BTC MACRO PLAY - SHORT TRADE SETUP📉 BTC/USDT SHORT TRADE SETUP – WEEKLY TIMEFRAME
🔍 Trade Idea Overview:
We are seeing a bearish divergence between price and volume on the weekly chart — while price makes higher highs, volume is decreasing, signaling a potential reversal or weakening trend.
Further confluence is seen with the VMC Cipher indicator. If a red dot prints, it will confirm the short entry. If not, the trade idea should be abandoned.
📊 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: Around $106,300–$107,000 (wait for confirmation)
TP 1 🎯: $102,000
TP 2 🎯: $97,500
TP 3 🎯: $93,000
🛑 Risk Management:
Stop-Loss: Above recent highs at $111,800 (or adjusted based on your entry)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
Once TP 1 is reached, move stop-loss to breakeven to protect capital and eliminate risk.
TP 3 may never be reached, but it remains part of the plan to capture extended downside if momentum continues.
If no red dot prints, there is no confirmation — be ready to abandon the trade.
Volume
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis
Market Structure & Trend
Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel).
Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone.
Key Technical Zones
1. Supply Zone
Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply.
Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range.
2. Demand Zone
Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength.
Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels
1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with:
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib).
Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails.
A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond.
Psychological Levels
105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions.
100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails.
Volume Profile
High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance.
Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range.
Scenarios & Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF:
Potential Long to local resistance.
On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level.
Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold the demand zone:
Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level.
If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below.
Conclusion
Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation:
Above demand = bullish recovery setup.
Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG.
Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
Ethereum – 1D timeframe overview with Initiative AnalysisHey traders and investors!
The price has reached the lower boundary of the range. There is no volume spike.
I expect a further decline toward 2184 and 2100. The 2100 level is a contextual area to look for buying patterns.
As part of a correction, the price could potentially drop to 1800. Monitoring.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Swing the TORNTPOWER (NSE)🔍 **Technical Analysis Summary:**
✅ **Trendline Support:**
* The weekly chart shows a **well-respected ascending trendline** stretching from early 2023.
* The current price action at ₹1,390 is approaching this **long-term support zone**, which has consistently provided **bullish rebounds** in the past.
* Price action continues to form **higher lows**, confirming a structurally bullish pattern.
📊 **MACD on OBV (Volume Strength Indicator):**
* The **MACD applied on On-Balance Volume (OBV)** is showing early signs of **bullish divergence**.
* This is particularly important as OBV integrates volume with price movement, and **MACD crossover at low levels** typically indicates accumulation and **potential trend reversal**.
* A bounce in OBV would further confirm strength backed by **smart volume participation**.
⚠️ **Caution Point:**
* The recent candles have shown some **indecision and consolidation**, indicating market participants are awaiting a catalyst.
* **Global cues or negative macroeconomic factors** could temporarily break the trend, but unless a strong bearish breakdown with volume occurs, this trendline remains **technically intact and valid**.
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💡 **Investment Thesis:**
TORNTPOWER is currently trading near a **strong, multi-touch ascending trendline** that has provided reliable support for over 18 months. The **MACD on OBV** is hinting at a **volume-backed trend reversal**, suggesting a **bullish bounce is likely** if macro sentiment remains neutral or positive.
🎯 **Trading Strategy:**
* **Entry Zone:** ₹1,370–₹1,400 (near the trendline support)
* **Stop Loss:** Below ₹1,300 (on weekly closing basis)
* **Upside Targets:**
* ₹1,550 (short-term resistance)
* ₹1,750+ (medium-term target if the trend continues)
🧠 Final Word:
This setup offers an attractive **risk-reward ratio** for swing traders and positional investors. Technicals favor a bounce — **stay cautious on macro cues**, but the **structure favors accumulation on dips** near the trendline.
BTC 4H SCALPBTC/USDT Scalp Setup – 4H Chart
Entered a scalp position with TP1 aligned at the Fibonacci extension near 105,652. The first take-profit has been secured, and the remainder of the position is being left to ride — no emotional attachment. If invalidated, the trade will be abandoned without hesitation.
Technical Overview:
Price broke out of the local downtrend channel
Watching for a potential green dot on the volume oscillator to confirm upward continuation
VMC Cipher B shows early signs of a shift; confirmation is still pending
That said, short-term caution is warranted.
Bearish Considerations:
On the higher timeframes, there’s a visible bearish divergence between price and volume — price continues to push higher, while volume fades, indicating a potential trend exhaustion.
Thanks for your support.
If you found this idea helpful or insightful, feel free to leave a like or comment, open to your thoughts and perspectives.
BTCUSD 1D | big consolidation
🧠 1. Pattern and Market Structure Identification
✅ Trend and Pattern: Bullish Flag
• Structure: Price forms a descending consolidation pattern (descending channel) after a sharp upward impulse — this is a classic characteristic of a bullish flag.
• Breakout volume occurred from the consolidation zone near the green support area → an early signal that bulls are active.
• However, the price is currently retesting the breakout area and is testing the demand zone again.
📊 2. Volume Analysis
• Volume spikes (purple arrows) occurred at several key points:
• Initial breakout
• Support retest
• High volume during the breakout = valid breakout confirmation.
• Currently, volume is slightly declining = a signal of consolidation and possible accumulation.
📉 3. Support & Resistance Levels
• Strong Support: 96,961 USDT (marked by the blue line and breakout volume).
• Major Resistance: 111,980 USDT (all-time high and projected target from the flag breakout).
• Current Price: 103,272 USDT → sitting between these two key levels.
🎯 4. Potential Price Direction
Bullish Scenario:
• If the 96,961 USDT support holds, price could continue upward → the bullish flag target = projected height of the flagpole.
• Conservative Target: 111,980 USDT (ATH)
• Aggressive Target (if ATH breakout occurs): 115,000+ USDT
Bearish Scenario:
• If price breaks below 96,961 USDT with strong volume, it could invalidate the bullish pattern and drop further to the 92,000 – 90,000 USDT range.
ZETA: when a wedge isn’t just a wedge — it’s a launchpadTechnically, this setup is textbook clean. Price completed the fifth wave within a falling wedge and instantly reacted with a bullish breakout. The expected breakdown didn’t happen — instead, buyers stepped in, confirmed by rising volume. All EMAs are compressed at the bottom of the structure, signaling a clear shift in momentum. The volume profile shows strong accumulation around $14, while the area above current levels is a vacuum — ideal conditions for acceleration.
The key resistance zone is $16.70–17.20 — former base highs and the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement. If price breaks this area with volume, the next stop is likely $24.48 (0.5 Fibo). Classical wedge targets land at $38.28 and $55.33 (1.272 and 1.618 extensions). If a trending leg begins, it could move fast — because there’s simply no supply overhead.
Fundamentals:
ZETA isn’t a profitable company yet, but it shows consistent revenue growth and aggressive expansion. Capitalization is rising, debt is manageable, and institutional interest has increased over recent quarters. In an environment where tech and AI are regaining momentum, ZETA could be a speculative second-tier breakout candidate.
Tactical plan:
— Entry: market or after a retest of $14.00–14.30
— First target: $17.20
— Main target: $24.48
— Continuation: $38.28+
— Stop: below $13.00 (bottom wedge boundary)
When the market prints a wedge like this and the crowd ignores it — that’s often the best trap setup. Only this time, it’s not for retail buyers. It’s for the shorts. Because when a falling wedge breaks to the upside with volume — it’s time to buckle up.
SMCI – Wedge Breakout Triggering Around 46 ZoneNASDAQ:SMCI – Wedge Breakout Watch with Intraday Setup Potential
Super Micro Computer ( NASDAQ:SMCI ) is working on a wedge breakout, and it's pressing right into the key $46 zone — the trigger area for a clean move higher.
🔹 Wedge Structure Clearing
Price has been compressing into a wedge, and it's now testing the upper trendline.
The $46 level is the key breakout point — if it clears and holds, this could unleash serious momentum.
🔹 Intraday Setup Developing
If NASDAQ:SMCI can hold this level intraday and consolidate, I’m watching for an entry signal right at or slightly above $46.
Volume confirmation will be key here — watching the tape closely.
🔹 My Trade Plan:
1️⃣ Entry: Watching for clean hold + setup at $46 zone.
2️⃣ Stop: Below yesterday’s low — keeps the trade tight and risk defined.
3️⃣ Add: If it breaks $46 with volume, I’ll build into the position.
Why I Like This Setup:
Breakout from compression = potential expansion
Clear risk level, clean structure — everything I want in a breakout trade
If it holds this level today, this could turn into a trend day.
BIG PUMP ON GRASS COIN THAT NOONE TALKS ABOUTGRASS is setting up for a major reversal from this falling wedge structure. After a prolonged downtrend, price has now reached the apex of a well-defined descending wedge, supported by a key ascending trendline. This area is shaping up as a high-probability buy zone.
On the chart, we can see price respecting both wedge boundaries and now reacting to the lower support line. This is a classic setup where breakout potential increases significantly. The compression of price action inside the wedge suggests a strong move is imminent.
Looking at Market Cipher B, momentum is showing a clear bullish divergence. Multiple green dots have printed on the oscillator, and money flow, while still negative, is beginning to curve upward. These are early signs that sellers are losing control and buyers are stepping in with strength.
Volume has also dried up on this last leg down, which is typical in wedge structures before a breakout. Low volume near support and divergence on a trusted indicator often marks the beginning of a trend reversal.
From a risk-reward perspective, this setup offers a strong opportunity. A break above the descending resistance could propel price toward the previous key resistance levels around the $3.40 zone. Always place your take profit just below major levels to ensure execution.
Leave your thoughts in the comments. Are you long here or waiting for confirmation? This is not a trade setup, no stop-loss or take-profit is shared publicly. Trade with discipline and confidence.
XAU/USD (Gold) – Educational Chart Breakdown [1H Timeframe]We’re currently observing a consolidation phase just below a well-tested resistance zone (~$3,377), while price remains supported by an ascending trendline — a classic setup where structure tightens before a significant move.
Two Potential Outcomes:
Bullish Case
If price closes convincingly above $3,378 with strong volume, we may see a continuation toward the $3,400–$3,410 zone. This would confirm the resistance break and shift market structure bullish on the 1H chart.
Bearish Case
Failure to break above resistance may lead to a reversal and a drop into the $3,345–$3,355 demand zone — especially if price loses the ascending trendline. This would reflect a liquidity sweep and continuation of the larger corrective move.
Patience is key — wait for confirmation before taking action. Consolidation often precedes expansion.
INDU - Long trade - Stop loss hunted by smart playerINDUS Motors stoploss hunted by some very very smart player yesterday :)
Brought down to 1685 level and then brought it up to just over its Fib 0.786 level.
It is taking support from its SMA20 level and a golden cross is about to happen next month.
This is the best time to hold onto it (my personal opinion, not a buy / sell call).
It requires patience though. This stock is not for impatient. As per my last analysis of INDU, its targets are minimum 3200 to 3500 (May go further upwards).
Moreover, it is a very good dividend stock. Ideal for long term investment.
Liquidity sweep can also be observed in last two days ;)
DESTINI-WB - May follow its mother share ?DESTINI-WB - CURRENT PRICE : RM0.090
This warrant is an illiquid and a bit difficult to trade. However recently alot of trading activity takes place as we can see in the volume bar. This is due to its mother share DESTINI (7212) broke out from its accumulation phase on 12 JUNE 2025. At the same time, it also makes a NEW 52 WEEK HIGH. The company's fundamental is improving. Traders may take this opportunity to buy the company's warrant as it is so cheap and have potential of following its mother share. Furthermore, the expiry dates is on 06 MARCH 2029.
ENTRY PRICE : RM0.085 - RM0.100
TARGET : RM0.120 (33.33%) and RM0.150 (66.67%)
SUPPORT : RM0.070 (-22.22%)
WEAT on the move?Wheat futures (ZW) have cleared a zone of resistance with a 4.6% one day move. As tracked by the WEAT ETF, current price seems to be heading for a retest of the 200 Daily SMA (currently at $4.90). The 200 Daily SMA has reversed previous attempts to break out in October 2024 and February 2025. Will third time be different?
Note that this ETF reached a high over $12 in 2022 when the Russian/Ukrainian war started.
Mixed Signals On GoldIt’s been a while since I’ve posted an idea and for anyone who follows my posts, unfortunately I timed my trades poorly with the bearish pivot so I have taken a step back, and am now seeing some interesting developments happening in the market.
For now, I’ll keep it brief. I wanted to post a quick analysis on TVC:GOLD ahead of the rate decision using elements of the Wyckoff method and Elliott Wave. If you asked me a month ago where I thought Gold was heading, I would have said ATH - and while that can still happen, I’m seeing weakness on today’s chart that is worthy of attention.
For starters, The A wave established the pullback in a typical 3-wave pattern that mostly stayed within the channel. The bullish breakout was tested twice, so I would interpret it as bullish - however the subsequent flat movement and rejection at resistance suggests that the rise from May 14th could be losing steam.
The current price ($3,382) is at a neutral level. From here, we could see several scenarios play out; a false bullish breakout, a true bullish breakout, or a break below the channel to retest demand. Breaking out of the channel could signal a Change of Character (CHoCH), and could indicate that smart money is distributing in a flat pattern. If the price breaks down key level of support would be at the Sign of Weakness (SOW), which has confluence with the extended lines of the Wave A channel.
If Gold is set to rise to ATH, I still think it will need to pull back to find large buying volume in the middle of the Wyckoff channel (white rays) first. We will see what happens today, but it’s starting to look like the bears may have the upper hand here.
Imbalance, FVG & Short Trend Flag Strategy / Estrategia basada..*************************
* ENGLISH VERSION *
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This analysis blends institutional structure with price action to identify high-probability zones on AMZN.
🔍 Setup Structure:
Imbalance breaks PH/L of the trend: Confirmation of institutional strength breaking a Previous High or Low, creating a liquidity imbalance.
Short Trend Flags: A corrective flag pattern within the impulse move, signaling continuation until the Fair Value Gap (FVG) is filled.
FVG Closure: Validates key zones where price must return to restore market balance.
IFVG: Institutional Fair Value Gap that also needs to be closed, showing deeper order flow activity.
Key Resistance & Support Zones: Act as liquidity magnets where price often reacts.
9:30am Opening Candle Against the Trend: This candle acts as a liquidity trap and potential reversal trigger.
🧠 Technical Notes:
FVG and IFVG used as targets and reaction zones.
Confirmation through opening volume and candlestick behavior.
Flags serve as entry triggers in trend direction.
🎯 Perfect for scalpers and day traders who trade clean structure with multi-layered confirmations (structure + liquidity + reaction).
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* SPANISH VERSION *
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Este análisis combina estructuras institucionales con acción del precio para identificar zonas de alta probabilidad en AMZN.
🔍 Estructura del Setup:
Imbalance rompe PH/L de la tendencia: Confirmación de fuerza institucional al romper un Previous High/Low, generando desequilibrio de liquidez.
Short Trend Flags: Patrón correctivo dentro del impulso que sirve como señal de continuación hasta cerrar el FVG (Fair Value Gap).
Cierre de FVG: Validación de zonas de interés donde el precio debe retornar para balancear el mercado.
IFVG: Imbalance Fair Value Gap que también necesita ser cerrado, indicando profundidad institucional.
Zonas clave de resistencia y soporte: Actúan como imanes de liquidez donde el precio suele reaccionar.
Apertura 9:30am contra la tendencia: Vela que actúa como trampa de liquidez y posible gatillo para reversión.
🧠 Notas Técnicas:
Uso de FVG y IFVG como targets y zonas de reacción.
Confirmación con el volumen de apertura y comportamiento de las velas.
Flags como patrón de entrada para seguir la dirección dominante.
🎯 Ideal para scalpers y day traders que siguen estructuras limpias con validaciones múltiples (estructura + liquidez + reacción).
EURUSD LONGPrice swept below support around 1.1473, grabbing liquidity and quickly bouncing back — this is a classic Wyckoff spring setup.
📌 Key Levels
Entry: Around 1.1500
Stop Loss: Below 1.1424 (spring low)
Target 1: 1.1567 (range high)
Target 2: 1.1614 (measured move)
🔍 Why I like this setup:
Fake breakdown (spring) and quick recovery
Buyers showed up right after the sweep
Expecting price to return to the top of the range and possibly break higher . This a trade we hold
💡 A spring is where smart money steps in after trapping sellers — I'm following them.
“I always say that you could publish my rules in the newspaper and no one would follow them. The key is consistency and discipline.”
BTCUSDT. Initiative Analysis Market OverviewHey traders and investors!
📍 Context
On the daily and 4H timeframes, the market is in a sideways range (Black lines = range boundaries).
Buyer initiative is active on 4H. The target initiative is 108,952.
However, on the daily timeframe, the seller initiative is in control, and a seller zone has formed. The seller zone is the red rectangle on the chart.
📊 Key actions
The buyer attempted to break out of the range on the daily timeframe twice, but both times the seller pushed the price back inside.
The price is currently interacting with the seller zone. Watching for the reaction.
🎯 Trade Idea
🔸 Long positions — with caution. Only valid if the price holds above 105,336, aiming for the target at 108,952.
🔸 Until that happens, the priority is on further downside, in line with the current seller initiative on the daily. It’s reasonable to look for short setups if the seller defends 105,336.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!