Technical Analysis on AMD (Advanced Micro Devices)Analyzing the historical performance of AMD , a key turning point is evident that marked the beginning of the current bullish phase—starting at the end of 2015. During this period, the stock held an important support level, followed by a decisive breakout of the bearish trendline.
On a daily timeframe, this breakout was accompanied by a gap up, known as a breakaway gap.
During the upward phase, the stock experienced pullbacks ranging from 40% to 60%. The most recent pullback, which began with a Shooting Star candle, was 45% and stopped precisely at a crucial Fibonacci level of 0.618.
Bullish Scenario:
To confirm a continuation of the bullish trend, AMD must first surpass the $160 area and then the $190 area, a range characterized by significant volumes.
Bearish Scenario:
If the stock fails to exceed these two levels, it could continue its retracement by breaking the ascending trendline. Two potential entry levels can be found in the POC area around $180 and the support area around $95.
Volume
SPY shows signs of breakthough to the upsideSPY recent day of trading gave an overall picture that this flat trading is coming to close with a potential rally coming.
Gapped up for second time in the 2 days
Sold off slowly with low volume
The rally in late day spurred by smart money with increasing volume
Stock breaks through upper resistance for first time
SPY is showing a strong bullish signal indicating a longer term rally to come
QQQ gives more strength to its bullish turn aroundToday QQQ started with another gap up breakout for the 2cd day in a row. Stock retraced then rallied again in the late day.
Stock gapped up again doing another breakout weakening the week long sell off trend.
Retracement that was expected sold off less and at slower pass than the day before
Late day smart money jumped in and pushed the stock to higher highs
Volume experienced a massive spike in last moments of trading which can be indication of price exhaustion. This should cause a temporary pull back next trading day
Overall the bull thesis for QQQ is getting stronger each day.
Technical Analysis on Intel (INTC)Using long-term volume analysis with the Volume Profile, we observe that Intel's ( INTC ) current price has moved below a significant monthly Point of Control (POC). To gain a clearer perspective, it will be crucial to wait for the monthly close to determine whether the price remains above or below this POC level.
By zooming in to the daily or H4 timeframe, we notice a potential rounding formation in both the candlesticks and volume, indicating a possible shift in trend direction.
Bullish Scenario:
To confirm a bullish scenario, it will be necessary to wait for a monthly close above the POC. This signal will be strengthened if the volumes increase as well.
Bearish Scenario:
If the price stays below the POC, the bearish scenario suggests potential targets, as illustrated in the image below. It may be possible to consider short entries at the levels indicated as Target 2 and Target 3.
Waiting for WTI rebound. H4 30.08.2024 Waiting for WTI rebound
Oil WTI has been flattening with pullbacks all week, which is exhausting. My top-up was knocked out together with the rest of the last buy. Although the total plus came out due to partial fixation. Now the price is back to the key support area, it went down to the buyers' zone 73.34-72.63 and near the specified 1/2 margin. There are no large volumes, which is confusing, but they can make a buyback. Therefore, you should look here for confirmations on your strategy. If pushed the zones below, then the price will go to 71.
SMH shows signs of bullish turn aroundSMH experiences a false breakout and tries to sustain it for a few periods with increased volume
SMH experiences first false breakout above
Tries to hold higher levels outside resistance
Increased volume is accompanied with this breakout
This gives a signal that bear drawdown has weakness in it and bulls maybe taking over soon.
SPY shows more interest in rallying than beforeSPY is starting to show more signs that a breakout above the flat trading its in is coming
We see increased volume over peaks of previous rallies indicating agreement with pushing up prices
RSI's SMA starts to break through the 50 line
comparing to the QQQ, its experiences another false breakout above for the second day in a row. Showing the tech sector is attempting to turn around to the upside
SPY continues to still trade flat but show more confidence in its small rallies than previously
Potential Breakout Opportunity in Bajaj Finserv Ltd. Bajaj Finserv Ltd. is currently forming a classic ascending triangle pattern on the monthly chart, a bullish continuation pattern often signaling a potential breakout. The price has been consolidating within this pattern, making higher lows, and is now approaching the resistance level at around ₹1,925.
Key Levels:
Support: The lower trendline, which has been acting as a strong support, currently lies near ₹1,600.
Resistance: The upper trendline, around ₹1,925, is the critical level to watch for a breakout.
Target 1: ₹1,925, where the price is expected to test the resistance.
Target 2: ₹2,300, which could be the next significant level if the breakout holds.
Indicators:
RSI: Currently around 62, indicating momentum is building but not yet overbought, supporting the potential for further upside.
Volume: Gradual increase in volume suggests accumulation, which might fuel the breakout.
Disclaimer - This is just for education purpose only. Take financial advice from financial advisor before investing.
3 Reasons Why Insider Selling Wont EndInsider selling is like a mole rat on a farm
they are hard if not impossible to
get rid of infact, some farming
experts say mole are good for the soil
fertility
i was watering a ground where a mole
had made a tunnel,
and i noticed that where the moles
had not drilled into the ground
the vegetables are not growing well
as compared to where the moles had
drilled underground tunnels
Its a very similar concept
when it comes to trading the
only difference here is that:
1-Insider selling gives you a map of what to do
2-Insider selling is public information
3-Insider selling helps you as a trader
In insider selling is good because it will
help you find the right trades
Watch this video again to learn more
about this
Also rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer:Trading is risky you will lose money
wether you like it or not
and so because of this please
learn risk management and
profit taking strategies
before you engage in trading.
BASF India - Diversified Investment**Overview and Key Highlights**
1. **Revenue and Profitability**:
- **Revenue**: BASF India Limited reported a revenue of Rs. 137,674.8 million for the financial year 2023-2024, showing a slight increase from Rs. 136,447.7 million in the previous year.
- **Profit Before Tax**: The company recorded a profit before tax (before exceptional items) of Rs. 7,589.5 million, up from Rs. 5,280.9 million in the previous year.
2. **Dividend**:
- The Board of Directors has recommended a dividend of 150% (Rs. 15 per equity share), an increase from 80% (Rs. 8 per equity share) in the previous year.
3. **Segment Performance**:
- **Agricultural Solutions**: Registered good growth driven by products like Exponus® in insecticides, Priaxor® in fungicides, and Tynzer® in herbicides.
- **Industrial Solutions**: The Dispersions business saw higher volumes despite lower price realizations, while the Performance Chemicals business faced challenging market conditions but improved margins due to lower input costs.
- **Materials Segment**: Performance Materials and Monomers businesses showed significant growth, driven by high demand and new product sales.
- **Surface Technologies**: Coatings business improved marginally, while Catalysts business saw strong volume growth but faced higher input costs.
4. **Sustainability and Environmental Initiatives**:
- BASF India Limited has been focusing on environmental stewardship, achieving REDcert2 Certification for its Dispersion plants and reducing dependence on fossil fuels by procuring renewable energy.
- The company has also launched initiatives like BASF Kids’ Lab and We-Chemie to promote chemistry education and inclusion of women in the chemical industry.
5. **Corporate Governance and Compliance**:
- The company has maintained high standards of corporate governance, complying with all relevant regulations and standards.
- There were no significant qualifications or reservations in the auditors’ reports.
**Financial Ratios and Performance Metrics**
1. **Revenue Growth**:
- The revenue growth rate is approximately 1.1% year-over-year, indicating stable performance despite global economic uncertainties.
2. **Profit Margin**:
- The profit before tax margin has improved from about 3.9% in the previous year to around 5.5% in the current year, reflecting better cost management and product mix.
3. **Debt and Liquidity**:
- The company had no borrowings as of the end of the financial year 2023-2024, indicating strong liquidity and financial health.
- The debt-to-equity ratio was nil, further highlighting the company’s robust financial position.
4. **Return on Equity (ROE)**:
- Although not explicitly stated, the ROE can be calculated using the profit after tax and shareholders' equity. Given the profit after tax of Rs. 5,633.5 million and shareholders' equity of approximately Rs. 32,235.8 million, the ROE would be around 17.5%, indicating a healthy return on equity.
5. **Cash Flow**:
- The company generated cash from operations of Rs. 8,072.4 million during the year, demonstrating efficient working capital management.
**Core Business and Strategic Initiatives**
1. **Product Diversification**:
- BASF India Limited operates across various segments including Agricultural Solutions, Industrial Solutions, Materials, Surface Technologies, and Nutrition & Care. This diversification helps in mitigating risks and capitalizing on growth opportunities across different markets.
2. **Innovation and R&D**:
- The company has been investing in research and development, evident from the launch of new products like Efficon® Insecticide and the expansion of its Polyurethane Technical Development Center in Mumbai.
3. **Sustainability and ESG**:
- BASF India Limited has been proactive in sustainability initiatives, aiming to reduce its carbon footprint and promote environmental stewardship. The company has set targets to reduce its absolute CO2 emissions and achieve net zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050.
4. **Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR)**:
- The company has a robust CSR policy focusing on areas such as Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WASH), Education, and Skill Development. It has spent Rs. 119 million on CSR activities during the financial year 2023-2024.
**Risk Management and Compliance**
1. **Risk Assessment**:
- The company has a mechanism for risk assessment and minimization, with regular reviews to ensure that risks are identified and controlled effectively.
2. **Compliance**:
- BASF India Limited has been compliant with all statutory requirements and has not faced any significant material orders from regulators or courts that could impact its operations.
3. **Internal Financial Controls**:
- The company has robust internal financial control systems in place, ensuring the orderly conduct of its business and safeguarding its assets.
Price Trends and Patterns
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: The chart shows several horizontal lines indicating key support levels. These levels acted as a floor, preventing the stock from falling further during pullbacks. Notable support levels were observed around 6,000 and 5,500.
Resistance Levels: Similarly, resistance levels acted as a ceiling, capping the stock’s upward movement. Key resistance levels were identified around 7,000 and 8,000.
Green Lines as Support:
The green lines drawn in the middle of long candlesticks have played a crucial role as support levels. These lines have consistently acted as a strong foundation, allowing the price to bounce back whenever it approached these levels.
Candlestick Patterns:
Bullish Patterns: Throughout the uptrend phases, we observed bullish candlestick patterns such as the hammer and bullish engulfing, signaling potential buying opportunities.
Bearish Patterns: During the correction phases, bearish patterns like the shooting star and bearish engulfing indicated potential selling pressure.
Volume Analysis
Trading volume is a critical component of price action analysis. The volume bars at the bottom of the chart provide insights into the strength of price movements:
High Volume on Uptrends: During the uptrend phases, we noticed increased trading volume, confirming the strength of the bullish moves. High volume on up days suggests strong investor interest and confidence.
Volume Spikes on Breakouts: Significant volume spikes were observed during breakout attempts above resistance levels. These spikes indicate strong buying interest, often leading to sustained upward movements.
**Conclusion**
BASF India Limited has demonstrated strong financial performance and operational resilience in the face of global economic uncertainties. The company's focus on sustainability, innovation, and corporate governance positions it well for long-term growth and profitability. Investors looking for a stable and socially responsible investment opportunity may find BASF India Limited an attractive option.
**Investment Considerations**
1. **Stable Financial Performance**: The company's consistent revenue growth and improved profitability make it a stable investment option.
2. **Sustainability Initiatives**: BASF India Limited's commitment to environmental stewardship and social responsibility aligns with the growing trend of ESG investing.
3. **Innovation and R&D**: The company's investment in research and development ensures a pipeline of new products and technologies, driving future growth.
4. **Robust Corporate Governance**: The company's adherence to high standards of corporate governance provides assurance of ethical and transparent business practices.
However, investors should also consider the following:
1. **Market Risks**: The company's performance can be affected by global economic conditions, geopolitical tensions, and market volatility.
2. **Regulatory Risks**: Changes in regulations, particularly those related to environmental and safety standards, could impact the company's operations and costs.
3. **Competition**: The chemical industry is highly competitive, and the company must continually innovate and improve its products to maintain market share.
Overall, BASF India Limited presents a compelling investment case for those seeking a stable, innovative, and socially responsible company with strong financial fundamentals.
NOT will get a new impulse.I bided my time to share my thoughts.
1. The crowd started reacting to Durov's arrest as if the whole life of the crypto project is equal to the fate of a media person. And the people who shouted the loudest, they don't even realise that they themselves believe in this connection. all is well with Durov, so all is well with NOT. These people are a long way from the philosophy of libertarians, much less anarchists. Contempt for the hysterical. By the way, the most important tech evangelist of Telegram is not Pavel Durov himself. It's his brother Nikolai Durov. World champion student coder. Durov is a visible public face. They're like Oskar Schindler and Itzhak Stern. One creates the presentation, the other creates the ideas.
2. I assumed that the absurdity of the charges (failed to help disclose a protected communication = helped distribute drugs, nonsense) would run into very expensive lawyers that Durov could afford. I'm sure the fact that he's out on bail shows that the charges were met with a decent defence. Complicity sounds ridiculous.
3. Important detail. Many people noticed this in Russia, but I'm not sure it was noticed elsewhere. On the eve of his arrest, Durov flew to Azerbaijan. The Russian press leaked versions that he would meet with Putin there (he was there on a state visit these days). Analysts speculated that since another Telegram blockade had just begun in Russia, Durov was travelling to try to negotiate something with Putin. Soon a report appeared ‘Vladimir Putin did not meet with Pavel Durov in Baku.’ It was only after that that Durov flew to Paris, where he is arrested. What if this is a necessary step by Durov to dismiss the stupid charges through the court, to find a new formula for co-operation with the authorities and to better protect his business? If these arrest warrants are in place, then there must be some way to prove that they are ridiculous. Because he clearly lacked the support he may have been looking for from Putin. So he took the risky step of coming to France. Somehow people thought it was a colossal mistake. Not a calculated business risk. So he needed business in Europe. Durov's already out on bail. Being under court supervision doesn't stop him from doing business. He's not in jail. What if tomorrow we find out that Telegram changed its protocol for co-operating with the police on child pornography? And in court, the prosecution's case would be shattered by the defence? Therefore, the whole thing was worthless.
4. people who are completely confused in their heads are despicable. They write NOTcoin and mean TONcoin. They write TONcoin and mean NOTcoin. And all this only because they heard somewhere that all this is somehow connected with Pavel Durov, and therefore it is the same thing. Such guys not only can't be trusted with the keys to cryptocurrencies, they can't even be trusted with the key to their own flat. Exaggerating concepts and meanings is disgusting. NOTcoin is not TONcoin. Yes, it is an asset integrated into the TON system. But TRON has a lot of things integrated into it as well. However, some coins on TRX are rising, others are falling. No need to generalise. NOTcoin is related to gaming. TONcoin is a more universal currency, more like classic money.
5. VFI LF on the 4 hour timeframe is showing increasing volume flow, and even the slow volume EMA is about to move to the upside from zero. To watch.
6. In Russia there is a saying ‘Fear has big eyes’. This is the very case, as they are now looking at NOT. Forget about Durov. He is not a tsar or a god or a hero. An asset is an asset.
7. As with the rest of the market, we need a falling bitcoin dominance. This is far more important than whether Durov is in jail or not.
First try on DOGSUSDT / Long Setup SettingBINANCE:DOGSUSDT
BINANCE:DOGSUSDT
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.001276
0.001302
0.001311
0.001324
0.001344
0.001360
0.001378
🔴SL:
0.00118
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes below the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
First Try on DOGSUSDT / Long Setup SettingBINANCE:DOGSUSDT
GATEIO:DOGSUSDT
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.001276
0.001302
0.001315
0.001326
0.001340
0.001360
0.001375
0.001385
🔴SL:
On the Chart
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes above the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
IS NOTCOIN Still Hot? / Nothing!, just a Long Setup on Nothing BINANCE:NOTUSDT
CRYPTO:NOTUSD
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
👾The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
0.00875
0.00888
0.00900
0.00914
0.00925
0.00938
🔴SL:
0.00826
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilizes above the trigger zone, the setup will be cancelled.
How I used Volume Spread Analysis to avoid FOMO trading!As a trader, I often battle with the fear of missing out (FOMO), a common pitfall among traders that can lead to impulsive, unprofitable trades. After reviewing my journal, I determined that chasing breakouts was costing me a significant portion of my account, so I studied Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) to help me reduce my urges. Here is how is used VSA to avoid FOMOing a trade.
Before we get started, let's clarify two definitions:
Volume: Measures the number of times buyers and sellers exchange 1 unit of an asset at an agreed-upon price. It doesn't inherently indicate whether a trend is bullish or bearish, but rather that a trade has occurred. Low volume suggests that few transactions have taken place because buyers and sellers couldn't agree on price. High volume suggests that buyers OR sellers felt they were getting a bargain at the current price, leading to many transactions.
Spread/Range: The difference between the high and low of a candlestick. A narrow spread indicates little variance between what someone is willing to buy for and what someone is willing to sell for. A wide spread suggests that buyers and sellers have significantly different ideas of what the fair price is.
In short, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) interprets the relationship between trading volume and candle spread. When volume and spread agree, they are considered harmonious, and the trend will probably continue. If volume and spread disagree, there is a divergence, and the trend may be weak or could even reverse. In general, there are three main harmonious conditions:
Narrowing spread should have narrowing volume.
Average spread should have average volume.
Widening spread should have widening volume.
I spotted a bear flag consolidation on QQQ and decided I would trade the breakout to the downside. I took a break and came back to the chart just after the breakdown had occurred, missing my ideal entry. The candle spread was widening and my first thought was "I have to get in! This thing is free falling!" PAUSE! I reminded myself that I cant make every dollar in the market. If I miss this trade, there will always be another. "Be patient and wait for the market to come back to you."
This is the chart after the initial break. What can we observe? QQQ broke the low of day with high volume and a widening red candle. Based on our definitions from earlier, we know that high volume means that buyers or sellers think they are getting a bargain so they are willing to transact as much as they can at current price. Given that price is falling, we can assume that the volume is due to aggressive selling. We remain patient and continue to watch for something to trade against.
Next, we see a narrower range candle with a long lower shadow and above average volume. By definition, strong volume with a narrow range is a possible divergence. We know that narrow range candles mean that buyers and sellers generally agree on current price, but why would it close near the highs if the selling was so aggressive? Given that there is a long lower shadow and then a bullish candle close, we can infer that sellers were not willing to sell below $467.89. The buyers absorbed the selling at those prices.
Fast forwarding, we notice that the volume and candle size has shrunk back to the average meaning buyers and sellers are in agreeance. The number of people willing to transact is decreasing. We also notice that a small range has formed. Buyers have not stepped in to buy above the previous low of day at $469.35 and the sellers have shown no effort to get back below $467.89. Now we have something to trade against instead of FOMOing in! We will look for a break of this range with increased volume.
On the next candle we see bulls break out of the range with aggressive volume and a wide spread candle. Something of note is that the volume on this bull candle is less that the volume of our initial sell candle. If those sellers were still present, wouldn't they be selling at these higher prices and forcing the candle range to be narrow? This shows us that bulls are now in control and the selling from earlier was just a hoax.
As we can see, the rest is history. If I FOMOed into the short as I had planned, this trade would have resulted in a loss. Being patient allowed me to realize that there was nothing to miss out on and actually allowed me to find a better trade.
Key Notes
Always journal your trades and review them
Never FOMO into a trade. Be patient and wait for the trade to come to you!
You dont need to take every trade to make money in the market. It is okay to miss a trade if it means protecting your account.
Volume spread analysis is not 100%, but it can be useful in determining the strength of a trend.
USDCAD in the area of option hedges. H4 29.08.2024 USDCAD in the area of option hedges
The price has entered the area of option hedges and margins at 1.3460.
However, given the strongly growing cumulative delta, there are concerns
whether it can go up without updating the low near 1.3440.
I think it will be pulled down first, ideally to knock out stops, capture liquidity,
show a culmination and then go into corrective growth. The nearest target is around 1.36