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WTI: downside potentialHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Weekly timeframe A buyer initiative is tentatively developing, yet the strongest buyer candle (highest volume) produced no follow-through. It was followed by two buyer candles on weak volume. Last week volume expanded again and clustered around 69.975, showing that sellers are still defending this level. Weekly seller targets: 65.628 and 64.378. Daily timeframe Sellers remain in control. The chart clearly shows volume manipulation around 69.975. Daily seller targets: 65.628 and 64.736. Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf
BTC Forecast For August & September. The Only Roadmap You Need !This is one is so obvious, its a no brainer , and would likely be very easy to trade as long as you follow this road map i have provided. The Value Area High at 110k price range is most important upcoming battle line between bull vs bear. If bulls fail to get a strong bounce from 110k and we close at least 2 daily candles below it. Then it would mean bears have full control and the implication of that is that since we would at that point be closing back inside an established Value Area range, formed between Nov 20th to Jul 25th, then it would mean the probability of price selling all the way down to re-test the VAL (value area low) at $91.6k would instantly become very very high. After re-testing $91.6k we'll watch and see what happens. It'll either hold after grabbing some liquidity below and stay in the Value Area Range until further notice Or we lose it and the sell off continues. Bear market will be in full swing if that happens and you can bet a ton of weak hands will start to exit due to max pain & cascading long liquidations. Fear index will be back in the red at that point as capitulation starts to set in. Alot of new alts and meme coins will be completely obliterated. Bullish Continuation Scenario If bulls get a strong bounce from 110k and don't close back inside the Value Area Range below, then we could continue up to a make a new ATH for a classic trend pullback continuation trade. Once we get back above 115.4k, the dream of a new ATH will become much more realistic. There is an UFA(Unfinished Auction) at 120.8k which is only visible to traders using the market profile or footprint chart. This make poor high and needs to be taking out at some point. For the Price target to the upside, we would be using the peak formation line of the ExoFade indicator.
by ExoProtocol
1
EURUSD. Weekly and Daily AnalysisHi traders and investors! This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Weekly TF Price has tapped the 50 % level of the last buyer initiative at 1.14477 and run a manipulation around 1.15569. Daily TF We’ve seen a manipulation of the lower boundary of the buyer initiative, and an IKC candle has printed. Buyer targets on the daily chart: 1.17110, 1.17888, 1.18299. Before aiming for those, buyers first need to clear the potential sell zones at 1.15994 and 1.16108. Conservative long setup: Wait for buyers to defend 1.15994 (or a higher level). Alternatively, watch the 1-hour support at 1.15165; if buyers hold it, there’s scope for a move toward 1.15994 — and potentially higher after that. Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
Aussie Shorts Looks Promising This is a pullback trend trade anticipating trend continuation. Entry is based on LVN (low volume node) for entry. Also looking on the footprint chart there is a high volume node with -ve delta that was traded at 0.64715. If the sellers return to defend that price then this pullback should give some strong rejection once we pierce the entry zone and send bulls packing. TP1 - First swing low TP2 - Value area low of the range, which also is in confluence with the ExoFade peak on the 1HR timeframe. ExoFade peaks always gets taken out in a strong trend, that's why i love using them as price targets for exits. ExoFade is free on Tradingview for those curious about it. Just search for it.
CME:6A1!Short
by ExoProtocol
1
Bitcoin: Expected Cool-Off or Cause for Concern?After rallying more than 25% off the June lows, Bitcoin is finally taking a breather with a much-anticipated pullback. But as expected, the fear meter is spiking, especially across CT. Was this cool-off really a surprise? Not quite. The signs were there: price stalling at upper extremes, responsive sellers stepping in at perceived overextensions, and inefficient zones left behind during sharp impulsive moves. Of course, reading it in real-time is easier said than done. Emotions always complicate execution , but that’s a separate conversation. In this post, let’s break down the current structure in detail —using volume profile, TPO charts, and market structure analysis, to give you a clearer picture of what’s unfolding. We’ll also explore a few scenarios worth watching as the next move shapes up. Let’s dive in! Table of Contents ➺ Volume Profile ➺ TPO ➺ Key Technical Insights ➺ Market Structure ➺ Trade Scenarios and What to Watch ➺ TLDR ⦿ Volume Profile Currently, we’re seeing two key zones of balance : one broad range that held for over 60 days and a tighter 21-day structure that formed at higher levels. These are classic areas of value where buyers and sellers found temporary agreement, establishing balance. The sharp move from ~111,000 to ~122,000 was largely impulsive , with little volume built along the way, suggesting initiative buying in early July. As is often the case with such thin zones, they tend to get revisited once momentum fades. That’s exactly what we’re seeing now. As price dips into this low-volume pocket, the key question is: Will the market accept this zone and begin building value here, or will it reject and bounce back toward higher ground? Looking at the Volume Range Visible Profile (VRVP) since June 7th, the nearby Value Area High (VAH) sits around ~111,000 . If current support doesn’t hold, this becomes the next major volume magnet. That said, there’s also a low-volume node (LVN) just above 111,000 , which could act as a demand pocket and trigger a responsive bounce. In simple terms: – Acceptance into the LVN could lead to new range formation at lower levels – A sharp bounce off ~110,000 might reestablish the prior higher balance, or create a fresh range between the two existing areas The next few sessions will reveal whether the market is hunting for new value or just shaking out weak hands. ⦿ TPO Zooming into the 4H TPO chart, we can clearly see the evolving monthly profiles from May through August. And as is often the case, the market found resistance right where you’d expect: at the extremes. The upper end of July’s profile became a battleground. Buyers attempted multiple pushes above that upper balance, but each effort was consistently faded by responsive sellers , signaling growing exhaustion at the top. Eventually, that pressure gave way to an impulsive breakdown, driven by initiative selling. Notably, price didn’t rotate gently back into the previous range, but it sliced straight into a thin zone of prior low participation. Now, the market is sitting at the low-volume region , and the next key battle is shaping up. Additionally, The 108,000 to 110,000 area carries weight as it served as the Value Area High (VAH) for both the May and June profiles. If buyers are going to respond, this is one of the more likely places for them to step in. ⦿ Key Technical Insights ▸ Failed Acceptance Above 21-Day Balance Repeated attempts to hold above the short-term balance were rejected, signaling buyer fatigue and a lack of conviction at higher levels. ▸ Initiative Sellers Took Control Once demand dried up, sellers stepped in aggressively. The thin participation during the recent rally left little structural support, allowing price to drop quickly. ▸ No Value Built Below Yet The zone currently being tested saw minimal trading earlier. If bulls want to reclaim control, they’ll need to build value here and establish a new base. ▸ Prior Balance High as Potential Support Price is now retesting the top of the 60+ day balance area from above, a classic setup where previous resistance can become support. This area also aligns with a known demand shelf. ▸ Deviation Below the 200 MA Cloud Price has slipped below the 200 MA cloud and is nearing a key flip zone. A test of the 110,000 level next week wouldn’t be surprising. That area could serve as a strong support zone where a new accumulation phase begins. ⦿ Market Structure The broader market structure points to a transition in progress. After spending over two months in balance , price broke out to the upside —only to form another short-lived range at higher levels. That, too, gave way to a swift breakdown. This kind of “failed acceptance at higher prices” is often an early signal that the market may revisit prior zones of interest, typically areas where value was last built. All eyes now shift to the 110,000–111,000 zone , the high of the previous 60-day balance. We’re in a classic test-retest phase, where the market is probing for conviction . These moments often set the stage for the next significant move, either continued distribution lower, or the beginning of a re-accumulation phase. ⦿ Scenarios & What to Watch As Bitcoin pulls back into key structural zones, several scenarios are in play. Here's what to monitor in the coming sessions: Scenario 1: Re-Acceptance into 21-Day Balance ▸ If price reclaims and holds above ~116K, we could see a rotation back toward the upper end of the short-term balance near ~120K. ▸ This would suggest the recent breakdown was a failed auction or bear trap, not the start of a broader trend reversal. ▸ Watch for initiative buying above the demand shelf with follow-through volume. Scenario 2: Choppy Mid-Balance Activity ▸ Price remains range-bound between ~110K and ~116K, forming a new short-term balance zone. ▸ Expect slower movement and back-and-forth behavior as the market decides its next direction. ▸ Patience is key here. Watch volume and initiative behavior to gauge strength. Scenario 3: Rejection and Continuation Lower ▸ If price fails to hold above ~110K, there’s potential for a move down to the POC near ~104K, or even deeper toward ~100K (Value Area Low). ▸ These are low-volume zones, which rarely offer strong support unless new value is built. ▸ This would signal a continuation of the current imbalance and potentially mark a structural trend shift. I’m primarily focused on Scenario 1 and 2 , as we appear to be in a late bull phase. A deeper pullback toward 100K increases the risk of a broader trend change, making it less attractive from a risk/reward standpoint. ⦿ TLDR ▸ Buyers failed to hold the top of the 21-day balance. Clear signs of exhaustion. ▸ Price dropped into a prior low-volume zone, which now acts as potential demand. ▸ This area has never been accepted before - either buyers step in, or we go lower. ▸ Reclaiming ~116K could fuel a move back toward 120K+. ▸ Failure to hold ~110K opens the door to 104K, maybe even 100K. What happens next week will likely set the tone for the next major move. Watch how the market responds to acceptance vs rejection zones, and let price action confirm your bias before you act. If you found this analysis helpful, share it with someone who trades Bitcoin. 🥰 What’s your read on the current structure? Let me know in the comments! 📉 ⚠️ Disclaimer As always, this post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
by johntradingwick
RENDER Spot Re-add PlanAlready holding Render as my biggest spot bag. Just setting clean limit orders to compound on weakness. 📍 Limit Orders (laddered): • 3.45 → Daily FVG top (40%) • 2.95 → Weekly VAL zone (40%) • 2.55 → Deep HTF discount (20%) Long term hold. Pure add-on entries. DISCLAIMER: I am not providing financial advice or investment signals. This post reflects my personal accumulation strategy and is shared solely for documentation purposes. I'm adding to an existing long-term position based on my own analysis and conviction. Sharing this openly helps me stay accountable and focused on my goals. If you choose to act on any of this, it's entirely at your own risk. Always do your own research and make informed decisions based on your situation.
Long
by Trader_Petri
3
Gold’s on a Roller Coaster — and We’re Riding It Down🎢 Gold’s on a Roller Coaster — and We’re Riding It Down 🎢 Gold just snapped up like it saw Trump tweet “TARIFFS ARE BACK” — but the move smells like a knee-jerk algo pump, not real conviction. We just rejected right into a thin-volume imbalance zone and tagged the underside of a long-standing trendline. 📉 Short Setup Locked In: 💥 Entry: 3405 🛑 Stop: 3415 🎯 Target: 3353 💰 R:R ≈ 5:1 🔍 Why I'm In This Trade: That rip? Total headline panic, not structural strength. Low volume shelf above, with a massive POC magnet below at 3353. We tapped the Developing VAH (3414) and got rejected — classic trap setup. SQZMOM showing the energy is already fizzling. Green flash, no follow-through. 🧠 The Narrative: Gold’s trying to price in volatility from every angle — Trump talk, tariffs, macro chaos — but under the hood, this pop looks unsustainable. If this is just a liquidity grab, we could see a flush back into the meat of value fast. Grab your helmets — this roller coaster might just be heading downhill 🎢📉
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
USD/JPYThis is a trade setup for USD/JPY, based on volume and trend analysis. Entry Price: 150.360 Stop-Loss (SL): 150.740 Take-Profit (TP): 149.963 The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, in alignment with both volume behavior and the current trend direction. Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Short
by alisardari
USD/CADThis is a trade setup for USD/CAD, based on volume and trend analysis. Entry Price: 1.38614 Stop-Loss (SL): 1.38514 Take-Profit (TP): 1.38864 The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, in alignment with both volume behavior and the current trend direction. Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by alisardari
NZD/USDThis is a trade setup for NZD/USD, based on volume and trend analysis. Entry Price: 0.58742 Stop-Loss (SL): 0.58892 Take-Profit (TP): 0.58582 The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, in alignment with both volume behavior and the current trend direction. Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Short
by alisardari
AUD/USDThis is a trade setup for AUD/USD, based on volume and trend analysis. Entry Price: 0.64230 Stop-Loss (SL): 0.64350 Take-Profit (TP): 0.64100 The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, in alignment with both volume behavior and the current trend direction. Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Short
by alisardari
USD/CHF This is a trade setup for USD/CHF, based on volume and trend analysis. Entry Price: 0.81473 Stop-Loss (SL): 0.81293 Take-Profit (TP): 0.81673 The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, following confirmation from both volume behavior and the current trend direction. Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Long
by alisardari
USD/JPY USD/JPY – Bullish Setup in Line with the Prevailing Trend As the overall trend remains bullish, we are considering a potential long setup on USD/JPY. The structure suggests continued upside momentum, and we aim to close the trade by the end of the European session. 📍 Entry: 149.400 🎯 Target: 150.600 🛑 Stop-loss: 148.600 This idea aligns with current market direction and intraday trend strength. Traders should watch for supportive price action to confirm the move. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
Long
by alisardari
AUD/USDAUD/USD – Possible Correction Scenario Based on Volume Analysis This idea presents a potential correction in AUD/USD, based on recent volume behavior suggesting a shift in market sentiment. Following a strong move, volume has started to decline near the recent lows, hinting at possible seller exhaustion. This may open the path for a short-term bullish correction toward higher value areas. 📍 Entry: 0.64681 🎯 Target: 0.65050 🛑 Stop-loss: 0.64428 This is a possible scenario, not a guaranteed outcome. Always monitor price action and volume for confirmation. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately. Ask ChatGPT
Long
by alisardari
GBP/USDHello traders! This is a trade setup for GBP/USD, based on volume and trend analysis. Entry Price: 1.31947 Stop-Loss (SL): 1.32077 Take-Profit (TP): 1.31707 The trade is intended to be executed instantly at the mentioned price, in alignment with both volume behavior and the current trend direction. Disclaimer: This setup is shared purely for backtesting purposes and to document trade ideas. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before making any trading decisions.
Short
by alisardari
Gold: final pullback or bull trap?On the 1H chart, gold (GOLD) is forming a bullish flag after a sharp decline, which may just be a corrective move within a broader downtrend. The price is now approaching the key resistance zone around $3313–$3317 - this area holds the POC, broken trendline, and the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement from the last drop. This is the decision-making zone. If bulls fail to push above it, we expect a move down toward $3268 - the next strong support and potential buy zone, also confirmed by Fibonacci and local demand. Stochastic divergence and slowing volume suggest a possible rebound from that level. However, if the price breaks and holds above $3317, this would indicate a local trend reversal, with targets at $3333 and $3374. Watch the $3317 zone closely - bulls have yet to prove this is more than just a bounce.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
APOLLOHOSP - Apollo Hospitals (Daily chart, NSE) - Long PositionAPOLLOHOSP - Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. (Daily chart, NSE) - Long Position Risk assessment: Medium {support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.7 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 7450 Entry limit ~ 7400 on Aug. 01, 2025 Target limit ~ 7845 (+6.01%; +445 points) Stop order limit ~ 7235 (-2.23%; -165 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:APOLLOHOSPLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
AMOC - Beware of the bear trap - only for shareholders EGX:AMOC timeframe: 1 hour Prices continue to rise, forming a higher top than the previous one, but MACD shows a negative divergence. RSI indicates bearish dominance despite the price increase. High volume with a gap, unsupported by other indicators, suggests possible distribution. Stop loss (profit-saving) at 7.62. This is not financial advice, just our analysis based on chart data. Consult your account manager before investing. Thanks and good luck!
EGX:AMOCShort
by tfcgeorge