start is 468.35. The end of the last seller's impulse is at 385.58. Key candle in the seller's impulse is from July 24 (largest volume in the impulse, marked as "KC" on the chart). It was tested by the buyer on August 19. The test level is 426.70. The buyer missed the 50% level of the seller's impulse (426.97) by 27 cents. Then, the buyer attacked the test level with two candles on increased volume, bringing the price above the 50% level, but the seller pushed the price back below the test level (426.70), forming a seller's zone above (red rectangle on the chart). Further price decline is likely, with the first target at 400.8, which is the start of the last buyer's sub-impulse on the weekly TF. Daily Timeframe On the daily TF, there’s a sideways range (formed on August 22, with point 4). The upper boundary is 432.15, and the lower boundary is 385.58. The relevant seller's vector is 6-7, with the first potential target being 400.8 (then 385.58). The buyer's vector 5-6 broke above the upper boundary of the range, gathered volume, and the seller returned the price to the range, forming a seller's zone at the upper boundary. This zone was tested on September 26, after which the seller's continuation began. The buyer attempted a recovery on September 30 with increased volume but failed to deliver results. Yesterday, the seller engulfed the buyer's candle. Highlights On both the weekly and daily TFs, the priority is to look for selling opportunities. The last daily candle has increased volume, making it a good point to start looking for sell opportunities. On the daily TF, possible threats to short positions include the 50% level of the last buyer's impulse at 413.72 and the buyer's zone with an upper boundary at 410.65 (green rectangle on the chart). It makes sense to consider buying opportunities when the buyer shows strength, for example, when interacting with the levels of 400 or 385 and defending them. How to decode candle volumes is explained here Good luck with your trading and investments!
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by AlexeyWolf
Put Your Speculators On!This head and shoulders pattern could be just pure speculation at this point. In fact, let me reword that.. this IS speculation based on the fact that I missed the lows and psychologically, I'm really hoping this comes back to shore so I can get back on the boat with everyone else. I do however do my technical analysis in advance and set alerts at levels like you should do and if it plays out then great if not there's always the opposite idea too. We move onto the next one. For now though what I'm looking at is BITGET:ADAUSDT.P has closed the daily candle back inside the value area high ( VAH ) of the range they just left. I am now in a waiting game to see what happens with the second candle close but we just had a 7.5% drop from that value area high (white dots) and the weekly level. The purple line is the previous Monthly VWAP (volume weighted average price) which when you go down to a lower timeframe it's actually touched (Just doesn't look like that here). The yellow line is the previous Weekly VWAP which we had confluence with at the weekly level and the value area high and also back tested a couple of hours ago. The blue bars are to show the 21% from the top of the head down to the neck of the head and shoulders pattern and then a repeated 21% from the neck to complete the pattern right into a point of control ( POC ) from a very high timeframe, I'm talking years. If we start to lose some levels here like $0.35ish and back test it, I'll probably just wait to lose the POC and then see if we get the drop down into that area of confluence below at around $0.26. I'm far too broke to be gambling so I'd rather wait and reward myself with a little bit of patience, who knows, it could just happen quickly but “Uptober” isn’t starting off that well so far. I won't be looking for any long trades unless we can reclaim that weekly level and value area high. Targets would be the weekly level above with confluence from the high timeframe value area high and anchored VWAP from the all-time high (Green line). This is not financial advice. This is just an idea and some slight education to put out there for anybody that's feeling a little bit lost about what they're seeing on the charts.
Long
by turnandshoot
NOCHILL v2 or The Chill is over [MEMECOIN on AVAX]God it's been a while since I've posted here for the last time. Real life is real. Inner work needs some time (the whole lifespan to be fair). But you're here probably not to read some stories and the life lessons (If you are - tell me though), so! Bought several Memecoins on AVAX on 1st Jan and forgot. Forgot so much that missed my 100x. Well, anyways. It's on the breakout now after falling down and i think we might go at least to TP1 and all the way to 0,5 Fib (If it will go higher, I'll update). On top of that, the volume seems to break out too: Not the fin advice, just my thoughts. Ngl wanted to post this thread when it was around .0044 but still wasn't sure. Now it seems more then real that we're gonna see the next leap. Thanx! A_Vision
Long
by A_I_Vision
Key Support / Resistance Breakout - Swing TradeDisclaimer: I am not a Sebi registered adviser. This Idea is publish purely for educational purpose only before investing in any stocks please take advise from your financial adviser. Key Support & Resistance Breakout. Stock has give Breakout of Resistance level. Keep in watch list. Buy above the high. Suitable for Swing Trade. Stop loss & Target Shown on Chart. Be Discipline because discipline is the Key to Success in the STOCK Market. Trade What you see not what you Think. Penny Stocks are easy to manipulate please check the fundamentals of Company before Investing
NSE:VISHWARAJ
by AnsariTV
XAUUSD 4H Buy LongXAUUSD 4H Buy Long Reason for Going Long :Golden Ratio 0.618+AB=1.414CD+Volume Distribution+FVG=Going Long. The entry level is around $2600 per ounce,and the stop loss level is set at $2591 per ounce. The first target is around $2655 per ounce,halving the position and pushing for protection. The second target level is around $2686 per ounce,then reduce the position by half and push for protection. The third target is around $2750 per ounce,and then reduce the position by half to promote protection. Follow the tail position and reduce the position for protection.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jasmine-Flower
NVDA breaks below with mixed feelingsNVDA very recently breaks below its upward trend, but other factors make its break below uncertain. Volume has been decreasing since its selloff at the peak of the 26th indicating disagreement RSI has been holding flat at the 50 line instead breaking below MACD also has not been moving into bearish zone just yet. The break below is of concern, but so far we are not seeing signs that this will trigger a violent sell off yet. The sell off maybe more muted before turning around back into another rally again.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by ratchet-mint
Continued fall of the dollar index DXY. H4 30.09.2024Continued fall of the dollar index DXY The dollar index is moving downwards without changes. There was an attempt to trade, above which it was not allowed to consolidate and eventually fell. I showed this in the last analysis and now I am aiming at the support levels around 99.20. Perhaps they will just make a false update of the low and come back, it is not known in advance, but at the moment we are trading near the visible support and so far without an upward reaction. Therefore, 99.20 is the next strongest level in recent years and it is ideal to test it before a reversal. TVC:DXY
TVC:DXYShort
by KovachTrader
Stellar (XLM) vs. Tether (USDT) Daily Chart Analysis In today’s analysis, we delve into the daily chart of Stellar (XLM) against Tether (USDT). This chart provides a comprehensive view of the current market dynamics and potential future movements of XLM/USDT, which is crucial for traders and investors in the cryptocurrency market. Key Observations Trend Lines and Breakouts: The chart shows that XLM/USDT has recently broken out of a descending trend line, indicating a potential shift from a bearish to a bullish trend. Currently, the price is testing an ascending trend line as support, which is a positive sign for further upward movement. Support and Resistance Levels: A yellow box above the current price level marks a potential resistance area or profit target. This suggests that if the price continues to rise, it may face selling pressure around this zone. Conversely, a red box below the current price level indicates a possible support area or stop-loss zone. This level is crucial for traders to watch, as a break below this could signal further downside. Indicators: MACD on OBV (On-Balance Volume): The MACD applied on the OBV indicator is showing bullish momentum, with the MACD line above the signal line. This supports the potential for further upward movement. Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario: If XLM/USDT continues to hold above the ascending trend line and breaks through the resistance marked by the yellow box, we could see a significant rally. Traders should look for confirmation from the MACD on OBV and RSI indicators to support this move. Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold the ascending trend line and breaks below the support marked by the red box, it could lead to further downside. In this case, traders should be cautious and consider setting stop-loss orders to manage risk. Conclusion The XLM/USDT daily chart presents a promising outlook for Stellar, with key technical indicators and trend lines suggesting potential upward movement. However, traders should remain vigilant and watch for confirmation from support and resistance levels, as well as the MACD on OBV. By staying informed and prepared, traders can make more strategic decisions in the ever-volatile cryptocurrency market.
Long
by stocktechbot
USD/JPY Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileOn USD/JPY it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 146.12. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. The downtrend combined with the strong volume area, along with the presence of a fair volume gap and a strong rejection of higher prices, are my main reasons for this short trade. Happy trading, Dale
by Trader_Dale
Crude Oil continues the downtrendOn Crude Oil , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 69.660. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated. I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again. The S/R zone from the past and high volume cluster are the main reasons for my decision to go long on this trade. Happy trading, Dale
FX:USOIL
by Trader_Dale
Analysis of the Bitcoin on a 1-day timePrice Level: Bitcoin is trading around $64,960 at the time the chart was taken, showing a decline of about 1.82%. SMA 200: The blue line represents the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is a widely used indicator to assess the overall market trend. The SMA is currently positioned around $63,712, which is slightly below the current price. This suggests that BTC is still maintaining a bullish trend since it's trading above the long-term moving average. Price Channel: Descending Channel: The yellow channel on the right side of the chart highlights a bearish flag or descending channel pattern. Prices are oscillating between the upper and lower boundaries of this channel, with multiple rejections at both ends. The top boundary of the channel has consistently acted as resistance, preventing any breakout above the $65,000 range. The bottom boundary acts as support, protecting prices from falling too far below the $60,000-$62,000 region. This indicates consolidation within this bearish pattern, and the upcoming moves will depend on whether the price breaks out of this channel to the upside or downside. Support and Resistance Levels: Horizontal Support at $56,487: There’s a clear support level around the $56,487 mark, as indicated by the horizontal blue line. This level has previously acted as a point of reversal for Bitcoin, suggesting that if the price were to break below the current channel, the $56,487 area could provide a strong support zone. Trendline Support: A long-term ascending trendline is drawn in white, starting from the lows around mid-2022. This rising trendline suggests a higher-low structure and could serve as a dynamic support level. If the price falls below the horizontal support around $56,487, the next major support could be found along this upward trendline, which intersects around the mid-$50,000 range. Moving Averages: 200-day SMA Positioning: The fact that BTC remains above the 200-day SMA signals a continuation of the broader bull market. However, a decline toward this moving average (around $63,712) might indicate a retracement or consolidation before a potential upward move. Recent Price Action: Short-Term Bearish Sentiment: The price is still trading within a descending channel, and without a confirmed breakout above this channel, the overall sentiment for the short-term remains bearish. Watch these channels closely for breakouts. A break above the channel’s top boundary would likely signal a bullish continuation toward higher levels (e.g., $70,000+). A break below the channel could lead to a significant drop, potentially testing the $56,487 level or the ascending trendline support. Volume and Market Sentiment: Volume Decline: The declining volume in the recent days suggests that the price movements within the channel lack strong momentum. This is often a signal that a bigger move is about to happen, either a breakout or breakdown from the current consolidation pattern. Long-Term Trend: Bullish Longer-Term Outlook: While the short-term pattern suggests consolidation and possible downside risk, the larger trend since mid-2023 remains bullish as indicated by the overall higher lows. The presence of the ascending trendline offers confidence that any near-term corrections might be temporary unless we see a breakdown below the major support zones. Conclusion: Immediate Range: The price is currently at a critical point in the descending channel around $65,000. Watch for a breakout above this channel for further bullish confirmation. If the price breaks above $65,000 convincingly, a new bullish wave could take Bitcoin towards new highs. A break below the channel, especially if combined with a move below $60,000, might lead to a deeper correction toward $56,487 or even lower toward the ascending trendline. Overall, while there is potential for both upside and downside in the short-term, the long-term outlook remains bullish, with strong support levels below that could offer buying opportunities if the price retraces further.
GEMINI:BTCUSD
by Stoxello
1
Weekly Forecast - Dollar Sell-off Looks AttractiveWhile price has been largely corrective on the dollar, price continues to trade lower in that corrective manner so instead of anticipating the deeper correction (which will come sooner or later), We should focus on what price is doing right now and trade accordingly. GBPJPY & USDJPY both had aggressive sell-off's out of key daily areas last week, which makes achieving the daily downside targets highly probable. I'll be monitoring the current correction on both these pairs for continuation lower. EURUSD & AUDUSD are both not on watch due to daily upside targets being achieved and no longer trading within a daily range as per my plan so I'll be risk off on these until the respective 4H structure's shift to the downside and a counter-trend is established towards fresh 1D EPD. Further upside appreciation can be expected on both these pairs in line with the DXY bias.
Long
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
LOOKS token to print a 10,000% move?On the above 4-day chart price action has corrected 99% since January 2022. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including. 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. 2) Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action. The higher the time frame you go the stronger the divergence. 3) While the market has been in full panic mode volume has only increased on this token. I don’t know why. Every sell off is met with a large volume increase. 4) Not listed on major exchanges. Get in before crowd. 5) The falling wedge forecast. The forecast is measured from the highest to the lowest touch points. (Red circles). This is how a target from a wedge is forecast. Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: <=6% Timeframe for long: Yesterday Return: 100x
Long
by without_worries
50
Technical Analysis on JD.comJD.com has experienced a strong bearish trend since February 2021, reaching its lowest point in 2024, near the support area of $20, with an overall loss of about 80% of its value. By conducting a volume analysis using the Volume Profile of the entire history, we can see that JD.com was recently rejected from a significant support level, POC 1, around the $25 price zone, also breaking the descending trendline. This provides a strong signal for a potential reversal. In a short time, the stock has reached another important volumetric area, POC 2, which could act as the first resistance level. At this point, we might observe the first reaction of price rejection. Considering the broader momentum, particularly the economic situation in China, the stock may quickly overcome this resistance. If JD.com moves above POC 2, it would likely face few obstacles in reaching the next resistance level (R1) just below $70, given the low trading volume in this price range.
NASDAQ:JD
by Giovanni_Bandini
2
AUDUSD. Medium and short term analysisHello traders and investors! The price reached the target of the forecast from April. Some medium-term forecasts take a long time to come to fruition. It creates the impression that medium-term forecasts always come true. You can use the following criterion to consider a forecast fulfilled: ensure that the price does not break the last local extreme before reaching the target. If this condition is met, the forecast can be considered successfully realized. In the April forecast, the last local extreme is point 5 of the sideways range (0.62701). Weekly Timeframe Analysis Let me remind you that on the weekly timeframe (TF), a sideways range has been forming since January 2023 (point 4). The lower boundary is 0.61699, and the upper boundary is 0.71577. Formally, the buyer has reached the target of the 5-6 vector (0.69205), and there are no signs of reversal yet. The last two weekly candles show increased volume, with small buying wicks. However, the price is currently in the seller's contextual area (the upper range of the weekly TF sideways movement), but the seller is not utilizing this volume yet. Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily TF, a sideways range has been forming since August 24 (point 4). The lower boundary is 0.63478, and the upper boundary is 0.67985. The buyer's 4-5 vector has broken through the upper boundary of the range. For three days, the price has been unable to break through the level marking the start of the last seller's sub-impulse on the weekly TF (0.68996). Below, the buyer is defending the breakout of the last sub-impulse seller level on the daily TF (0.68239). For the last two days, the buyer has applied increased volume with no result. On the other hand, the price is in the seller’s contextual area (the upper range of the weekly TF sideways movement), so the seller should be evaluated first—and so far, the seller is absent. Highlight: • There are no signs of the seller on either the weekly or daily TFs to justify looking for mid-term sales. A sign of the seller could be a return of the price to the daily TF sideways range and the seller defending that return. • There is no context for mid-term buys, as the price is in the upper part of the weekly TF range (a seller's contextual area). 2H Timeframe Analysis For short-term buys or sells, you can use, for example, the 2-hour TF. On this TF, there is a sideways range, with the seller’s 7-8 vector being active and the potential target at 0.68179. The seller has returned the price to the range (below 0.69081), forming a seller’s zone above (marked by a red rectangle on the chart). Sales can be considered. When selling, monitor the price's movement around 0.6868 and 0.68625. Purchases can be considered from the lower boundary of the range (0.68144) if the buyer defends it. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf