SPY breaks key resistance with momentumAfter the cpi report SPY went from selling off dramatically in the morning to turning around rallying with strong momentum and volume.
CPI report brought a lot of volatility to the market today
SPY started selling then turned around quickly to break resistance
We note the increasing volume as the rally continues
The final period did end with rather undecided candle giving a sense of pause to direction it may go tomorrow
The strong volume on final period does indicate price exhaustion, we may experience pull back tomorrow.
Multiple down beaten stocks from previous sell off trend are now experiencing a massive rally breaking their trend and reversing to the upside.
Volume
Beginning of AUDUSD workout. H4 03.09.2024Beginning of AUDUSD workout
Yesterday in the closed channel I recommended subscribers
to look for sales of the Australian dollar from the strong zone
0.6790-0.6816 with the perspective of corrective
fall to 0.6640+-
The price gave a reaction in the morning and I believe that
the push down will continue. It remains to cover a major
growth candle and then I will increase sales.
It is also desirable that the cumulative starts
to grow on the fall, they often get after that.
Already right now, even at 0.1 lot almost returned
the cost of a monthly subscription
Technical Analysis of Kotak Mahindra Bank (KOTAKBANK.NS)Overview
The chart for Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited (KOTAKBANK.NS) shows a detailed technical analysis using a linear regression channel, volume indicators, and a trendline. This analysis aims to predict potential price movements based on historical data and current market conditions.
Linear Regression Channel
The linear regression channel plotted on the chart is a key indicator of the stock's trend direction and volatility. The channel is currently narrowing, which typically suggests a period of consolidation. This narrowing is happening alongside an increase in trading volume, indicating that market participants are actively trading within this range.
Volume Analysis
Volume is a crucial indicator in technical analysis as it provides insight into the strength of a price movement. In this chart, the increasing volume while the linear regression channel narrows suggests that there is significant interest in the stock at its current price levels. This could be a precursor to a breakout, as higher volume often leads to more substantial price movements.
Trendline Resistance
A trendline has been drawn based on the last three months of price data, acting as a strong resistance level. This trendline has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its significance. If the price breaks above this trendline, it could signal a bullish breakout, providing a lucrative trading opportunity.
Revenue and Market Sentiment
The recent improvements in revenue for Kotak Mahindra Bank add a fundamental layer to this technical analysis. Positive financial performance can boost investor confidence, potentially leading to increased buying pressure. Combined with the technical indicators, this suggests that the stock is poised for a potential upward movement.
Conclusion
In summary, the technical analysis of Kotak Mahindra Bank's stock indicates a potential breakout scenario. The narrowing linear regression channel, increasing volume, and strong trendline resistance all point towards a significant price movement. Traders should monitor this stock closely and be prepared to act if the price breaks above the resistance trendline.
NVDA - Swing Trade Idea NVIDIA (NVDA) is gradually recovering after the recent sharp sell-off. We saw a structural shift with the recapture of the X-POC (Xtructure Changing Starting Point) around $102.50, where buyers stepped in, forming a high-volume node (HVN).
Following the X-POC recovery, NVDA gapped up, closing above this level and establishing a new point of control (POC) with significant volume at $105.
Today, NVDA opened strong but, as anticipated, encountered resistance just before the N-POC at $110.61. Bears took control, driving the price back down to the previous day’s POC at $105.
The key for the rest of the day is maintaining a close above $105. Ideally, closing above $107.10 (today’s POC) would strengthen the bullish case. However, if we see further declines, the critical support remains at the $102.50 X-POC.
Looking ahead, tomorrow's CPI report will likely set the tone for the FOMC meeting next Wednesday, potentially clearing the path for a return to all-time highs. For now, bulls need to break through the $110.61 N-POC and hold above it. If achieved, we could see rapid movement towards the $118 POC, with resistance expected before reaching the final target at the $126 N-POC.
0.55 Fibonacci retracement Good volume build up in daily time.
Expecting good volume build in weekly time, if that didn't happens then setup fails.
Price taking support form 0.55 Fibonacci retracement. Wait for weekly conformation.
Fundamentals are good.
FII stakes are up.
NOTE: I do my analysis, do yours before trade.
FTM Balanced Up As you can see FTM respects a lot the Composite Market Profile Value Areas.
It broke into from below, retested, then traversed to the upper side, on three lower composites.
I was scouting price under the wick (first RR tool on chart) for a quick SFP liquidity grab, but it didn't gave me that opportunity.
Another lower RR opportunity would be at the retest of the Range VAL (pink arrow), with a target at about $0.507 at the naked time POC & vol POC.
BTCUSDT. Buying opportunitiesHello traders and investors!
For a month, I followed the previous analysis. Now, I’ve decided to create a new one. Let me remind you of the setup.
Quotes:
On the 8-hour time frame, a sideways range has also formed. The lower boundary is at 53,485, and the upper boundary is at 71,997.
On the 2-hour timeframe, the seller's vector 8-9 has reached the target of 56078. The volume and delta are conducive to gathering stop losses below the level. The quick recovery by the buyer after the breakout and the candle closing above 56078 increase the likelihood of the price dropping below the local low of 55606. For the buyer's range vector 9-10 to play out (with a potential target of 62745), it would be prudent to accumulate volume and push the price below the local low of 55606.
In fact, the price followed the assumptions. What’s next?
On the daily and 8-hour timeframes, the buyer absorbed the seller's candle and formed a buyer's zone. At the same time, on the 8-hour timeframe, the seller touched the lower boundary of the range at 53,485, from where the buyer resumed.
On the 2-hour timeframe, the seller manipulated the level of the beginning of the buyer's last impulse (56,078) at point 7 of the range. The price is currently above this level.
All these factors favor searching for buy opportunities.
I f the buyer defends 56,078 , potential targets are
58,519, 59,005, and 62,745, 65000 on the 2-hour timeframe,
61,166, 62,198, and 70,079 on the 8-hour timeframe,
and 61,166, 62,745, 70,079, and 72,797 on the daily timeframe.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
ONDO Potential Upside Market Profile Traversal
Potential Setup:
ONDO finds itself under a 3 day market profile composite (formed by 28-30 Aug).
If price can find acceptance above $0.64 CVAL (composite value area low) either by breaking it convincingly OR by spending enough time above it, we may end up with a full composite traversal to the upside CVAH at $0.67.
Overall Bias:
The high time frame bias is bearish, but that won't affect this small trade. The mid time frame will flip bullish with the mentioned acceptance. And the short term bias is currently bullish.
Structure:
Market Structure is good. We are currently breaking (to the upside) and retesting the value area high of another 3 day composite.
Waiting for USDCHF to rise. H4 10.09.2024Waiting for USDCHF to rise
The franc got a beautiful culmination on Friday with a false takeout of the support level around 0.84. The price gave an upward reaction and overlapped the culmination candle. Usually in such cases make an internal pullback and upside as shown in the scheme. We bought in a private channel at 0.8410 and also wrote about it immediately, as I bought it myself. According to the options, we will continue to grow to the area of 0.8750 with intermediate fixation near 0.8600. On options, we are still in a strong oversold zone, so the upside potential on the near-term contracts is pretty good as well.
NVDA showing signs of a reversalNVDA broke under neath major support level friday over fears of recession looming then reversed course Monday.
breaks through downward resistance trend
breaks back above major long term support
RSI shows strong turn around
One down side is volume is slightly decreasing during the turn around. Not a clincher, just noting it.
We are now seeing a number of good signals that NVDA is reversing course and getting ready for a turn around.
Technical Analysis of Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI)Upon analyzing the stock SMCI , we observe a significant turning point starting in 2022, following a long period of sideways movement where the stock struggled to break above the $40 level.
After this prolonged sideways phase, the stock broke out with a clear upward trend, highlighted by the ascending trendline (green), characterized by higher highs and higher lows.
Following a year of gains, the stock entered a consolidation phase but then broke out again to the upside with strength, accompanied by a substantial increase in volume.
After reaching a peak in March 2024, the stock began a downward phase that is still ongoing.
Potential long entry points, where the stock might bounce or change trend direction, are found in the following two support areas:
Support area S1;
The POC 1 area.
If the stock begins to rally again, it will be crucial to monitor its behavior as it approaches the descending trendline (green), which could serve as a more conservative initial target.
More ambitious targets are POC 2 and resistance R1, both within a price range of $900 to $1,000.
Working off the rise in the dollar index DXY. H4 09.09.2024Working off the rise in the dollar index DXY
Last week I expected the dollar index to rise to the area of 102 and higher. We made a pullback on it, but the depth of the correction was bigger than initially expected, but it did not affect the result. Now they are making a rebound to 102, but then might correction around 102.30. On Thursday we will know the US inflation for August and the unemployment rate on Friday. On this news the main movements on the dollar will be made.
My expectations vs the possibilitiesThe long that was taken has played out well. And the short are tucked out. This does not mean that the short was a bad trade. But that we have broken a level. We have now gained and retested the level that Bitcoin has brought down.
Unfortunately, the breakout has already happened
AUD/USD continues the downtrendOn AUD/USD , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 0.67300. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
The downtrend combined with the strong volume area are my main reasons for this short trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
ES (S&P 500 Futures) Day Trading analysisOn ES (S&P 500 Futures) , it's nice to see a strong sell-off from the price of 5509. It's also encouraging to observe a strong volume area where a lot of contracts are accumulated.
I believe that sellers from this area will defend their short positions. When the price returns to this area, strong sellers will push the market down again.
The downtrend combined with the strong volume area along with the strong S/R area from the past are my main reasons for this short trade.
Happy trading,
Dale
My expectations vs the possibilitiesAfter a trade that didnt fill. Im looking for a long and short.
Ive changed my levels.
And again im going to take a long on the level that brought us down with the new informatie that the price is giving me.
A short on the recistance we need to break before we can go up again.
I leave it to the market to determine what the price will do.